Aberystwyth Town vs Newtown AFC - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
WALES - Premier League
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2025-02-22
12:15:00
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Aberystwyth Town14
Newtown AFC13
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Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW
2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW
3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL
4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW
5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW
6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL
7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL
8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL
10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW
11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL
12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Aberystwyth Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.331.285.5%
Aberystwyth Town's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.5
07-09-24
Aberystwyth Town30 - 2 (0)Flint Town United61.50.26W
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02-03-24
Aberystwyth Town71 - 1 (0)Barry Town United71.50.36W
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29-08-23
Aberystwyth Town2(A)0 - 1 (0)Pontypridd Town AFC31.5-1L
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21-01-23
Aberystwyth Town102 - 1 (2)Caernarfon Town101.50.2W
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18-11-22
Aberystwyth Town52 - 1 (0)Pontypridd Town AFC51.50.23W
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14-10-22
Aberystwyth Town52 - 1 (0)Haverfordwest County51.50.28W
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Newtown AFC's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.291.26-7.25%
Newtown AFC's away matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4
03-12-24
Briton Ferry92 - 1 (2)Newtown AFC21.50.23W
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26-09-23
Pontypridd Town AFC2(A)0 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC2(A)1.5-1L
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19-11-22
Flint Town United61 - 4 (2)Newtown AFC61.50.24W
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23-04-22
Flint Town United41 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC41.50.24W
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MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Aberystwyth Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.111.2411.1%
Aberystwyth Town's last 10 home matches
24-01-25
Aberystwyth Town121 - 2 (1)Barry Town United91.50.22W
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11-01-25
Aberystwyth Town91 - 6 (2)Briton Ferry61.50.2W
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26-12-24
Aberystwyth Town40 - 0 (0)Bala Town41.5-1L
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21-12-24
Aberystwyth Town163 - 1 (2)Caernarfon Town61.50.23W
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08-11-24
Aberystwyth Town53 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.26W
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27-10-24
Aberystwyth Town72 - 4 (1)The New Saints21.50.12W
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12-10-24
Aberystwyth Town70 - 3 (1)Penybont71.50.2W
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24-09-24
Aberystwyth Town31 - 2 (0)Cardiff MU21.50.29W
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20-09-24
Aberystwyth Town60 - 3 (0)Haverfordwest County51.50.33W
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07-09-24
Aberystwyth Town30 - 2 (0)Flint Town United61.50.26W
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Newtown AFC's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.211.2412.1%
Newtown AFC's last 10 away matches.
01-02-25
Connah's Quay61 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC71.5-1L
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04-01-25
The New Saints32 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC2(A)1.50.1W
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01-01-25
Flint Town United52 - 0 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.18W
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03-12-24
Briton Ferry92 - 1 (2)Newtown AFC21.50.23W
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08-11-24
Aberystwyth Town53 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.26W
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25-10-24
Cardiff MU62 - 1 (0)Newtown AFC51.50.25W
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12-10-24
Caernarfon Town2(A)1 - 2 (0)Newtown AFC71.50.17W
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24-09-24
Connah's Quay2(A)1 - 1 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.26W
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20-09-24
Bala Town62 - 2 (1)Newtown AFC61.50.43W
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30-08-24
Haverfordwest County33 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.33W
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SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Aberystwyth Town's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.151.25-19.17%
Aberystwyth Town's all matches - last 6
07-02-25
Flint Town United52 - 0 (1)Aberystwyth Town51.50.22W
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01-02-25
Briton Ferry72 - 3 (1)Aberystwyth Town71.50.21W
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24-01-25
Aberystwyth Town121 - 2 (1)Barry Town United91.50.22W
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11-01-25
Aberystwyth Town91 - 6 (2)Briton Ferry61.50.2W
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01-01-25
Haverfordwest County51 - 0 (0)Aberystwyth Town51.5-1L
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26-12-24
Aberystwyth Town40 - 0 (0)Bala Town41.5-1L
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Newtown AFC's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.011.210.17%
Newtown AFC's all matches - last 6
08-02-25
Newtown AFC61 - 1 (0)Barry Town United61.50.29W
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01-02-25
Connah's Quay61 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC71.5-1L
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24-01-25
Newtown AFC92 - 2 (0)Briton Ferry121.50.23W
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14-01-25
Newtown AFC91 - 2 (0)Penybont91.50.21W
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04-01-25
The New Saints32 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC2(A)1.50.1W
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01-01-25
Flint Town United52 - 0 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.18W
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HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.171.22-19.5%
H2H matches - last 6
08-11-24
Aberystwyth Town53 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.26W
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09-08-24
Newtown AFC284 - 1 (1)Aberystwyth Town181.50.26W
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14-11-23
Aberystwyth Town20 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC21.5-1L
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26-08-23
Newtown AFC70 - 0 (0)Aberystwyth Town71.5-1L
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30-12-22
Newtown AFC36 - 1 (1)Aberystwyth Town31.50.13W
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26-12-22
Aberystwyth Town2(A)1 - 2 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.18W
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW
