Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

CROATIA - 1. HNL

Istra 1961 Logo

2025-10-19
15:00:00
Hajduk Split Logo
Istra 196115
Hajduk Split14

Aldo Drosina Stadium (Pula)
3.763.362.29
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.48
1. HNL Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Dinamo Zagreb96122071319LWWLD
2Hajduk Split9612147719WWLLD
3Lokomotiva Zagreb104421212016DWLWD
4VaraĹľdin93331010012LWLWD
5Istra 19619333911-212WDWLW
6Slaven Koprivnica94051217-512WLLWW
7Gorica93241113-211LLWWL
8Rijeka92431111010WDLDD
9Osijek923489-19LWLWD
10Vukovar10136919-106DLLWL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Istra 1961's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.321.37-10.67%

Istra 1961's home matches when WIN odds between 3.5 and 4

04-10-24Istra 196162 - 1 (1)Osijek41.50.36W
10-02-24Istra 196151 - 0 (0)Osijek61.5-1L
13-08-23Istra 196164 - 4 (2)Osijek2(A)1.50.32W

Hajduk Split's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.681.33-11.33%

Hajduk Split's away matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

05-04-25Slaven Koprivnica20 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split51.5-1L
15-02-25Istra 196151 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split61.50.52W
25-05-24Lokomotiva Zagreb62 - 5 (0)Hajduk Split51.50.19W
12-05-24Istra 196181 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split61.50.4W
07-05-23Lokomotiva Zagreb50 - 3 (2)Hajduk Split61.50.21W
26-04-23Gorica20 - 0 (0)Hajduk Split31.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Istra 1961's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.481.38-4.8%

Istra 1961's last 10 home matches

03-10-25Istra 196151 - 0 (0)VaraĹľdin61.5-1L
21-09-25Istra 196142 - 1 (1)Osijek61.50.33W
29-08-25Istra 196151 - 0 (0)Gorica61.5-1L
09-08-25Istra 196152 - 2 (2)Lokomotiva Zagreb71.50.29W
16-05-25Istra 196143 - 0 (0)Ĺ ibenik51.50.32W
11-05-25Istra 196170 - 0 (0)VaraĹľdin81.5-1L
28-04-25Istra 196141 - 1 (0)Slaven Koprivnica51.50.33W
19-04-25Istra 196162 - 0 (0)Rijeka51.50.57W
05-04-25Istra 19612(A)3 - 0 (0)Dinamo Zagreb51.50.3W
29-03-25Istra 196172 - 1 (1)Osijek121.50.38W

Hajduk Split's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.041.39-0.4%

Hajduk Split's last 10 away matches.

04-10-25Vukovar70 - 1 (1)Hajduk Split61.5-1L
13-09-25VaraĹľdin32 - 0 (0)Hajduk Split121.50.41W
24-08-25Osijek60 - 2 (0)Hajduk Split61.50.38W
25-05-25Ĺ ibenik80 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split61.5-1L
11-05-25Gorica61 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split71.50.32W
27-04-25Osijek32 - 0 (1)Hajduk Split31.50.36W
18-04-25VaraĹľdin41 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split41.50.54W
05-04-25Slaven Koprivnica20 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split51.5-1L
16-03-25Rijeka83 - 0 (1)Hajduk Split61.50.6W
02-03-25Dinamo Zagreb32 - 2 (1)Hajduk Split31.50.35W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Istra 1961's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.161.33-36%

Istra 1961's all matches - last 6

03-10-25Istra 196151 - 0 (0)VaraĹľdin61.5-1L
27-09-25Rijeka40 - 0 (0)Istra 196151.5-1L
21-09-25Istra 196142 - 1 (1)Osijek61.50.33W
12-09-25Slaven Koprivnica122 - 1 (1)Istra 1961131.50.32W
29-08-25Istra 196151 - 0 (0)Gorica61.5-1L
23-08-25Dinamo Zagreb63 - 0 (2)Istra 196171.50.19W

Hajduk Split's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.821.3513.67%

Hajduk Split's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Vukovar70 - 1 (1)Hajduk Split61.5-1L
27-09-25Hajduk Split2(A)2 - 0 (1)Lokomotiva Zagreb61.50.26W
20-09-25Hajduk Split60 - 2 (1)Dinamo Zagreb51.50.35W
13-09-25VaraĹľdin32 - 0 (0)Hajduk Split121.50.41W
31-08-25Hajduk Split62 - 2 (1)Rijeka2(A)1.50.42W
24-08-25Osijek60 - 2 (0)Hajduk Split61.50.38W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.851.3614.17%

H2H matches - last 6

03-08-25Hajduk Split22 - 1 (1)Istra 196181.50.41W
23-04-25Hajduk Split40 - 1 (0)Istra 196131.5-1L
15-02-25Istra 196151 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split61.50.52W
09-11-24Hajduk Split51 - 1 (1)Istra 196151.50.26W
25-08-24Istra 196161 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split61.50.26W
12-05-24Istra 196181 - 1 (0)Hajduk Split61.50.4W
1. HNL Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Dinamo Zagreb96122071319LWWLD
2Hajduk Split9612147719WWLLD
3Lokomotiva Zagreb104421212016DWLWD
4VaraĹľdin93331010012LWLWD
5Istra 19619333911-212WDWLW
6Slaven Koprivnica94051217-512WLLWW
7Gorica93241113-211LLWWL
8Rijeka92431111010WDLDD
9Osijek923489-19LWLWD
10Vukovar10136919-106DLLWL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -18%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.50 (2)-0.18 (1.48)0.551.15

