Caernarfon Town vs Penybont - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

WALES - Premier League

2025-02-22
14:30:00

Caernarfon Town¹⁰

Penybont¹³

The Oval (Caernarfon, Gwynedd)

3.613.792.18

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW

2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW

3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL

4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW

5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW

6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL

7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL

8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD

9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL

10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW

11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL

12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Caernarfon Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.191.27-4.75%

Caernarfon Town's home matches when WIN odds between 3.4 and 3.9

26-08-24

Caernarfon Town^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bala Town²1.5-1L

01-09-23

Caernarfon Town²0 - 4⁽¹⁾Connah's Quay²1.50.24W

29-08-23

Caernarfon Town^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bala Town³1.50.28W

27-09-22

Caernarfon Town^2(A)0 - 2⁽¹⁾Connah's Quay²1.50.29W

Penybont's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.531.31-19.13%

Penybont's away matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

24-01-25

Cardiff MU⁹2 - 1⁽¹⁾Penybont⁹1.50.32W

23-08-24

Haverfordwest County⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Penybont⁶1.5-1L

29-03-24

Barry Town United¹²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Penybont¹²1.5-1L

28-11-23

Barry Town United⁸1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Penybont^2(A)1.50.23W

25-08-23

Pontypridd Town AFC⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Penybont⁶1.5-1L

12-08-23

Newtown AFC²⁹1 - 3⁽¹⁾Penybont²²1.50.28W

31-03-23

Cardiff MU⁵2 - 3⁽¹⁾Penybont⁵1.50.39W

01-10-22

Flint Town United³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Penybont³1.50.25W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Caernarfon Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.761.197.6%

Caernarfon Town's last 10 home matches

11-02-25

Caernarfon Town²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾The New Saints²1.5-1L

08-02-25

Caernarfon Town⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Haverfordwest County⁶1.50.32W

14-01-25

Caernarfon Town^2(A)3 - 0⁽²⁾Flint Town United¹²1.50.2W

26-12-24

Caernarfon Town⁴2 - 5⁽⁰⁾The New Saints³1.50.12W

14-12-24

Caernarfon Town¹⁰3 - 2⁽¹⁾Barry Town United³1.50.21W

02-11-24

Caernarfon Town⁶1 - 5⁽¹⁾Penybont⁶1.50.31W

15-10-24

Caernarfon Town²1 - 4⁽²⁾Aberystwyth Town²1.50.13W

12-10-24

Caernarfon Town^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newtown AFC⁷1.50.17W

28-09-24

Caernarfon Town^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Connah's Quay³1.50.17W

14-09-24

Caernarfon Town⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Briton Ferry⁶1.50.13W

Penybont's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.011.260.1%

Penybont's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25

The New Saints⁶4 - 0⁽¹⁾Penybont⁶1.50.21W

24-01-25

Cardiff MU⁹2 - 1⁽¹⁾Penybont⁹1.50.32W

14-01-25

Newtown AFC⁹1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Penybont⁹1.50.21W

26-12-24

Barry Town United⁴1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Penybont²²1.50.23W

23-11-24

The New Saints^2(A)3 - 2⁽¹⁾Penybont¹³1.50.23W

02-11-24

Caernarfon Town⁶1 - 5⁽¹⁾Penybont⁶1.50.31W

15-10-24

Cardiff MU^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Penybont^2(A)1.50.3W

12-10-24

Aberystwyth Town⁷0 - 3⁽¹⁾Penybont⁷1.50.2W

28-09-24

Flint Town United²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Penybont³1.5-1L

15-09-24

Connah's Quay⁷0 - 1⁽¹⁾Penybont⁷1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Caernarfon Town's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.261.234.33%

Caernarfon Town's all matches - last 6

11-02-25

Caernarfon Town²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾The New Saints²1.5-1L

08-02-25

Caernarfon Town⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Haverfordwest County⁶1.50.32W

31-01-25

Bala Town⁵1 - 3⁽²⁾Caernarfon Town¹⁶1.50.31W

14-01-25

Caernarfon Town^2(A)3 - 0⁽²⁾Flint Town United¹²1.50.2W

11-01-25

Bala Town¹⁵0 - 2⁽¹⁾Caernarfon Town¹⁵1.50.31W

26-12-24

Caernarfon Town⁴2 - 5⁽⁰⁾The New Saints³1.50.12W

Penybont's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.041.3-17.33%

Penybont's all matches - last 6

08-02-25

The New Saints⁶4 - 0⁽¹⁾Penybont⁶1.50.21W

01-02-25

Penybont⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Haverfordwest County⁶1.5-1L

24-01-25

Cardiff MU⁹2 - 1⁽¹⁾Penybont⁹1.50.32W

14-01-25

Newtown AFC⁹1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Penybont⁹1.50.21W

04-01-25

Penybont³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Connah's Quay³1.5-1L

31-12-24

Penybont⁴2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Cardiff MU⁴1.50.22W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.371.2322.83%

H2H matches - last 6

02-11-24

Caernarfon Town⁶1 - 5⁽¹⁾Penybont⁶1.50.31W

07-09-24

Penybont⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Caernarfon Town⁶1.50.18W

