Gorica vs Varaždin - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

CROATIA - 1. HNL

2025-10-19
17:15:00

Gorica¹³

Varaždin¹⁵

Stadion Radnik (Velika Gorica)

2.843.133.05

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.41

1. HNL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Dinamo Zagreb96122071319LWWLD

2Hajduk Split9612147719WWLLD

3Lokomotiva Zagreb104421212016DWLWD

4Varaždin93331010012LWLWD

5Istra 19619333911-212WDWLW

6Slaven Koprivnica94051217-512WLLWW

7Gorica93241113-211LLWWL

8Rijeka92431111010WDLDD

9Osijek923489-19LWLWD

10Vukovar10136919-106DLLWL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Gorica's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

9-2.141.36-23.78%

Gorica's home matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

14-03-25

Gorica⁴0 - 3⁽¹⁾Slaven Koprivnica⁴1.50.41W

25-01-25

Gorica⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.50.43W

27-10-24

Gorica⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Istra 1961⁷1.5-1L

30-09-24

Gorica⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Slaven Koprivnica⁶1.50.29W

03-08-24

Gorica⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.5-1L

04-11-23

Gorica²3 - 0⁽²⁾Osijek³1.50.34W

29-07-23

Gorica⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Lokomotiva Zagreb⁵1.5-1L

08-04-23

Gorica⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Osijek⁵1.50.39W

25-02-23

Gorica⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Lokomotiva Zagreb⁶1.5-1L

Varaždin's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.251.39-45%

Varaždin's away matches when WIN odds between 2.9 and 3.2

25-01-25

Gorica⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.50.43W

07-12-24

Istra 1961⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁷1.5-1L

15-09-24

Šibenik⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin³1.5-1L

06-10-23

Slaven Koprivnica⁵3 - 2⁽¹⁾Varaždin⁵1.50.32W

18-01-23

Gorica⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin³1.5-1L

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Gorica's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.761.37-17.6%

Gorica's last 10 home matches

05-10-25

Gorica¹³1 - 3⁽²⁾Rijeka^2(A)1.50.39W

21-09-25

Gorica⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Slaven Koprivnica³1.50.34W

24-05-25

Gorica⁵0 - 3⁽¹⁾Lokomotiva Zagreb⁶1.50.25W

11-05-25

Gorica⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Hajduk Split⁷1.50.32W

23-04-25

Gorica³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dinamo Zagreb⁵1.5-1L

12-04-25

Gorica⁷3 - 2⁽¹⁾Istra 1961⁶1.50.53W

14-03-25

Gorica⁴0 - 3⁽¹⁾Slaven Koprivnica⁴1.50.41W

01-03-25

Gorica⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rijeka^2(A)1.5-1L

23-02-25

Gorica⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Šibenik⁸1.5-1L

08-02-25

Gorica⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Osijek⁵1.5-1L

Varaždin's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-5.621.41-56.2%

Varaždin's last 10 away matches.

03-10-25

Istra 1961⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.5-1L

20-09-25

Lokomotiva Zagreb⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.5-1L

24-08-25

Rijeka²1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.50.43W

10-08-25

Slaven Koprivnica⁶3 - 1⁽²⁾Varaždin⁵1.50.36W

25-05-25

Dinamo Zagreb⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁷1.5-1L

11-05-25

Istra 1961⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁸1.5-1L

22-04-25

Slaven Koprivnica³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Varaždin³1.5-1L

13-04-25

Rijeka⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Varaždin⁸1.5-1L

16-03-25

Osijek⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁷1.5-1L

02-03-25

Šibenik⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Varaždin⁸1.50.59W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Gorica's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.671.3411.17%

Gorica's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Gorica¹³1 - 3⁽²⁾Rijeka^2(A)1.50.39W

21-09-25

Gorica⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Slaven Koprivnica³1.50.34W

14-09-25

Dinamo Zagreb³1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Gorica³1.50.14W

29-08-25

Istra 1961⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gorica⁶1.5-1L

22-08-25

Vukovar⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Gorica⁵1.50.47W

16-08-25

Lokomotiva Zagreb⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Gorica⁵1.50.33W

