Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

WALES - Premier League

Barry Town United Logo

2025-02-22
14:30:00
Connah's Quay Logo
Barry Town United13
Connah's Quay5

Jenner Park (Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan)
3.133.772.41
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25
Premier League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW
2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW
3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL
4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW
5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW
6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL
7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL
8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL
10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW
11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL
12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Barry Town United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.231.2323%

Barry Town United's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3

30-09-23Barry Town United30 - 3 (0)Caernarfon Town31.50.23W

Connah's Quay's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.311.28-26.2%

Connah's Quay's away matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

09-11-24Barry Town United63 - 2 (2)Connah's Quay61.50.24W
28-09-24Caernarfon Town2(A)3 - 1 (1)Connah's Quay31.50.17W
25-08-23Bala Town51 - 0 (0)Connah's Quay61.5-1L
11-02-23Newtown AFC131 - 1 (1)Connah's Quay61.50.28W
05-03-22Cardiff MU60 - 0 (0)Connah's Quay61.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Barry Town United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.91.229%

Barry Town United's last 10 home matches

01-02-25Barry Town United73 - 1 (0)Flint Town United61.50.18W
14-01-25Barry Town United131 - 1 (0)Haverfordwest County91.50.33W
26-12-24Barry Town United41 - 2 (0)Penybont221.50.23W
10-12-24Barry Town United02 - 1 (0)Cardiff MU161.50.2W
09-11-24Barry Town United63 - 2 (2)Connah's Quay61.50.24W
02-11-24Barry Town United61 - 4 (0)The New Saints2(A)1.50.13W
12-10-24Barry Town United73 - 1 (0)Briton Ferry51.50.17W
27-09-24Barry Town United2(A)1 - 0 (1)Aberystwyth Town21.5-1L
21-09-24Barry Town United61 - 1 (0)Caernarfon Town61.50.21W
31-08-24Barry Town United43 - 2 (0)Flint Town United41.50.21W

Connah's Quay's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.581.24-15.8%

Connah's Quay's last 10 away matches.

25-01-25Flint Town United102 - 1 (2)Connah's Quay71.50.21W
04-01-25Penybont31 - 0 (0)Connah's Quay31.5-1L
31-12-24The New Saints42 - 1 (0)Connah's Quay41.50.13W
30-11-24Newtown AFC210 - 3 (0)Connah's Quay131.50.22W
09-11-24Barry Town United63 - 2 (2)Connah's Quay61.50.24W
15-10-24Bala Town2(A)0 - 0 (0)Connah's Quay2(A)1.5-1L
12-10-24Haverfordwest County70 - 0 (0)Connah's Quay71.5-1L
28-09-24Caernarfon Town2(A)3 - 1 (1)Connah's Quay31.50.17W
21-09-24Cardiff MU72 - 1 (0)Connah's Quay51.50.31W
31-08-24Briton Ferry71 - 5 (1)Connah's Quay41.50.14W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Barry Town United's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.251.244.17%

Barry Town United's all matches - last 6

08-02-25Newtown AFC61 - 1 (0)Barry Town United61.50.29W
01-02-25Barry Town United73 - 1 (0)Flint Town United61.50.18W
24-01-25Aberystwyth Town121 - 2 (1)Barry Town United91.50.22W
14-01-25Barry Town United131 - 1 (0)Haverfordwest County91.50.33W
31-12-24Briton Ferry40 - 0 (0)Barry Town United41.5-1L
26-12-24Barry Town United41 - 2 (0)Penybont221.50.23W

Connah's Quay's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.451.21-40.83%

Connah's Quay's all matches - last 6

08-02-25Connah's Quay60 - 1 (0)Briton Ferry61.5-1L
01-02-25Connah's Quay61 - 0 (0)Newtown AFC71.5-1L
25-01-25Flint Town United102 - 1 (2)Connah's Quay71.50.21W
17-01-25Connah's Quay90 - 2 (0)Bala Town21.50.21W
04-01-25Penybont31 - 0 (0)Connah's Quay31.5-1L
31-12-24The New Saints42 - 1 (0)Connah's Quay41.50.13W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.471.2524.5%

