Liverpool vs Cerro - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

2025-02-22
12:45:00

Liverpool⁶

Cerro⁷

Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

2.043.444.54

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.48

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Defensor Sporting33005059WWW

2Plaza Colonia33004049WWW

3Torque42114407LWDW

4Cerro Largo31205235DWD

5Peñarol31205325DDW

6Juventud31205415WDD

7Liverpool31204315DWD

8Nacional31116334WDL

9Cerro31112204LWD

10Racing411234-14WLLD

11Danubio30303303DDD

12Wanderers302113-22DLD

13Boston River302113-22DDL

14River Plate301224-21LLD

15Miramar Misiones300325-30LLL

16Progreso3003312-90LLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Liverpool's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.841.348.4%

Liverpool's home matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2

08-02-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.41W

03-11-24

Liverpool¹²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Progreso¹⁴1.50.32W

15-10-24

Liverpool³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wanderers²1.50.33W

11-10-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Fénix⁴1.50.32W

23-06-24

Liverpool⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁵1.5-1L

08-06-24

Liverpool⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.5-1L

20-05-24

Liverpool^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Miramar Misiones⁸1.50.32W

30-03-24

Liverpool¹⁴1 - 1⁽²⁾River Plate¹³1.50.41W

03-03-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Deportivo Maldonado⁸1.50.33W

06-12-23

Liverpool2 - 1⁽²⁾River Plate1.50.4W

Cerro's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-2.791.45-27.9%

Cerro's away matches when WIN odds between 3.8 and 5.3

08-02-25

Racing⁴0 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁴1.5-1L

17-10-24

Fénix⁵1 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro⁴1.50.46W

28-09-24

Cerro Largo⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁵1.50.55W

16-08-24

Wanderers¹⁹1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro¹⁸1.5-1L

21-07-24

Liverpool⁷0 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁶1.5-1L

06-07-24

Boston River¹²2 - 0⁽¹⁾Cerro¹³1.50.44W

03-06-24

Liverpool³0 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro⁷1.50.31W

19-04-24

Racing⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro⁵1.50.45W

07-12-23

Racing0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro1.5-1L

18-11-23

Torque³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro²1.5-1L

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Liverpool's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.411.35-4.1%

Liverpool's last 10 home matches

08-02-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.41W

03-11-24

Liverpool¹²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Progreso¹⁴1.50.32W

15-10-24

Liverpool³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wanderers²1.50.33W

11-10-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Fénix⁴1.50.32W

29-09-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁶1.50.55W

17-08-24

Liverpool¹⁹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Racing¹⁸1.50.35W

21-07-24

Liverpool⁷0 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁶1.5-1L

23-06-24

Liverpool⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁵1.5-1L

08-06-24

Liverpool⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.5-1L

03-06-24

Liverpool³0 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro⁷1.50.31W

Cerro's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-4.461.42-44.6%

Cerro's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25

Racing⁴0 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁴1.5-1L

26-11-24

River Plate⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Cerro⁷1.5-1L

14-11-24

Danubio⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro⁵1.5-1L

02-11-24

Nacional¹²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro¹²1.50.18W

17-10-24

Fénix⁵1 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro⁴1.50.46W

12-10-24

Rampla Juniors⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁶1.50.35W

28-09-24

Cerro Largo⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁵1.50.55W

14-09-24

Progreso⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro⁶1.5-1L

16-08-24

Wanderers¹⁹1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro¹⁸1.5-1L

21-07-24

Liverpool⁷0 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁶1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Liverpool's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.051.4117.5%

Liverpool's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Wanderers⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁶1.50.38W

08-02-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.41W

01-02-25

Danubio²⁹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool^1(A)1.50.48W

30-11-24

Cerro1 - 3⁽³⁾Liverpool1.50.4W

26-11-24

Rampla Juniors⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁸1.5-1L

17-11-24

Miramar Misiones³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Liverpool³1.50.38W

