Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SWITZERLAND - Challenge League

Bellinzona Logo

2025-02-22
17:00:00
Étoile Carouge Logo
Bellinzona6
Étoile Carouge7

Stadio Comunale (Vilafranca del Penedes)
2.593.772.87
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25
Challenge League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Thun22126440231742LWWWD
2Aarau22125539261341WWWWW
3Étoile Carouge2210573530535DWLDL
4Vaduz228952930-133DWDLW
5Stade Lausanne-Ouchy237883532329LWLWW
6Wil227873128329WLWDL
7Neuchâtel Xamax2392123644-829WDLLL
8Bellinzona227692831-324LLLWW
9Stade Nyonnais2364133046-1622WLLDL
10FC Schaffhausen2355132639-1320LDWLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Bellinzona's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
911.2611.11%

Bellinzona's home matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

24-09-24Bellinzona32 - 1 (1)Stade Lausanne-Ouchy31.50.29W
03-08-24Bellinzona71 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.25W
09-03-24Bellinzona50 - 2 (1)Stade Nyonnais71.50.31W
22-10-23Bellinzona130 - 0 (0)FC Schaffhausen151.5-1L
29-01-23Bellinzona180 - 2 (2)Yverdon Sport41.50.2W
22-10-22Bellinzona2(A)1 - 2 (1)Yverdon Sport41.50.18W
02-10-22Bellinzona141 - 3 (2)FC Schaffhausen131.50.27W
27-08-22Bellinzona53 - 1 (2)Neuchâtel Xamax51.50.27W
30-07-22Bellinzona71 - 4 (1)Stade Lausanne-Ouchy61.50.23W

Étoile Carouge's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.261.254.33%

Étoile Carouge's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

14-12-24Vaduz53 - 2 (1)Étoile Carouge51.50.18W
30-11-24Wil52 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.28W
27-09-24Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2(A)5 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge21.50.31W
03-08-24Bellinzona71 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.25W
15-04-23Kriens82 - 0 (0)Étoile Carouge71.5W
26-11-22Rapperswil-Jona60 - 3 (1)Étoile Carouge61.50.24W
19-02-22Bavois220 - 1 (0)Étoile Carouge91.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Bellinzona's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.221.282.2%

Bellinzona's last 10 home matches

15-02-25Bellinzona50 - 1 (1)Stade Lausanne-Ouchy71.5-1L
25-01-25Bellinzona103 - 0 (0)FC Schaffhausen91.50.38W
08-12-24Bellinzona21 - 2 (0)Vaduz41.50.31W
30-11-24Bellinzona71 - 1 (1)Stade Nyonnais71.50.24W
09-11-24Bellinzona71 - 4 (0)Aarau71.50.27W
26-10-24Bellinzona60 - 2 (1)Neuchâtel Xamax71.50.21W
04-10-24Bellinzona40 - 0 (0)Thun61.5-1L
24-09-24Bellinzona32 - 1 (1)Stade Lausanne-Ouchy31.50.29W
24-08-24Bellinzona72 - 1 (1)FC Schaffhausen61.50.27W
03-08-24Bellinzona71 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.25W

Étoile Carouge's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.331.24-13.3%

Étoile Carouge's last 10 away matches.

14-02-25FC Schaffhausen60 - 0 (0)Étoile Carouge61.5-1L
31-01-25Stade Lausanne-Ouchy61 - 0 (0)Étoile Carouge61.5-1L
14-12-24Vaduz53 - 2 (1)Étoile Carouge51.50.18W
30-11-24Wil52 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.28W
09-11-24Thun72 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.22W
18-10-24Neuchâtel Xamax130 - 3 (1)Étoile Carouge131.50.17W
27-09-24Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2(A)5 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge21.50.31W
20-09-24Stade Nyonnais42 - 4 (1)Étoile Carouge61.50.26W
24-08-24Aarau61 - 0 (0)Étoile Carouge71.5-1L
03-08-24Bellinzona71 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.25W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Bellinzona's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.471.37.83%

Bellinzona's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Bellinzona50 - 1 (1)Stade Lausanne-Ouchy71.5-1L
09-02-25Thun82 - 0 (1)Bellinzona71.50.24W
01-02-25Aarau72 - 1 (1)Bellinzona61.50.25W
25-01-25Bellinzona103 - 0 (0)FC Schaffhausen91.50.38W
14-12-24Wil70 - 2 (1)Bellinzona51.50.29W
08-12-24Bellinzona21 - 2 (0)Vaduz41.50.31W

Étoile Carouge's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.371.22-39.5%

Étoile Carouge's all matches - last 6

14-02-25FC Schaffhausen60 - 0 (0)Étoile Carouge61.5-1L
07-02-25Étoile Carouge62 - 1 (0)Neuchâtel Xamax61.50.19W
31-01-25Stade Lausanne-Ouchy61 - 0 (0)Étoile Carouge61.5-1L
24-01-25Étoile Carouge61 - 1 (0)Wil41.50.26W
14-12-24Vaduz53 - 2 (1)Étoile Carouge51.50.18W
08-12-24Étoile Carouge2(A)1 - 0 (0)FC Schaffhausen31.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.581.2929%

