Lech Poznań vs Pogoń Szczecin - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

POLAND - Ekstraklasa

2025-10-19
13:45:00

Lech Poznań¹³

Pogoń Szczecin¹⁵

INEA stadion (Poznań)

1.754.504.83

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.14

Ekstraklasa Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Wisła Płock541082613WDWWW

2Cracovia Kraków5311118310WLDWW

3Górnik Zabrze53027439WLLWW

4Jagiellonia Białystok430110919WWWL

5Legia Warszawa42115237LWDW

6Radomiak Radom521210827LLWDW

7Nieciecza52128627LWDLW

8Widzew Lodz52127527LDWLW

9Lech Poznań421189-17DWWL

10Raków Częstochowa420267-16WLLW

11Zagłębie Lubin41219635WDDL

12Korona Kielce512256-15DWDLL

13Motor Lublin412157-25DDLW

14Arka Gdynia512247-35LWDDL

15Katowice5113710-34WLLDL

16Pogoń Szczecin5113712-54LLDWL

17Lechia Gdańsk50231117-62LDDLL

18Piast Gliwice301203-31DLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Lech Poznań's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.411.2714.1%

Lech Poznań's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

16-08-25

Lech Poznań³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Korona Kielce⁷1.50.21W

02-08-25

Lech Poznań^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Górnik Zabrze⁶1.50.19W

05-04-25

Lech Poznań⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Korona Kielce⁵1.50.32W

14-09-24

Lech Poznań⁸5 - 0⁽³⁾Jagiellonia Białystok¹²1.50.19W

21-07-24

Lech Poznań⁷2 - 0⁽¹⁾Górnik Zabrze⁷1.50.19W

10-02-24

Lech Poznań¹⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Zagłębie Lubin²1.50.3W

30-07-23

Lech Poznań²2 - 0⁽¹⁾Radomiak Radom⁶1.50.33W

30-04-23

Lech Poznań⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Górnik Zabrze⁶1.5-1L

08-04-23

Lech Poznań⁵2 - 0⁽¹⁾Warta Poznań⁷1.50.39W

19-02-23

Lech Poznań^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Zagłębie Lubin⁶1.50.29W

Pogoń Szczecin's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.261.25-25.2%

Pogoń Szczecin's away matches when WIN odds between 4.1 and 5.6

28-09-25

Legia Warszawa³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.5-1L

28-03-25

Legia Warszawa¹¹0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹³1.5-1L

20-10-24

Raków Częstochowa¹⁴1 - 0⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹³1.5-1L

11-05-24

Raków Częstochowa⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁴1.50.18W

02-03-24

Legia Warszawa⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin³1.50.25W

02-04-23

Lech Poznań¹³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹⁴1.50.31W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Lech Poznań's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.81.228.89%

Lech Poznań's last 10 home matches

28-09-25

Lech Poznań³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Jagiellonia Białystok³1.5W

12-09-25

Lech Poznań¹¹1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Zagłębie Lubin¹²1.50.19W

31-08-25

Lech Poznań^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Widzew Lodz⁸1.50.27W

16-08-25

Lech Poznań³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Korona Kielce⁷1.50.21W

02-08-25

Lech Poznań^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Górnik Zabrze⁶1.50.19W

18-07-25

Lech Poznań⁴1 - 4⁽⁰⁾Cracovia Kraków¹²1.50.2W

24-05-25

Lech Poznań⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Piast Gliwice⁶1.5-1L

03-05-25

Lech Poznań⁵8 - 1⁽¹⁾Puszcza Niepołomice⁷1.50.17W

21-04-25

Lech Poznań⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Cracovia Kraków⁸1.50.25W

05-04-25

Lech Poznań⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Korona Kielce⁵1.50.32W

Pogoń Szczecin's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1011.2511.11%

