Flamengo vs Palmeiras - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
BRAZIL - Serie A



2025-10-19
20:00:00

Flamengo3
Palmeiras3



Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.46

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Flamengo's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.011.33-33.5%
Flamengo's home matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2
16-03-25
Flamengo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Fluminense21.5-1L


20-01-25
Flamengo31 - 2 (0)Nova Iguaçu41.50.32W


01-12-24
Flamengo43 - 2 (0)Internacional61.50.32W


13-11-24
Flamengo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Atlético Mineiro21.5-1L


24-11-23
Flamengo121 - 0 (0)Bragantino111.5-1L


11-11-23
Flamengo11 - 1 (0)Fluminense2(A)1.50.35W


Palmeiras's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.751.3837.5%
Palmeiras's away matches when WIN odds between 3.8 and 5.3
01-10-23
Bragantino102 - 1 (1)Palmeiras1(A)1.50.32W


06-08-23
Fluminense42 - 1 (1)Palmeiras2(A)1.50.43W


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Flamengo's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.231.36-22.3%
Flamengo's last 10 home matches
02-10-25
Flamengo30 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro41.5-1L


21-09-25
Flamengo11 - 1 (0)Vasco da Gama61.50.28W


31-08-25
Flamengo41 - 1 (1)GrĂŞmio61.50.23W


26-08-25
Flamengo48 - 0 (1)VitĂłria91.50.21W


09-08-25
Flamengo2(A)2 - 1 (0)Mirassol61.50.3W


27-07-25
Flamengo2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlético Mineiro11.5-1L


20-07-25
Flamengo31 - 0 (1)Fluminense21.5-1L


12-07-25
Flamengo2 - 0 (1)SĂŁo Paulo1.50.47W


01-06-25
Flamengo25 - 0 (0)Fortaleza1(A)1.50.28W


18-05-25
Flamengo10 - 0 (0)Botafogo21.5-1L


Palmeiras's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.831.538.3%
Palmeiras's last 10 away matches.
05-10-25
SĂŁo Paulo2(A)2 - 3 (1)Palmeiras31.50.55W


28-09-25
Bahia31 - 0 (1)Palmeiras21.5-1L


31-08-25
Corinthians2(A)1 - 1 (0)Palmeiras51.50.58W


17-08-25
Botafogo20 - 1 (0)Palmeiras1(A)1.5-1L


03-08-25
VitĂłria72 - 2 (1)Palmeiras2(A)1.50.65W


23-07-25
Fluminense2(A)1 - 2 (0)Palmeiras21.50.68W


01-06-25
Cruzeiro22 - 1 (1)Palmeiras21.50.5W


18-05-25
Bragantino71 - 2 (1)Palmeiras21.50.42W


04-05-25
Vasco da Gama2(A)0 - 1 (0)Palmeiras31.5-1L


20-04-25
Fortaleza2(A)1 - 2 (0)Palmeiras31.50.45W


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Flamengo's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.451.39-7.5%
Flamengo's all matches - last 6
15-10-25
Botafogo100 - 3 (1)Flamengo91.50.44W


05-10-25
Bahia2(A)1 - 0 (0)Flamengo21.5-1L


02-10-25
Flamengo30 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro41.5-1L


28-09-25
Corinthians61 - 2 (1)Flamengo1(A)1.50.54W


21-09-25
Flamengo11 - 1 (0)Vasco da Gama61.50.28W


14-09-25
Juventude140 - 2 (1)Flamengo131.50.29W


Palmeiras's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.611.3510.17%
Palmeiras's all matches - last 6
15-10-25
Palmeiras35 - 1 (2)Bragantino101.50.22W


11-10-25
Palmeiras54 - 1 (1)Juventude51.50.23W


05-10-25
SĂŁo Paulo2(A)2 - 3 (1)Palmeiras31.50.55W


01-10-25
Palmeiras2(A)3 - 0 (0)Vasco da Gama31.50.33W


28-09-25
Bahia31 - 0 (1)Palmeiras21.5-1L


21-09-25
Palmeiras2(A)4 - 1 (2)Fortaleza71.50.28W


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.561.411.2%
H2H matches - last 6
25-05-25
Palmeiras20 - 2 (1)Flamengo21.50.5W


11-08-24
Flamengo31 - 1 (1)Palmeiras31.50.37W


21-04-24
Palmeiras30 - 0 (0)Flamengo21.5-1L


09-11-23
Flamengo33 - 0 (0)Palmeiras31.50.42W


09-07-23
Palmeiras31 - 1 (1)Flamengo21.50.27W



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 2%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.70 (1.43)0.02 (1.46)0.821.63
Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
732.481.413.40%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Flamengo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.011.350.13%
02-10-25
0.03Flamengo30 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro41.5-1L


