Aberystwyth Town vs Newtown AFC - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

WALES - Premier League

Aberystwyth Town Logo

2025-02-22
12:15:00
Newtown AFC Logo
Aberystwyth Town14
Newtown AFC13

Park Avenue (Aberystwyth, Ceredigion)
3.284.042.23
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32
Premier League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW
2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW
3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL
4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW
5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW
6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL
7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL
8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL
10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW
11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL
12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Aberystwyth Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.331.285.5%

Aberystwyth Town's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.5

07-09-24Aberystwyth Town30 - 2 (0)Flint Town United61.50.26W
02-03-24Aberystwyth Town71 - 1 (0)Barry Town United71.50.36W
29-08-23Aberystwyth Town2(A)0 - 1 (0)Pontypridd Town AFC31.5-1L
21-01-23Aberystwyth Town102 - 1 (2)Caernarfon Town101.50.2W
18-11-22Aberystwyth Town52 - 1 (0)Pontypridd Town AFC51.50.23W
14-10-22Aberystwyth Town52 - 1 (0)Haverfordwest County51.50.28W

Newtown AFC's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.291.26-7.25%

Newtown AFC's away matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

03-12-24Briton Ferry92 - 1 (2)Newtown AFC21.50.23W
26-09-23Pontypridd Town AFC2(A)0 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC2(A)1.5-1L
19-11-22Flint Town United61 - 4 (2)Newtown AFC61.50.24W
23-04-22Flint Town United41 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC41.50.24W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Aberystwyth Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.111.2411.1%

Aberystwyth Town's last 10 home matches

24-01-25Aberystwyth Town121 - 2 (1)Barry Town United91.50.22W
11-01-25Aberystwyth Town91 - 6 (2)Briton Ferry61.50.2W
26-12-24Aberystwyth Town40 - 0 (0)Bala Town41.5-1L
21-12-24Aberystwyth Town163 - 1 (2)Caernarfon Town61.50.23W
08-11-24Aberystwyth Town53 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.26W
27-10-24Aberystwyth Town72 - 4 (1)The New Saints21.50.12W
12-10-24Aberystwyth Town70 - 3 (1)Penybont71.50.2W
24-09-24Aberystwyth Town31 - 2 (0)Cardiff MU21.50.29W
20-09-24Aberystwyth Town60 - 3 (0)Haverfordwest County51.50.33W
07-09-24Aberystwyth Town30 - 2 (0)Flint Town United61.50.26W

Newtown AFC's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.211.2412.1%

Newtown AFC's last 10 away matches.

01-02-25Connah's Quay61 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC71.5-1L
04-01-25The New Saints32 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC2(A)1.50.1W
01-01-25Flint Town United52 - 0 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.18W
03-12-24Briton Ferry92 - 1 (2)Newtown AFC21.50.23W
08-11-24Aberystwyth Town53 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.26W
25-10-24Cardiff MU62 - 1 (0)Newtown AFC51.50.25W
12-10-24Caernarfon Town2(A)1 - 2 (0)Newtown AFC71.50.17W
24-09-24Connah's Quay2(A)1 - 1 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.26W
20-09-24Bala Town62 - 2 (1)Newtown AFC61.50.43W
30-08-24Haverfordwest County33 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.33W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Aberystwyth Town's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.151.25-19.17%

Aberystwyth Town's all matches - last 6

07-02-25Flint Town United52 - 0 (1)Aberystwyth Town51.50.22W
01-02-25Briton Ferry72 - 3 (1)Aberystwyth Town71.50.21W
24-01-25Aberystwyth Town121 - 2 (1)Barry Town United91.50.22W
11-01-25Aberystwyth Town91 - 6 (2)Briton Ferry61.50.2W
01-01-25Haverfordwest County51 - 0 (0)Aberystwyth Town51.5-1L
26-12-24Aberystwyth Town40 - 0 (0)Bala Town41.5-1L

Newtown AFC's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.011.210.17%

Newtown AFC's all matches - last 6

08-02-25Newtown AFC61 - 1 (0)Barry Town United61.50.29W
01-02-25Connah's Quay61 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC71.5-1L
24-01-25Newtown AFC92 - 2 (0)Briton Ferry121.50.23W
14-01-25Newtown AFC91 - 2 (0)Penybont91.50.21W
04-01-25The New Saints32 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC2(A)1.50.1W
01-01-25Flint Town United52 - 0 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.18W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.171.22-19.5%