Pogoń Szczecin's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25

Legia Warszawa³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.5-1L

13-09-25

Korona Kielce¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹²1.5-1L

22-08-25

Widzew Lodz⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁴1.50.23W

09-08-25

Arka Gdynia⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.50.19W

02-08-25

Nieciecza⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.50.23W

20-07-25

Radomiak Radom¹⁰5 - 1⁽²⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹⁷1.50.27W

24-05-25

Jagiellonia Białystok⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.50.18W

10-05-25

Radomiak Radom⁵2 - 0⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁷1.50.28W

25-04-25

Puszcza Niepołomice³4 - 5⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁵1.50.23W

13-04-25

Piast Gliwice⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.50.39W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Lech Poznań's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.081.22-1.6%

Lech Poznań's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Katowice⁸0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lech Poznań²1.5-1L

28-09-25

Lech Poznań³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Jagiellonia Białystok³1.5W

24-09-25

Raków Częstochowa³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lech Poznań³1.50.28W

20-09-25

Nieciecza⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lech Poznań⁷1.50.18W

12-09-25

Lech Poznań¹¹1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Zagłębie Lubin¹²1.50.19W

31-08-25

Lech Poznań^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Widzew Lodz⁸1.50.27W

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.031.25-0.6%

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches - last 6

03-10-25

Pogoń Szczecin⁴2 - 1⁽¹⁾Piast Gliwice⁵1.50.23W

28-09-25

Legia Warszawa³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.5-1L

21-09-25

Pogoń Szczecin⁷3 - 4⁽³⁾Lechia Gdańsk⁸1.50.18W

13-09-25

Korona Kielce¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹²1.5-1L

31-08-25

Pogoń Szczecin⁸2 - 0⁽¹⁾Raków Częstochowa^2(A)1.50.33W

22-08-25

Widzew Lodz⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁴1.50.23W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.031.24-0.6%

H2H matches - last 6

01-03-25

Pogoń Szczecin²0 - 3⁽¹⁾Lech Poznań⁵1.50.23W

25-08-24

Lech Poznań⁷2 - 0⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁷1.50.2W

07-04-24

Lech Poznań⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin³1.5-1L

01-10-23

Pogoń Szczecin³5 - 0⁽¹⁾Lech Poznań²1.50.23W

02-04-23

Lech Poznań¹³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹⁴1.50.31W

Ekstraklasa Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Wisła Płock541082613WDWWW

2Cracovia Kraków5311118310WLDWW

3Górnik Zabrze53027439WLLWW

4Jagiellonia Białystok430110919WWWL

5Legia Warszawa42115237LWDW

6Radomiak Radom521210827LLWDW

7Nieciecza52128627LWDLW

8Widzew Lodz52127527LDWLW

9Lech Poznań421189-17DWWL

10Raków Częstochowa420267-16WLLW

11Zagłębie Lubin41219635WDDL

12Korona Kielce512256-15DWDLL

13Motor Lublin412157-25DDLW

14Arka Gdynia512247-35LWDDL

15Katowice5113710-34WLLDL

16Pogoń Szczecin5113712-54LLDWL

17Lechia Gdańsk50231117-62LDDLL

18Piast Gliwice301203-31DLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -8%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.80 (1.25)-0.08 (1.14)1.411.57

Ekstraklasa Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

65-6.981.29-10.74%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Lech Poznań's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

9-0.231.25-2.56%

02-08-25

^-0.06Lech Poznań^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Górnik Zabrze⁶1.50.19W

16-03-25

^-0.07Jagiellonia Białystok^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lech Poznań⁷1.50.23W

09-02-25

^-0.09Lechia Gdańsk⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lech Poznań⁷1.5-1L

10-11-24

^-0.07Lech Poznań⁷5 - 2⁽⁰⁾Legia Warszawa²1.50.35W

09-08-24

^-0.06Raków Częstochowa⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lech Poznań⁵1.5-1L

25-05-24

^-0.08Lech Poznań⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Korona Kielce⁶1.50.23W

