Guadalajara vs Mazatlán - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

MEXICO - Liga MX

Guadalajara Logo

2025-10-19
02:07:00
Mazatlán Logo
Guadalajara12
Mazatlán14

1.455.228.58
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca1291235161928WWWWW
2América1283126111527WWWDL
3Monterrey128222519626DWLDW
4Cruz Azul127412215725DLDWW
5Tigres UANL1265122101223DWWDD
6Tijuana135532617920LDWLW
7Pachuca126241613320WWDLL
8Juárez125341615118LWWLD
9Guadalajara125251818017WWWLD
10Pumas UNAM123451519-413LLLDW
11Atlas123452127-613WWLDD
12LeĂłn123361222-1012LLDLD
13Mazatlán122551521-611WLDDL
14Querétaro123271421-711WLDWL
15Atlético San Luis123181720-310LLLWD
16Santos Laguna123181321-810LLWLD
17Necaxa122371121-109LLLWD
18Puebla132291432-188WLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Guadalajara's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.61.25-7.5%

Guadalajara's home matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

26-07-25Guadalajara54 - 3 (2)Atlético San Luis61.50.24W
16-04-25Guadalajara31 - 0 (0)Puebla31.5-1L
01-02-25Guadalajara2(A)1 - 1 (0)Querétaro11.50.26W
12-01-25Guadalajara61 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna291.5-1L
21-04-24Guadalajara72 - 0 (1)Querétaro71.50.24W
07-04-24Guadalajara63 - 2 (2)Puebla71.50.18W
10-02-24Guadalajara1(A)2 - 1 (2)Juárez61.50.25W
27-09-23Guadalajara21 - 3 (2)Mazatlán31.50.23W

Mazatlán's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.051.2-25.63%

Mazatlán's away matches when WIN odds between 7.3 and 9.8

10-02-25Pumas UNAM2(A)1 - 0 (1)Mazatlán81.5-1L
18-01-25Tigres UANL62 - 1 (2)Mazatlán61.50.22W
07-07-24Cruz Azul61 - 0 (1)Mazatlán81.5-1L
11-03-24Monterrey2(A)2 - 1 (0)Mazatlán81.50.19W
20-01-24Toluca64 - 1 (2)Mazatlán61.50.17W
27-09-23Guadalajara21 - 3 (2)Mazatlán31.50.23W
19-08-23León2(A)2 - 1 (0)Mazatlán31.50.14W
09-07-23Pumas UNAM70 - 0 (0)Mazatlán71.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Guadalajara's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.351.31-23.5%

Guadalajara's last 10 home matches

24-09-25Guadalajara23 - 1 (1)Necaxa31.50.26W
21-09-25Guadalajara20 - 3 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
18-09-25Guadalajara30 - 0 (0)Tigres UANL31.5-1L
31-08-25Guadalajara71 - 2 (0)Cruz Azul61.50.28W
16-08-25Guadalajara41 - 2 (1)Juárez31.50.33W
26-07-25Guadalajara54 - 3 (2)Atlético San Luis61.50.24W
16-04-25Guadalajara31 - 0 (0)Puebla31.5-1L
30-03-25Guadalajara130 - 1 (0)Cruz Azul131.5-1L
09-03-25Guadalajara20 - 0 (0)América2(A)1.5-1L
23-02-25Guadalajara62 - 1 (0)Pachuca51.50.31W

Mazatlán's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.831.26-31.44%

Mazatlán's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25Toluca23 - 1 (2)Mazatlán31.5W
24-09-25León32 - 2 (0)Mazatlán31.50.27W
30-08-25Juárez61 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L
18-08-25Monterrey53 - 2 (1)Mazatlán71.50.2W
26-07-25Pachuca51 - 0 (1)Mazatlán61.5-1L
13-07-25Cruz Azul50 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L
19-04-25América1(A)5 - 0 (0)Mazatlán11.50.2W
06-04-25Atlético San Luis62 - 1 (0)Mazatlán71.50.29W
15-03-25Querétaro61 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L
09-03-25Pachuca71 - 1 (0)Mazatlán71.50.21W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Guadalajara's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.281.264.67%

Guadalajara's all matches - last 6

06-10-25Pumas UNAM71 - 2 (1)Guadalajara81.50.3W
27-09-25Puebla20 - 2 (0)Guadalajara21.50.26W
24-09-25Guadalajara23 - 1 (1)Necaxa31.50.26W
21-09-25Guadalajara20 - 3 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
18-09-25Guadalajara30 - 0 (0)Tigres UANL31.5-1L
14-09-25América131 - 2 (2)Guadalajara131.50.23W

Mazatlán's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.251.27-6.25%

Mazatlán's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Mazatlán52 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis61.50.23W
28-09-25Toluca23 - 1 (2)Mazatlán31.5W
24-09-25León32 - 2 (0)Mazatlán31.50.27W
20-09-25Mazatlán61 - 1 (2)Atlas51.50.25W
13-09-25Mazatlán131 - 4 (2)Pumas UNAM121.5W
30-08-25Juárez61 - 0 (0)Mazatlán51.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.421.2828.4%