17-04-25
0.02Flamengo36 - 0 (1)Juventude41.50.23W


30-03-25
0.04Flamengo131 - 1 (0)Internacional131.50.39W


26-10-24
0.00Flamengo54 - 2 (1)Juventude51.50.2W


29-09-24
0.04Flamengo2(A)1 - 0 (1)Athletico PR1(A)1.5-1L


01-09-24
0.00Corinthians2(A)2 - 1 (0)Flamengo2(A)1.50.56W


30-06-24
0.01Flamengo32 - 1 (0)Cruzeiro31.50.32W


28-04-24
0.00Flamengo2(A)0 - 2 (1)Botafogo31.50.31W


Palmeiras's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.471.35-21.00%
21-09-25
0.04Palmeiras2(A)4 - 1 (2)Fortaleza71.50.28W


31-08-25
0.01Corinthians2(A)1 - 1 (0)Palmeiras51.50.58W


09-11-24
0.01Palmeiras41 - 0 (0)GrĂŞmio61.5-1L


28-09-24
0.01Palmeiras52 - 1 (1)Atlético Mineiro21.50.39W


27-07-24
0.00Palmeiras1(A)0 - 2 (1)VitĂłria21.50.28W


18-07-24
0.03Botafogo51 - 0 (0)Palmeiras61.5-1L


05-11-23
0.03Palmeiras2(A)1 - 0 (0)Athletico PR31.5-1L


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-4%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Flamengo (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-4%
Palmeiras (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-4%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Flamengo's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.481.38-18.5%
02-10-25
Flamengo30 - 0Cruzeiro41.5-1L


24-07-25
Bragantino31 - 2Flamengo31.50.44W


20-07-25
Flamengo31 - 0Fluminense21.5-1L


16-07-25
Santos31 - 0Flamengo31.5-1L


17-04-25
Flamengo36 - 0Juventude41.50.23W


20-01-25
Flamengo31 - 2Nova Iguaçu41.50.32W


16-01-25
Madureira31 - 1Flamengo31.50.31W


12-01-25
Flamengo31 - 2Boavista141.50.22W


Palmeiras's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.161.39-14.5%
15-10-25
Palmeiras35 - 1Bragantino101.50.22W


05-10-25
SĂŁo Paulo2(A)2 - 3Palmeiras31.50.55W


27-07-25
Palmeiras31 - 0GrĂŞmio21.5-1L


20-07-25
Palmeiras33 - 2Atlético Mineiro1(A)1.50.45W


04-05-25
Vasco da Gama2(A)0 - 1Palmeiras31.5-1L


20-04-25
Fortaleza2(A)1 - 2Palmeiras31.50.45W


16-04-25
Internacional2(A)0 - 1Palmeiras31.5-1L


20-02-25
Palmeiras33 - 1Botafogo SP41.50.17W


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Flamengo's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.381.38-19.71%
17-10-24
Flamengo110 - 2Fluminense121.50.44W


22-10-23
Flamengo2(A)1 - 0Vasco da Gama21.5-1L


19-10-23
Cruzeiro30 - 2Flamengo101.50.43W


22-10-22
América Mineiro61 - 2Flamengo11.50.39W


15-10-22
Flamengo1(A)1 - 0Atlético Mineiro51.5-1L


23-10-21
Fluminense53 - 1Flamengo1(A)1.50.36W


17-10-21
Flamengo30 - 0Cuiabá21.5-1L


Palmeiras's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.281.34-4%
20-10-24
Juventude133 - 5Palmeiras141.50.31W


22-10-23
Coritiba30 - 2Palmeiras21.50.39W


19-10-23
Palmeiras100 - 2Atlético Mineiro101.50.45W


23-10-22
Palmeiras63 - 0AvaĂ61.50.18W


16-10-22
Palmeiras50 - 0SĂŁo Paulo61.5-1L


20-10-21
Ceará21 - 2Palmeiras21.50.39W


17-10-21
Palmeiras31 - 0Internacional21.5-1L


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.442.462.732.67
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A2762.46


2024
Serie A3802.44


2023
Serie A3802.49


2022
Serie A3802.38


2021
Serie A2512.21


Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.79%1.4171.38%1.474%1.3576.67%1.3
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A27671.38% 1.4


2024
Serie A38072.89% 1.37


2023
Serie A38071.32% 1.4


2022
Serie A38068.16% 1.47


2021
Serie A25166.53% 1.5


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.131.091.071.23
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A2761.09


2024
Serie A3801.11


2023
Serie A3801.16


2022
Serie A3801.11


2021
Serie A2510.94


Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.321.371.61.5
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A2761.37


2024
Serie A3801.34


2023
Serie A3801.33


2022
Serie A3801.28


2021
Serie A2511.27


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
90.621.386.89%
Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 1 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.281.2828%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Flamengo matches against table positions: 1,2,3
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.261.39-8.67%
02-10-25
1Flamengo30 - 03Cruzeiro41.5-1L


01-12-24
5Flamengo43 - 23Internacional61.50.32W


09-11-23
6Flamengo33 - 02Palmeiras31.50.42W


Palmeiras matches against table positions: 1,2,3
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.21.395%
18-05-25
3Bragantino71 - 21Palmeiras21.50.42W


11-08-24
3Flamengo31 - 14Palmeiras31.50.37W


18-07-24
1Botafogo51 - 02Palmeiras61.5-1L


02-11-23
1Botafogo33 - 42Palmeiras41.50.41W