H2H matches - last 6

09-11-24Barry Town United63 - 2 (2)Connah's Quay61.50.24W
07-09-24Connah's Quay61 - 2 (1)Barry Town United61.50.23W
02-12-23Connah's Quay2(A)7 - 0 (2)Barry Town United31.50.15W
09-09-23Barry Town United61 - 4 (1)Connah's Quay71.50.24W
09-04-22Barry Town United31 - 1 (0)Connah's Quay31.50.33W
12-03-22Connah's Quay62 - 0 (0)Barry Town United61.50.28W
Premier League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1The New Saints22170561263551WWWWW
2Penybont22155242162650WWDWW
3Haverfordwest County22117429111840DWWWL
4Caernarfon Town2210483535034WWLLW
5Bala Town2271142821732WLDWW
6Cardiff MU229583229332LDLWL
7Barry Town United228683238-630DDLLL
8Connah's Quay2275103226626LLLWD
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221WLDWL
10Flint Town United2262142747-2020LWLLW
11Newtown AFC2254132446-2219LLLLL
12Aberystwyth Town2242161853-3514LLDWL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -41%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.39 (2.56)-0.41 (1.25)0.970.38

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.44 - -0.39 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.151.26-23.00%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Barry Town United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.44 - -0.39 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.691.27-34.50%

Connah's Quay's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.44 - -0.39 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.211.2121.00%
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00030.5%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Barry Town United (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00030.5%

Connah's Quay (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00030.5%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Barry Town United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.331.3333%
14-01-25Barry Town United131 - 1Haverfordwest County91.50.33W

Connah's Quay's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.21.24-40%
04-10-24Connah's Quay53 - 0Aberystwyth Town61.50.15W
21-09-24Cardiff MU72 - 1Connah's Quay51.50.31W
12-04-24Connah's Quay50 - 0Bala Town2(A)1.5-1L
29-03-24Connah's Quay50 - 0Newtown AFC121.5-1L
01-03-24Bala Town51 - 0Connah's Quay51.5-1L
27-10-23Connah's Quay56 - 1Caernarfon Town51.50.17W
06-10-23Aberystwyth Town51 - 1Connah's Quay51.50.17W
17-03-23Connah's Quay50 - 0The New Saints31.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Barry Town United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.571.2928.5%
23-02-24Barry Town United121 - 1Haverfordwest County131.50.33W
26-02-22Barry Town United141 - 2Caernarfon Town131.50.24W

Connah's Quay's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.221.3130.5%
24-02-24Connah's Quay62 - 1Cardiff MU61.50.21W
25-02-23Connah's Quay62 - 1Cardiff MU71.50.39W
18-02-23Connah's Quay61 - 1Bala Town61.50.33W
26-02-22Newtown AFC60 - 2Connah's Quay61.50.29W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.972.943.142.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League1522.94
2023/2024Premier League1952.96
2022/2023Premier League1843.03
2021/2022Premier League1952.91

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76.03%1.3277.63%1.2980%1.2580%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League15277.63% 1.29
2023/2024Premier League19574.36% 1.34
2022/2023Premier League18479.89% 1.25
2021/2022Premier League19573.85% 1.35
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.351.11.45

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League1521.35
2023/2024Premier League1951.30
2022/2023Premier League1841.33
2021/2022Premier League1951.29

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.661.591.731.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premier League1521.59
2023/2024Premier League1951.66
2022/2023Premier League1841.70
2021/2022Premier League1951.62
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
29-8.031.27-27.69%

Last 2 seasons - 1 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.461.22-11.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Barry Town United matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.621.247.75%
01-02-251Barry Town United73 - 13Flint Town United61.50.18W
14-01-257Barry Town United131 - 13Haverfordwest County91.50.33W
26-12-247Barry Town United41 - 21Penybont221.50.23W
02-11-245Barry Town United61 - 42The New Saints2(A)1.50.13W
10-08-248Barry Town United201 - 12Bala Town221.50.33W
29-03-243Barry Town United120 - 02Penybont121.5-1L
23-02-243Barry Town United121 - 11Haverfordwest County131.50.33W
21-10-2310Barry Town United32 - 61The New Saints2(A)1.50.09W

Connah's Quay matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.921.25-24%
04-01-252Penybont31 - 08Connah's Quay31.5-1L
31-12-242The New Saints42 - 18Connah's Quay41.50.13W
12-10-242Haverfordwest County70 - 09Connah's Quay71.5-1L
21-09-242Cardiff MU72 - 18Connah's Quay51.50.31W
21-04-241The New Saints72 - 02Connah's Quay81.50.12W
01-03-243Bala Town51 - 02Connah's Quay51.5-1L
26-12-233Newtown AFC231 - 22Connah's Quay91.50.28W
01-09-232Caernarfon Town20 - 46Connah's Quay21.50.24W
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