Cerro's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-3.091.5-51.5%

Cerro's all matches - last 6

14-02-25

Cerro⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾Plaza Colonia⁵1.5-1L

08-02-25

Racing⁴0 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁴1.5-1L

03-02-25

Cerro¹⁰1 - 1⁽¹⁾River Plate^1(A)1.50.51W

30-11-24

Cerro1 - 3⁽³⁾Liverpool1.50.4W

26-11-24

River Plate⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Cerro⁷1.5-1L

18-11-24

Cerro³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River³1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.961.36-32.67%

H2H matches - last 6

30-11-24

Cerro1 - 3⁽³⁾Liverpool1.50.4W

21-07-24

Liverpool⁷0 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁶1.5-1L

03-06-24

Liverpool³0 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro⁷1.50.31W

24-11-23

Cerro⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool⁴1.5-1L

08-07-23

Cerro⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁴1.5-1L

24-04-23

Liverpool⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁷1.50.33W

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Defensor Sporting33005059WWW

2Plaza Colonia33004049WWW

3Torque42114407LWDW

4Cerro Largo31205235DWD

5Peñarol31205325DDW

6Juventud31205415WDD

7Liverpool31204315DWD

8Nacional31116334WDL

9Cerro31112204LWD

10Racing411234-14WLLD

11Danubio30303303DDD

12Wanderers302113-22DLD

13Boston River302113-22DDL

14River Plate301224-21LLD

15Miramar Misiones300325-30LLL

16Progreso3003312-90LLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -13%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.55 (1.82)-0.13 (1.48)1.370.49

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

442.921.396.64%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Liverpool's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.721.3612.00%

15-10-24

^-0.11Liverpool³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wanderers²1.50.33W

17-08-24

^-0.14Liverpool¹⁹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Racing¹⁸1.50.35W

16-04-24

^-0.12Wanderers⁸2 - 3⁽¹⁾Liverpool^2(A)1.50.36W

16-12-23

^-0.11Peñarol^2(A)0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²1.5-1L

23-10-23

^-0.11Torque⁴2 - 3⁽¹⁾Liverpool⁴1.50.32W

15-04-23

^-0.11Racing⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool⁴1.50.36W

Cerro's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.711.3635.50%

12-10-24

^-0.12Rampla Juniors⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro⁶1.50.35W

16-04-23

^-0.13Cerro⁷0 - 2⁽¹⁾Torque⁷1.50.36W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27.25%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Liverpool (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27.25%

Cerro (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27.25%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.41.415%

15-02-25

Wanderers⁶1 - 1Liverpool⁶1.50.38W

08-02-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 1Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.41W

11-10-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 2Fénix⁴1.50.32W

29-09-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 1Boston River⁶1.50.55W

22-09-24

Danubio⁶1 - 0Liverpool⁶1.5-1L

15-09-24

Deportivo Maldonado⁷0 - 1Liverpool⁶1.5-1L

28-07-24

Danubio⁶2 - 0Liverpool⁶1.50.41W

13-07-24

Rampla Juniors⁵3 - 2Liverpool⁶1.50.33W

Cerro's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.941.43-11.75%

26-11-24

River Plate⁶1 - 0Cerro⁷1.5-1L

22-09-24

Cerro⁷0 - 5Peñarol^2(A)1.50.51W

14-07-24

Cerro⁷0 - 1Cerro Largo⁷1.5-1L

22-06-24

Cerro⁷0 - 0Danubio⁵1.5-1L

03-06-24

Liverpool³0 - 3Cerro⁷1.50.31W

19-05-24

Boston River⁶2 - 0Cerro⁷1.50.43W

09-03-24

Peñarol⁵3 - 0Cerro⁷1.50.32W

11-11-23

La Luz⁵1 - 2Cerro⁷1.50.49W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.881.36-17.6%

