Bahia vs Grêmio - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BRAZIL - Serie A

2025-10-19
00:30:00

Bahia^1(A)

Grêmio²

Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)

1.753.975.63

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.34

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL

2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD

3Cruzeiro28158541212053DDDLW

4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL

5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD

6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL

7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW

8São Paulo28108103130138LLWLL

9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW

10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL

11Grêmio2899103033-336WLDWD

12Ceará2798102725235DWLWD

13Corinthians2889113035-533LWDLL

14Atlético Mineiro2789102631-533DWLDW

15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL

16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW

17Vitória28610122643-1728WLWLL

18Fortaleza2766152643-1724LWLWL

19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD

20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Bahia's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.651.36-16.5%

Bahia's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

21-08-25

Bahia1 - 0⁽¹⁾Ceará1.5-1L

10-08-25

Bahia³3 - 3⁽¹⁾Fluminense²1.50.41W

18-05-25

Bahia³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Vitória^2(A)1.50.44W

21-04-25

Bahia^2(A)1 - 0⁽¹⁾Ceará⁴1.5-1L

30-03-25

Bahia³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Corinthians¹1.50.36W

26-03-25

Bahia^2(A)3 - 2⁽¹⁾Ceará³1.50.48W

16-03-25

Bahia¹2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Vitória³1.50.42W

17-01-25

Bahia⁴0 - 1⁽¹⁾Atlético Alagoinhas⁵1.5-1L

24-11-24

Bahia³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Athletico PR³1.50.24W

21-07-24

Bahia⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Corinthians³1.5-1L

Grêmio's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.681.39-16.8%

Grêmio's away matches when WIN odds between 4.6 and 6.6

04-10-25

Bragantino^2(A)1 - 0⁽¹⁾Grêmio^1(A)1.5-1L

02-10-25

Santos³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Grêmio³1.50.48W

21-09-25

Internacional⁶2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁶1.50.39W

17-08-25

Atlético Mineiro²1 - 3⁽¹⁾Grêmio⁶1.50.39W

03-08-25

Fluminense^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁴1.5-1L

16-03-25

Internacional⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grêmio³1.50.33W

19-10-24

Internacional¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁹1.5-1L

09-10-24

Atlético Mineiro³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grêmio³1.50.4W

29-09-24

Botafogo^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Grêmio³1.5-1L

04-08-24

Athletico PR³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Grêmio^2(A)1.50.33W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Bahia's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.711.35-7.1%

Bahia's last 10 home matches

05-10-25

Bahia^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Flamengo²1.5-1L

28-09-25

Bahia³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Palmeiras²1.5-1L

15-09-25

Bahia⁴1 - 2⁽²⁾Cruzeiro³1.50.41W

06-09-25

Bahia^1(A)5 - 0⁽⁰⁾Confiança¹1.50.28W

24-08-25

Bahia²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Santos⁶1.50.28W

21-08-25

Bahia1 - 0⁽¹⁾Ceará1.5-1L

10-08-25

Bahia³3 - 3⁽¹⁾Fluminense²1.50.41W

27-07-25

Bahia³3 - 0⁽¹⁾Juventude²1.50.2W

13-07-25

Bahia2 - 1⁽²⁾Atlético Mineiro1.50.43W

07-06-25

Bahia^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Náutico⁶1.50.28W

Grêmio's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.221.4-2.2%

Grêmio's last 10 away matches.

04-10-25

Bragantino^2(A)1 - 0⁽¹⁾Grêmio^1(A)1.5-1L

02-10-25

Santos³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Grêmio³1.50.48W

21-09-25

Internacional⁶2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁶1.50.39W

31-08-25

Flamengo⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Grêmio⁶1.50.23W

17-08-25

Atlético Mineiro²1 - 3⁽¹⁾Grêmio⁶1.50.39W

03-08-25

Fluminense^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁴1.5-1L

27-07-25

Palmeiras³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Grêmio²1.5-1L

19-07-25

Vasco da Gama^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Grêmio^1(A)1.50.47W

13-07-25

Cruzeiro⁶4 - 1⁽¹⁾Grêmio⁰1.50.41W

01-06-25

Juventude⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Grêmio²1.50.41W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Bahia's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.281.43-4.67%

Bahia's all matches - last 6

17-10-25

Vitória¹¹2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bahia¹¹1.50.52W

05-10-25

Bahia^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Flamengo²1.5-1L

02-10-25

Botafogo³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bahia³1.50.43W

28-09-25

Bahia³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Palmeiras²1.5-1L

24-09-25

Vasco da Gama³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Bahia³1.50.28W