H2H matches - last 6

22-11-24Étoile Carouge122 - 2 (2)Bellinzona121.50.33W
03-08-24Bellinzona71 - 1 (1)Étoile Carouge71.50.25W
Challenge League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Thun22126440231742LWWWD
2Aarau22125539261341WWWWW
3Étoile Carouge2210573530535DWLDL
4Vaduz228952930-133DWDLW
5Stade Lausanne-Ouchy237883532329LWLWW
6Wil227873128329WLWDL
7Neuchâtel Xamax2392123644-829WDLLL
8Bellinzona227692831-324LLLWW
9Stade Nyonnais2364133046-1622WLLDL
10FC Schaffhausen2355132639-1320LDWLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -30%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.50 (2)-0.30 (1.25)0.850.84

Challenge League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
171.581.249.29%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Bellinzona's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.541.319.00%
09-11-24-0.32Bellinzona71 - 4 (0)Aarau71.50.27W
24-09-24-0.28Bellinzona32 - 1 (1)Stade Lausanne-Ouchy31.50.29W
06-04-24-0.29Wil64 - 1 (1)Bellinzona71.50.33W
15-03-24-0.28FC Schaffhausen62 - 1 (1)Bellinzona51.50.37W
03-03-24-0.30Sion23 - 0 (2)Bellinzona31.50.28W
22-10-23-0.28Bellinzona130 - 0 (0)FC Schaffhausen151.5-1L

Étoile Carouge's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-1.001.27-100.00%
14-02-25-0.29FC Schaffhausen60 - 0 (0)Étoile Carouge61.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.33%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Bellinzona (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.33%

Étoile Carouge (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.33%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Bellinzona's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.581.23-7.25%
01-02-25Aarau72 - 1Bellinzona61.50.25W
26-10-24Bellinzona60 - 2Neuchâtel Xamax71.50.21W
31-08-24Aarau61 - 2Bellinzona61.50.25W
03-05-24Bellinzona61 - 2Neuchâtel Xamax91.50.29W
13-04-24Thun61 - 0Bellinzona61.5-1L
28-02-24Bellinzona60 - 1Vaduz71.5-1L
08-10-23Aarau81 - 2Bellinzona61.50.2W
01-09-23Neuchâtel Xamax41 - 1Bellinzona61.50.22W

Étoile Carouge's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.091.221.5%
30-11-24Wil52 - 1Étoile Carouge71.50.28W
09-11-24Thun72 - 1Étoile Carouge71.50.22W
24-08-24Aarau61 - 0Étoile Carouge71.5-1L
03-08-24Bellinzona71 - 1Étoile Carouge71.50.25W
17-03-24Delémont73 - 2Étoile Carouge71.5W
19-11-23St. Gallen II70 - 2Étoile Carouge71.50.17W
01-10-23Lugano II71 - 2Étoile Carouge71.5W
17-09-23Servette II71 - 3Étoile Carouge71.50.17W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Bellinzona's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.611.27-20.33%
17-02-24Bellinzona70 - 0Wil61.5-1L
26-02-23Aarau82 - 0Bellinzona61.50.2W
19-02-23Lausanne Sport81 - 1Bellinzona61.50.19W

Étoile Carouge's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.33%
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Challenge League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.082.942.932.4

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Challenge League1122.94
2023/2024Challenge League1802.87
2022/2023Challenge League1803.13
2021/2022Challenge League1733.25

Challenge League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
82.57%1.2180.36%1.2480%1.2563.33%1.58

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Challenge League11280.36% 1.24
2023/2024Challenge League18080% 1.25
2022/2023Challenge League18083.33% 1.2
2021/2022Challenge League17384.39% 1.18
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Challenge League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.351.361.031.33

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Challenge League1121.36
2023/2024Challenge League1801.15
2022/2023Challenge League1801.37
2021/2022Challenge League1731.53

Challenge League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.741.581.371.6

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Challenge League1121.58
2023/2024Challenge League1801.72
2022/2023Challenge League1801.77
2021/2022Challenge League1731.72
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
34-1.851.23-5.44%

Last 2 seasons - 8 vs 3 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.451.26-15%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Bellinzona matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.481.26-6%
04-10-242Bellinzona40 - 01Thun61.5-1L
24-08-246Bellinzona72 - 12FC Schaffhausen61.50.27W
03-08-245Bellinzona71 - 12Étoile Carouge71.50.25W
17-05-247Bellinzona70 - 21Sion71.50.22W
29-03-249Bellinzona135 - 23Aarau51.50.3W
27-01-247Bellinzona130 - 02Thun61.5-1L
05-11-238Bellinzona41 - 21Sion41.50.24W
12-05-239Bellinzona63 - 22Wil61.50.24W

Étoile Carouge matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-2.411.26-48.2%
14-02-259FC Schaffhausen60 - 03Étoile Carouge61.5-1L
31-01-258Stade Lausanne-Ouchy61 - 03Étoile Carouge61.5-1L
30-11-248Wil52 - 12Étoile Carouge71.50.28W
27-09-249Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2(A)5 - 12Étoile Carouge21.50.31W
24-08-2410Aarau61 - 03Étoile Carouge71.5-1L
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