Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

MEXICO - Liga MX

Monterrey Logo

2025-10-19
02:00:00
Pumas UNAM Logo
Monterrey12
Pumas UNAM12

Estadio BBVA Bancomer (Guadalupe)
1.764.085.39
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.27
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca1291235161928WWWWW
2América1283126111527WWWDL
3Monterrey128222519626DWLDW
4Cruz Azul127412215725DLDWW
5Tigres UANL1265122101223DWWDD
6Tijuana135532617920LDWLW
7Pachuca126241613320WWDLL
8Juárez125341615118LWWLD
9Guadalajara125251818017WWWLD
10Pumas UNAM123451519-413LLLDW
11Atlas123452127-613WWLDD
12LeĂłn123361222-1012LLDLD
13Mazatlán122551521-611WLDDL
14Querétaro123271421-711WLDWL
15Atlético San Luis123181720-310LLLWD
16Santos Laguna123181321-810LLWLD
17Necaxa122371121-109LLLWD
18Puebla132291432-188WLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Monterrey's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.191.25-11.9%

Monterrey's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

05-05-25Monterrey62 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM61.50.36W
02-02-25Monterrey2(A)1 - 0 (0)Necaxa31.5-1L
26-01-25Monterrey62 - 3 (0)Pachuca41.50.25W
22-09-24Monterrey20 - 0 (0)Mazatlán21.5-1L
31-03-24Monterrey130 - 2 (1)Guadalajara61.50.29W
04-03-24Monterrey33 - 0 (2)Pumas UNAM71.50.28W
19-02-24Monterrey20 - 0 (0)Toluca21.5-1L
11-02-24Monterrey33 - 2 (2)Pachuca21.50.23W
09-11-23Monterrey33 - 0 (1)Santos Laguna21.50.18W
30-04-23Monterrey74 - 1 (0)Pumas UNAM61.50.22W

Pumas UNAM's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.71.2917%

Pumas UNAM's away matches when WIN odds between 4.4 and 6.4

28-09-25América2(A)4 - 1 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.29W
17-08-25Toluca41 - 1 (0)Pumas UNAM51.50.29W
05-05-25Monterrey62 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM61.50.36W
20-04-25Tigres UANL32 - 1 (0)Pumas UNAM21.50.34W
06-04-25Cruz Azul33 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM2(A)1.50.36W
18-03-24Toluca83 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM71.50.2W
04-03-24Monterrey33 - 0 (2)Pumas UNAM71.50.28W
04-02-24Tigres UANL52 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM21.50.29W
11-12-23Tigres UANL2(A)1 - 1 (0)Pumas UNAM21.50.29W
01-10-23América61 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM71.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Monterrey's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.031.250.3%

Monterrey's last 10 home matches

28-09-25Monterrey2(A)1 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna21.5-1L
21-09-25Monterrey62 - 2 (2)América61.50.24W
24-08-25Monterrey53 - 0 (0)Necaxa71.50.18W
18-08-25Monterrey53 - 2 (1)Mazatlán71.50.2W
27-07-25Monterrey73 - 1 (2)Atlas61.50.21W
08-05-25Monterrey23 - 2 (1)Toluca171.50.31W
05-05-25Monterrey62 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM61.50.36W
28-04-25Monterrey61 - 2 (2)Pachuca61.50.24W
17-04-25Monterrey31 - 0 (0)América31.5-1L
06-04-25Monterrey63 - 1 (1)Guadalajara61.50.29W

Pumas UNAM's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
103.141.3534.89%

Pumas UNAM's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25América2(A)4 - 1 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.29W
24-09-25Juárez33 - 1 (1)Pumas UNAM21.50.45W
13-09-25Mazatlán131 - 4 (2)Pumas UNAM121.5W
17-08-25Toluca41 - 1 (0)Pumas UNAM51.50.29W
26-07-25Querétaro60 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM51.50.43W
13-07-25Santos Laguna143 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM71.50.31W
05-05-25Monterrey62 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM61.50.36W
20-04-25Tigres UANL32 - 1 (0)Pumas UNAM21.50.34W
06-04-25Cruz Azul33 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM2(A)1.50.36W
31-03-25LeĂłn151 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM131.50.31W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Monterrey's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.081.23-18%

Monterrey's all matches - last 6

06-10-25Tijuana62 - 2 (0)Monterrey71.50.18W
28-09-25Monterrey2(A)1 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna21.5-1L
25-09-25Toluca36 - 2 (0)Monterrey31.50.22W
21-09-25Monterrey62 - 2 (2)América61.50.24W
14-09-25Querétaro140 - 1 (0)Monterrey141.5-1L
30-08-25Puebla52 - 4 (1)Monterrey51.50.28W

Pumas UNAM's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.351.337%

Pumas UNAM's all matches - last 6

06-10-25Pumas UNAM71 - 2 (1)Guadalajara81.50.3W
28-09-25América2(A)4 - 1 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.29W
24-09-25Juárez33 - 1 (1)Pumas UNAM21.50.45W
21-09-25Pumas UNAM71 - 1 (2)Tigres UANL2(A)1.50.31W
13-09-25Mazatlán131 - 4 (2)Pumas UNAM121.5W
31-08-25Pumas UNAM61 - 0 (1)Atlas51.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.681.37-11.33%

