Guadalajara vs Mazatlán - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
MEXICO - Liga MX



2025-10-19
02:07:00

Guadalajara12
Mazatlán14


Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca1291235161928WWWWW
2América1283126111527WWWDL
3Monterrey128222519626DWLDW
4Cruz Azul127412215725DLDWW
5Tigres UANL1265122101223DWWDD
6Tijuana135532617920LDWLW
7Pachuca126241613320WWDLL
8Juárez125341615118LWWLD
9Guadalajara125251818017WWWLD
10Pumas UNAM123451519-413LLLDW
11Atlas123452127-613WWLDD
12LeĂłn123361222-1012LLDLD
13Mazatlán122551521-611WLDDL
14Querétaro123271421-711WLDWL
15Atlético San Luis123181720-310LLLWD
16Santos Laguna123181321-810LLWLD
17Necaxa122371121-109LLLWD
18Puebla132291432-188WLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Guadalajara's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.61.25-7.5%
Guadalajara's home matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6
26-07-25
Guadalajara54 - 3 (2)Atlético San Luis61.50.24W


16-04-25
Guadalajara31 - 0 (0)Puebla31.5-1L


01-02-25
Guadalajara2(A)1 - 1 (0)Querétaro11.50.26W


12-01-25
Guadalajara61 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna291.5-1L


21-04-24
Guadalajara72 - 0 (1)Querétaro71.50.24W


07-04-24
Guadalajara63 - 2 (2)Puebla71.50.18W


10-02-24
Guadalajara1(A)2 - 1 (2)Juárez61.50.25W


27-09-23
Guadalajara21 - 3 (2)Mazatlán31.50.23W


Mazatlán's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.051.2-25.63%
Mazatlán's away matches when WIN odds between 7.3 and 9.8
10-02-25
Pumas UNAM2(A)1 - 0 (1)Mazatlán81.5-1L


18-01-25
Tigres UANL62 - 1 (2)Mazatlán61.50.22W


07-07-24
Cruz Azul61 - 0 (1)Mazatlán81.5-1L


11-03-24
Monterrey2(A)2 - 1 (0)Mazatlán81.50.19W


20-01-24
Toluca64 - 1 (2)Mazatlán61.50.17W


27-09-23
Guadalajara21 - 3 (2)Mazatlán31.50.23W


19-08-23
León2(A)2 - 1 (0)Mazatlán31.50.14W


09-07-23
Pumas UNAM70 - 0 (0)Mazatlán71.5-1L


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Guadalajara's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.351.31-23.5%
Guadalajara's last 10 home matches
24-09-25
Guadalajara23 - 1 (1)Necaxa31.50.26W


21-09-25
Guadalajara20 - 3 (0)Toluca61.50.23W


18-09-25
Guadalajara30 - 0 (0)Tigres UANL31.5-1L


31-08-25
Guadalajara71 - 2 (0)Cruz Azul61.50.28W


16-08-25
Guadalajara41 - 2 (1)Juárez31.50.33W


26-07-25
Guadalajara54 - 3 (2)Atlético San Luis61.50.24W


16-04-25
Guadalajara31 - 0 (0)Puebla31.5-1L


30-03-25
Guadalajara130 - 1 (0)Cruz Azul131.5-1L


09-03-25
Guadalajara20 - 0 (0)América2(A)1.5-1L


23-02-25
Guadalajara62 - 1 (0)Pachuca51.50.31W


Mazatlán's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.831.26-31.44%
Mazatlán's last 10 away matches.
28-09-25
Toluca23 - 1 (2)Mazatlán31.5W


24-09-25
León32 - 2 (0)Mazatlán31.50.27W


30-08-25
Juárez61 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L


18-08-25
Monterrey53 - 2 (1)Mazatlán71.50.2W


26-07-25
Pachuca51 - 0 (1)Mazatlán61.5-1L


13-07-25
Cruz Azul50 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L


19-04-25
América1(A)5 - 0 (0)Mazatlán11.50.2W


06-04-25
Atlético San Luis62 - 1 (0)Mazatlán71.50.29W


15-03-25
Querétaro61 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L


09-03-25
Pachuca71 - 1 (0)Mazatlán71.50.21W


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Guadalajara's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.281.264.67%
Guadalajara's all matches - last 6
06-10-25
Pumas UNAM71 - 2 (1)Guadalajara81.50.3W


27-09-25
Puebla20 - 2 (0)Guadalajara21.50.26W


24-09-25
Guadalajara23 - 1 (1)Necaxa31.50.26W


21-09-25
Guadalajara20 - 3 (0)Toluca61.50.23W


18-09-25
Guadalajara30 - 0 (0)Tigres UANL31.5-1L


14-09-25
América131 - 2 (2)Guadalajara131.50.23W


Mazatlán's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.251.27-6.25%
Mazatlán's all matches - last 6
04-10-25
Mazatlán52 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis61.50.23W


28-09-25
Toluca23 - 1 (2)Mazatlán31.5W


24-09-25
León32 - 2 (0)Mazatlán31.50.27W


20-09-25
Mazatlán61 - 1 (2)Atlas51.50.25W


13-09-25
Mazatlán131 - 4 (2)Pumas UNAM121.5W


30-08-25
Juárez61 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.421.2828.4%
H2H matches - last 6
12-04-25
Mazatlán51 - 1 (1)Guadalajara51.50.48W


