Mirassol vs São Paulo - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BRAZIL - Serie A

Mirassol Logo

2025-10-19
22:30:00
São Paulo Logo
Mirassol3
São Paulo2(A)

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol, São Paulo)
2.443.283.50
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.47
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8São Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11Grêmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17Vitória28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Mirassol's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.641.4523.43%

Mirassol's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

15-10-25Mirassol53 - 1 (0)Internacional101.50.4W
31-08-25Mirassol65 - 1 (1)Bahia21.50.36W
06-04-25Mirassol71 - 1 (1)Fortaleza31.50.56W
10-03-24Mirassol70 - 2 (1)São Bernardo61.50.42W
18-11-23Mirassol54 - 1 (1)Atlético GO61.50.49W
19-05-23Mirassol52 - 0 (0)Vitória41.50.41W
15-04-23Mirassol191 - 0 (0)Chapecoense211.5-1L

São Paulo's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.051.48-10.5%

São Paulo's away matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 3.8

03-08-25Internacional21 - 2 (2)São Paulo21.50.54W
17-07-25Bragantino32 - 2 (0)São Paulo41.50.72W
08-02-25Bragantino31 - 0 (0)São Paulo21.5-1L
20-01-25Botafogo SP40 - 0 (0)São Paulo31.5-1L
01-12-24Grêmio2(A)2 - 1 (0)São Paulo61.50.38W
20-11-24Bragantino101 - 1 (0)São Paulo91.50.46W
06-11-24Bahia70 - 3 (1)São Paulo91.50.43W
04-07-24Athletico PR31 - 2 (0)São Paulo31.50.42W
13-06-24Internacional30 - 0 (0)São Paulo101.5-1L
29-11-23Bahia30 - 1 (1)São Paulo21.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Mirassol's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.561.425.6%

Mirassol's last 10 home matches

15-10-25Mirassol53 - 1 (0)Internacional101.50.4W
09-10-25Mirassol32 - 1 (1)Fluminense41.50.43W
01-10-25Mirassol2(A)1 - 1 (0)Bragantino21.50.39W
21-09-25Mirassol32 - 0 (0)Juventude61.50.28W
31-08-25Mirassol65 - 1 (1)Bahia21.50.36W
18-08-25Mirassol81 - 1 (0)Cruzeiro71.50.39W
02-08-25Mirassol63 - 2 (1)Vasco da Gama2(A)1.50.35W
26-07-25Mirassol2(A)1 - 1 (0)Vitória11.50.46W
19-07-25Mirassol2(A)3 - 0 (1)Santos21.50.5W
01-06-25Mirassol71 - 0 (0)Sport Recife61.5-1L

São Paulo's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.321.543.56%

São Paulo's last 10 away matches.

16-10-25Grêmio112 - 0 (0)São Paulo101.50.47W
02-10-25Fortaleza40 - 2 (1)São Paulo21.5W
21-09-25Santos61 - 0 (0)São Paulo2(A)1.5-1L
31-08-25Cruzeiro31 - 0 (0)São Paulo61.5-1L
16-08-25Sport Recife52 - 2 (1)São Paulo2(A)1.50.53W
03-08-25Internacional21 - 2 (2)São Paulo21.50.54W
24-07-25Juventude30 - 1 (1)São Paulo31.5-1L
17-07-25Bragantino32 - 2 (0)São Paulo41.50.72W
12-07-25Flamengo2 - 0 (1)São Paulo1.50.47W
31-05-25Bahia2(A)2 - 1 (1)São Paulo31.50.59W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Mirassol's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.911.3815.17%

Mirassol's all matches - last 6

15-10-25Mirassol53 - 1 (0)Internacional101.50.4W
09-10-25Mirassol32 - 1 (1)Fluminense41.50.43W
05-10-25Corinthians33 - 0 (1)Mirassol31.50.41W
01-10-25Mirassol2(A)1 - 1 (0)Bragantino21.50.39W
28-09-25Atlético Mineiro31 - 0 (0)Mirassol61.5-1L
21-09-25Mirassol32 - 0 (0)Juventude61.50.28W

São Paulo's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.981.52-39.6%

São Paulo's all matches - last 6

16-10-25Grêmio112 - 0 (0)São Paulo101.50.47W
05-10-25São Paulo2(A)2 - 3 (1)Palmeiras31.50.55W
02-10-25Fortaleza40 - 2 (1)São Paulo21.5W
29-09-25São Paulo30 - 1 (0)Ceará81.5-1L
21-09-25Santos61 - 0 (0)São Paulo2(A)1.5-1L
14-09-25São Paulo131 - 0 (0)Botafogo11.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.131.3837.67%