H2H matches - last 6

08-11-24Aberystwyth Town53 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC51.50.26W
09-08-24Newtown AFC284 - 1 (1)Aberystwyth Town181.50.26W
14-11-23Aberystwyth Town20 - 1 (1)Newtown AFC21.5-1L
26-08-23Newtown AFC70 - 0 (0)Aberystwyth Town71.5-1L
30-12-22Newtown AFC36 - 1 (1)Aberystwyth Town31.50.13W
26-12-22Aberystwyth Town2(A)1 - 2 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.18W
Premier League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW
2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW
3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL
4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW
5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW
6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL
7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL
8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL
10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW
11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL
12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -13%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.63 (1.59)-0.13 (1.32)0.761.39

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
240.721.253.00%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Aberystwyth Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.731.16-24.33%
23-08-24-0.16Aberystwyth Town61 - 0 (0)Barry Town United61.5-1L
09-04-24-0.16Pontypridd Town AFC2(A)0 - 0 (0)Aberystwyth Town21.5-1L
01-09-23-0.13The New Saints2(A)6 - 0 (2)Aberystwyth Town21.50.04W
17-03-23-0.15Caernarfon Town50 - 1 (0)Aberystwyth Town51.5-1L

Newtown AFC's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.691.2424.14%
30-08-24-0.14Haverfordwest County33 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC31.50.33W
13-04-24-0.13Newtown AFC75 - 0 (2)Caernarfon Town71.50.17W
01-04-23-0.15Newtown AFC70 - 5 (1)The New Saints61.50.17W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-21.8%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Aberystwyth Town (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-21.8%

Newtown AFC (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-21.8%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Aberystwyth Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.21.220%
23-11-24Cardiff MU63 - 0Aberystwyth Town141.50.2W

Newtown AFC's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.011.2525.25%
24-02-24Newtown AFC131 - 5Bala Town61.50.29W
11-02-23Newtown AFC131 - 1Connah's Quay61.50.28W
28-01-23Penybont133 - 0Newtown AFC131.50.21W
17-09-22Newtown AFC132 - 3Penybont131.50.23W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Aberystwyth Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.441.2222%
23-02-24Penybont121 - 1Aberystwyth Town131.50.23W
26-02-22Bala Town62 - 2Aberystwyth Town61.50.21W

Newtown AFC's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.091.26-21.8%
24-02-24Newtown AFC131 - 5Bala Town61.50.29W
25-02-23Newtown AFC63 - 2Bala Town61.50.33W
18-02-23The New Saints61 - 0Newtown AFC61.5-1L
26-02-22Newtown AFC60 - 2Connah's Quay61.50.29W
19-02-22Newtown AFC60 - 0Cardiff MU61.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.972.943.142.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League1522.94
2023/2024Premier League1952.96
2022/2023Premier League1843.03
2021/2022Premier League1952.91

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76.03%1.3277.63%1.2980%1.2580%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League15277.63% 1.29
2023/2024Premier League19574.36% 1.34
2022/2023Premier League18479.89% 1.25
2021/2022Premier League19573.85% 1.35
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.351.11.45

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League1521.35
2023/2024Premier League1951.30
2022/2023Premier League1841.33
2021/2022Premier League1951.29

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.661.591.731.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League1521.59
2023/2024Premier League1951.66
2022/2023Premier League1841.70
2021/2022Premier League1951.62
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31-2.551.25-8.23%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 5 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.081.31-2%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Aberystwyth Town matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.751.26-21.88%
26-12-2412Aberystwyth Town40 - 05Bala Town41.5-1L
21-12-2412Aberystwyth Town163 - 15Caernarfon Town61.50.23W
27-10-2411Aberystwyth Town72 - 45The New Saints21.50.12W
20-09-2411Aberystwyth Town60 - 36Haverfordwest County51.50.33W
21-04-244Aberystwyth Town73 - 05Pontypridd Town AFC71.50.24W
09-02-244Aberystwyth Town60 - 16Colwyn Bay51.5-1L
17-11-2311Aberystwyth Town22 - 36Bala Town51.50.33W
14-11-2311Aberystwyth Town20 - 14Newtown AFC21.5-1L

Newtown AFC matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
811.2712.5%
20-09-245Bala Town62 - 23Newtown AFC61.50.43W
21-04-246Cardiff MU71 - 34Newtown AFC71.50.21W
01-03-245Caernarfon Town61 - 06Newtown AFC51.5-1L
30-12-235Bala Town32 - 13Newtown AFC31.50.33W
19-11-237Penybont81 - 13Newtown AFC41.50.28W
17-10-237Cardiff MU22 - 13Newtown AFC2(A)1.50.28W
29-08-236Connah's Quay33 - 110Newtown AFC21.50.25W
05-05-235Bala Town42 - 46Newtown AFC121.50.22W
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