21-04-24

^-0.07ŁKS Łódź⁶2 - 3⁽²⁾Lech Poznań⁷1.50.23W

10-02-24

^-0.09Lech Poznań¹⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Zagłębie Lubin²1.50.3W

26-11-23

^-0.09Lech Poznań¹³1 - 3⁽³⁾Widzew Lodz⁷1.50.24W

Pogoń Szczecin's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.221.21-20.33%

13-09-25

^-0.10Korona Kielce¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pogoń Szczecin¹²1.5-1L

17-08-25

^-0.08Pogoń Szczecin⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Górnik Zabrze⁸1.50.24W

01-12-24

^-0.09Pogoń Szczecin⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Jagiellonia Białystok^2(A)1.50.17W

02-08-24

^-0.08Górnik Zabrze⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁴1.5-1L

28-07-24

^-0.10Zagłębie Lubin⁷2 - 2⁽¹⁾Pogoń Szczecin⁷1.50.2W

25-11-23

^-0.10Pogoń Szczecin¹²2 - 3⁽¹⁾Stal Mielec¹²1.50.17W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

79-2.251.32-2.88%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 72 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Lech Poznań (ELO: 1522) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.621.27-40.5%

02-08-25

⁹⁴Lech Poznań^2(A)2 - 1Górnik Zabrze⁶1.50.19W

22-09-24

⁸²Lech Poznań⁷1 - 0Śląsk Wrocław¹⁴1.5-1L

14-09-24

⁵³Lech Poznań⁸5 - 0Jagiellonia Białystok¹²1.50.19W

10-12-23

⁸⁰Lech Poznań^2(A)0 - 1Piast Gliwice^2(A)1.5-1L

Pogoń Szczecin (ELO 1450) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100-40.5%

28-09-25

⁵⁴Legia Warszawa³1 - 0Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.5-1L

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Lech Poznań's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.841.2828%

19-10-24

Cracovia Kraków¹²0 - 2Lech Poznań¹³1.50.29W

26-11-23

Lech Poznań¹³1 - 3Widzew Lodz⁷1.50.24W

02-04-23

Lech Poznań¹³2 - 2Pogoń Szczecin¹⁴1.50.31W

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00028%

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Lech Poznań's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-0.821.26-11.71%

19-10-24

Cracovia Kraków¹²0 - 2Lech Poznań¹³1.50.29W

24-10-23

Lech Poznań²3 - 3Jagiellonia Białystok³1.50.24W

21-10-23

Lech Poznań¹⁴3 - 1ŁKS Łódź¹³1.50.19W

23-10-22

Cracovia Kraków³0 - 0Lech Poznań³1.5-1L

16-10-22

Górnik Zabrze⁷1 - 2Lech Poznań^2(A)1.50.24W

22-10-21

Lech Poznań⁴4 - 1Wisła Płock⁴1.50.22W

17-10-21

Legia Warszawa¹³0 - 1Lech Poznań⁷1.5-1L

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.111.32-35.17%

20-10-24

Raków Częstochowa¹⁴1 - 0Pogoń Szczecin¹³1.5-1L

20-10-23

Piast Gliwice¹²0 - 0Pogoń Szczecin¹²1.5-1L

22-10-22

Legia Warszawa³1 - 1Pogoń Szczecin³1.50.21W

15-10-22

Pogoń Szczecin⁷1 - 1Piast Gliwice⁴1.50.32W

23-10-21

Pogoń Szczecin⁵4 - 1Jagiellonia Białystok⁴1.50.36W

17-10-21

Wisła Płock¹⁴1 - 0Pogoń Szczecin¹³1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ekstraklasa Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.642.932.923.23

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ekstraklasa992.93

2024/2025

Ekstraklasa3062.75

2023/2024

Ekstraklasa3062.69

2022/2023

Ekstraklasa3052.48

2021/2022

Ekstraklasa2922.66

Ekstraklasa Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

75.02%1.3377.78%1.2978%1.2880%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ekstraklasa9977.78% 1.29