H2H matches - last 6

24-05-25São Paulo2(A)0 - 2 (1)Mirassol51.50.45W
05-02-25São Paulo2(A)4 - 1 (2)Mirassol31.50.29W
23-01-24Mirassol2(A)1 - 1 (0)São Paulo21.50.39W
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8São Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11Grêmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17Vitória28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -10%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.58 (1.72)-0.10 (1.47)0.951.00

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
680.341.400.50%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Mirassol's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.291.37-9.67%
13-09-25-0.12Grêmio120 - 1 (0)Mirassol121.5-1L
31-08-25-0.11Mirassol65 - 1 (1)Bahia21.50.36W
02-08-25-0.11Mirassol63 - 2 (1)Vasco da Gama2(A)1.50.35W

São Paulo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.931.50-13.29%
05-10-25-0.10São Paulo2(A)2 - 3 (1)Palmeiras31.50.55W
18-05-25-0.09São Paulo22 - 1 (1)Grêmio41.50.44W
13-04-25-0.10São Paulo11 - 1 (0)Cruzeiro21.50.56W
11-08-24-0.10São Paulo2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlético GO31.5-1L
13-06-24-0.10Internacional30 - 0 (0)São Paulo101.5-1L
21-04-24-0.11Atlético GO1(A)0 - 3 (1)São Paulo2(A)1.50.52W
08-11-23-0.12São Paulo51 - 0 (1)Bragantino21.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-12.88%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Mirassol (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-12.88%

São Paulo (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-12.88%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Mirassol's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
83.061.3838.25%
09-10-25Mirassol32 - 1Fluminense41.50.43W
05-10-25Corinthians33 - 0Mirassol31.50.41W
21-09-25Mirassol32 - 0Juventude61.50.28W
17-09-25Botafogo2(A)3 - 3Mirassol31.50.34W
23-07-25Ceará2(A)0 - 2Mirassol31.50.5W
20-04-25Juventude2(A)2 - 2Mirassol31.50.4W
12-02-25Mirassol31 - 2Ponte Preta21.50.41W
05-02-25São Paulo2(A)4 - 1Mirassol31.50.29W

São Paulo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.551.5836.43%
05-10-25São Paulo2(A)2 - 3Palmeiras31.50.55W
02-10-25Fortaleza40 - 2São Paulo21.5W
21-09-25Santos61 - 0São Paulo2(A)1.5-1L
16-08-25Sport Recife52 - 2São Paulo2(A)1.50.53W
09-08-25São Paulo2(A)2 - 0Vitória51.50.56W
03-08-25Internacional21 - 2São Paulo21.50.54W
27-07-25São Paulo2(A)3 - 1Fluminense31.50.66W
20-07-25São Paulo2(A)2 - 0Corinthians31.50.71W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Mirassol's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00036.43%

São Paulo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.031.4-12.88%
17-10-24São Paulo113 - 0Vasco da Gama101.50.43W
21-10-23São Paulo1(A)3 - 0Grêmio21.50.3W
19-10-23Goiás112 - 0São Paulo111.50.5W
23-10-22Juventude61 - 2São Paulo21.50.44W
20-10-22São Paulo33 - 1Coritiba31.50.3W
16-10-22Palmeiras50 - 0São Paulo61.5-1L
24-10-21Bragantino2(A)1 - 0São Paulo51.5-1L
18-10-21São Paulo31 - 0Corinthians31.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.442.462.732.67

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2762.46
2024Serie A3802.44
2023Serie A3802.49
2022Serie A3802.38
2021Serie A2512.21

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.79%1.4171.38%1.474%1.3576.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A27671.38% 1.4
2024Serie A38072.89% 1.37
2023Serie A38071.32% 1.4
2022Serie A38068.16% 1.47
2021Serie A25166.53% 1.5
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.131.091.071.23

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2761.09
2024Serie A3801.11
2023Serie A3801.16
2022Serie A3801.11
2021Serie A2510.94

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.321.371.61.5

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2761.37
2024Serie A3801.34
2023Serie A3801.33
2022Serie A3801.28
2021Serie A2511.27
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
181.531.418.5%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 8 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0008.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Mirassol matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.321.4444%
09-10-256Mirassol32 - 17Fluminense41.50.43W
01-10-254Mirassol2(A)1 - 19Bragantino21.50.39W
10-05-2517Mirassol42 - 18Corinthians21.50.5W

São Paulo matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.91.54-23.75%
31-08-253Cruzeiro31 - 07São Paulo61.5-1L
17-07-253Bragantino32 - 215São Paulo41.50.72W
11-05-253Palmeiras2(A)1 - 015São Paulo41.5-1L
15-09-245Cruzeiro130 - 16São Paulo1(A)1.5-1L
18-08-244Palmeiras2(A)2 - 15São Paulo2(A)1.50.47W
28-07-244Fortaleza31 - 06São Paulo31.5-1L
04-07-245Athletico PR31 - 26São Paulo31.50.42W
03-12-233Atlético Mineiro32 - 110São Paulo31.50.49W
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