Varaždin's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.571.36-9.5%

Varaždin's all matches - last 6

03-10-25

Istra 1961⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.5-1L

26-09-25

Varaždin⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Vukovar³1.50.3W

20-09-25

Lokomotiva Zagreb⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.5-1L

13-09-25

Varaždin³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Hajduk Split¹²1.50.41W

30-08-25

Varaždin⁵2 - 2⁽²⁾Dinamo Zagreb⁶1.50.29W

24-08-25

Rijeka²1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.50.43W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.431.41-7.17%

H2H matches - last 6

04-08-25

Varaždin³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gorica¹⁰1.50.4W

04-04-25

Varaždin⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gorica⁶1.5-1L

25-01-25

Gorica⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.50.43W

20-10-24

Varaždin¹³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gorica¹⁴1.50.39W

03-08-24

Gorica⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁶1.5-1L

30-03-24

Varaždin¹⁴2 - 4⁽³⁾Gorica¹²1.50.35W

1. HNL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Dinamo Zagreb96122071319LWWLD

2Hajduk Split9612147719WWLLD

3Lokomotiva Zagreb104421212016DWLWD

4Varaždin93331010012LWLWD

5Istra 19619333911-212WDWLW

6Slaven Koprivnica94051217-512WLLWW

7Gorica93241113-211LLWWL

8Rijeka92431111010WDLDD

9Osijek923489-19LWLWD

10Vukovar10136919-106DLLWL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 10%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.81 (1.23)0.10 (1.41)1.101.96

1. HNL Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

261.231.314.73%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Gorica's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.101.372.50%

05-10-25

^0.08Gorica¹³1 - 3⁽²⁾Rijeka^2(A)1.50.39W

21-09-25

^0.10Gorica⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Slaven Koprivnica³1.50.34W

24-11-24

^0.11Šibenik⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gorica⁹1.5-1L

06-04-24

^0.08Lokomotiva Zagreb²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gorica⁶1.50.37W

Varaždin's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.951.3231.67%

26-09-25

^0.10Varaždin⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Vukovar³1.50.3W

10-08-25

^0.09Slaven Koprivnica⁶3 - 1⁽²⁾Varaždin⁵1.50.36W

22-04-24

^0.10Rudeš⁹0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Varaždin⁴1.50.29W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30-0.521.34-1.73%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -55 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Gorica (ELO: 1268) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.521.3719%

21-09-25

^-34Gorica⁶2 - 1Slaven Koprivnica³1.50.34W

24-05-25

^-44Gorica⁵0 - 3Lokomotiva Zagreb⁶1.50.25W

12-04-25

^-61Gorica⁷3 - 2Istra 1961⁶1.50.53W

14-03-25

^-41Gorica⁴0 - 3Slaven Koprivnica⁴1.50.41W

21-12-24

^-76Gorica⁷1 - 4Lokomotiva Zagreb⁶1.50.29W

27-10-24

^-48Gorica⁶1 - 0Istra 1961⁷1.5-1L

24-05-24

^-54Gorica⁴2 - 0Istra 1961⁶1.50.36W

28-01-24

^-36Gorica³1 - 2Lokomotiva Zagreb⁴1.50.34W

Varaždin (ELO 1323) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.371.36-12.33%

07-12-24

^-33Istra 1961⁵0 - 0Varaždin⁷1.5-1L

06-10-23

^-32Slaven Koprivnica⁵3 - 2Varaždin⁵1.50.32W

05-05-23

^-45Šibenik⁵0 - 2Varaždin⁴1.50.31W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Gorica's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.391.3939%

05-10-25

Gorica¹³1 - 3Rijeka^2(A)1.50.39W

Varaždin's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.291.2929%

02-04-23

Lokomotiva Zagreb¹³1 - 1Varaždin¹⁵1.50.29W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Gorica's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.731.31-12.17%

20-10-24

Varaždin¹³2 - 1Gorica¹⁴1.50.39W

21-10-23

Gorica¹²2 - 1Dinamo Zagreb¹²1.50.28W

22-10-22

Lokomotiva Zagreb^2(A)2 - 1Gorica³1.50.32W

15-10-22

Gorica⁵0 - 1Hajduk Split^2(A)1.5-1L

23-10-21

Hajduk Split⁵0 - 0Gorica⁶1.5-1L

16-10-21

Gorica¹⁴1 - 1Istra 1961¹³1.50.28W

Varaždin's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.031.32-0.75%

20-10-24

Varaždin¹³2 - 1Gorica¹⁴1.50.39W

21-10-23

Varaždin¹⁴0 - 0Lokomotiva Zagreb¹²1.5-1L

22-10-22

Varaždin^2(A)4 - 1Osijek³1.50.35W

16-10-22

Dinamo Zagreb⁴3 - 1Varaždin⁷1.50.23W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