H2H matches - last 6

05-05-25Monterrey62 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM61.50.36W
17-03-25Pumas UNAM2(A)1 - 3 (1)Monterrey31.50.36W
01-12-24Pumas UNAM1(A)3 - 5 (3)Monterrey11.50.32W
29-11-24Monterrey171 - 0 (1)Pumas UNAM191.5-1L
24-10-24Monterrey30 - 0 (0)Pumas UNAM31.5-1L
04-03-24Monterrey33 - 0 (2)Pumas UNAM71.50.28W
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca1291235161928WWWWW
2América1283126111527WWWDL
3Monterrey128222519626DWLDW
4Cruz Azul127412215725DLDWW
5Tigres UANL1265122101223DWWDD
6Tijuana135532617920LDWLW
7Pachuca126241613320WWDLL
8Juárez125341615118LWWLD
9Guadalajara125251818017WWWLD
10Pumas UNAM123451519-413LLLDW
11Atlas123452127-613WWLDD
12LeĂłn123361222-1012LLDLD
13Mazatlán122551521-611WLDDL
14Querétaro123271421-711WLDWL
15Atlético San Luis123181720-310LLLWD
16Santos Laguna123181321-810LLWLD
17Necaxa122371121-109LLLWD
18Puebla132291432-188WLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 16%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.94 (1.06)0.16 (1.27)2.192.34

Liga MX Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
35-3.371.29-9.63%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Monterrey's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.111.30-2.75%
30-08-250.15Puebla52 - 4 (1)Monterrey51.50.28W
17-03-250.15Pumas UNAM2(A)1 - 3 (1)Monterrey31.50.36W
13-05-240.18Monterrey2(A)1 - 1 (0)Tigres UANL21.50.25W
30-11-230.14Atlético San Luis51 - 0 (0)Monterrey181.5-1L

Pumas UNAM's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.641.36-32.00%
17-03-250.15Pumas UNAM2(A)1 - 3 (1)Monterrey31.50.36W
15-02-240.14Atlas40 - 0 (0)Pumas UNAM31.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-34%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Monterrey (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-34%

Pumas UNAM (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-34%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Monterrey's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.291.1514.5%
30-03-25Monterrey121 - 2Tijuana121.50.12W
28-08-23Monterrey121 - 2Cruz Azul31.50.17W

Pumas UNAM's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.671.29-33.5%
13-09-25Mazatlán131 - 4Pumas UNAM121.5W
14-09-24Necaxa112 - 0Pumas UNAM121.50.33W
31-03-24Pumas UNAM120 - 0Cruz Azul61.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Monterrey's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.981.32-49.75%
20-10-24Monterrey144 - 2Tigres UANL141.50.27W
22-10-23Pumas UNAM130 - 1Monterrey141.5-1L
21-10-22Pachuca35 - 2Monterrey51.50.44W
15-10-22Monterrey1(A)3 - 0Cruz Azul11.50.31W
13-10-22Cruz Azul30 - 0Monterrey111.5-1L
23-10-21Monterrey30 - 1Necaxa1(A)1.5-1L
19-10-21Querétaro31 - 0Monterrey21.5-1L
16-10-21Monterrey130 - 1LeĂłn131.5-1L

Pumas UNAM's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.361.34-34%
20-10-24Pumas UNAM133 - 0Atlético San Luis141.50.3W
22-10-23Pumas UNAM130 - 1Monterrey141.5-1L
21-10-21LeĂłn41 - 2Pumas UNAM31.50.34W
17-10-21Pumas UNAM71 - 0Juárez71.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Liga MX Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.83.063.123.23

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX1083.06
2024/2025Liga MX3382.74
2023/2024Liga MX3382.86
2022/2023Liga MX3402.79
2021/2022Liga MX3292.39

Liga MX Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
77.07%1.376.85%1.378%1.2886.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX10876.85% 1.3
2024/2025Liga MX33876.04% 1.32
2023/2024Liga MX33879.88% 1.25
2022/2023Liga MX34075.29% 1.33
2021/2022Liga MX32972.04% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Liga MX First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.271.421.51.45

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX1081.42
2024/2025Liga MX3381.24
2023/2024Liga MX3381.24
2022/2023Liga MX3401.32
2021/2022Liga MX3291.09

Liga MX Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.531.651.731.67

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Liga MX1081.65
2024/2025Liga MX3381.51
2023/2024Liga MX3381.62
2022/2023Liga MX3401.46
2021/2022Liga MX3291.30
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
14-0.191.24-1.36%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-1.36%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Monterrey matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.051.2625.63%
18-08-256Monterrey53 - 211Mazatlán71.50.2W
05-05-257Monterrey62 - 010Pumas UNAM61.50.36W
06-04-259Monterrey63 - 112Guadalajara61.50.29W
13-01-2512Monterrey271 - 111Puebla1(A)1.50.22W
11-11-246Monterrey72 - 111LeĂłn41.50.2W
03-11-244Monterrey54 - 010Atlas61.50.31W
31-03-241Monterrey130 - 210Guadalajara61.50.29W
09-11-233Monterrey33 - 010Santos Laguna21.50.18W

Pumas UNAM matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.121.3114%
28-09-254América2(A)4 - 110Pumas UNAM31.50.29W
17-08-255Toluca41 - 114Pumas UNAM51.50.29W
20-04-255Tigres UANL32 - 110Pumas UNAM21.50.34W
31-03-253LeĂłn151 - 212Pumas UNAM131.50.31W
24-10-244Monterrey30 - 05Pumas UNAM31.5-1L
04-03-244Monterrey33 - 07Pumas UNAM71.50.28W
04-02-243Tigres UANL52 - 27Pumas UNAM21.50.29W
20-01-245Atlético San Luis63 - 16Pumas UNAM51.50.32W
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