Genoa vs Parma - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
ITALY - Serie A



2025-10-19
14:00:00

Genoa13
Parma14



Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.51

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter75021881015WWWWL
2Napoli7502127515LWLWW
3Roma750273415LWWWL
4Milan641193613DWWWW
5Juventus633095412DDDWW
6Atalanta6240115610DDWWD
7Bologna631295410WDWLW
8Sassuolo731388010DWWLW
9Como62317529DDWDL
10Cremonese623178-19LDDDW
11Cagliari62226608DLWWL
12Udinese622269-38DLLWW
13Torino7223613-78WDLLW
14Lazio621310737DWLLW
15Lecce7133510-56DWDLL
16Parma612337-45LWDLD
17Hellas Verona704329-74DLLDD
18Fiorentina603348-43LDLLD
19Pisa7034310-73DLDLL
20Genoa602439-62LLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Genoa's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.21.4527.5%
Genoa's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4
14-03-25
Genoa62 - 1 (0)Lecce51.50.54W


27-01-25
Genoa92 - 0 (1)Monza81.50.54W


01-09-24
Genoa70 - 2 (0)Hellas Verona51.50.43W


12-05-24
Genoa62 - 1 (0)Sassuolo71.50.33W


29-04-24
Genoa93 - 0 (0)Cagliari91.50.39W


09-03-24
Genoa42 - 3 (1)Monza61.50.44W


28-01-24
Genoa62 - 1 (1)Lecce61.50.53W


18-12-22
Genoa61 - 0 (0)Frosinone61.5-1L


Parma's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.631.326.3%
Parma's away matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 4.8
13-09-25
Cagliari132 - 0 (1)Parma131.50.36W


25-05-25
Atalanta72 - 3 (1)Parma61.50.21W


10-05-25
Empoli52 - 1 (1)Parma61.50.48W


09-02-25
Cagliari52 - 1 (1)Parma81.50.28W


12-01-25
Genoa61 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L


09-11-24
Venezia51 - 2 (0)Parma41.50.21W


06-10-24
Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L


21-09-24
Lecce52 - 2 (2)Parma41.50.28W


01-10-23
Cremonese41 - 2 (0)Parma31.50.32W


30-05-23
Cagliari23 - 2 (2)Parma101.50.49W


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Genoa's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.161.44-1.6%
Genoa's last 10 home matches
29-09-25
Genoa30 - 3 (0)Lazio71.50.48W


31-08-25
Genoa70 - 1 (0)Juventus61.5-1L


23-08-25
Genoa70 - 0 (0)Lecce71.5-1L


17-05-25
Genoa52 - 3 (1)Atalanta41.50.31W


05-05-25
Genoa71 - 2 (2)Milan71.50.28W


23-04-25
Genoa70 - 2 (0)Lazio31.50.46W


04-04-25
Genoa51 - 0 (1)Udinese41.5-1L


14-03-25
Genoa62 - 1 (0)Lecce51.50.54W


02-03-25
Genoa71 - 1 (1)Empoli31.50.43W


17-02-25
Genoa82 - 0 (2)Venezia71.50.34W


Parma's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.081.32-20.8%
Parma's last 10 away matches.
21-09-25
Cremonese50 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L


13-09-25
Cagliari132 - 0 (1)Parma131.50.36W


24-08-25
Juventus72 - 0 (1)Parma61.50.33W


25-05-25
Atalanta72 - 3 (1)Parma61.50.21W


10-05-25
Empoli52 - 1 (1)Parma61.50.48W


28-04-25
Lazio42 - 2 (2)Parma41.50.23W


13-04-25
Fiorentina2(A)0 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L


31-03-25
Hellas Verona150 - 0 (0)Parma151.5-1L


15-03-25
Monza61 - 1 (1)Parma61.50.31W


01-03-25
Udinese71 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Genoa's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.121.48-2%
Genoa's all matches - last 6
05-10-25
Napoli32 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.43W


29-09-25
Genoa30 - 3 (0)Lazio71.50.48W


20-09-25
Bologna52 - 1 (1)Genoa41.50.57W


15-09-25
Como151 - 1 (1)Genoa141.50.4W


31-08-25
Genoa70 - 1 (0)Juventus61.5-1L


23-08-25
Genoa70 - 0 (0)Lecce71.5-1L


Parma's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.641.35-10.67%
Parma's all matches - last 6
04-10-25
Parma40 - 1 (0)Lecce51.5-1L


29-09-25
Parma42 - 1 (0)Torino31.50.39W


21-09-25
Cremonese50 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L


13-09-25
Cagliari132 - 0 (1)Parma131.50.36W


30-08-25
Parma51 - 1 (2)Atalanta51.50.28W


24-08-25
Juventus72 - 0 (1)Parma61.50.33W


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.521.35-50.67%
H2H matches - last 6
12-01-25
Genoa61 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L


