Boston River vs Nacional - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

2025-02-22
20:00:00

Boston River²

Nacional⁵

8.344.831.49

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Defensor Sporting33005059WWW

2Plaza Colonia33004049WWW

3Torque42114407LWDW

4Cerro Largo31205235DWD

5Peñarol31205325DDW

6Juventud31205415WDD

7Liverpool31204315DWD

8Nacional31116334WDL

9Cerro31112204LWD

10Racing411234-14WLLD

11Danubio30303303DDD

12Wanderers302113-22DLD

13Boston River302113-22DDL

14River Plate301224-21LLD

15Miramar Misiones300325-30LLL

16Progreso3003312-90LLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Boston River's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000%

Boston River's home matches when WIN odds between 7.1 and 9.6

Nacional's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.691.33-6.9%

Nacional's away matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

02-02-25

Torque¹⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.5-1L

28-11-24

Danubio¹⁰0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional¹¹1.5-1L

08-11-24

Racing⁴0 - 2⁽¹⁾Nacional⁵1.50.48W

13-10-24

Cerro Largo⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.5-1L

29-09-24

Progreso⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁷1.50.24W

18-08-24

River Plate¹⁹3 - 3⁽²⁾Nacional²1.50.29W

09-06-24

Cerro⁵3 - 0⁽²⁾Nacional⁴1.50.31W

16-04-24

Miramar Misiones⁸1 - 2⁽¹⁾Nacional^2(A)1.50.4W

04-03-23

Cerro⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁵1.50.26W

18-02-23

Plaza Colonia⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾Nacional⁷1.50.33W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Boston River's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.721.38-17.2%

Boston River's last 10 home matches

09-02-25

Boston River⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Torque⁶1.5-1L

27-11-24

Boston River⁸1 - 2⁽²⁾Racing⁹1.50.46W

14-11-24

Boston River³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rampla Juniors⁴1.5-1L

03-11-24

Boston River¹⁴3 - 0⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo¹³1.50.44W

16-10-24

Boston River³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Progreso³1.5-1L

05-10-24

Boston River⁵3 - 2⁽¹⁾Wanderers⁶1.50.38W

22-09-24

Boston River⁵3 - 1⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁶1.50.35W

16-09-24

Boston River⁷2 - 0⁽¹⁾Fénix⁷1.50.21W

17-08-24

Boston River¹⁹1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Deportivo Maldonado²⁰1.5-1L

21-07-24

Boston River⁷1 - 2⁽²⁾Danubio⁷1.50.44W

Nacional's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.881.31-8.8%

Nacional's last 10 away matches.

16-02-25

Progreso⁸1 - 5⁽¹⁾Nacional⁶1.50.26W

02-02-25

Torque¹⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.5-1L

28-11-24

Danubio¹⁰0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional¹¹1.5-1L

13-11-24

Fénix^2(A)0 - 6⁽²⁾Nacional⁴1.50.27W

08-11-24

Racing⁴0 - 2⁽¹⁾Nacional⁵1.50.48W

20-10-24

Rampla Juniors³2 - 1⁽²⁾Nacional²1.50.21W

13-10-24

Cerro Largo⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.5-1L

29-09-24

Progreso⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁷1.50.24W

15-09-24

Wanderers⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.50.37W

18-08-24

River Plate¹⁹3 - 3⁽²⁾Nacional²1.50.29W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Boston River's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.591.38-9.83%

Boston River's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Peñarol⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁵1.50.31W

09-02-25

Boston River⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Torque⁶1.5-1L

01-02-25

Defensor Sporting2 - 0⁽¹⁾Boston River1.50.4W

01-12-24

Nacional3 - 1⁽³⁾Boston River1.50.24W

27-11-24

Boston River⁸1 - 2⁽²⁾Racing⁹1.50.46W

18-11-24

Cerro³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River³1.5-1L

Nacional's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.91.29-15%

Nacional's all matches - last 6

16-02-25

Progreso⁸1 - 5⁽¹⁾Nacional⁶1.50.26W

09-02-25

Nacional⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Peñarol⁷1.50.42W

02-02-25

Torque¹⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.5-1L

01-12-24

Nacional3 - 1⁽³⁾Boston River1.50.24W

28-11-24

Danubio¹⁰0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional¹¹1.5-1L

16-11-24

Nacional^2(A)5 - 2⁽⁴⁾Deportivo Maldonado³1.50.18W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.841.3-14%