2024/2025

Ekstraklasa30676.14% 1.31

2023/2024

Ekstraklasa30676.14% 1.31

2022/2023

Ekstraklasa30572.79% 1.37

2021/2022

Ekstraklasa29273.97% 1.35

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ekstraklasa First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.21.301.471.29

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ekstraklasa991.30

2024/2025

Ekstraklasa3061.31

2023/2024

Ekstraklasa3061.21

2022/2023

Ekstraklasa3051.09

2021/2022

Ekstraklasa2921.19

Ekstraklasa Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.441.631.771.63

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ekstraklasa991.63

2024/2025

Ekstraklasa3061.45

2023/2024

Ekstraklasa3061.48

2022/2023

Ekstraklasa3051.39

2021/2022

Ekstraklasa2921.48

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

132.411.320.08%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 12 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00020.08%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Lech Poznań matches against table positions: 11,12,13

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.661.258.25%

31-08-25

¹²Lech Poznań^2(A)2 - 1¹¹Widzew Lodz⁸1.50.27W

16-08-25

⁹Lech Poznań³1 - 1¹³Korona Kielce⁷1.50.21W

05-04-25

³Lech Poznań⁶2 - 0¹³Korona Kielce⁵1.50.32W

23-11-24

¹Lech Poznań¹²2 - 0¹¹Katowice¹³1.50.2W

26-10-24

¹Lech Poznań⁶2 - 1¹³Radomiak Radom⁴1.50.22W

05-10-24

¹Lech Poznań⁵1 - 2¹²Motor Lublin^2(A)1.50.25W

21-07-24

¹⁰Lech Poznań⁷2 - 0¹³Górnik Zabrze⁷1.50.19W

10-12-23

³Lech Poznań^2(A)0 - 1¹³Piast Gliwice^2(A)1.5-1L

Pogoń Szczecin matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.931.22-13.29%

28-09-25

⁷Legia Warszawa³1 - 0¹³Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.5-1L

13-09-25

⁵Korona Kielce¹³1 - 0⁷Pogoń Szczecin¹²1.5-1L

02-08-25

⁵Nieciecza⁷1 - 1⁹Pogoń Szczecin⁶1.50.23W

28-03-25

⁵Legia Warszawa¹¹0 - 0⁴Pogoń Szczecin¹³1.5-1L

14-09-24

⁵Cracovia Kraków¹³2 - 1⁴Pogoń Szczecin¹²1.50.21W

25-08-24

⁷Lech Poznań⁷2 - 0⁶Pogoń Szczecin⁷1.50.2W

11-05-24

⁷Raków Częstochowa⁶2 - 1⁵Pogoń Szczecin⁴1.50.18W

02-03-24

⁵Legia Warszawa⁵1 - 1⁴Pogoń Szczecin³1.50.25W

YOUR TEXT

Lech Poznań vs Pogoń Szczecin - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

POLAND - Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznań's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Lech Poznań's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

Pogoń Szczecin's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Pogoń Szczecin's away matches when WIN odds between 4.1 and 5.6

Lech Poznań's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Lech Poznań's last 10 home matches

Pogoń Szczecin's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Pogoń Szczecin's last 10 away matches.

Lech Poznań's all matches (last 6 matches)

Lech Poznań's all matches - last 6

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches (last 6 matches)

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Ekstraklasa Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

Lech Poznań's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

Pogoń Szczecin's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Lech Poznań (ELO: 1522) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Pogoń Szczecin (ELO 1450) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Lech Poznań's all matches (last 8 matches)

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches (last 8 matches)

Lech Poznań's all matches (last 8 matches)

Pogoń Szczecin's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Ekstraklasa Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ekstraklasa Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ekstraklasa First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ekstraklasa Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 12 in the table

Lech Poznań matches against table positions: 11,12,13

Pogoń Szczecin matches against table positions: 5,6,7

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