04-11-24
Parma40 - 1 (1)Genoa31.5-1L


05-02-23
Parma72 - 0 (0)Genoa71.50.48W



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter75021881015WWWWL
2Napoli7502127515LWLWW
3Roma750273415LWWWL
4Milan641193613DWWWW
5Juventus633095412DDDWW
6Atalanta6240115610DDWWD
7Bologna631295410WDWLW
8Sassuolo731388010DWWLW
9Como62317529DDWDL
10Cremonese623178-19LDDDW
11Cagliari62226608DLWWL
12Udinese622269-38DLLWW
13Torino7223613-78WDLLW
14Lazio621310737DWLLW
15Lecce7133510-56DWDLL
16Parma612337-45LWDLD
17Hellas Verona704329-74DLLDD
18Fiorentina603348-43LDLLD
19Pisa7034310-73DLDLL
20Genoa602439-62LLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -34%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.32 (3.13)-0.34 (1.51)0.450.69
Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.37 - -0.32 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
193.901.3520.53%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Genoa's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.37 - -0.32 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.111.432.75%
13-04-25
-0.32Hellas Verona60 - 0 (0)Genoa81.5-1L


17-01-25
-0.32Roma43 - 1 (0)Genoa41.50.32W


15-09-24
-0.32Genoa131 - 1 (1)Roma131.50.38W


17-02-24
-0.33Napoli51 - 1 (1)Genoa51.50.41W


Parma's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.37 - -0.32 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.281.2828.00%
27-10-24
-0.34Parma71 - 1 (1)Empoli61.50.28W


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70-2.361.39-3.37%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 43 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Genoa (ELO: 1635) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.21.432.86%
27-01-25
54Genoa92 - 0Monza81.50.54W


24-11-24
59Genoa162 - 2Cagliari141.50.31W


01-09-24
61Genoa70 - 2Hellas Verona51.50.43W


29-04-24
44Genoa93 - 0Cagliari91.50.39W


28-01-24
38Genoa62 - 1Lecce61.50.53W


27-10-23
40Genoa41 - 0Salernitana41.5-1L


28-01-23
67Genoa60 - 0Pisa61.5-1L


Parma (ELO 1592) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.41.358%
31-03-25
39Hellas Verona150 - 0Parma151.5-1L


09-02-25
34Cagliari52 - 1Parma81.50.28W


21-09-24
43Lecce52 - 2Parma41.50.28W


30-05-23
45Cagliari23 - 2Parma101.50.49W


03-12-22
42Cagliari51 - 1Parma61.50.35W


SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Genoa's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.191.4-6.33%
19-10-24
Genoa132 - 2Bologna121.50.43W


15-09-24
Genoa131 - 1Roma131.50.38W


27-11-22
Perugia141 - 0Genoa131.5-1L


Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.321.3232%
17-09-23
Catanzaro130 - 5Parma141.50.32W


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Genoa's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.231.3130.75%
19-10-24
Genoa132 - 2Bologna121.50.43W


22-10-23
Atalanta132 - 0Genoa141.50.27W


22-10-21
Torino43 - 2Genoa41.50.28W


17-10-21
Genoa142 - 2Sassuolo141.50.25W


Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.171.1717%
19-10-24
Como141 - 1Parma121.50.17W


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.582.272.52.3
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Serie A642.27


2024/2025
Serie A3802.56


2023/2024
Serie A3802.61


2022/2023
Serie A3812.57


2021/2022
Serie A3802.87


Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
74.58%1.3465.63%1.5273%1.3766.67%1.5
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Serie A6465.63% 1.52


2024/2025
Serie A38073.95% 1.35


2023/2024
Serie A38074.47% 1.34


2022/2023
Serie A38175.33% 1.33


2021/2022
Serie A38078.16% 1.28


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.141.031.271.08
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Serie A641.03


2024/2025
Serie A3801.12


2023/2024
Serie A3801.13


2022/2023
Serie A3811.16


2021/2022
Serie A3801.30


Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.441.231.031.42
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Serie A641.23


2024/2025
Serie A3801.44


2023/2024
Serie A3801.48


2022/2023
Serie A3811.40


2021/2022
Serie A3801.57


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
13-3.731.35-28.69%
Last 2 seasons - 20 vs 16 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.751.32-37.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Genoa matches against table positions: 15,16,17
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.831.4316.6%
14-03-25
12Genoa62 - 116Lecce51.50.54W


12-01-25
13Genoa61 - 015Parma61.5-1L


24-11-24
17Genoa162 - 216Cagliari141.50.31W


07-11-24
15Genoa2(A)1 - 116Como2(A)1.50.43W


24-02-24
12Genoa62 - 015Udinese51.50.55W


Parma matches against table positions: 18,19,20
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
311.3333.33%
10-05-25
19Empoli52 - 115Parma61.50.48W


15-03-25
20Monza61 - 117Parma61.50.31W


09-11-24
20Venezia51 - 218Parma41.50.21W