H2H matches - last 6

01-12-24

Nacional3 - 1⁽³⁾Boston River1.50.24W

28-07-24

Nacional⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁶1.5-1L

04-06-24

Boston River¹⁰1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Nacional³1.50.32W

19-10-23

Boston River³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional³1.50.3W

11-03-23

Nacional⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Boston River⁶1.50.3W

14-09-22

Nacional³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River³1.5-1L

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Defensor Sporting33005059WWW

2Plaza Colonia33004049WWW

3Torque42114407LWDW

4Cerro Largo31205235DWD

5Peñarol31205325DDW

6Juventud31205415WDD

7Liverpool31204315DWD

8Nacional31116334WDL

9Cerro31112204LWD

10Racing411234-14WLLD

11Danubio30303303DDD

12Wanderers302113-22DLD

13Boston River302113-22DDL

14River Plate301224-21LLD

15Miramar Misiones300325-30LLL

16Progreso3003312-90LLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 10%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.86 (1.16)0.10 (1.28)0.413.04

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61-1.531.35-2.51%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Boston River's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.281.373.50%

12-10-24

^0.12Defensor Sporting⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁶1.50.39W

28-07-24

^0.08Nacional⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁶1.5-1L

21-07-24

^0.08Boston River⁷1 - 2⁽²⁾Danubio⁷1.50.44W

17-06-24

^0.10Boston River⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁷1.50.42W

04-05-24

^0.12Boston River⁶3 - 1⁽²⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.36W

24-02-24

^0.08Boston River⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Danubio⁶1.5-1L

18-02-24

^0.11Deportivo Maldonado²⁷1 - 2⁽²⁾Boston River⁹1.50.38W

17-06-23

^0.10Boston River¹²4 - 0⁽¹⁾La Luz¹⁴1.50.29W

Nacional's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

12-1.831.27-15.25%

02-02-25

^0.09Torque¹⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.5-1L

13-11-24

^0.09Fénix^2(A)0 - 6⁽²⁾Nacional⁴1.50.27W

02-11-24

^0.11Nacional¹²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro¹²1.50.18W

21-09-24

^0.10Nacional⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Defensor Sporting⁷1.50.21W

08-09-24

^0.08Nacional¹⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²¹1.5-1L

18-08-24

^0.12River Plate¹⁹3 - 3⁽²⁾Nacional²1.50.29W

28-07-24

^0.08Nacional⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁶1.5-1L

20-07-24

^0.11Nacional⁶4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Miramar Misiones⁶1.50.27W

23-06-24

^0.08Cerro Largo⁵0 - 4⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁷1.50.41W

09-06-24

^0.12Cerro⁵3 - 0⁽²⁾Nacional⁴1.50.31W

22-07-23

^0.10Nacional⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.5-1L

05-07-23

^0.10Nacional⁶4 - 1⁽²⁾Plaza Colonia¹⁰1.50.23W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-22%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Boston River (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-22%

Nacional (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-22%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Boston River's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.211.42-3.5%

19-10-24

Peñarol^2(A)2 - 0Boston River²1.50.46W

04-03-23

Boston River^2(A)0 - 0River Plate⁶1.5-1L

26-02-23

Deportivo Maldonado¹3 - 2Boston River²1.50.48W

20-02-23

Peñarol⁵1 - 0Boston River^2(A)1.5-1L

12-02-23

Boston River¹0 - 3Cerro⁷1.50.35W

12-10-22

Boston River^2(A)2 - 1Peñarol²1.50.5W

Nacional's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.111.361.38%

08-11-24

Racing⁴0 - 2Nacional⁵1.50.48W

21-09-24

Nacional⁵1 - 1Defensor Sporting⁷1.50.21W

13-07-24

Danubio⁵0 - 6Nacional⁵1.50.41W

15-06-24

Nacional⁵2 - 1Liverpool⁶1.50.25W

29-03-24

Peñarol¹²0 - 0Nacional⁵1.5-1L

26-11-23

Nacional⁵3 - 1Wanderers⁵1.50.33W

26-08-23

Cerro Largo⁶2 - 2Nacional⁵1.50.43W

15-07-23

Nacional⁵0 - 1Fénix⁶1.5-1L

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Boston River's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.371.39-6.17%