25-02-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 1Nacional³1.50.29W

18-02-24

Racing¹⁰2 - 2Liverpool¹⁷1.50.44W

20-02-23

Liverpool⁷3 - 1Fénix⁸1.50.39W

26-02-22

Liverpool⁴0 - 1Danubio⁵1.5-1L

21-02-22

Nacional⁸0 - 0Liverpool⁷1.5-1L

Cerro's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.091.42-27.25%

25-02-24

Defensor Sporting¹⁰0 - 0Cerro⁶1.5-1L

18-02-24

Cerro⁵1 - 1Wanderers¹¹1.50.55W

25-02-23

River Plate⁵3 - 2Cerro⁶1.50.36W

18-02-23

Cerro⁵0 - 0Deportivo Maldonado⁶1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.32.202.182.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division252.20

2024

Primera Division2942.43

2023

Primera Division2992.29

2022

Primera Division2972.18

2021

Primera Division1502.49

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

67.08%1.4968%1.4764%1.5673.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2568% 1.47

2024

Primera Division29469.05% 1.45

2023

Primera Division29968.56% 1.46

2022

Primera Division29763.64% 1.57

2021

Primera Division15068.67% 1.46

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

0.991.001.10.91

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division251.00

2024

Primera Division2941.06

2023

Primera Division2990.99

2022

Primera Division2970.91

2021

Primera Division1501.09

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.311.201.331.27

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division251.20

2024

Primera Division2941.36

2023

Primera Division2991.30

2022

Primera Division2971.27

2021

Primera Division1501.41

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

19-3.821.37-20.11%

Last 2 seasons - 7 vs 9 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

31.181.3939.33%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Liverpool matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.241.3215.5%

15-10-24

¹²Liverpool³1 - 1⁹Wanderers²1.50.33W

11-10-24

¹²Liverpool⁶1 - 2¹⁰Fénix⁴1.50.32W

17-08-24

³Liverpool¹⁹1 - 1⁹Racing¹⁸1.50.35W

08-06-24

²Liverpool⁴0 - 1⁸Miramar Misiones⁵1.5-1L

10-03-24

¹¹Liverpool⁶1 - 2⁹Danubio^2(A)1.50.41W

06-12-23

¹Liverpool2 - 1⁹River Plate1.50.4W

15-07-23

¹Liverpool⁶2 - 2⁸Plaza Colonia⁵1.50.21W

03-07-23

¹Liverpool³3 - 2⁸Deportivo Maldonado⁷1.50.22W

Cerro matches against table positions: 6,7,8

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.31.393.75%

12-10-24

⁶Rampla Juniors⁵1 - 1¹⁴Cerro⁶1.50.35W

21-07-24

⁸Liverpool⁷0 - 1⁷Cerro⁶1.5-1L

06-07-24

⁸Boston River¹²2 - 0⁵Cerro¹³1.50.44W

03-06-24

⁷Liverpool³0 - 3¹³Cerro⁷1.50.31W

19-04-24

⁷Racing⁴1 - 1¹²Cerro⁵1.50.45W

15-10-23

⁸Nacional⁹2 - 1¹⁴Cerro⁶1.50.31W

17-07-23

⁷Deportivo Maldonado⁷1 - 2⁴Cerro⁸1.50.44W

02-07-23

⁶Cerro Largo⁶0 - 1⁵Cerro⁶1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Liverpool vs Cerro - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

Liverpool's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Liverpool's home matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2

Cerro's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Cerro's away matches when WIN odds between 3.8 and 5.3

Liverpool's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Liverpool's last 10 home matches

Cerro's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Cerro's last 10 away matches.

Liverpool's all matches (last 6 matches)

Liverpool's all matches - last 6

Cerro's all matches (last 6 matches)

Cerro's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

Liverpool's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

Cerro's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Liverpool (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Cerro (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

Cerro's all matches (last 8 matches)

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

Cerro's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 7 vs 9 in the table

Liverpool matches against table positions: 8,9,10

Cerro matches against table positions: 6,7,8

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