Flamengo vs Palmeiras - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BRAZIL - Serie A

Flamengo Logo

2025-10-19
20:00:00
Palmeiras Logo
Flamengo3
Palmeiras3

Estadio do Maracana (Rio de Janeiro)
2.033.464.55
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.46
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Flamengo's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.011.33-33.5%

Flamengo's home matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2

16-03-25Flamengo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Fluminense21.5-1L
20-01-25Flamengo31 - 2 (0)Nova Iguaçu41.50.32W
01-12-24Flamengo43 - 2 (0)Internacional61.50.32W
13-11-24Flamengo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Atlético Mineiro21.5-1L
24-11-23Flamengo121 - 0 (0)Bragantino111.5-1L
11-11-23Flamengo11 - 1 (0)Fluminense2(A)1.50.35W

Palmeiras's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.751.3837.5%

Palmeiras's away matches when WIN odds between 3.8 and 5.3

01-10-23Bragantino102 - 1 (1)Palmeiras1(A)1.50.32W
06-08-23Fluminense42 - 1 (1)Palmeiras2(A)1.50.43W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Flamengo's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.231.36-22.3%

Flamengo's last 10 home matches

02-10-25Flamengo30 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro41.5-1L
21-09-25Flamengo11 - 1 (0)Vasco da Gama61.50.28W
31-08-25Flamengo41 - 1 (1)GrĂŞmio61.50.23W
26-08-25Flamengo48 - 0 (1)VitĂłria91.50.21W
09-08-25Flamengo2(A)2 - 1 (0)Mirassol61.50.3W
27-07-25Flamengo2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlético Mineiro11.5-1L
20-07-25Flamengo31 - 0 (1)Fluminense21.5-1L
12-07-25Flamengo2 - 0 (1)SĂŁo Paulo1.50.47W
01-06-25Flamengo25 - 0 (0)Fortaleza1(A)1.50.28W
18-05-25Flamengo10 - 0 (0)Botafogo21.5-1L

Palmeiras's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.831.538.3%

Palmeiras's last 10 away matches.

05-10-25SĂŁo Paulo2(A)2 - 3 (1)Palmeiras31.50.55W
28-09-25Bahia31 - 0 (1)Palmeiras21.5-1L
31-08-25Corinthians2(A)1 - 1 (0)Palmeiras51.50.58W
17-08-25Botafogo20 - 1 (0)Palmeiras1(A)1.5-1L
03-08-25VitĂłria72 - 2 (1)Palmeiras2(A)1.50.65W
23-07-25Fluminense2(A)1 - 2 (0)Palmeiras21.50.68W
01-06-25Cruzeiro22 - 1 (1)Palmeiras21.50.5W
18-05-25Bragantino71 - 2 (1)Palmeiras21.50.42W
04-05-25Vasco da Gama2(A)0 - 1 (0)Palmeiras31.5-1L
20-04-25Fortaleza2(A)1 - 2 (0)Palmeiras31.50.45W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Flamengo's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.451.39-7.5%

Flamengo's all matches - last 6

15-10-25Botafogo100 - 3 (1)Flamengo91.50.44W
05-10-25Bahia2(A)1 - 0 (0)Flamengo21.5-1L
02-10-25Flamengo30 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro41.5-1L
28-09-25Corinthians61 - 2 (1)Flamengo1(A)1.50.54W
21-09-25Flamengo11 - 1 (0)Vasco da Gama61.50.28W
14-09-25Juventude140 - 2 (1)Flamengo131.50.29W

Palmeiras's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.611.3510.17%

Palmeiras's all matches - last 6

15-10-25Palmeiras35 - 1 (2)Bragantino101.50.22W
11-10-25Palmeiras54 - 1 (1)Juventude51.50.23W
05-10-25SĂŁo Paulo2(A)2 - 3 (1)Palmeiras31.50.55W
01-10-25Palmeiras2(A)3 - 0 (0)Vasco da Gama31.50.33W
28-09-25Bahia31 - 0 (1)Palmeiras21.5-1L
21-09-25Palmeiras2(A)4 - 1 (2)Fortaleza71.50.28W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.561.411.2%

H2H matches - last 6

25-05-25Palmeiras20 - 2 (1)Flamengo21.50.5W
11-08-24Flamengo31 - 1 (1)Palmeiras31.50.37W
21-04-24Palmeiras30 - 0 (0)Flamengo21.5-1L
09-11-23Flamengo33 - 0 (0)Palmeiras31.50.42W
09-07-23Palmeiras31 - 1 (1)Flamengo21.50.27W
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 2%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.70 (1.43)0.02 (1.46)0.821.63