20-07-24
Guadalajara2(A)2 - 0 (1)Mazatlán1(A)1.50.23W


17-02-24
Mazatlán62 - 2 (2)Guadalajara21.50.29W


27-09-23
Guadalajara21 - 3 (2)Mazatlán31.50.23W


30-04-23
Guadalajara64 - 1 (0)Mazatlán71.50.19W



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca1291235161928WWWWW
2América1283126111527WWWDL
3Monterrey128222519626DWLDW
4Cruz Azul127412215725DLDWW
5Tigres UANL1265122101223DWWDD
6Tijuana135532617920LDWLW
7Pachuca126241613320WWDLL
8Juárez125341615118LWWLD
9Guadalajara125251818017WWWLD
10Pumas UNAM123451519-413LLLDW
11Atlas123452127-613WWLDD
12LeĂłn123361222-1012LLDLD
13Mazatlán122551521-611WLDDL
14Querétaro123271421-711WLDWL
15Atlético San Luis123181720-310LLLWD
16Santos Laguna123181321-810LLWLD
17Necaxa122371121-109LLLWD
18Puebla132291432-188WLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -6%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.75 (1.33)-0.06 (1.23)1.800.91
Liga MX Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
713.371.264.75%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Guadalajara's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.271.28-3.38%
06-10-25
-0.07Pumas UNAM71 - 2 (1)Guadalajara81.50.3W


20-04-25
-0.05Atlas2(A)1 - 1 (0)Guadalajara31.50.3W


16-03-25
-0.06Juárez71 - 1 (1)Guadalajara2(A)1.50.43W


01-02-25
-0.05Guadalajara2(A)1 - 1 (0)Querétaro11.50.26W


09-11-24
-0.07Guadalajara2(A)0 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis1(A)1.5-1L


22-09-24
-0.08Cruz Azul31 - 0 (0)Guadalajara21.5-1L


19-09-24
-0.07Guadalajara32 - 0 (0)LeĂłn31.50.26W


07-04-24
-0.05Guadalajara63 - 2 (2)Puebla71.50.18W


Mazatlán's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.361.22-9.00%
18-08-25
-0.05Monterrey53 - 2 (1)Mazatlán71.50.2W


26-07-25
-0.06Pachuca51 - 0 (1)Mazatlán61.5-1L


22-02-25
-0.07Necaxa2(A)3 - 1 (1)Mazatlán61.50.22W


03-02-24
-0.05Puebla2(A)3 - 2 (2)Mazatlán21.50.22W


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.6%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Guadalajara (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.6%
Mazatlán (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.6%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Guadalajara's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.781.3939%
22-11-24
Guadalajara121 - 2Atlas111.50.45W


19-10-24
Pachuca130 - 2Guadalajara121.50.33W


Mazatlán's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10039%
10-08-25
Mazatlán142 - 2Tijuana141.5W


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Guadalajara's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.231.354.6%
23-10-24
Guadalajara33 - 2Necaxa31.50.28W


19-10-24
Pachuca130 - 2Guadalajara121.50.33W


21-10-23
Puebla120 - 2Guadalajara41.50.26W


21-10-21
Tijuana50 - 0Guadalajara31.5-1L


17-10-21
Guadalajara92 - 0Toluca61.50.36W


Mazatlán's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.031.39-20.6%
23-10-24
Mazatlán32 - 0Tigres UANL2(A)1.50.33W


19-10-24
Atlas120 - 0Mazatlán131.5-1L


21-10-23
Atlas121 - 3Mazatlán131.50.23W


23-10-21
Mazatlán2(A)2 - 1Querétaro31.5W


20-10-21
Puebla32 - 0Mazatlán31.50.41W


16-10-21
Mazatlán121 - 0Atlas121.5-1L


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Liga MX Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.83.063.123.23
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Liga MX1083.06


2024/2025
Liga MX3382.74


2023/2024
Liga MX3382.86


2022/2023
Liga MX3402.79


2021/2022
Liga MX3292.39


Liga MX Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
77.07%1.376.85%1.378%1.2886.67%1.15
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Liga MX10876.85% 1.3


2024/2025
Liga MX33876.04% 1.32


2023/2024
Liga MX33879.88% 1.25


2022/2023
Liga MX34075.29% 1.33


2021/2022
Liga MX32972.04% 1.39


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Liga MX First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.271.421.51.45
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Liga MX1081.42


2024/2025
Liga MX3381.24


2023/2024
Liga MX3381.24


2022/2023
Liga MX3401.32


2021/2022
Liga MX3291.09


Liga MX Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.531.651.731.67
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Liga MX1081.65


2024/2025
Liga MX3381.51


2023/2024
Liga MX3381.62


2022/2023
Liga MX3401.46


2021/2022
Liga MX3291.30


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-4.161.25-21.89%
Last 2 seasons - 9 vs 14 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.571.22-39.25%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Guadalajara matches against table positions: 13,14,15
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.741.3-37%
01-02-25
11Guadalajara2(A)1 - 115Querétaro11.50.26W


05-11-23
4Guadalajara31 - 015Cruz Azul21.5-1L


Mazatlán matches against table positions: 8,9,10
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-4.291.29-53.63%
24-09-25
10León32 - 215Mazatlán31.50.27W


30-08-25
8Juárez61 - 012Mazatlán51.5-1L


13-07-25
9Cruz Azul50 - 014Mazatlán51.5-1L


10-02-25
9Pumas UNAM2(A)1 - 010Mazatlán81.5-1L


19-10-24
8Atlas120 - 017Mazatlán131.5-1L


28-09-24
9Tijuana51 - 015Mazatlán51.5-1L


20-07-24
10Guadalajara2(A)2 - 017Mazatlán1(A)1.50.23W


13-04-24
8Querétaro60 - 215Mazatlán61.50.21W

