Genoa vs Parma - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie A

Genoa Logo

2025-10-19
14:00:00
Parma Logo
Genoa13
Parma14

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
2.283.184.06
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.51
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter75021881015WWWWL
2Napoli7502127515LWLWW
3Roma750273415LWWWL
4Milan641193613DWWWW
5Juventus633095412DDDWW
6Atalanta6240115610DDWWD
7Bologna631295410WDWLW
8Sassuolo731388010DWWLW
9Como62317529DDWDL
10Cremonese623178-19LDDDW
11Cagliari62226608DLWWL
12Udinese622269-38DLLWW
13Torino7223613-78WDLLW
14Lazio621310737DWLLW
15Lecce7133510-56DWDLL
16Parma612337-45LWDLD
17Hellas Verona704329-74DLLDD
18Fiorentina603348-43LDLLD
19Pisa7034310-73DLDLL
20Genoa602439-62LLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Genoa's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.21.4527.5%

Genoa's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

14-03-25Genoa62 - 1 (0)Lecce51.50.54W
27-01-25Genoa92 - 0 (1)Monza81.50.54W
01-09-24Genoa70 - 2 (0)Hellas Verona51.50.43W
12-05-24Genoa62 - 1 (0)Sassuolo71.50.33W
29-04-24Genoa93 - 0 (0)Cagliari91.50.39W
09-03-24Genoa42 - 3 (1)Monza61.50.44W
28-01-24Genoa62 - 1 (1)Lecce61.50.53W
18-12-22Genoa61 - 0 (0)Frosinone61.5-1L

Parma's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.631.326.3%

Parma's away matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 4.8

13-09-25Cagliari132 - 0 (1)Parma131.50.36W
25-05-25Atalanta72 - 3 (1)Parma61.50.21W
10-05-25Empoli52 - 1 (1)Parma61.50.48W
09-02-25Cagliari52 - 1 (1)Parma81.50.28W
12-01-25Genoa61 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L
09-11-24Venezia51 - 2 (0)Parma41.50.21W
06-10-24Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L
21-09-24Lecce52 - 2 (2)Parma41.50.28W
01-10-23Cremonese41 - 2 (0)Parma31.50.32W
30-05-23Cagliari23 - 2 (2)Parma101.50.49W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Genoa's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.161.44-1.6%

Genoa's last 10 home matches

29-09-25Genoa30 - 3 (0)Lazio71.50.48W
31-08-25Genoa70 - 1 (0)Juventus61.5-1L
23-08-25Genoa70 - 0 (0)Lecce71.5-1L
17-05-25Genoa52 - 3 (1)Atalanta41.50.31W
05-05-25Genoa71 - 2 (2)Milan71.50.28W
23-04-25Genoa70 - 2 (0)Lazio31.50.46W
04-04-25Genoa51 - 0 (1)Udinese41.5-1L
14-03-25Genoa62 - 1 (0)Lecce51.50.54W
02-03-25Genoa71 - 1 (1)Empoli31.50.43W
17-02-25Genoa82 - 0 (2)Venezia71.50.34W

Parma's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.081.32-20.8%

Parma's last 10 away matches.

21-09-25Cremonese50 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L
13-09-25Cagliari132 - 0 (1)Parma131.50.36W
24-08-25Juventus72 - 0 (1)Parma61.50.33W
25-05-25Atalanta72 - 3 (1)Parma61.50.21W
10-05-25Empoli52 - 1 (1)Parma61.50.48W
28-04-25Lazio42 - 2 (2)Parma41.50.23W
13-04-25Fiorentina2(A)0 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L
31-03-25Hellas Verona150 - 0 (0)Parma151.5-1L
15-03-25Monza61 - 1 (1)Parma61.50.31W
01-03-25Udinese71 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Genoa's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.121.48-2%

Genoa's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Napoli32 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.43W
29-09-25Genoa30 - 3 (0)Lazio71.50.48W
20-09-25Bologna52 - 1 (1)Genoa41.50.57W
15-09-25Como151 - 1 (1)Genoa141.50.4W
31-08-25Genoa70 - 1 (0)Juventus61.5-1L
23-08-25Genoa70 - 0 (0)Lecce71.5-1L

Parma's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.641.35-10.67%

Parma's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Parma40 - 1 (0)Lecce51.5-1L
29-09-25Parma42 - 1 (0)Torino31.50.39W
21-09-25Cremonese50 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L
13-09-25Cagliari132 - 0 (1)Parma131.50.36W
30-08-25Parma51 - 1 (2)Atalanta51.50.28W
24-08-25Juventus72 - 0 (1)Parma61.50.33W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.521.35-50.67%

