Liverpool vs Manchester United - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

2025-10-19
16:30:00

Liverpool¹⁴

Manchester United¹⁴

Anfield (Liverpool)

1.624.645.94

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.17

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Arsenal86111531219WWWDW

2Manchester City85121761116WWWDW

3Liverpool7502139415LLWWW

4AFC Bournemouth84311411315DWDDW

5Tottenham Hotspur7421135814WDDWL

6Chelsea8422169714WWLLD

7Sunderland842296314WLWDD

8Crystal Palace8341128413DLWWD

9Brighton & Hove Albion83321211112WDWDL

10Everton832399011LWDLD

11Manchester United7313911-210WLWLW

12Newcastle United82337709LWLDW

13Aston Villa723267-19WWDDL

14Fulham8224812-48LLLWW

15Leeds United8224713-68LLDWL

16Brentford7214912-37LWLDL

17Burnley8215915-67WLLDL

18Nottingham Forest8125515-105LLLDL

19West Ham United7115616-104LDLLW

20Wolverhampton Wanderers8026516-112LDDLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Liverpool's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.411.215.13%

Liverpool's home matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

20-09-25

Liverpool²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Everton⁶1.50.25W

02-04-25

Liverpool¹⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Everton¹⁷1.5-1L

31-01-24

Liverpool²4 - 1⁽¹⁾Chelsea⁴1.50.18W

03-09-23

Liverpool⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa²1.50.15W

20-05-23

Liverpool⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Aston Villa⁶1.50.17W

30-04-23

Liverpool³4 - 3⁽³⁾Tottenham Hotspur²1.50.18W

01-03-23

Liverpool³2 - 0⁽¹⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers⁴1.50.25W

13-02-23

Liverpool⁸2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Everton⁸1.50.23W

Manchester United's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.211.2-4.2%

Manchester United's away matches when WIN odds between 4.9 and 6.9

14-09-25

Manchester City¹³3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United¹⁴1.50.2W

16-05-25

Chelsea⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United⁴1.5-1L

04-05-25

Brentford^2(A)4 - 3⁽²⁾Manchester United^2(A)1.50.2W

13-04-25

Newcastle United⁵4 - 1⁽¹⁾Manchester United^2(A)1.50.22W

15-12-24

Manchester City³1 - 2⁽²⁾Manchester United^2(A)1.50.17W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Liverpool's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.671.18-6.7%

Liverpool's last 10 home matches

20-09-25

Liverpool²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Everton⁶1.50.25W

31-08-25

Liverpool⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Arsenal⁷1.5-1L

15-08-25

Liverpool⁴4 - 2⁽³⁾AFC Bournemouth⁵1.50.14W

25-05-25

Liverpool⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾Crystal Palace⁴1.50.12W

11-05-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Arsenal³1.50.23W

27-04-25

Liverpool⁶5 - 1⁽⁰⁾Tottenham Hotspur⁵1.50.12W

13-04-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾West Ham United⁷1.50.2W

02-04-25

Liverpool¹⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Everton¹⁷1.5-1L

08-03-25

Liverpool^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Southampton¹⁰1.50.1W

26-02-25

Liverpool^2(A)2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United²1.50.17W

Manchester United's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.031.250.3%

Manchester United's last 10 away matches.

27-09-25

Brentford⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Manchester United⁶1.50.23W

14-09-25

Manchester City¹³3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United¹⁴1.50.2W

24-08-25

Fulham⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Manchester United⁶1.50.25W

16-05-25

Chelsea⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United⁴1.5-1L

04-05-25

Brentford^2(A)4 - 3⁽²⁾Manchester United^2(A)1.50.2W

27-04-25

AFC Bournemouth⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Manchester United⁶1.50.25W

13-04-25

Newcastle United⁵4 - 1⁽¹⁾Manchester United^2(A)1.50.22W

01-04-25

Nottingham Forest^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United¹⁵1.5-1L

16-03-25

Leicester City⁶0 - 3⁽¹⁾Manchester United²1.50.3W

22-02-25

Everton⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Manchester United⁵1.50.38W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Liverpool's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.071.23-17.83%

Liverpool's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Chelsea³2 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool³1.50.21W

27-09-25

Crystal Palace⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾Liverpool³1.50.25W

20-09-25

Liverpool²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Everton⁶1.50.25W

14-09-25

Burnley¹⁴0 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool¹³1.5-1L

31-08-25

Liverpool⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Arsenal⁷1.5-1L

25-08-25

Newcastle United⁸2 - 3⁽²⁾Liverpool⁹1.50.22W

Manchester United's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.321.2222%