24-02-24

Boston River⁵0 - 0Danubio⁶1.5-1L

18-02-24

Deportivo Maldonado²⁷1 - 2Boston River⁹1.50.38W

26-02-23

Deportivo Maldonado¹3 - 2Boston River²1.50.48W

20-02-23

Peñarol⁵1 - 0Boston River^2(A)1.5-1L

25-02-22

Boston River⁵3 - 0Cerro Largo⁶1.50.43W

19-02-22

River Plate⁶1 - 2Boston River⁵1.50.34W

Nacional's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.11.32-22%

25-02-24

Liverpool⁶1 - 1Nacional³1.50.29W

26-02-23

Nacional⁷3 - 1Racing⁶1.50.28W

18-02-23

Plaza Colonia⁶2 - 1Nacional⁷1.50.33W

27-02-22

Peñarol⁷1 - 0Nacional⁵1.5-1L

21-02-22

Nacional⁸0 - 0Liverpool⁷1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.32.202.182.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division252.20

2024

Primera Division2942.43

2023

Primera Division2992.29

2022

Primera Division2972.18

2021

Primera Division1502.49

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

67.08%1.4968%1.4764%1.5673.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2568% 1.47

2024

Primera Division29469.05% 1.45

2023

Primera Division29968.56% 1.46

2022

Primera Division29763.64% 1.57

2021

Primera Division15068.67% 1.46

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

0.991.001.10.91

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division251.00

2024

Primera Division2941.06

2023

Primera Division2990.99

2022

Primera Division2970.91

2021

Primera Division1501.09

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.311.201.331.27

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division251.20

2024

Primera Division2941.36

2023

Primera Division2991.30

2022

Primera Division2971.27

2021

Primera Division1501.41

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

22-5.191.41-23.59%

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 8 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.431.4343%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Boston River matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-5.341.36-66.75%

09-02-25

¹⁵Boston River⁷0 - 0⁷Torque⁶1.5-1L

14-11-24

⁴Boston River³1 - 0⁸Rampla Juniors⁴1.5-1L

17-08-24

¹⁵Boston River¹⁹1 - 0⁷Deportivo Maldonado²⁰1.5-1L

24-02-24

⁴Boston River⁵0 - 0⁷Danubio⁶1.5-1L

24-11-23

⁵Boston River³2 - 0⁹Torque⁵1.50.35W

08-10-23

⁵Boston River⁵2 - 0⁷Deportivo Maldonado⁴1.50.31W

02-09-23

¹Boston River⁵0 - 1⁹Peñarol⁵1.5-1L

02-04-23

¹⁴Boston River⁶0 - 1⁷Wanderers⁷1.5-1L

Nacional matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.221.33-44.4%

13-10-24

¹³Cerro Largo⁷0 - 1⁴Nacional⁶1.5-1L

16-04-24

¹⁴Miramar Misiones⁸1 - 2⁵Nacional^2(A)1.50.4W

30-11-23

¹²La Luz³0 - 1⁸Nacional³1.5-1L

05-10-23

¹³Racing^1(A)1 - 2¹⁰Nacional¹1.50.38W

20-08-23

¹²Liverpool²⁰0 - 0¹³Nacional⁹1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Boston River vs Nacional - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

Boston River's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Boston River's home matches when WIN odds between 7.1 and 9.6

Nacional's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Nacional's away matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

Boston River's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Boston River's last 10 home matches

Nacional's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Nacional's last 10 away matches.

Boston River's all matches (last 6 matches)

Boston River's all matches - last 6

Nacional's all matches (last 6 matches)

Nacional's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Boston River's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Nacional's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Boston River (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Nacional (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Boston River's all matches (last 8 matches)

Nacional's all matches (last 8 matches)

Boston River's all matches (last 8 matches)

Nacional's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 8 in the table

Boston River matches against table positions: 7,8,9

Nacional matches against table positions: 12,13,14

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