20-09-25

Ceará⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bahia⁴1.50.49W

Grêmio's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.241.4420.67%

Grêmio's all matches - last 6

16-10-25

Grêmio¹¹2 - 0⁽⁰⁾São Paulo¹⁰1.50.47W

04-10-25

Bragantino^2(A)1 - 0⁽¹⁾Grêmio^1(A)1.5-1L

02-10-25

Santos³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Grêmio³1.50.48W

28-09-25

Grêmio³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Vitória⁷1.50.48W

24-09-25

Grêmio^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Botafogo³1.50.42W

21-09-25

Internacional⁶2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁶1.50.39W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.841.35-30.67%

H2H matches - last 6

25-05-25

Grêmio³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bahia³1.5-1L

17-08-24

Grêmio³0 - 2⁽¹⁾Bahia⁵1.50.36W

28-04-24

Bahia⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁴1.5-1L

04-11-23

Grêmio^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bahia³1.5-1L

01-07-23

Bahia⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Grêmio⁵1.50.29W

16-10-22

Grêmio⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Bahia⁷1.50.51W

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL

2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD

3Cruzeiro28158541212053DDDLW

4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL

5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD

6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL

7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW

8São Paulo28108103130138LLWLL

9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW

10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL

11Grêmio2899103033-336WLDWD

12Ceará2798102725235DWLWD

13Corinthians2889113035-533LWDLL

14Atlético Mineiro2789102631-533DWLDW

15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL

16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW

17Vitória28610122643-1728WLWLL

18Fortaleza2766152643-1724LWLWL

19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD

20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 4%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.79 (1.27)0.04 (1.34)0.612.29

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

87-11.641.42-13.38%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Bahia's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.201.33-15.00%

24-09-25

^0.06Vasco da Gama³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Bahia³1.50.28W

15-09-25

^0.06Bahia⁴1 - 2⁽²⁾Cruzeiro³1.50.41W

18-04-25

^0.06Cruzeiro⁴3 - 0⁽¹⁾Bahia⁴1.50.48W

25-08-24

^0.02Bahia⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Botafogo^2(A)1.5-1L

21-07-24

^0.05Bahia⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Corinthians³1.5-1L

10-07-24

^0.05Athletico PR^2(A)1 - 3⁽¹⁾Bahia^2(A)1.50.31W

02-06-24

^0.02Atlético Mineiro⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bahia⁶1.50.32W

12-05-24

^0.06Bahia⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bragantino¹1.5-1L

Grêmio's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

92.361.4126.22%

02-10-25

^0.06Santos³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Grêmio³1.50.48W

28-09-25

^0.03Grêmio³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Vitória⁷1.50.48W

10-05-25

^0.04Grêmio^1(A)1 - 1⁽²⁾Bragantino⁴1.50.39W

04-12-24

^0.05Vitória²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grêmio²1.50.37W

28-11-24

^0.03Cruzeiro⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grêmio⁷1.50.38W

15-09-24

^0.06Bragantino¹³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Grêmio¹³1.50.32W

25-07-24

^0.03Corinthians³2 - 2⁽²⁾Grêmio³1.50.51W

17-07-24

^0.02São Paulo⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Grêmio²1.5-1L

10-07-24

^0.05Grêmio^2(A)0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Cruzeiro²1.50.43W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-15.4%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Bahia (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-15.4%

Grêmio (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-15.4%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Bahia's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.021.360.25%

05-10-25

Bahia^2(A)1 - 0Flamengo²1.5-1L

06-09-25

Bahia^1(A)5 - 0Confiança¹1.50.28W

04-09-25

Confiança³1 - 4Bahia^2(A)1.50.43W

31-08-25

Mirassol⁶5 - 1Bahia²1.50.36W

24-08-25

Bahia²2 - 0Santos⁶1.50.28W

02-08-25

Sport Recife⁶0 - 0Bahia²1.5-1L

19-07-25

Fortaleza⁵1 - 1Bahia²1.50.39W

07-06-25

Bahia^2(A)3 - 1Náutico⁶1.50.28W

Grêmio's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.941.41-11.75%

04-10-25

Bragantino^2(A)1 - 0Grêmio^1(A)1.5-1L

24-09-25

Grêmio^2(A)1 - 1Botafogo³1.50.42W

29-07-25

Grêmio^1(A)2 - 1Fortaleza²1.50.37W

27-07-25

Palmeiras³1 - 0Grêmio²1.5-1L

19-07-25

Vasco da Gama^2(A)1 - 1Grêmio^1(A)1.50.47W

01-06-25

Juventude⁵0 - 2Grêmio²1.50.41W

10-05-25

Grêmio^1(A)1 - 1Bragantino⁴1.50.39W

04-05-25

Grêmio^2(A)1 - 0Santos²1.5-1L

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Bahia's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.361.35-47.2%

