Atalanta vs Lazio - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie A

2025-10-19
17:00:00

Atalanta¹⁴

Lazio¹⁴

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia (Bergamo)

1.804.184.90

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Inter75021881015WWWWL

2Napoli7502127515LWLWW

3Roma750273415LWWWL

4Milan641193613DWWWW

5Juventus633095412DDDWW

6Atalanta6240115610DDWWD

7Bologna631295410WDWLW

8Sassuolo731388010DWWLW

9Como62317529DDWDL

10Cremonese623178-19LDDDW

11Cagliari62226608DLWWL

12Udinese622269-38DLLWW

13Torino7223613-78WDLLW

14Lazio621310737DWLLW

15Lecce7133510-56DWDLL

16Parma612337-45LWDLD

17Hellas Verona704329-74DLLDD

18Fiorentina603348-43LDLLD

19Pisa7034310-73DLDLL

20Genoa602439-62LLLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Atalanta's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-0.721.25-10.29%

Atalanta's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

25-05-25

Atalanta⁷2 - 3⁽¹⁾Parma⁶1.50.21W

06-04-25

Atalanta⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁵1.5-1L

15-09-24

Atalanta¹⁵3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Fiorentina¹³1.50.28W

02-09-23

Atalanta⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Monza⁶1.50.23W

08-04-23

Atalanta⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Bologna⁵1.50.33W

04-03-23

Atalanta⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Udinese⁵1.5-1L

15-10-22

Atalanta⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Sassuolo⁶1.50.23W

Lazio's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.71.367%

Lazio's away matches when WIN odds between 4.2 and 5.7

18-05-25

Inter⁶2 - 2⁽²⁾Lazio⁷1.50.23W

08-12-24

Napoli^2(A)0 - 1⁽¹⁾Lazio²1.5-1L

19-10-24

Juventus¹²1 - 0⁽¹⁾Lazio¹²1.5-1L

04-02-24

Atalanta⁷3 - 1⁽²⁾Lazio⁶1.50.4W

30-09-23

Milan^2(A)2 - 0⁽¹⁾Lazio²1.50.3W

16-09-23

Juventus¹²3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lazio¹³1.50.37W

02-09-23

Napoli⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁵1.50.23W

06-05-23

Milan²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lazio²1.50.39W

30-04-23

Inter³3 - 1⁽³⁾Lazio⁷1.50.37W

13-11-22

Juventus^2(A)3 - 0⁽¹⁾Lazio²1.50.41W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Atalanta's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.071.250.7%

Atalanta's last 10 home matches

04-10-25

Atalanta³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Como⁶1.50.26W

14-09-25

Atalanta¹⁴4 - 1⁽¹⁾Lecce¹⁵1.50.26W

24-08-25

Atalanta⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pisa⁶1.50.28W

25-05-25

Atalanta⁷2 - 3⁽¹⁾Parma⁶1.50.21W

12-05-25

Atalanta⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Roma⁷1.50.25W

27-04-25

Atalanta⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lecce⁷1.50.21W

13-04-25

Atalanta⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bologna⁵1.50.3W

06-04-25

Atalanta⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁵1.5-1L

16-03-25

Atalanta⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Inter⁴1.50.3W

01-03-25

Atalanta⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Venezia⁶1.5-1L

Lazio's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.851.34-18.5%

Lazio's last 10 away matches.

29-09-25

Genoa³0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁷1.50.48W

14-09-25

Sassuolo¹⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lazio¹³1.5-1L

24-08-25

Como⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lazio²¹1.50.31W

18-05-25

Inter⁶2 - 2⁽²⁾Lazio⁷1.50.23W

04-05-25

Empoli⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁵1.5-1L

23-04-25

Genoa⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lazio³1.50.46W

06-04-25

Atalanta⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁵1.5-1L

16-03-25

Bologna⁶5 - 0⁽¹⁾Lazio²1.50.43W

02-03-25

Milan^2(A)1 - 2⁽²⁾Lazio⁴1.50.24W

22-02-25

Venezia⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁶1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Atalanta's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.641.2727.33%

Atalanta's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Atalanta³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Como⁶1.50.26W

27-09-25

Juventus⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Atalanta⁵1.50.24W

21-09-25

Torino⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Atalanta³1.50.32W

14-09-25

Atalanta¹⁴4 - 1⁽¹⁾Lecce¹⁵1.50.26W

30-08-25

Parma⁵1 - 1⁽²⁾Atalanta⁵1.50.28W

24-08-25

Atalanta⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pisa⁶1.50.28W

Lazio's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.461.38-7.67%

Lazio's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Lazio⁵3 - 3⁽²⁾Torino⁵1.50.37W

