Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BRAZIL - Serie A

Cruzeiro Logo

2025-10-19
01:00:00
Fortaleza Logo
Cruzeiro2(A)
Fortaleza2

Mineirao Stadium (Belo Horizonte)
1.484.918.37
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro28158541212053DDDLW
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
13Corinthians2889113035-533LWDLL
14Atlético Mineiro2789102631-533DWLDW
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2766152643-1724LWLWL
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Cruzeiro's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.631.346.3%

Cruzeiro's home matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

05-10-25Cruzeiro2(A)1 - 1 (0)Sport Recife31.50.3W
21-09-25Cruzeiro52 - 1 (1)Bragantino61.50.3W
10-08-25Cruzeiro1(A)1 - 2 (1)Santos51.50.27W
27-07-25Cruzeiro31 - 2 (0)Ceará31.50.41W
24-07-24Cruzeiro2(A)2 - 0 (1)Juventude21.50.29W
28-04-24Cruzeiro43 - 1 (0)VitĂłria61.50.36W
16-03-24Cruzeiro53 - 1 (2)Tombense51.50.31W
27-01-24Cruzeiro2(A)1 - 1 (0)Athletic Club21.50.39W
23-07-23Cruzeiro60 - 1 (0)Goiás51.5-1L
19-10-22Cruzeiro40 - 1 (0)Guarani71.5-1L

Fortaleza's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.811.2727%

Fortaleza's away matches when WIN odds between 7.1 and 9.6

21-09-25Palmeiras2(A)4 - 1 (2)Fortaleza71.50.28W
22-07-23Palmeiras53 - 1 (2)Fortaleza51.50.3W
03-11-22Palmeiras74 - 0 (0)Fortaleza61.50.23W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Cruzeiro's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.871.398.7%

Cruzeiro's last 10 home matches

05-10-25Cruzeiro2(A)1 - 1 (0)Sport Recife31.50.3W
21-09-25Cruzeiro52 - 1 (1)Bragantino61.50.3W
31-08-25Cruzeiro31 - 0 (0)SĂŁo Paulo61.5-1L
23-08-25Cruzeiro42 - 1 (0)Internacional11.50.39W
10-08-25Cruzeiro1(A)1 - 2 (1)Santos51.50.27W
27-07-25Cruzeiro31 - 2 (0)Ceará31.50.41W
20-07-25Cruzeiro2(A)4 - 0 (1)Juventude51.50.29W
13-07-25Cruzeiro64 - 1 (1)GrĂŞmio01.50.41W
01-06-25Cruzeiro22 - 1 (1)Palmeiras21.50.5W
18-05-25Cruzeiro20 - 0 (0)Atlético Mineiro11.5-1L

Fortaleza's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.031.3910.3%

Fortaleza's last 10 away matches.

05-10-25Juventude31 - 2 (1)Fortaleza21.50.41W
21-09-25Palmeiras2(A)4 - 1 (2)Fortaleza71.50.28W
31-08-25Internacional72 - 1 (0)Fortaleza61.50.33W
16-08-25Fluminense2(A)2 - 1 (0)Fortaleza31.50.41W
03-08-25Corinthians21 - 1 (1)Fortaleza41.50.49W
29-07-25GrĂŞmio1(A)2 - 1 (0)Fortaleza21.50.37W
01-06-25Flamengo25 - 0 (0)Fortaleza1(A)1.50.28W
17-05-25Vasco da Gama2(A)3 - 0 (1)Fortaleza21.50.46W
03-05-25SĂŁo Paulo20 - 0 (0)Fortaleza31.5-1L
26-04-25Sport Recife60 - 0 (0)Fortaleza1(A)1.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Cruzeiro's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.931.3915.5%

Cruzeiro's all matches - last 6

16-10-25Atlético Mineiro71 - 1 (0)Cruzeiro101.50.49W
05-10-25Cruzeiro2(A)1 - 1 (0)Sport Recife31.50.3W
02-10-25Flamengo30 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro41.5-1L
27-09-25Vasco da Gama52 - 0 (0)Cruzeiro51.50.43W
21-09-25Cruzeiro52 - 1 (1)Bragantino61.50.3W
15-09-25Bahia41 - 2 (2)Cruzeiro31.50.41W

Fortaleza's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.361.317.2%

Fortaleza's all matches - last 6

16-10-25Fortaleza100 - 2 (1)Vasco da Gama101.50.3W
05-10-25Juventude31 - 2 (1)Fortaleza21.50.41W
02-10-25Fortaleza40 - 2 (1)SĂŁo Paulo21.5W
27-09-25Fortaleza51 - 0 (0)Sport Recife51.5-1L
21-09-25Palmeiras2(A)4 - 1 (2)Fortaleza71.50.28W
13-09-25Fortaleza122 - 0 (0)VitĂłria121.50.37W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.661.43-13.2%

H2H matches - last 6

25-05-25Fortaleza30 - 2 (0)Cruzeiro2(A)1.50.47W
06-08-24Cruzeiro81 - 2 (0)Fortaleza81.50.44W
17-04-24Fortaleza2(A)1 - 1 (1)Cruzeiro21.50.43W
18-11-23Fortaleza50 - 1 (1)Cruzeiro61.5-1L
21-06-23Cruzeiro100 - 1 (1)Fortaleza91.5-1L
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro28158541212053DDDLW
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
13Corinthians2889113035-533LWDLL
14Atlético Mineiro2789102631-533DWLDW
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2766152643-1724LWLWL
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -20%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.58 (1.72)-0.20 (1.28)0.921.03