2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW
3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL
4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW
5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW
6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL
7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL
8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL
10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW
11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL
12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -13%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.63 (1.59)-0.13 (1.32)0.761.39
Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
240.721.253.00%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Aberystwyth Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.731.16-24.33%
23-08-24
-0.16Aberystwyth Town61 - 0 (0)Barry Town United61.5-1L
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09-04-24
-0.16Pontypridd Town AFC2(A)0 - 0 (0)Aberystwyth Town21.5-1L
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01-09-23
-0.13The New Saints2(A)6 - 0 (2)Aberystwyth Town21.50.04W
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17-03-23
-0.15Caernarfon Town50 - 1 (0)Aberystwyth Town51.5-1L
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Newtown AFC's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.691.2424.14%
30-08-24
-0.14Haverfordwest County33 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.33W
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13-04-24
-0.13Newtown AFC75 - 0 (2)Caernarfon Town71.50.17W
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01-04-23
-0.15Newtown AFC70 - 5 (1)The New Saints61.50.17W
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ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-21.8%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Aberystwyth Town (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-21.8%
Newtown AFC (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-21.8%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Aberystwyth Town's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.21.220%
23-11-24
Cardiff MU63 - 0Aberystwyth Town141.50.2W
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Newtown AFC's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.011.2525.25%
24-02-24
Newtown AFC131 - 5Bala Town61.50.29W
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11-02-23
Newtown AFC131 - 1Connah's Quay61.50.28W
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28-01-23
Penybont133 - 0Newtown AFC131.50.21W
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17-09-22
Newtown AFC132 - 3Penybont131.50.23W
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HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Aberystwyth Town's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.441.2222%
23-02-24
Penybont121 - 1Aberystwyth Town131.50.23W
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26-02-22
Bala Town62 - 2Aberystwyth Town61.50.21W
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Newtown AFC's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.091.26-21.8%
24-02-24
Newtown AFC131 - 5Bala Town61.50.29W
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25-02-23
Newtown AFC63 - 2Bala Town61.50.33W
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18-02-23
The New Saints61 - 0Newtown AFC61.5-1L
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26-02-22
Newtown AFC60 - 2Connah's Quay61.50.29W
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19-02-22
Newtown AFC60 - 0Cardiff MU61.5-1L
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League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.972.943.142.83
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premier League1522.94
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2023/2024
Premier League1952.96
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2022/2023
Premier League1843.03
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2021/2022
Premier League1952.91
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Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76.03%1.3277.63%1.2980%1.2580%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premier League15277.63% 1.29
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2023/2024
Premier League19574.36% 1.34
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2022/2023
Premier League18479.89% 1.25
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2021/2022
Premier League19573.85% 1.35
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Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.351.11.45
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premier League1521.35
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2023/2024
Premier League1951.30
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2022/2023
Premier League1841.33
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2021/2022
Premier League1951.29
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Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.661.591.731.69
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premier League1521.59
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2023/2024
Premier League1951.66
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2022/2023
Premier League1841.70
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2021/2022
Premier League1951.62
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League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31-2.551.25-8.23%
Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 5 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.081.31-2%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Aberystwyth Town matches against table positions: 4,5,6
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.751.26-21.88%
26-12-24
12Aberystwyth Town40 - 05Bala Town41.5-1L
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21-12-24
12Aberystwyth Town163 - 15Caernarfon Town61.50.23W
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27-10-24
11Aberystwyth Town72 - 45The New Saints21.50.12W
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20-09-24
11Aberystwyth Town60 - 36Haverfordwest County51.50.33W
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21-04-24
4Aberystwyth Town73 - 05Pontypridd Town AFC71.50.24W
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09-02-24
4Aberystwyth Town60 - 16Colwyn Bay51.5-1L
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17-11-23
11Aberystwyth Town22 - 36Bala Town51.50.33W
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14-11-23
11Aberystwyth Town20 - 14Newtown AFC21.5-1L
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Newtown AFC matches against table positions: 5,6,7
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
811.2712.5%
20-09-24
5Bala Town62 - 23Newtown AFC61.50.43W
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21-04-24
6Cardiff MU71 - 34Newtown AFC71.50.21W
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01-03-24
5Caernarfon Town61 - 06Newtown AFC51.5-1L
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30-12-23
5Bala Town32 - 13Newtown AFC31.50.33W
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19-11-23
7Penybont81 - 13Newtown AFC41.50.28W
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17-10-23
7Cardiff MU22 - 13Newtown AFC2(A)1.50.28W
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29-08-23
6Connah's Quay33 - 110Newtown AFC21.50.25W
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05-05-23
5Bala Town42 - 46Newtown AFC121.50.22W
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