Manchester United's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Manchester United⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Sunderland⁶1.50.23W

27-09-25

Brentford⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Manchester United⁶1.50.23W

20-09-25

Manchester United⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Chelsea^2(A)1.50.21W

14-09-25

Manchester City¹³3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United¹⁴1.50.2W

30-08-25

Manchester United^2(A)3 - 2⁽¹⁾Burnley³1.50.2W

24-08-25

Fulham⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Manchester United⁶1.50.25W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.261.18-5.2%

H2H matches - last 6

05-01-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Manchester United⁵1.50.2W

01-09-24

Manchester United⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁶1.50.17W

07-04-24

Manchester United^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.12W

17-12-23

Liverpool^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United⁴1.5-1L

05-03-23

Liverpool³7 - 0⁽²⁾Manchester United³1.50.25W

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Arsenal86111531219WWWDW

2Manchester City85121761116WWWDW

3Liverpool7502139415LLWWW

4AFC Bournemouth84311411315DWDDW

5Tottenham Hotspur7421135814WDDWL

6Chelsea8422169714WWLLD

7Sunderland842296314WLWDD

8Crystal Palace8341128413DLWWD

9Brighton & Hove Albion83321211112WDWDL

10Everton832399011LWDLD

11Manchester United7313911-210WLWLW

12Newcastle United82337709LWLDW

13Aston Villa723267-19WWDDL

14Fulham8224812-48LLLWW

15Leeds United8224713-68LLDWL

16Brentford7214912-37LWLDL

17Burnley8215915-67WLLDL

18Nottingham Forest8125515-105LLLDL

19West Ham United7115616-104LDLLW

20Wolverhampton Wanderers8026516-112LDDLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -3%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.83 (1.2)-0.03 (1.17)1.671.55

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

111-0.381.22-0.34%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Liverpool's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

91.361.1515.11%

27-04-25

^-0.04Liverpool⁶5 - 1⁽⁰⁾Tottenham Hotspur⁵1.50.12W

06-04-25

^-0.03Fulham⁴3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Liverpool³1.50.26W

16-02-25

^-0.02Liverpool³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶1.50.17W

22-12-24

^-0.01Tottenham Hotspur²3 - 6⁽²⁾Liverpool³1.50.1W

14-12-24

^-0.02Liverpool³2 - 2⁽²⁾Fulham⁵1.50.14W

24-11-24

^-0.01Southampton¹⁴2 - 3⁽¹⁾Liverpool¹⁴1.50.15W

01-09-24

^-0.02Manchester United⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁶1.50.17W

25-08-24

^-0.02Liverpool⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brentford⁶1.50.13W

10-02-24

^-0.04Liverpool⁵3 - 1⁽¹⁾Burnley⁶1.50.12W

Manchester United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

90.561.206.22%

26-02-25

^-0.01Manchester United³3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Ipswich Town³1.50.23W

15-12-24

^-0.01Manchester City³1 - 2⁽²⁾Manchester United^2(A)1.50.17W

07-12-24

^-0.04Manchester United^2(A)2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Nottingham Forest^2(A)1.50.27W

04-12-24

^-0.01Arsenal³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United²1.50.22W

01-09-24

^-0.02Manchester United⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁶1.50.17W

16-08-24

^-0.05Manchester United⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Fulham⁵1.5-1L

27-04-24

^-0.03Manchester United²1 - 1⁽²⁾Burnley⁶1.50.12W

04-04-24

^-0.01Chelsea⁴4 - 3⁽²⁾Manchester United⁴1.50.15W

06-12-23

^-0.03Manchester United³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Chelsea²1.50.23W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

540.791.191.46%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 186 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Liverpool (ELO: 1988) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.291.1616.13%

20-09-25

²¹¹Liverpool²2 - 1Everton⁶1.50.25W

15-08-25

¹⁸⁵Liverpool⁴4 - 2AFC Bournemouth⁵1.50.14W

25-05-25

¹⁷⁰Liverpool⁵1 - 1Crystal Palace⁴1.50.12W

26-02-25

¹⁸⁰Liverpool^2(A)2 - 0Newcastle United²1.50.17W

09-11-24

¹⁶⁷Liverpool³2 - 0Aston Villa^2(A)1.50.21W

02-11-24

²⁰⁰Liverpool^2(A)2 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.15W

25-08-24

¹⁸⁵Liverpool⁷2 - 0Brentford⁶1.50.13W

31-03-24

¹⁹²Liverpool¹³2 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion¹⁶1.50.12W

Manchester United (ELO 1802) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.391.219.5%

15-12-24

¹⁸¹Manchester City³1 - 2Manchester United^2(A)1.50.17W

04-12-24

¹⁸⁵Arsenal³2 - 0Manchester United²1.50.22W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.31.1515%