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.23 - -0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
383.171.438.34%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Cruzeiro's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.23 - -0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.281.467.00%
16-10-25-0.20Atlético Mineiro71 - 1 (0)Cruzeiro101.50.49W
26-10-24-0.20Athletico PR33 - 0 (1)Cruzeiro21.50.39W
29-09-24-0.21Cruzeiro11 - 1 (0)Vasco da Gama61.50.4W
15-09-24-0.19Cruzeiro130 - 1 (0)SĂŁo Paulo1(A)1.5-1L

Fortaleza's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.23 - -0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.781.4544.50%
05-10-25-0.19Juventude31 - 2 (1)Fortaleza21.50.41W
22-09-24-0.20Fortaleza34 - 1 (2)Bahia61.50.41W
11-09-24-0.20Internacional92 - 1 (1)Fortaleza91.50.43W
16-06-24-0.18Cuiabá2(A)5 - 0 (0)Fortaleza1(A)1.50.53W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-1.57%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Cruzeiro (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-1.57%

Fortaleza (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-1.57%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Cruzeiro's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.351.424.38%
05-10-25Cruzeiro2(A)1 - 1Sport Recife31.50.3W
10-08-25Cruzeiro1(A)1 - 2Santos51.50.27W
23-07-25Corinthians2(A)0 - 0Cruzeiro21.5-1L
20-07-25Cruzeiro2(A)4 - 0Juventude51.50.29W
01-06-25Cruzeiro22 - 1Palmeiras21.50.5W
25-05-25Fortaleza30 - 2Cruzeiro2(A)1.50.47W
18-05-25Cruzeiro20 - 0Atlético Mineiro11.5-1L
11-05-25Sport Recife70 - 4Cruzeiro2(A)1.50.52W

Fortaleza's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.181.392.25%
05-10-25Juventude31 - 2Fortaleza21.50.41W
29-07-25GrĂŞmio1(A)2 - 1Fortaleza21.50.37W
13-07-25Fortaleza2(A)0 - 1Ceará2(A)1.5-1L
01-06-25Flamengo25 - 0Fortaleza1(A)1.50.28W
17-05-25Vasco da Gama2(A)3 - 0Fortaleza21.50.46W
10-05-25Fortaleza25 - 0Juventude41.50.21W
26-04-25Sport Recife60 - 0Fortaleza1(A)1.5-1L
20-04-25Fortaleza2(A)1 - 2Palmeiras31.50.45W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Cruzeiro's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.271.48-31.75%
19-10-24Cruzeiro141 - 1Bahia131.50.3W
22-10-23Atlético Mineiro2(A)0 - 1Cruzeiro21.5-1L
19-10-23Cruzeiro30 - 2Flamengo101.50.43W
15-10-23Cuiabá140 - 0Cruzeiro131.5-1L

Fortaleza's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.111.39-1.57%
17-10-24Fortaleza111 - 1Atlético Mineiro71.50.41W
21-10-23Bahia12 - 0Fortaleza1(A)1.50.34W
19-10-23Vasco da Gama111 - 0Fortaleza101.5-1L
15-10-22América Mineiro51 - 2Fortaleza51.50.39W
23-10-21Fortaleza1(A)3 - 0Athletico PR11.50.36W
16-10-21Chapecoense21 - 2Fortaleza21.50.39W
13-10-21Fortaleza31 - 0GrĂŞmio2(A)1.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.442.462.742.73

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2752.46
2024Serie A3802.44
2023Serie A3802.49
2022Serie A3802.38
2021Serie A2512.21

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.79%1.4171.64%1.475%1.3380%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A27571.64% 1.4
2024Serie A38072.89% 1.37
2023Serie A38071.32% 1.4
2022Serie A38068.16% 1.47
2021Serie A25166.53% 1.5
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.131.091.171.25

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2751.09
2024Serie A3801.11
2023Serie A3801.16
2022Serie A3801.11
2021Serie A2510.94

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.321.371.571.49

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Serie A2751.37
2024Serie A3801.34
2023Serie A3801.33
2022Serie A3801.28
2021Serie A2511.27
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
14-0.081.29-0.57%

Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 18 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.281.2828%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Cruzeiro matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.481.4141.33%
05-10-253Cruzeiro2(A)1 - 120Sport Recife31.50.3W
20-07-251Cruzeiro2(A)4 - 018Juventude51.50.29W
18-04-2515Cruzeiro43 - 018Bahia41.50.48W
01-09-247Cruzeiro33 - 120Atlético GO71.50.5W
20-06-248Cruzeiro32 - 019Fluminense31.50.39W
13-06-2411Cruzeiro102 - 119Cuiabá31.50.52W

Fortaleza matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.391.296.5%
21-09-253Palmeiras2(A)4 - 119Fortaleza71.50.28W
01-06-253Flamengo25 - 016Fortaleza1(A)1.50.28W
26-10-242Palmeiras52 - 23Fortaleza81.50.22W
01-09-242Botafogo62 - 01Fortaleza61.50.28W
11-07-241Flamengo41 - 28Fortaleza31.50.33W
14-06-243Bahia111 - 010Fortaleza41.5-1L
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