29-09-25

Genoa³0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁷1.50.48W

21-09-25

Lazio⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Roma⁶1.5-1L

14-09-25

Sassuolo¹⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lazio¹³1.5-1L

31-08-25

Lazio⁶4 - 0⁽¹⁾Hellas Verona⁵1.50.38W

24-08-25

Como⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lazio²¹1.50.31W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.491.298.17%

H2H matches - last 6

06-04-25

Atalanta⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁵1.5-1L

28-12-24

Lazio⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Atalanta⁵1.50.25W

04-02-24

Atalanta⁷3 - 1⁽²⁾Lazio⁶1.50.4W

08-10-23

Lazio³3 - 2⁽¹⁾Atalanta^2(A)1.50.37W

11-02-23

Lazio⁴0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Atalanta⁶1.50.24W

23-10-22

Atalanta⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁶1.50.23W

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Inter75021881015WWWWL

2Napoli7502127515LWLWW

3Roma750273415LWWWL

4Milan641193613DWWWW

5Juventus633095412DDDWW

6Atalanta6240115610DDWWD

7Bologna631295410WDWLW

8Sassuolo731388010DWWLW

9Como62317529DDWDL

10Cremonese623178-19LDDDW

11Cagliari62226608DLWWL

12Udinese622269-38DLLWW

13Torino7223613-78WDLLW

14Lazio621310737DWLLW

15Lecce7133510-56DWDLL

16Parma612337-45LWDLD

17Hellas Verona704329-74DLLDD

18Fiorentina603348-43LDLLD

19Pisa7034310-73DLDLL

20Genoa602439-62LLLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 1%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.79 (1.27)0.01 (1.28)1.651.28

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

67-8.501.33-12.69%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Atalanta's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

110.261.262.36%

30-03-25

^0.03Fiorentina¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Atalanta¹³1.5-1L

16-03-25

^-0.01Atalanta⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Inter⁴1.50.3W

11-01-25

^0.03Udinese⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Atalanta⁸1.5-1L

20-10-24

^0.02Venezia¹⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Atalanta¹⁴1.50.21W

05-10-24

^0.03Atalanta^2(A)5 - 1⁽²⁾Genoa⁶1.50.26W

30-08-24

^0.00Inter⁵4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Atalanta⁴1.50.22W

02-06-24

^0.00Atalanta⁶2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Fiorentina³1.50.17W

07-04-24

^0.00Cagliari⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Atalanta³1.50.28W

18-12-23

^0.00Atalanta³4 - 1⁽²⁾Salernitana⁷1.50.21W

09-12-23

^0.01Atalanta⁴3 - 2⁽²⁾Milan⁶1.50.36W

25-11-23

^0.02Atalanta¹²1 - 2⁽¹⁾Napoli¹²1.50.25W

Lazio's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.061.35-0.75%

13-04-25

^-0.01Lazio^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Roma⁶1.50.37W

10-03-25

^0.03Lazio³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Udinese⁸1.50.33W

03-02-25

^0.00Cagliari⁹1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lazio³1.50.28W

26-01-25

^-0.01Lazio²1 - 2⁽¹⁾Fiorentina⁶1.50.31W

19-01-25

^0.02Hellas Verona⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Lazio⁸1.50.32W

10-01-25

^0.03Lazio⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Como¹⁰1.50.33W

27-04-24

^0.01Lazio³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Hellas Verona⁶1.5-1L

12-11-23

^0.03Lazio⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Roma^2(A)1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

69-4.981.37-7.22%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 84 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Atalanta (ELO: 1835) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.991.2812.38%

06-04-25

⁷⁷Atalanta⁶0 - 1Lazio⁵1.5-1L

18-01-25

⁵⁹Atalanta³2 - 3Napoli⁵1.50.36W

14-01-25

⁶⁰Atalanta^2(A)1 - 1Juventus^2(A)1.50.44W

06-12-24

⁷⁶Atalanta³2 - 1Milan²1.50.28W

02-06-24

⁵⁹Atalanta⁶2 - 3Fiorentina³1.50.17W

02-09-23

⁹⁶Atalanta⁶3 - 0Monza⁶1.50.23W

04-06-23

⁸⁸Atalanta⁷5 - 2Monza⁶1.50.18W

08-04-23

⁹⁰Atalanta⁶0 - 2Bologna⁵1.50.33W

Lazio (ELO 1751) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.061.331.5%

06-04-25

⁷⁷Atalanta⁶0 - 1Lazio⁵1.5-1L

30-09-23

⁸⁷Milan^2(A)2 - 0Lazio²1.50.3W

06-05-23

⁶⁵Milan²2 - 0Lazio²1.50.39W

30-04-23

⁶²Inter³3 - 1Lazio⁷1.50.37W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Atalanta's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

