Ceará vs Botafogo - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
BRAZIL - Serie A



2025-10-19
22:30:00

Ceará3
Botafogo3


Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.54

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Ceará's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.61.54-12%
Ceará's home matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8
05-10-25
Ceará2(A)3 - 0 (1)Santos21.50.53W


16-07-25
Ceará2(A)0 - 1 (0)Corinthians21.5-1L


27-10-23
Ceará42 - 1 (0)Sport Recife41.50.43W


20-07-23
Ceará31 - 0 (1)Vila Nova41.5-1L


05-03-23
Ceará2(A)2 - 0 (0)Fortaleza11.50.44W


Botafogo's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.271.41-18.14%
Botafogo's away matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.5
04-10-25
Internacional22 - 0 (0)Botafogo11.50.4W


24-09-25
GrĂŞmio2(A)1 - 1 (1)Botafogo31.50.42W


09-08-25
Fortaleza50 - 5 (1)Botafogo2(A)1.50.38W


25-08-24
Bahia70 - 0 (0)Botafogo2(A)1.5-1L


03-07-24
Cuiabá31 - 2 (1)Botafogo31.50.53W


06-11-23
Vasco da Gama31 - 0 (0)Botafogo31.5-1L


22-06-23
Cuiabá110 - 1 (0)Botafogo101.5-1L


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Ceará's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.451.53-24.5%
Ceará's last 10 home matches
05-10-25
Ceará2(A)3 - 0 (1)Santos21.50.53W


20-09-25
Ceará51 - 1 (0)Bahia41.50.49W


30-08-25
Ceará50 - 1 (1)Juventude51.5-1L


16-08-25
Ceará51 - 0 (0)Bragantino61.5-1L


03-08-25
Ceará61 - 1 (0)Flamengo11.50.5W


23-07-25
Ceará2(A)0 - 2 (0)Mirassol31.50.5W


16-07-25
Ceará2(A)0 - 1 (0)Corinthians21.5-1L


01-06-25
Ceará90 - 1 (1)Atlético Mineiro11.5-1L


17-05-25
Ceará42 - 0 (0)Sport Recife51.50.53W


03-05-25
Ceará21 - 0 (0)Vitória51.5-1L


Botafogo's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.411.45-14.1%
Botafogo's last 10 away matches.
04-10-25
Internacional22 - 0 (0)Botafogo11.50.4W


28-09-25
Fluminense32 - 0 (1)Botafogo31.50.48W


24-09-25
GrĂŞmio2(A)1 - 1 (1)Botafogo31.50.42W


14-09-25
SĂŁo Paulo131 - 0 (0)Botafogo11.5-1L


24-08-25
Juventude31 - 3 (2)Botafogo2(A)1.50.42W


09-08-25
Fortaleza50 - 5 (1)Botafogo2(A)1.50.38W


20-07-25
Sport Recife50 - 1 (1)Botafogo21.5-1L


12-07-25
Vasco da Gama0 - 2 (1)Botafogo1.50.49W


01-06-25
Santos60 - 1 (1)Botafogo31.5-1L


18-05-25
Flamengo10 - 0 (0)Botafogo21.5-1L


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Ceará's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.111.5-1.83%
Ceará's all matches - last 6
15-10-25
Sport Recife61 - 1 (2)Ceará91.50.44W


05-10-25
Ceará2(A)3 - 0 (1)Santos21.50.53W


02-10-25
Vitória31 - 0 (0)Ceará2(A)1.5-1L


29-09-25
São Paulo30 - 1 (0)Ceará81.5-1L


20-09-25
Ceará51 - 1 (0)Bahia41.50.49W


14-09-25
Vasco da Gama1(A)2 - 2 (2)Ceará141.50.43W


Botafogo's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.171.4319.5%
Botafogo's all matches - last 6
15-10-25
Botafogo100 - 3 (1)Flamengo91.50.44W


04-10-25
Internacional22 - 0 (0)Botafogo11.50.4W


02-10-25
Botafogo32 - 1 (0)Bahia31.50.43W


28-09-25
Fluminense32 - 0 (1)Botafogo31.50.48W


24-09-25
GrĂŞmio2(A)1 - 1 (1)Botafogo31.50.42W


20-09-25
Botafogo21 - 0 (0)Atlético Mineiro2(A)1.5-1L


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.381.3838%
H2H matches - last 6
04-06-25
Botafogo2(A)3 - 2 (2)Ceará21.50.38W



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras27194451232861WWWWL
2Flamengo27177353134058WLDWD
3Cruzeiro29168542212156WDDDL
4Mirassol281310547301749WWLDL
5Botafogo28127937261143LLWLD
6Bahia2712783532343LWLWL
7Fluminense27125103533241WLWDW
8SĂŁo Paulo28108103130138LLWLL
9Vasco da Gama28106124441336WWLWW
10Bragantino28106123443-936LWDDL
11GrĂŞmio2899103033-336WLDWD
12Corinthians2999113135-436WLWDL
13Ceará2798102725235DWLWD
14Atlético Mineiro2889112632-633LDWLD
15Internacional2788113341-832LWDDL
16Santos2787122839-1131WLDDW
17VitĂłria28610122643-1728WLWLL
18Fortaleza2866162644-1824LLWLW
19Juventude2865172253-3123LLLDD
20Sport Recife27211142142-2117DLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -11%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.54 (1.85)-0.11 (1.54)1.220.57
Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
701.271.401.81%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Ceará's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.601.42-30.00%
30-08-25
-0.10Ceará50 - 1 (1)Juventude51.5-1L


