St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

USA - Major League Soccer

St. Louis City Logo

2025-10-19
02:00:00
Real Salt Lake Logo
St. Louis City13
Real Salt Lake6

2.484.172.81
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.14
Standings
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

St. Louis City's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.281.26-12.8%

St. Louis City's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

14-06-25St. Louis City53 - 3 (2)LA Galaxy121.50.19W
30-03-25St. Louis City70 - 1 (0)Austin61.5-1L
16-03-25St. Louis City61 - 0 (0)Seattle Sounders31.5-1L
01-09-24St. Louis City62 - 1 (0)LA Galaxy61.50.13W
26-05-24St. Louis City71 - 2 (1)Seattle Sounders21.50.28W
03-03-24St. Louis City32 - 0 (0)New York City61.50.32W
22-10-23St. Louis City160 - 2 (0)Seattle Sounders131.50.24W
21-09-23St. Louis City30 - 0 (0)Los Angeles FC31.5-1L
28-05-23St. Louis City63 - 1 (2)Vancouver Whitecaps2(A)1.50.23W
21-05-23St. Louis City74 - 0 (0)Sporting KC2(A)1.50.33W

Real Salt Lake's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.381.1919%

Real Salt Lake's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

29-06-25Sporting KC21 - 1 (0)Real Salt Lake131.50.2W
15-10-23LA Galaxy62 - 2 (1)Real Salt Lake61.50.18W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

St. Louis City's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.821.1818.2%

St. Louis City's last 10 home matches

28-09-25St. Louis City60 - 3 (0)Los Angeles FC51.50.18W
07-09-25St. Louis City61 - 1 (0)Dallas131.50.15W
31-08-25St. Louis City62 - 3 (2)Houston Dynamo61.50.18W
10-08-25St. Louis City93 - 1 (1)Nashville SC71.50.2W
27-07-25St. Louis City61 - 2 (1)Minnesota United61.50.2W
13-07-25St. Louis City62 - 1 (0)Portland Timbers61.50.14W
26-06-25St. Louis City112 - 4 (1)Orlando City101.50.17W
14-06-25St. Louis City53 - 3 (2)LA Galaxy121.50.19W
31-05-25St. Louis City52 - 1 (2)SJ Earthquakes1(A)1.50.17W
15-05-25St. Louis City32 - 2 (1)Sporting KC31.50.24W

Real Salt Lake's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.721.21-27.2%

Real Salt Lake's last 10 away matches.

12-10-25Seattle Sounders61 - 0 (0)Real Salt Lake61.5-1L
22-09-25Los Angeles FC34 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake31.50.14W
16-08-25Charlotte51 - 0 (0)Real Salt Lake51.5-1L
10-08-25New York RB132 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake131.50.21W
17-07-25Portland Timbers30 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake31.5-1L
29-06-25Sporting KC21 - 1 (0)Real Salt Lake131.50.2W
01-06-25LA Galaxy22 - 0 (0)Real Salt Lake2(A)1.50.2W
29-05-25Austin31 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake31.50.28W
18-05-25Colorado Rapids2(A)1 - 0 (0)Real Salt Lake21.5-1L
11-05-25Dallas21 - 1 (0)Real Salt Lake61.50.25W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

St. Louis City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.911.1515.17%

St. Louis City's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Austin21 - 3 (1)St. Louis City61.50.18W
28-09-25St. Louis City60 - 3 (0)Los Angeles FC51.50.18W
21-09-25SJ Earthquakes61 - 3 (0)St. Louis City71.50.09W
13-09-25CF Montréal130 - 2 (0)St. Louis City51.50.13W
07-09-25St. Louis City61 - 1 (0)Dallas131.50.15W
31-08-25St. Louis City62 - 3 (2)Houston Dynamo61.50.18W

Real Salt Lake's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.331.16-22.17%

Real Salt Lake's all matches - last 6

12-10-25Seattle Sounders61 - 0 (0)Real Salt Lake61.5-1L
05-10-25Real Salt Lake61 - 0 (0)Colorado Rapids61.5-1L
28-09-25Real Salt Lake53 - 1 (2)Austin61.50.23W
22-09-25Los Angeles FC34 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake31.50.14W
18-09-25Real Salt Lake31 - 4 (3)Los Angeles FC31.50.19W
14-09-25Real Salt Lake202 - 1 (0)Sporting KC61.50.11W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.021.220.4%

H2H matches - last 6

06-07-25Real Salt Lake63 - 2 (1)St. Louis City61.50.15W
31-03-24Real Salt Lake73 - 1 (2)St. Louis City61.50.19W
25-02-24St. Louis City31 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake2(A)1.50.21W
22-06-23St. Louis City31 - 3 (0)Real Salt Lake41.50.19W
26-03-23Real Salt Lake130 - 4 (1)St. Louis City61.50.28W
Standings
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -1%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.85 (1.18)-0.01 (1.14)2.031.33

Major League Soccer Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.04 - 0.02 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
151-12.281.21-8.13%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

St. Louis City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.04 - 0.02 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
11-0.311.18-2.82%
05-10-250.01Austin21 - 3 (1)St. Louis City61.50.18W
24-08-25-0.02Vancouver Whitecaps53 - 2 (2)St. Louis City61.50.14W
22-03-25-0.03Philadelphia Union51 - 0 (0)St. Louis City51.5-1L
29-09-24-0.02St. Louis City63 - 1 (0)Sporting KC2(A)1.50.14W
20-06-240.00St. Louis City30 - 3 (1)Colorado Rapids31.50.15W
09-06-240.01St. Louis City70 - 0 (0)Portland Timbers61.5-1L
01-06-240.00Inter Miami23 - 3 (1)St. Louis City51.50.12W
31-03-240.00Real Salt Lake73 - 1 (2)St. Louis City61.50.19W
03-03-24-0.02St. Louis City32 - 0 (0)New York City61.50.32W
25-02-240.01St. Louis City31 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake2(A)1.50.21W
30-10-23-0.03St. Louis City71 - 4 (0)Sporting KC31.50.24W