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
732.481.413.40%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Flamengo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.011.350.13%
02-10-250.03Flamengo30 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro41.5-1L
17-04-250.02Flamengo36 - 0 (1)Juventude41.50.23W
30-03-250.04Flamengo131 - 1 (0)Internacional131.50.39W
26-10-240.00Flamengo54 - 2 (1)Juventude51.50.2W
29-09-240.04Flamengo2(A)1 - 0 (1)Athletico PR1(A)1.5-1L
01-09-240.00Corinthians2(A)2 - 1 (0)Flamengo2(A)1.50.56W
30-06-240.01Flamengo32 - 1 (0)Cruzeiro31.50.32W
28-04-240.00Flamengo2(A)0 - 2 (1)Botafogo31.50.31W

Palmeiras's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.471.35-21.00%
21-09-250.04Palmeiras2(A)4 - 1 (2)Fortaleza71.50.28W
31-08-250.01Corinthians2(A)1 - 1 (0)Palmeiras51.50.58W
09-11-240.01Palmeiras41 - 0 (0)GrĂŞmio61.5-1L
28-09-240.01Palmeiras52 - 1 (1)Atlético Mineiro21.50.39W
27-07-240.00Palmeiras1(A)0 - 2 (1)VitĂłria21.50.28W
18-07-240.03Botafogo51 - 0 (0)Palmeiras61.5-1L
05-11-230.03Palmeiras2(A)1 - 0 (0)Athletico PR31.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-4%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Flamengo (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-4%

Palmeiras (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-4%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Flamengo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.481.38-18.5%
02-10-25Flamengo30 - 0Cruzeiro41.5-1L
24-07-25Bragantino31 - 2Flamengo31.50.44W
20-07-25Flamengo31 - 0Fluminense21.5-1L
16-07-25Santos31 - 0Flamengo31.5-1L
17-04-25Flamengo36 - 0Juventude41.50.23W
20-01-25Flamengo31 - 2Nova Iguaçu41.50.32W
16-01-25Madureira31 - 1Flamengo31.50.31W
12-01-25Flamengo31 - 2Boavista141.50.22W

Palmeiras's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.161.39-14.5%
15-10-25Palmeiras35 - 1Bragantino101.50.22W
05-10-25SĂŁo Paulo2(A)2 - 3Palmeiras31.50.55W
27-07-25Palmeiras31 - 0GrĂŞmio21.5-1L
20-07-25Palmeiras33 - 2Atlético Mineiro1(A)1.50.45W
04-05-25Vasco da Gama2(A)0 - 1Palmeiras31.5-1L
20-04-25Fortaleza2(A)1 - 2Palmeiras31.50.45W
16-04-25Internacional2(A)0 - 1Palmeiras31.5-1L
20-02-25Palmeiras33 - 1Botafogo SP41.50.17W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Flamengo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.381.38-19.71%
17-10-24Flamengo110 - 2Fluminense121.50.44W
22-10-23Flamengo2(A)1 - 0Vasco da Gama21.5-1L
19-10-23Cruzeiro30 - 2Flamengo101.50.43W
22-10-22América Mineiro61 - 2Flamengo11.50.39W
15-10-22Flamengo1(A)1 - 0Atlético Mineiro51.5-1L
23-10-21Fluminense53 - 1Flamengo1(A)1.50.36W
17-10-21Flamengo30 - 0Cuiabá21.5-1L

Palmeiras's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.281.34-4%
20-10-24Juventude133 - 5Palmeiras141.50.31W
22-10-23Coritiba30 - 2Palmeiras21.50.39W
19-10-23Palmeiras100 - 2Atlético Mineiro101.50.45W
23-10-22Palmeiras63 - 0AvaĂ­61.50.18W
16-10-22Palmeiras50 - 0SĂŁo Paulo61.5-1L
20-10-21Ceará21 - 2Palmeiras21.50.39W
17-10-21Palmeiras31 - 0Internacional21.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.442.462.732.67

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2762.46
2024Serie A3802.44
2023Serie A3802.49
2022Serie A3802.38
2021Serie A2512.21

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.79%1.4171.38%1.474%1.3576.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A27671.38% 1.4
2024Serie A38072.89% 1.37
2023Serie A38071.32% 1.4
2022Serie A38068.16% 1.47
2021Serie A25166.53% 1.5
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.131.091.071.23

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2761.09
2024Serie A3801.11
2023Serie A3801.16
2022Serie A3801.11
2021Serie A2510.94

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.321.371.61.5

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2761.37
2024Serie A3801.34
2023Serie A3801.33
2022Serie A3801.28
2021Serie A2511.27
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
90.621.386.89%

Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.281.2828%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Flamengo matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.261.39-8.67%
02-10-251Flamengo30 - 03Cruzeiro41.5-1L
01-12-245Flamengo43 - 23Internacional61.50.32W
09-11-236Flamengo33 - 02Palmeiras31.50.42W

Palmeiras matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.21.395%
18-05-253Bragantino71 - 21Palmeiras21.50.42W
11-08-243Flamengo31 - 14Palmeiras31.50.37W
18-07-241Botafogo51 - 02Palmeiras61.5-1L
02-11-231Botafogo33 - 42Palmeiras41.50.41W
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