19-10-24

Cruzeiro¹⁴1 - 1Bahia¹³1.50.3W

21-10-23

Bahia¹2 - 0Fortaleza^1(A)1.50.34W

19-10-23

Bahia¹¹1 - 0Internacional¹⁰1.5-1L

17-10-21

América Mineiro^2(A)0 - 0Bahia³1.5-1L

13-10-21

Bahia³0 - 0Palmeiras²1.5-1L

Grêmio's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.771.41-15.4%

19-10-24

Internacional¹³1 - 0Grêmio⁹1.5-1L

21-10-23

São Paulo^1(A)3 - 0Grêmio²1.50.3W

18-10-23

Grêmio⁹1 - 2Athletico PR⁹1.50.39W

17-10-21

Grêmio³3 - 2Juventude³1.50.54W

13-10-21

Fortaleza³1 - 0Grêmio^2(A)1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.442.462.742.73

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Serie A2752.46

2024

Serie A3802.44

2023

Serie A3802.49

2022

Serie A3802.38

2021

Serie A2512.21

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

70.79%1.4171.64%1.475%1.3380%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Serie A27571.64% 1.4

2024

Serie A38072.89% 1.37

2023

Serie A38071.32% 1.4

2022

Serie A38068.16% 1.47

2021

Serie A25166.53% 1.5

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.131.091.171.25

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Serie A2751.09

2024

Serie A3801.11

2023

Serie A3801.16

2022

Serie A3801.11

2021

Serie A2510.94

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.321.371.571.49

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Serie A2751.37

2024

Serie A3801.34

2023

Serie A3801.33

2022

Serie A3801.28

2021

Serie A2511.27

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

120.91.447.5%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

21.221.6161%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Bahia matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.741.42-29%

10-08-25

⁴Bahia³3 - 3¹⁰Fluminense²1.50.41W

04-05-25

⁹Bahia^2(A)1 - 0¹¹Botafogo³1.5-1L

15-09-24

⁷Bahia^1(A)3 - 0¹⁰Atlético Mineiro¹1.50.36W

14-06-24

³Bahia¹¹1 - 0¹⁰Fortaleza⁴1.5-1L

29-11-23

¹⁷Bahia³0 - 1¹⁰São Paulo²1.5-1L

09-11-23

¹⁵Bahia⁴0 - 3¹²Cuiabá^1(A)1.50.49W

Grêmio matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.651.36-10.83%

05-04-25

⁷Ceará⁴2 - 0⁵Grêmio^1(A)1.50.45W

28-11-24

⁷Cruzeiro⁴1 - 1¹⁵Grêmio⁷1.50.38W

19-10-24

⁷Internacional¹³1 - 0¹²Grêmio⁹1.5-1L

17-07-24

⁶São Paulo⁴1 - 0¹⁸Grêmio²1.5-1L

07-12-23

⁷Fluminense³2 - 3⁴Grêmio³1.50.19W

26-11-23

⁶Atlético Mineiro¹³3 - 0⁴Grêmio¹³1.50.33W

YOUR TEXT

Bahia vs Grêmio - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BRAZIL - Serie A

Bahia's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Bahia's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

Grêmio's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Grêmio's away matches when WIN odds between 4.6 and 6.6

Bahia's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Bahia's last 10 home matches

Grêmio's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Grêmio's last 10 away matches.

Bahia's all matches (last 6 matches)

Bahia's all matches - last 6

Grêmio's all matches (last 6 matches)

Grêmio's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Bahia's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Grêmio's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Bahia (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Grêmio (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Bahia's all matches (last 8 matches)

Grêmio's all matches (last 8 matches)

Bahia's all matches (last 8 matches)

Grêmio's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 11 in the table

Bahia matches against table positions: 10,11,12

Grêmio matches against table positions: 5,6,7

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