Real Salt Lake's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.04 - 0.02 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
13-3.301.20-25.38%
12-10-250.00Seattle Sounders61 - 0 (0)Real Salt Lake61.5-1L
05-10-25-0.01Real Salt Lake61 - 0 (0)Colorado Rapids61.5-1L
22-09-250.01Los Angeles FC34 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake31.50.14W
15-05-25-0.02Real Salt Lake30 - 0 (0)Portland Timbers31.5-1L
23-03-25-0.01Real Salt Lake60 - 1 (0)Dallas61.5-1L
06-10-240.01SJ Earthquakes20 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake21.5-1L
14-07-240.01Portland Timbers53 - 0 (1)Real Salt Lake61.50.14W
26-05-240.00Dallas33 - 3 (1)Real Salt Lake61.50.25W
21-04-24-0.02Chicago Fire70 - 4 (1)Real Salt Lake61.50.24W
07-04-24-0.01Minnesota United71 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake61.50.22W
31-03-240.00Real Salt Lake73 - 1 (2)St. Louis City61.50.19W
10-03-24-0.02Real Salt Lake71 - 2 (0)Colorado Rapids61.50.31W
25-02-240.01St. Louis City31 - 1 (1)Real Salt Lake2(A)1.50.21W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-3.8%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

St. Louis City (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-3.8%

Real Salt Lake (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-3.8%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

St. Louis City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.891.2-44.5%
20-10-24Minnesota United144 - 1St. Louis City131.50.11W
05-05-24Houston Dynamo60 - 0St. Louis City131.5-1L

Real Salt Lake's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.211.2-40.13%
12-10-25Seattle Sounders61 - 0Real Salt Lake61.5-1L
05-10-25Real Salt Lake61 - 0Colorado Rapids61.5-1L
27-07-25Real Salt Lake62 - 1SJ Earthquakes61.50.14W
13-07-25Real Salt Lake61 - 0Houston Dynamo61.5-1L
06-07-25Real Salt Lake63 - 2St. Louis City61.50.15W
25-05-25Real Salt Lake62 - 3Vancouver Whitecaps31.50.25W
11-05-25Dallas21 - 1Real Salt Lake61.50.25W
20-04-25Real Salt Lake60 - 1Toronto71.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

St. Louis City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.351.1817.5%
20-10-24Minnesota United144 - 1St. Louis City131.50.11W
22-10-23St. Louis City160 - 2Seattle Sounders131.50.24W

Real Salt Lake's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.191.2-3.8%
20-10-24Real Salt Lake132 - 1Vancouver Whitecaps61.50.13W
22-10-23Colorado Rapids60 - 1Real Salt Lake61.5-1L
15-10-23LA Galaxy62 - 2Real Salt Lake61.50.18W
16-10-22Austin62 - 2Real Salt Lake61.50.24W
17-10-21Real Salt Lake143 - 1Colorado Rapids61.50.26W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Major League Soccer Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.962.993.152.93

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Major League Soccer4952.99
2024Major League Soccer5123.14
2023Major League Soccer5152.77
2022Major League Soccer4862.96
2021Major League Soccer2612.88

Major League Soccer Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
79.39%1.2677.78%1.2982%1.2273.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Major League Soccer49577.78% 1.29
2024Major League Soccer51282.03% 1.22
2023Major League Soccer51576.5% 1.31
2022Major League Soccer48679.63% 1.26
2021Major League Soccer26178.16% 1.28
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Major League Soccer First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.31.381.371.53

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Major League Soccer4951.38
2024Major League Soccer5121.36
2023Major League Soccer5151.25
2022Major League Soccer4861.30
2021Major League Soccer2611.33

Major League Soccer Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.651.601.571.62

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Major League Soccer4951.60
2024Major League Soccer5121.79
2023Major League Soccer5151.52
2022Major League Soccer4861.65
2021Major League Soccer2611.55
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
504.671.249.34%

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 9 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.941.1918.8%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

St. Louis City matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.961.21-24.5%
16-03-257St. Louis City61 - 09Seattle Sounders31.5-1L
15-09-2413St. Louis City71 - 39Minnesota United131.50.17W
23-06-2412St. Louis City21 - 19Atlanta United31.50.17W
09-06-2411St. Louis City70 - 09Portland Timbers61.5-1L
26-05-249St. Louis City71 - 210Seattle Sounders21.50.28W
14-04-2411St. Louis City61 - 010Austin61.5-1L
24-03-245St. Louis City62 - 29DC United71.50.18W
30-10-231St. Louis City71 - 48Sporting KC31.50.24W

Real Salt Lake matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.081.21-18%
29-06-2512Sporting KC21 - 113Real Salt Lake131.50.2W
16-03-2513Houston Dynamo71 - 211Real Salt Lake61.50.28W
06-10-2414SJ Earthquakes20 - 14Real Salt Lake21.5-1L
20-06-2413Sporting KC33 - 41Real Salt Lake41.50.19W
15-06-2412CF Montréal130 - 01Real Salt Lake121.5-1L
26-05-2412Dallas33 - 31Real Salt Lake61.50.25W
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