Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

Cerro Largo Logo

2025-02-22
22:30:00
Miramar Misiones Logo
Cerro Largo6
Miramar Misiones5

Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)
2.003.384.91
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.49
Primera Division Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Defensor Sporting33005059WWW
2Plaza Colonia33004049WWW
3Torque42114407LWDW
4Cerro Largo31205235DWD
5Peñarol31205325DDW
6Juventud31205415WDD
7Liverpool31204315DWD
8Nacional31116334WDL
9Cerro31112204LWD
10Racing411234-14WLLD
11Danubio30303303DDD
12Wanderers302113-22DLD
13Boston River302113-22DDL
14River Plate301224-21LLD
15Miramar Misiones300325-30LLL
16Progreso3003312-90LLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Cerro Largo's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.31.464.29%

Cerro Largo's home matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2

19-11-24Cerro Largo54 - 0 (1)Wanderers41.50.41W
17-10-24Cerro Largo31 - 0 (1)Deportivo Maldonado51.5-1L
20-07-24Cerro Largo0 - 1 (0)Rampla Juniors1.5-1L
11-03-24Cerro Largo32 - 0 (1)Rampla Juniors71.50.5W
06-12-23Cerro Largo2 - 0 (0)Deportivo Maldonado1.50.4W
18-09-22Cerro Largo2(A)1 - 2 (0)Albion31.50.52W
06-08-22Cerro Largo51 - 1 (0)Wanderers51.50.47W

Miramar Misiones's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.221.382.75%

Miramar Misiones's away matches when WIN odds between 4.2 and 5.7

08-02-25Liverpool62 - 1 (1)Miramar Misiones51.50.41W
02-11-24Danubio121 - 0 (1)Miramar Misiones111.5-1L
02-06-24Defensor Sporting63 - 0 (2)Miramar Misiones71.50.29W
20-05-24Liverpool2(A)2 - 1 (2)Miramar Misiones81.50.32W
06-04-24Racing21 - 1 (0)Miramar Misiones51.50.32W
18-09-22Racing70 - 2 (0)Miramar Misiones51.50.43W
18-06-22Juventud71 - 1 (1)Miramar Misiones51.50.45W
03-04-22Central Español80 - 1 (0)Miramar Misiones81.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Cerro Largo's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.581.47-25.8%

Cerro Largo's last 10 home matches

07-02-25Cerro Largo64 - 1 (0)Progreso51.50.62W
31-01-25Cerro Largo121 - 1 (1)Juventud151.50.45W
30-11-24Cerro Largo2 - 1 (1)Progreso1.50.5W
27-11-24Cerro Largo73 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting91.50.44W
19-11-24Cerro Largo54 - 0 (1)Wanderers41.50.41W
13-11-24Cerro Largo30 - 0 (0)Liverpool31.5-1L
09-11-24Cerro Largo51 - 0 (1)River Plate51.5-1L
20-10-24Cerro Largo20 - 0 (0)Danubio31.5-1L
17-10-24Cerro Largo31 - 0 (1)Deportivo Maldonado51.5-1L
13-10-24Cerro Largo70 - 1 (0)Nacional61.5-1L

Miramar Misiones's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.381.37-33.8%

Miramar Misiones's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25Liverpool62 - 1 (1)Miramar Misiones51.50.41W
26-11-24Wanderers62 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones81.50.31W
13-11-24River Plate30 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones21.5-1L
02-11-24Danubio121 - 0 (1)Miramar Misiones111.5-1L
17-10-24Nacional35 - 1 (1)Miramar Misiones31.50.22W
05-10-24Cerro60 - 1 (1)Miramar Misiones61.5-1L
22-09-24FĂ©nix50 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones71.5-1L
14-09-24Cerro Largo51 - 2 (1)Miramar Misiones61.50.41W
18-08-24Progreso210 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones211.5-1L
20-07-24Nacional64 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones61.50.27W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.421.523.67%

Cerro Largo's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Danubio50 - 0 (0)Cerro Largo71.5-1L
07-02-25Cerro Largo64 - 1 (0)Progreso51.50.62W
31-01-25Cerro Largo121 - 1 (1)Juventud151.50.45W
30-11-24Cerro Largo2 - 1 (1)Progreso1.50.5W
27-11-24Cerro Largo73 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting91.50.44W
19-11-24Cerro Largo54 - 0 (1)Wanderers41.50.41W

Miramar Misiones's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.411.4-6.83%

Miramar Misiones's all matches - last 6

16-02-25Miramar Misiones71 - 2 (1)Juventud61.50.49W
08-02-25Liverpool62 - 1 (1)Miramar Misiones51.50.41W
02-02-25Miramar Misiones20 - 1 (0)Plaza Colonia161.5-1L
30-11-24Miramar Misiones0 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting1.5-1L
26-11-24Wanderers62 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones81.50.31W
17-11-24Miramar Misiones32 - 2 (0)Liverpool31.50.38W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.111.45-3.67%