24-11-24

Southampton¹⁴2 - 3Liverpool¹⁴1.50.15W

20-10-24

Liverpool¹⁴2 - 1Chelsea¹³1.50.15W

Manchester United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.481.2424%

14-09-25

Manchester City¹³3 - 0Manchester United¹⁴1.50.2W

26-11-23

Everton¹⁴0 - 3Manchester United¹⁴1.50.28W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-2.321.18-33.14%

20-10-24

Liverpool¹⁴2 - 1Chelsea¹³1.50.15W

21-10-23

Liverpool¹²2 - 0Everton¹³1.50.15W

22-10-22

Nottingham Forest³1 - 0Liverpool²1.5-1L

19-10-22

Liverpool²1 - 0West Ham United^2(A)1.5-1L

16-10-22

Liverpool³1 - 0Manchester City⁴1.5-1L

24-10-21

Manchester United³0 - 5Liverpool⁴1.50.2W

16-10-21

Watford¹³0 - 5Liverpool¹²1.50.18W

Manchester United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

70.311.224.43%

19-10-24

Manchester United¹²2 - 1Brentford¹³1.50.18W

21-10-23

Sheffield United¹³1 - 2Manchester United¹³1.50.17W

22-10-22

Chelsea^2(A)1 - 1Manchester United²1.50.27W

19-10-22

Manchester United²2 - 0Tottenham Hotspur³1.50.26W

16-10-22

Manchester United²0 - 0Newcastle United⁷1.5-1L

24-10-21

Manchester United³0 - 5Liverpool⁴1.50.2W

16-10-21

Leicester City¹²4 - 2Manchester United¹³1.50.23W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

3.022.612.642.7

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League772.61

2024/2025

Premier League3802.93

2023/2024

Premier League3803.28

2022/2023

Premier League3802.85

2021/2022

Premier League3802.82

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

80.97%1.2476.62%1.3178%1.2886.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League7776.62% 1.31

2024/2025

Premier League38081.32% 1.23

2023/2024

Premier League38086.05% 1.16

2022/2023

Premier League38075.53% 1.32

2021/2022

Premier League38077.11% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.351.0511.06

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League771.05

2024/2025

Premier League3801.36

2023/2024

Premier League3801.36

2022/2023

Premier League3801.32

2021/2022

Premier League3801.27

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.671.561.71.58

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League771.56

2024/2025

Premier League3801.57

2023/2024

Premier League3801.92

2022/2023

Premier League3801.53

2021/2022

Premier League3801.54

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

151.571.1810.47%

Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.131.1313%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Liverpool matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.311.14-5.17%

25-05-25

¹Liverpool⁵1 - 1¹²Crystal Palace⁴1.50.12W

14-12-24

¹Liverpool³2 - 2¹⁰Fulham⁵1.50.14W

21-09-24

⁵Liverpool³3 - 0¹¹AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.12W

14-09-24

²Liverpool¹²0 - 1¹⁰Nottingham Forest¹³1.5-1L

25-08-24

⁸Liverpool⁷2 - 0¹⁰Brentford⁶1.50.13W

31-01-24

¹Liverpool²4 - 1¹⁰Chelsea⁴1.50.18W

Manchester United matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.251.2-20.83%

01-04-25

³Nottingham Forest^2(A)1 - 0¹³Manchester United¹⁵1.5-1L

05-01-25

¹Liverpool⁶2 - 2¹⁴Manchester United⁵1.50.2W

04-12-24

²Arsenal³2 - 0⁹Manchester United²1.50.22W

24-08-24

¹Brighton & Hove Albion⁶2 - 1⁸Manchester United⁷1.50.2W

03-03-24

²Manchester City⁴3 - 1⁶Manchester United³1.50.13W

17-12-23

³Liverpool^2(A)0 - 0⁸Manchester United⁴1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Liverpool vs Manchester United - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

Liverpool's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Liverpool's home matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

Manchester United's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Manchester United's away matches when WIN odds between 4.9 and 6.9

Liverpool's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Liverpool's last 10 home matches

Manchester United's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Manchester United's last 10 away matches.

Liverpool's all matches (last 6 matches)

Liverpool's all matches - last 6

Manchester United's all matches (last 6 matches)

Manchester United's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

Liverpool's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

Manchester United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Liverpool (ELO: 1988) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Manchester United (ELO 1802) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

Manchester United's all matches (last 8 matches)

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

Manchester United's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 11 in the table

Liverpool matches against table positions: 10,11,12

Manchester United matches against table positions: 1,2,3

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