1. HNL Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.52.552.322.63

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

1. HNL472.55

2024/2025

1. HNL1802.36

2023/2024

1. HNL1802.66

2022/2023

1. HNL1802.47

2021/2022

1. HNL1682.77

1. HNL Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

69.81%1.4382.98%1.2174%1.3583.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

1. HNL4782.98% 1.21

2024/2025

1. HNL18067.22% 1.49

2023/2024

1. HNL18072.22% 1.38

2022/2023

1. HNL18070% 1.43

2021/2022

1. HNL16876.79% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

1. HNL First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.081.111.21.04

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

1. HNL471.11

2024/2025

1. HNL1801.17

2023/2024

1. HNL1801.12

2022/2023

1. HNL1800.94

2021/2022

1. HNL1681.23

1. HNL Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.421.451.431.28

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

1. HNL471.45

2024/2025

1. HNL1801.19

2023/2024

1. HNL1801.54

2022/2023

1. HNL1801.53

2021/2022

1. HNL1681.54

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

28-2.291.35-8.18%

Last 2 seasons - 8 vs 5 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.271.2727%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Gorica matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.751.3921.88%

21-09-25

⁶Gorica⁶2 - 1⁴Slaven Koprivnica³1.50.34W

12-04-25

⁹Gorica⁷3 - 2⁶Istra 1961⁶1.50.53W

14-03-25

⁹Gorica⁴0 - 3⁵Slaven Koprivnica⁴1.50.41W

08-02-25

¹⁰Gorica⁷1 - 0⁴Osijek⁵1.5-1L

25-01-25

¹⁰Gorica⁷1 - 1⁵Varaždin⁶1.50.43W

28-04-24

⁷Gorica⁶0 - 3⁴Osijek⁷1.50.36W

28-01-24

⁵Gorica³1 - 2⁶Lokomotiva Zagreb⁴1.50.34W

04-11-23

⁵Gorica²3 - 0⁴Osijek³1.50.34W

Varaždin matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.41.385%

10-08-25

⁹Slaven Koprivnica⁶3 - 1⁶Varaždin⁵1.50.36W

02-03-25

¹⁰Šibenik⁶0 - 2⁵Varaždin⁸1.50.59W

25-01-25

¹⁰Gorica⁷1 - 1⁵Varaždin⁶1.50.43W

10-11-24

¹⁰Slaven Koprivnica⁷1 - 1⁵Varaždin⁶1.50.35W

01-09-24

⁸Lokomotiva Zagreb⁸0 - 1⁶Varaždin⁷1.5-1L

03-08-24

⁹Gorica⁶0 - 0⁷Varaždin⁶1.5-1L

17-05-24

⁸Istra 1961⁴2 - 0⁶Varaždin⁵1.50.38W

22-04-24

¹⁰Rudeš⁹0 - 2⁷Varaždin⁴1.50.29W

YOUR TEXT

Gorica vs Varaždin - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

CROATIA - 1. HNL

Gorica's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Gorica's home matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

Varaždin's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Varaždin's away matches when WIN odds between 2.9 and 3.2

Gorica's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Gorica's last 10 home matches

Varaždin's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Varaždin's last 10 away matches.

Gorica's all matches (last 6 matches)

Gorica's all matches - last 6

Varaždin's all matches (last 6 matches)

Varaždin's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

1. HNL Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Gorica's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Varaždin's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Gorica (ELO: 1268) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Varaždin (ELO 1323) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Gorica's all matches (last 8 matches)

Varaždin's all matches (last 8 matches)

Gorica's all matches (last 8 matches)

Varaždin's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

1. HNL Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

1. HNL Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

1. HNL First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

1. HNL Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 8 vs 5 in the table

Gorica matches against table positions: 4,5,6

Varaždin matches against table positions: 8,9,10

About #BetTheBuilder