H2H matches - last 6

14-09-24Cerro Largo51 - 2 (1)Miramar Misiones61.50.41W
27-07-24Miramar Misiones60 - 0 (0)Cerro Largo61.5-1L
01-03-24Miramar Misiones51 - 2 (0)Cerro Largo41.50.48W
Primera Division Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Defensor Sporting33005059WWW
2Plaza Colonia33004049WWW
3Torque42114407LWDW
4Cerro Largo31205235DWD
5Peñarol31205325DDW
6Juventud31205415WDD
7Liverpool31204315DWD
8Nacional31116334WDL
9Cerro31112204LWD
10Racing411234-14WLLD
11Danubio30303303DDD
12Wanderers302113-22DLD
13Boston River302113-22DDL
14River Plate301224-21LLD
15Miramar Misiones300325-30LLL
16Progreso3003312-90LLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 16%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.83 (1.2)0.16 (1.49)2.860.33

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
28-5.081.37-18.14%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Cerro Largo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.621.42-54.00%
25-11-230.18Racing51 - 0 (0)Cerro Largo61.5-1L
04-11-230.15Cerro Largo131 - 2 (1)Torque111.50.38W
25-06-230.14Deportivo Maldonado70 - 0 (0)Cerro Largo81.5-1L

Miramar Misiones's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.011.3433.67%
25-05-240.14Miramar Misiones42 - 0 (1)Wanderers51.50.37W
20-05-240.16Liverpool2(A)2 - 1 (2)Miramar Misiones81.50.32W
06-04-240.16Racing21 - 1 (0)Miramar Misiones51.50.32W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00039%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Cerro Largo (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00039%

Miramar Misiones (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00039%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.581.48-7.25%
07-02-25Cerro Largo64 - 1Progreso51.50.62W
05-10-24Racing40 - 0Cerro Largo61.5-1L
28-09-24Cerro Largo63 - 1Cerro51.50.55W
21-09-24Rampla Juniors62 - 0Cerro Largo61.50.4W
27-07-24Miramar Misiones60 - 0Cerro Largo61.5-1L
26-05-24Defensor Sporting73 - 1Cerro Largo61.50.38W
19-05-24Wanderers71 - 0Cerro Largo61.5-1L
27-04-24Cerro Largo62 - 0Boston River61.50.47W

Miramar Misiones's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.071.38-13.38%
08-02-25Liverpool62 - 1Miramar Misiones51.50.41W
28-09-24Miramar Misiones50 - 0Rampla Juniors61.5-1L
13-07-24Boston River62 - 1Miramar Misiones51.50.36W
14-06-24Miramar Misiones51 - 0Cerro41.5-1L
08-06-24Liverpool40 - 1Miramar Misiones51.5-1L
04-05-24Boston River63 - 1Miramar Misiones51.50.36W
06-04-24Racing21 - 1Miramar Misiones51.50.32W
01-03-24Miramar Misiones51 - 2Cerro Largo41.50.48W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.561.5-26%
25-02-24Cerro Largo60 - 0FĂ©nix71.5-1L
18-02-24Cerro Largo11 - 2Peñarol241.50.53W
25-02-23FĂ©nix40 - 0Cerro Largo61.5-1L
18-02-23Cerro Largo71 - 0Danubio51.5-1L
25-02-22Boston River53 - 0Cerro Largo61.50.43W
18-02-22Cerro Largo30 - 5Plaza Colonia51.50.48W

Miramar Misiones's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.781.3939%
24-02-24Peñarol52 - 0Miramar Misiones61.50.3W
17-02-24Miramar Misiones132 - 3Progreso131.50.48W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.32.202.182.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Primera Division252.20
2024Primera Division2942.43
2023Primera Division2992.29
2022Primera Division2972.18
2021Primera Division1502.49

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
67.08%1.4968%1.4764%1.5673.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Primera Division2568% 1.47
2024Primera Division29469.05% 1.45
2023Primera Division29968.56% 1.46
2022Primera Division29763.64% 1.57
2021Primera Division15068.67% 1.46
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
0.991.001.10.91

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Primera Division251.00
2024Primera Division2941.06
2023Primera Division2990.99
2022Primera Division2970.91
2021Primera Division1501.09

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.201.331.27

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Primera Division251.20
2024Primera Division2941.36
2023Primera Division2991.30
2022Primera Division2971.27
2021Primera Division1501.41
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-2.71.37-13.5%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 15 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.431.4343%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Cerro Largo matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.51.497.14%
07-02-2510Cerro Largo64 - 115Progreso51.50.62W
31-01-254Cerro Largo121 - 114Juventud151.50.45W
30-11-246Cerro Largo2 - 115Progreso1.50.5W
17-10-2413Cerro Largo31 - 016Deportivo Maldonado51.5-1L
11-03-248Cerro Largo32 - 016Rampla Juniors71.50.5W
30-11-2316Cerro Largo40 - 015Cerro51.5-1L
05-05-234Cerro Largo52 - 215Boston River61.50.43W

Miramar Misiones matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.491.32-16.33%
02-11-244Danubio121 - 08Miramar Misiones111.5-1L
17-10-243Nacional35 - 19Miramar Misiones31.50.22W
02-06-244Defensor Sporting63 - 016Miramar Misiones71.50.29W
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