H2H matches - last 6

12-01-25Genoa61 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L
04-11-24Parma40 - 1 (1)Genoa31.5-1L
05-02-23Parma72 - 0 (0)Genoa71.50.48W
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter75021881015WWWWL
2Napoli7502127515LWLWW
3Roma750273415LWWWL
4Milan641193613DWWWW
5Juventus633095412DDDWW
6Atalanta6240115610DDWWD
7Bologna631295410WDWLW
8Sassuolo731388010DWWLW
9Como62317529DDWDL
10Cremonese623178-19LDDDW
11Cagliari62226608DLWWL
12Udinese622269-38DLLWW
13Torino7223613-78WDLLW
14Lazio621310737DWLLW
15Lecce7133510-56DWDLL
16Parma612337-45LWDLD
17Hellas Verona704329-74DLLDD
18Fiorentina603348-43LDLLD
19Pisa7034310-73DLDLL
20Genoa602439-62LLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -34%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.32 (3.13)-0.34 (1.51)0.450.69

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.37 - -0.32 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
193.901.3520.53%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Genoa's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.37 - -0.32 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.111.432.75%
13-04-25-0.32Hellas Verona60 - 0 (0)Genoa81.5-1L
17-01-25-0.32Roma43 - 1 (0)Genoa41.50.32W
15-09-24-0.32Genoa131 - 1 (1)Roma131.50.38W
17-02-24-0.33Napoli51 - 1 (1)Genoa51.50.41W

Parma's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.37 - -0.32 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.281.2828.00%
27-10-24-0.34Parma71 - 1 (1)Empoli61.50.28W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70-2.361.39-3.37%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 43 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Genoa (ELO: 1635) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.21.432.86%
27-01-2554Genoa92 - 0Monza81.50.54W
24-11-2459Genoa162 - 2Cagliari141.50.31W
01-09-2461Genoa70 - 2Hellas Verona51.50.43W
29-04-2444Genoa93 - 0Cagliari91.50.39W
28-01-2438Genoa62 - 1Lecce61.50.53W
27-10-2340Genoa41 - 0Salernitana41.5-1L
28-01-2367Genoa60 - 0Pisa61.5-1L

Parma (ELO 1592) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.41.358%
31-03-2539Hellas Verona150 - 0Parma151.5-1L
09-02-2534Cagliari52 - 1Parma81.50.28W
21-09-2443Lecce52 - 2Parma41.50.28W
30-05-2345Cagliari23 - 2Parma101.50.49W
03-12-2242Cagliari51 - 1Parma61.50.35W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Genoa's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.191.4-6.33%
19-10-24Genoa132 - 2Bologna121.50.43W
15-09-24Genoa131 - 1Roma131.50.38W
27-11-22Perugia141 - 0Genoa131.5-1L

Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.321.3232%
17-09-23Catanzaro130 - 5Parma141.50.32W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Genoa's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.231.3130.75%
19-10-24Genoa132 - 2Bologna121.50.43W
22-10-23Atalanta132 - 0Genoa141.50.27W
22-10-21Torino43 - 2Genoa41.50.28W
17-10-21Genoa142 - 2Sassuolo141.50.25W

Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.171.1717%
19-10-24Como141 - 1Parma121.50.17W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.582.272.52.3

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie A642.27
2024/2025Serie A3802.56
2023/2024Serie A3802.61
2022/2023Serie A3812.57
2021/2022Serie A3802.87

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
74.58%1.3465.63%1.5273%1.3766.67%1.5

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie A6465.63% 1.52
2024/2025Serie A38073.95% 1.35
2023/2024Serie A38074.47% 1.34
2022/2023Serie A38175.33% 1.33
2021/2022Serie A38078.16% 1.28
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.141.031.271.08

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie A641.03
2024/2025Serie A3801.12
2023/2024Serie A3801.13
2022/2023Serie A3811.16
2021/2022Serie A3801.30

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.441.231.031.42

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie A641.23
2024/2025Serie A3801.44
2023/2024Serie A3801.48
2022/2023Serie A3811.40
2021/2022Serie A3801.57
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
13-3.731.35-28.69%

Last 2 seasons - 20 vs 16 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.751.32-37.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Genoa matches against table positions: 15,16,17

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.831.4316.6%
14-03-2512Genoa62 - 116Lecce51.50.54W
12-01-2513Genoa61 - 015Parma61.5-1L
24-11-2417Genoa162 - 216Cagliari141.50.31W
07-11-2415Genoa2(A)1 - 116Como2(A)1.50.43W
24-02-2412Genoa62 - 015Udinese51.50.55W

Parma matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
311.3333.33%
10-05-2519Empoli52 - 115Parma61.50.48W
15-03-2520Monza61 - 117Parma61.50.31W
09-11-2420Venezia51 - 218Parma41.50.21W
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