H2H matches - last 6

12-04-25Mazatlán51 - 1 (1)Guadalajara51.50.48W
20-07-24Guadalajara2(A)2 - 0 (1)Mazatlán1(A)1.50.23W
17-02-24Mazatlán62 - 2 (2)Guadalajara21.50.29W
27-09-23Guadalajara21 - 3 (2)Mazatlán31.50.23W
30-04-23Guadalajara64 - 1 (0)Mazatlán71.50.19W
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca1291235161928WWWWW
2América1283126111527WWWDL
3Monterrey128222519626DWLDW
4Cruz Azul127412215725DLDWW
5Tigres UANL1265122101223DWWDD
6Tijuana135532617920LDWLW
7Pachuca126241613320WWDLL
8Juárez125341615118LWWLD
9Guadalajara125251818017WWWLD
10Pumas UNAM123451519-413LLLDW
11Atlas123452127-613WWLDD
12LeĂłn123361222-1012LLDLD
13Mazatlán122551521-611WLDDL
14Querétaro123271421-711WLDWL
15Atlético San Luis123181720-310LLLWD
16Santos Laguna123181321-810LLWLD
17Necaxa122371121-109LLLWD
18Puebla132291432-188WLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -6%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.75 (1.33)-0.06 (1.23)1.800.91

Liga MX Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
713.371.264.75%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Guadalajara's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.271.28-3.38%
06-10-25-0.07Pumas UNAM71 - 2 (1)Guadalajara81.50.3W
20-04-25-0.05Atlas2(A)1 - 1 (0)Guadalajara31.50.3W
16-03-25-0.06Juárez71 - 1 (1)Guadalajara2(A)1.50.43W
01-02-25-0.05Guadalajara2(A)1 - 1 (0)Querétaro11.50.26W
09-11-24-0.07Guadalajara2(A)0 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis1(A)1.5-1L
22-09-24-0.08Cruz Azul31 - 0 (0)Guadalajara21.5-1L
19-09-24-0.07Guadalajara32 - 0 (0)LeĂłn31.50.26W
07-04-24-0.05Guadalajara63 - 2 (2)Puebla71.50.18W

Mazatlán's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.361.22-9.00%
18-08-25-0.05Monterrey53 - 2 (1)Mazatlán71.50.2W
26-07-25-0.06Pachuca51 - 0 (1)Mazatlán61.5-1L
22-02-25-0.07Necaxa2(A)3 - 1 (1)Mazatlán61.50.22W
03-02-24-0.05Puebla2(A)3 - 2 (2)Mazatlán21.50.22W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.6%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Guadalajara (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.6%

Mazatlán (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-20.6%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Guadalajara's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.781.3939%
22-11-24Guadalajara121 - 2Atlas111.50.45W
19-10-24Pachuca130 - 2Guadalajara121.50.33W

Mazatlán's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10039%
10-08-25Mazatlán142 - 2Tijuana141.5W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Guadalajara's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.231.354.6%
23-10-24Guadalajara33 - 2Necaxa31.50.28W
19-10-24Pachuca130 - 2Guadalajara121.50.33W
21-10-23Puebla120 - 2Guadalajara41.50.26W
21-10-21Tijuana50 - 0Guadalajara31.5-1L
17-10-21Guadalajara92 - 0Toluca61.50.36W

Mazatlán's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.031.39-20.6%
23-10-24Mazatlán32 - 0Tigres UANL2(A)1.50.33W
19-10-24Atlas120 - 0Mazatlán131.5-1L
21-10-23Atlas121 - 3Mazatlán131.50.23W
23-10-21Mazatlán2(A)2 - 1Querétaro31.5W
20-10-21Puebla32 - 0Mazatlán31.50.41W
16-10-21Mazatlán121 - 0Atlas121.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Liga MX Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.83.063.123.23

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX1083.06
2024/2025Liga MX3382.74
2023/2024Liga MX3382.86
2022/2023Liga MX3402.79
2021/2022Liga MX3292.39

Liga MX Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
77.07%1.376.85%1.378%1.2886.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX10876.85% 1.3
2024/2025Liga MX33876.04% 1.32
2023/2024Liga MX33879.88% 1.25
2022/2023Liga MX34075.29% 1.33
2021/2022Liga MX32972.04% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Liga MX First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.271.421.51.45

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX1081.42
2024/2025Liga MX3381.24
2023/2024Liga MX3381.24
2022/2023Liga MX3401.32
2021/2022Liga MX3291.09

Liga MX Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.531.651.731.67

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX1081.65
2024/2025Liga MX3381.51
2023/2024Liga MX3381.62
2022/2023Liga MX3401.46
2021/2022Liga MX3291.30
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-4.161.25-21.89%

Last 2 seasons - 9 vs 14 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.571.22-39.25%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Guadalajara matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.741.3-37%
01-02-2511Guadalajara2(A)1 - 115Querétaro11.50.26W
05-11-234Guadalajara31 - 015Cruz Azul21.5-1L

Mazatlán matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-4.291.29-53.63%
24-09-2510León32 - 215Mazatlán31.50.27W
30-08-258Juárez61 - 012Mazatlán51.5-1L
13-07-259Cruz Azul50 - 014Mazatlán51.5-1L
10-02-259Pumas UNAM2(A)1 - 010Mazatlán81.5-1L
19-10-248Atlas120 - 017Mazatlán131.5-1L
28-09-249Tijuana51 - 015Mazatlán51.5-1L
20-07-2410Guadalajara2(A)2 - 017Mazatlán1(A)1.50.23W
13-04-248Querétaro60 - 215Mazatlán61.50.21W
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