18-05-24

Caernarfon Town⁷3 - 1⁽¹⁾Penybont⁶1.50.22W

04-11-23

Caernarfon Town⁷2 - 4⁽²⁾Penybont⁷1.50.2W

16-09-23

Penybont⁶3 - 2⁽³⁾Caernarfon Town⁶1.50.23W

07-01-23

Penybont³5 - 1⁽²⁾Caernarfon Town³1.50.23W

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW

2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW

3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL

4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW

5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW

6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL

7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL

8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD

9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL

10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW

11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL

12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -6%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.72 (1.39)-0.06 (1.28)1.501.02

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

36-4.081.24-11.33%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Caernarfon Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.941.2423.50%

Penybont's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

9-0.091.29-1.00%

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00025.25%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Caernarfon Town (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00025.25%

Penybont (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00025.25%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Caernarfon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.411.2120.5%

14-12-24

Caernarfon Town¹⁰3 - 2Barry Town United³1.50.21W

21-01-23

Aberystwyth Town¹⁰2 - 1Caernarfon Town¹⁰1.50.2W

Penybont's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.821.2120.5%

23-11-24

The New Saints^2(A)3 - 2Penybont¹³1.50.23W

16-12-23

The New Saints⁶3 - 0Penybont¹³1.50.15W

28-01-23

Penybont¹³3 - 0Newtown AFC¹³1.50.21W

17-09-22

Newtown AFC¹³2 - 3Penybont¹³1.50.23W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Caernarfon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.371.1918.5%

23-02-24

Caernarfon Town¹²1 - 8The New Saints⁶1.50.13W

26-02-22

Barry Town United¹⁴1 - 2Caernarfon Town¹³1.50.24W

Penybont's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

41.011.2525.25%

23-02-24

Penybont¹²1 - 1Aberystwyth Town¹³1.50.23W

25-02-23

The New Saints⁶1 - 1Penybont⁷1.50.21W

17-02-23

Penybont⁵2 - 1Cardiff MU⁵1.50.29W

26-02-22

Penybont⁶1 - 1Flint Town United¹⁴1.50.28W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.972.943.142.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League1522.94

2023/2024

Premier League1952.96

2022/2023

Premier League1843.03

2021/2022

Premier League1952.91

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

76.03%1.3277.63%1.2980%1.2580%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League15277.63% 1.29

2023/2024

Premier League19574.36% 1.34

2022/2023

Premier League18479.89% 1.25

2021/2022

Premier League19573.85% 1.35

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.311.351.11.45

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League1521.35

2023/2024

Premier League1951.30

2022/2023

Premier League1841.33

2021/2022

Premier League1951.29

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.661.591.731.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League1521.59

2023/2024

Premier League1951.66

2022/2023

Premier League1841.70

2021/2022

Premier League1951.62

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

52-0.351.26-0.67%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

71.821.2626%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Caernarfon Town matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.631.22-7.88%

11-02-25

⁵Caernarfon Town²0 - 1¹The New Saints²1.5-1L

08-02-25

⁴Caernarfon Town⁷1 - 1³Haverfordwest County⁶1.50.32W

26-12-24

⁶Caernarfon Town⁴2 - 5²The New Saints³1.50.12W

02-11-24

⁶Caernarfon Town⁶1 - 5¹Penybont⁶1.50.31W

31-08-24

⁶Caernarfon Town⁴1 - 2³Cardiff MU⁴1.50.23W

26-08-24

⁷Caernarfon Town^2(A)0 - 0²Bala Town²1.5-1L

21-04-24

⁵Caernarfon Town⁷2 - 2³Bala Town⁸1.50.21W

15-03-24

⁴Caernarfon Town⁶2 - 1²Connah's Quay⁶1.50.18W

Penybont matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

82.411.330.13%

24-01-25

⁶Cardiff MU⁹2 - 1²Penybont⁹1.50.32W

02-11-24

⁶Caernarfon Town⁶1 - 5¹Penybont⁶1.50.31W

15-10-24

⁴Cardiff MU^2(A)1 - 1¹Penybont^2(A)1.50.3W

31-08-24

⁴Bala Town⁴1 - 2²Penybont⁴1.50.39W

11-08-24

⁶Briton Ferry²⁸0 - 2⁸Penybont²⁵1.50.18W

18-05-24

⁵Caernarfon Town⁷3 - 1⁰Penybont⁶1.50.22W

11-05-24

⁴Newtown AFC¹⁹0 - 5⁰Penybont¹⁹1.50.35W

13-04-24

⁵Pontypridd Town AFC³0 - 3²Penybont⁶1.50.34W

YOUR TEXT

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

WALES - Premier League

Caernarfon Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Caernarfon Town's home matches when WIN odds between 3.4 and 3.9

Penybont's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Penybont's away matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

Caernarfon Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Caernarfon Town's last 10 home matches

Penybont's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Penybont's last 10 away matches.

Caernarfon Town's all matches (last 6 matches)

Caernarfon Town's all matches - last 6

Penybont's all matches (last 6 matches)

Penybont's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

Caernarfon Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

Penybont's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Caernarfon Town (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Penybont (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Caernarfon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

Penybont's all matches (last 8 matches)

Caernarfon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

Penybont's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 2 in the table

Caernarfon Town matches against table positions: 1,2,3

Penybont matches against table positions: 4,5,6

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