1. HNL Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
27-0.851.31-3.15%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Istra 1961's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-2.761.38-39.43%
21-09-25-0.16Istra 196142 - 1 (1)Osijek61.50.33W
12-04-25-0.16Gorica73 - 2 (1)Istra 196161.50.53W
27-10-24-0.16Gorica61 - 0 (1)Istra 196171.5-1L
20-04-24-0.16Osijek51 - 2 (0)Istra 196151.50.38W
17-03-24-0.18Istra 196180 - 0 (0)Gorica71.5-1L
02-03-24-0.17Hajduk Split31 - 0 (0)Istra 196161.5-1L
27-01-24-0.18Istra 196160 - 1 (0)Dinamo Zagreb31.5-1L

Hajduk Split's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.931.18-46.50%
27-04-24-0.19Hajduk Split65 - 1 (0)Rudeš41.50.07W
02-03-24-0.17Hajduk Split31 - 0 (0)Istra 196161.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
37-3.261.37-8.81%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -70 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Istra 1961 (ELO: 1349) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.21.415%
29-03-25-46Istra 196172 - 1Osijek121.50.38W
28-02-25-47Istra 196143 - 2Lokomotiva Zagreb61.50.4W
29-03-24-95Istra 1961110 - 0Lokomotiva Zagreb121.5-1L
03-03-23-77Istra 196160 - 2Rijeka51.50.42W

Hajduk Split (ELO 1420) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.161.273.2%
24-08-25-89Osijek60 - 2Hajduk Split61.50.38W
24-11-24-51Osijek132 - 2Hajduk Split141.50.32W
25-05-24-67Lokomotiva Zagreb62 - 5Hajduk Split51.50.19W
07-10-23-75Rijeka51 - 0Hajduk Split51.5-1L
16-04-23-93Rijeka72 - 0Hajduk Split31.50.27W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Istra 1961's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00014.17%

Hajduk Split's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.581.2929%
24-11-24Osijek132 - 2Hajduk Split141.50.32W
22-10-23Hajduk Split140 - 2Osijek141.50.26W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Istra 1961's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.41.316.67%
19-10-24Istra 1961142 - 2Dinamo Zagreb121.50.29W
22-10-23Istra 1961131 - 1Rijeka141.50.3W
23-10-22Istra 196130 - 0Ĺ ibenik41.5-1L
15-10-22Osijek52 - 0Istra 1961141.50.35W
24-10-21Dinamo Zagreb2(A)1 - 1Istra 196171.50.18W
16-10-21Gorica141 - 1Istra 1961131.50.28W

Hajduk Split's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.781.3-13%
20-10-24Slaven Koprivnica140 - 2Hajduk Split131.50.31W
22-10-23Hajduk Split140 - 2Osijek141.50.26W
21-10-22Hajduk Split51 - 1Dinamo Zagreb41.50.31W
15-10-22Gorica50 - 1Hajduk Split2(A)1.5-1L
23-10-21Hajduk Split50 - 0Gorica61.5-1L
17-10-21Ĺ ibenik152 - 0Hajduk Split131.50.34W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

1. HNL Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.52.552.322.63

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20261. HNL472.55
2024/20251. HNL1802.36
2023/20241. HNL1802.66
2022/20231. HNL1802.47
2021/20221. HNL1682.77

1. HNL Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
69.81%1.4382.98%1.2174%1.3583.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20261. HNL4782.98% 1.21
2024/20251. HNL18067.22% 1.49
2023/20241. HNL18072.22% 1.38
2022/20231. HNL18070% 1.43
2021/20221. HNL16876.79% 1.3
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

1. HNL First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.081.111.21.04

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20261. HNL471.11
2024/20251. HNL1801.17
2023/20241. HNL1801.12
2022/20231. HNL1800.94
2021/20221. HNL1681.23

1. HNL Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.421.451.431.28

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20261. HNL471.45
2024/20251. HNL1801.19
2023/20241. HNL1801.54
2022/20231. HNL1801.53
2021/20221. HNL1681.54
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
35-3.141.34-8.97%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.551.39.17%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Istra 1961 matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.541.426.75%
03-10-257Istra 196151 - 03VaraĹľdin61.5-1L
19-04-256Istra 196162 - 01Rijeka51.50.57W
05-04-257Istra 19612(A)3 - 03Dinamo Zagreb51.50.3W
15-02-258Istra 196151 - 11Hajduk Split61.50.52W
03-11-246Istra 196130 - 13Rijeka71.5-1L
19-10-247Istra 1961142 - 23Dinamo Zagreb121.50.29W
12-05-248Istra 196181 - 13Hajduk Split61.50.4W
14-04-249Istra 196160 - 21Rijeka61.50.46W

Hajduk Split matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.481.3618.5%
13-09-255VaraĹľdin32 - 02Hajduk Split121.50.41W
18-04-255VaraĹľdin41 - 12Hajduk Split41.50.54W
24-11-245Osijek132 - 21Hajduk Split141.50.32W
03-11-245VaraĹľdin71 - 01Hajduk Split31.5-1L
25-08-246Istra 196161 - 14Hajduk Split61.50.26W
25-05-245Lokomotiva Zagreb62 - 53Hajduk Split51.50.19W
09-03-246Gorica40 - 32Hajduk Split61.50.43W
08-12-236Lokomotiva Zagreb41 - 11Hajduk Split51.50.33W
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