41.041.2626%

14-09-25

Atalanta¹⁴4 - 1Lecce¹⁵1.50.26W

20-10-24

Venezia¹⁵0 - 2Atalanta¹⁴1.50.21W

17-09-23

Fiorentina¹³3 - 2Atalanta¹⁴1.50.29W

01-04-23

Cremonese¹³1 - 3Atalanta¹⁴1.50.28W

Lazio's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.341.3434%

31-03-25

Lazio¹⁴1 - 1Torino¹⁵1.50.34W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Atalanta's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.341.2222.33%

20-10-24

Venezia¹⁵0 - 2Atalanta¹⁴1.50.21W

22-10-23

Atalanta¹³2 - 0Genoa¹⁴1.50.27W

23-10-22

Atalanta⁷0 - 2Lazio⁶1.50.23W

15-10-22

Atalanta⁵2 - 1Sassuolo⁶1.50.23W

24-10-21

Atalanta³1 - 1Udinese⁶1.50.2W

17-10-21

Empoli⁷1 - 4Atalanta¹³1.50.2W

Lazio's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.061.28-17.67%

19-10-24

Juventus¹²1 - 0Lazio¹²1.5-1L

21-10-23

Sassuolo¹⁴0 - 2Lazio¹²1.50.23W

23-10-22

Atalanta⁷0 - 2Lazio⁶1.50.23W

16-10-22

Lazio²0 - 0Udinese⁶1.5-1L

24-10-21

Hellas Verona⁷4 - 1Lazio²1.50.25W

16-10-21

Lazio¹²3 - 1Inter¹³1.50.23W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.582.272.52.3

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie A642.27

2024/2025

Serie A3802.56

2023/2024

Serie A3802.61

2022/2023

Serie A3812.57

2021/2022

Serie A3802.87

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

74.58%1.3465.63%1.5273%1.3766.67%1.5

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie A6465.63% 1.52

2024/2025

Serie A38073.95% 1.35

2023/2024

Serie A38074.47% 1.34

2022/2023

Serie A38175.33% 1.33

2021/2022

Serie A38078.16% 1.28

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.141.031.271.08

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie A641.03

2024/2025

Serie A3801.12

2023/2024

Serie A3801.13

2022/2023

Serie A3811.16

2021/2022

Serie A3801.30

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.441.231.031.42

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie A641.23

2024/2025

Serie A3801.44

2023/2024

Serie A3801.48

2022/2023

Serie A3811.40

2021/2022

Serie A3801.57

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

13-2.781.31-21.38%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 14 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.581.2929%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Atalanta matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.311.24-7.75%

15-02-25

³Atalanta^2(A)0 - 0¹³Cagliari⁵1.5-1L

26-10-24

⁷Atalanta²6 - 1¹⁵Hellas Verona⁴1.50.2W

15-09-24

¹²Atalanta¹⁵3 - 2¹³Fiorentina¹³1.50.28W

15-01-24

⁸Atalanta⁴5 - 0¹⁵Frosinone³1.50.21W

Lazio matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-1.571.44-52.33%

16-03-25

⁶Bologna⁶5 - 0⁵Lazio²1.50.43W

19-10-24

⁵Juventus¹²1 - 0⁶Lazio¹²1.5-1L

06-04-24

⁵Roma⁴1 - 0⁷Lazio³1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Atalanta vs Lazio - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie A

Atalanta's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Atalanta's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

Lazio's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Lazio's away matches when WIN odds between 4.2 and 5.7

Atalanta's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Atalanta's last 10 home matches

Lazio's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Lazio's last 10 away matches.

Atalanta's all matches (last 6 matches)

Atalanta's all matches - last 6

Lazio's all matches (last 6 matches)

Lazio's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

Atalanta's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

Lazio's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Atalanta (ELO: 1835) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Lazio (ELO 1751) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Atalanta's all matches (last 8 matches)

Lazio's all matches (last 8 matches)

Atalanta's all matches (last 8 matches)

Lazio's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 14 in the table

Atalanta matches against table positions: 13,14,15

Lazio matches against table positions: 5,6,7

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