10-08-25
-0.09Palmeiras22 - 1 (0)Ceará61.50.4W


Botafogo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.051.43-50.83%
24-08-25
-0.10Juventude31 - 3 (2)Botafogo2(A)1.50.42W


01-06-25
-0.09Santos60 - 1 (1)Botafogo31.5-1L


20-04-25
-0.10Atlético Mineiro2(A)1 - 0 (0)Botafogo31.5-1L


26-10-24
-0.12Bragantino60 - 1 (1)Botafogo11.5-1L


03-07-24
-0.10Cuiabá31 - 2 (1)Botafogo31.50.53W


02-06-24
-0.11Corinthians40 - 1 (0)Botafogo41.5-1L


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0007.2%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Ceará (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0007.2%
Botafogo (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0007.2%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Ceará's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.071.37-13.38%
27-07-25
Cruzeiro31 - 2Ceará31.50.41W


20-07-25
Internacional71 - 0Ceará31.5-1L


16-04-25
Ceará32 - 1Vasco da Gama21.50.45W


26-03-25
Bahia2(A)3 - 2Ceará31.50.48W


19-03-25
Ceará32 - 0Juazeirense111.50.26W


06-03-25
Ceará31 - 0América RN71.5-1L


12-02-25
Ceará31 - 1Confiança21.50.33W


06-02-25
Ceará31 - 0CSA41.5-1L


Botafogo's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.061.45-25.75%
02-10-25
Botafogo32 - 1Bahia31.50.43W


28-09-25
Fluminense32 - 0Botafogo31.50.48W


24-09-25
GrĂŞmio2(A)1 - 1Botafogo31.50.42W


01-06-25
Santos60 - 1Botafogo31.5-1L


04-05-25
Bahia2(A)1 - 0Botafogo31.5-1L


20-04-25
Atlético Mineiro2(A)1 - 0Botafogo31.5-1L


16-04-25
Botafogo32 - 2SĂŁo Paulo21.50.61W


12-04-25
Bragantino51 - 0Botafogo31.5-1L


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Ceará's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.081.49-1.33%
23-10-22
Atlético GO61 - 0Ceará61.5-1L


16-10-22
Ceará61 - 1Cuiabá71.50.67W


23-10-21
Juventude50 - 0Ceará21.5-1L


20-10-21
Ceará21 - 2Palmeiras21.50.39W


17-10-21
Ceará2(A)2 - 2Bragantino41.50.43W


14-10-21
São Paulo2(A)1 - 1Ceará41.50.43W


Botafogo's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.361.367.2%
18-10-24
Botafogo121 - 1CriciĂşma141.50.23W


22-10-23
Botafogo31 - 1Athletico PR31.50.4W


18-10-23
América Mineiro91 - 2Botafogo91.50.34W


23-10-22
Fluminense62 - 2Botafogo61.50.39W


16-10-22
Botafogo60 - 1Internacional61.5-1L


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.442.462.732.67
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A2762.46


2024
Serie A3802.44


2023
Serie A3802.49


2022
Serie A3802.38


2021
Serie A2512.21


Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.79%1.4171.38%1.474%1.3576.67%1.3
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A27671.38% 1.4


2024
Serie A38072.89% 1.37


2023
Serie A38071.32% 1.4


2022
Serie A38068.16% 1.47


2021
Serie A25166.53% 1.5


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.131.091.071.23
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A2761.09


2024
Serie A3801.11


2023
Serie A3801.16


2022
Serie A3801.11


2021
Serie A2510.94


Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.321.371.61.5
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Serie A2761.37


2024
Serie A3801.34


2023
Serie A3801.33


2022
Serie A3801.28


2021
Serie A2511.27


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
183.881.4521.56%
Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 5 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.921.4646%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Ceará matches against table positions: 4,5,6
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.391.4646.33%
20-09-25
11Ceará51 - 16Bahia41.50.49W


16-04-25
8Ceará32 - 14Vasco da Gama21.50.45W


05-04-25
7Ceará42 - 05Grêmio1(A)1.50.45W


Botafogo matches against table positions: 12,13,14
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
72.911.4241.57%
24-09-25
12GrĂŞmio2(A)1 - 15Botafogo31.50.42W


12-07-25
13Vasco da Gama0 - 28Botafogo1.50.49W


11-08-24
14Juventude2(A)3 - 21Botafogo31.50.35W


03-07-24
14Cuiabá31 - 23Botafogo31.50.53W


22-06-24
14CriciĂşma2(A)2 - 12Botafogo21.50.38W


12-05-24
12Fortaleza2(A)1 - 15Botafogo21.50.38W


23-11-23
12Fortaleza42 - 22Botafogo101.50.36W

