Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

2025-10-19
14:00:00

Tottenham Hotspur¹⁴

Aston Villa¹³

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

2.113.773.84

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.26

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Arsenal86111531219WWWDW

2Manchester City85121761116WWWDW

3Liverpool7502139415LLWWW

4AFC Bournemouth84311411315DWDDW

5Tottenham Hotspur7421135814WDDWL

6Chelsea8422169714WWLLD

7Sunderland842296314WLWDD

8Crystal Palace8341128413DLWWD

9Brighton & Hove Albion83321211112WDWDL

10Everton832399011LWDLD

11Manchester United7313911-210WLWLW

12Newcastle United82337709LWLDW

13Aston Villa723267-19WWDDL

14Fulham8224812-48LLLWW

15Leeds United8224713-68LLDWL

16Brentford7214912-37LWLDL

17Burnley8215915-67WLLDL

18Nottingham Forest8125515-105LLLDL

19West Ham United7115616-104LDLLW

20Wolverhampton Wanderers8026516-112LDDLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Tottenham Hotspur's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.051.210.83%

Tottenham Hotspur's home matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

16-02-25

Tottenham Hotspur⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United⁸1.5-1L

01-12-24

Tottenham Hotspur²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fulham⁷1.50.15W

03-11-24

Tottenham Hotspur³4 - 1⁽²⁾Aston Villa³1.50.17W

10-12-23

Tottenham Hotspur²4 - 1⁽²⁾Newcastle United^2(A)1.50.18W

20-05-23

Tottenham Hotspur⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Brentford⁵1.50.25W

23-10-22

Tottenham Hotspur³1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United³1.50.3W

Aston Villa's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.611.220.33%

Aston Villa's away matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 4.1

22-04-25

Manchester City^2(A)2 - 1⁽¹⁾Aston Villa²1.50.22W

26-12-24

Newcastle United⁴3 - 0⁽¹⁾Aston Villa⁴1.50.22W

03-11-24

Tottenham Hotspur³4 - 1⁽²⁾Aston Villa³1.50.17W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Tottenham Hotspur's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.451.21-14.5%

Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 home matches

27-09-25

Tottenham Hotspur²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers³1.50.25W

30-08-25

Tottenham Hotspur⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth³1.5-1L

16-08-25

Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burnley¹²1.50.31W

25-05-25

Tottenham Hotspur³1 - 4⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1.50.18W

11-05-25

Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Crystal Palace⁵1.50.23W

21-04-25

Tottenham Hotspur³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Nottingham Forest⁸1.50.23W

06-04-25

Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)3 - 1⁽²⁾Southampton³1.50.17W

09-03-25

Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth⁷1.50.18W

26-02-25

Tottenham Hotspur³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Manchester City²1.5-1L

16-02-25

Tottenham Hotspur⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Manchester United⁸1.5-1L

Aston Villa's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-2.521.25-25.2%

Aston Villa's last 10 away matches.

21-09-25

Sunderland⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa⁴1.50.34W

13-09-25

Everton¹³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa¹²1.5-1L

23-08-25

Brentford⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa⁶1.5-1L

25-05-25

Manchester United³2 - 0⁽²⁾Aston Villa⁸1.50.2W

10-05-25

AFC Bournemouth⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa⁶1.5-1L

22-04-25

Manchester City^2(A)2 - 1⁽¹⁾Aston Villa²1.50.22W

12-04-25

Southampton⁵0 - 3⁽²⁾Aston Villa^2(A)1.50.21W

02-04-25

Brighton & Hove Albion³0 - 3⁽²⁾Aston Villa^2(A)1.50.28W

08-03-25

Brentford⁹0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa³1.5-1L

25-02-25

Crystal Palace^2(A)4 - 1⁽¹⁾Aston Villa²1.50.23W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.191.243.17%

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Leeds United⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Tottenham Hotspur³1.50.3W

27-09-25

Tottenham Hotspur²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers³1.50.25W

20-09-25

Brighton & Hove Albion⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Tottenham Hotspur³1.50.23W

13-09-25

West Ham United¹²0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Tottenham Hotspur¹³1.50.23W

30-08-25

Tottenham Hotspur⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth³1.5-1L

23-08-25

Manchester City⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Tottenham Hotspur⁶1.50.18W

Aston Villa's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.751.32-12.5%

Aston Villa's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Aston Villa^2(A)2 - 1⁽¹⁾Burnley⁷1.50.3W

28-09-25

Aston Villa²3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fulham⁴1.50.36W

21-09-25

Sunderland⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa⁴1.50.34W

13-09-25

Everton¹³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa¹²1.5-1L

31-08-25

Aston Villa⁷0 - 3⁽¹⁾Crystal Palace^2(A)1.50.25W

23-08-25

Brentford⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa⁶1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.091.1818.17%

H2H matches - last 6

16-05-25

Aston Villa⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Tottenham Hotspur⁴1.50.14W

03-11-24

Tottenham Hotspur³4 - 1⁽²⁾Aston Villa³1.50.17W

10-03-24

Aston Villa^2(A)0 - 4⁽²⁾Tottenham Hotspur⁷1.50.14W

26-11-23

Tottenham Hotspur¹⁴1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa¹³1.50.2W

13-05-23

Aston Villa⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Tottenham Hotspur⁶1.50.23W

01-01-23

Tottenham Hotspur⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa⁵1.50.21W

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Arsenal86111531219WWWDW

2Manchester City85121761116WWWDW

3Liverpool7502139415LLWWW

4AFC Bournemouth84311411315DWDDW

5Tottenham Hotspur7421135814WDDWL

6Chelsea8422169714WWLLD

7Sunderland842296314WLWDD

8Crystal Palace8341128413DLWWD

9Brighton & Hove Albion83321211112WDWDL

10Everton832399011LWDLD

11Manchester United7313911-210WLWLW

12Newcastle United82337709LWLDW

13Aston Villa723267-19WWDDL

14Fulham8224812-48LLLWW

15Leeds United8224713-68LLDWL

16Brentford7214912-37LWLDL

17Burnley8215915-67WLLDL

18Nottingham Forest8125515-105LLLDL

19West Ham United7115616-104LDLLW

20Wolverhampton Wanderers8026516-112LDDLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -19%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.60 (1.67)-0.19 (1.26)1.300.73

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

350.761.232.17%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Tottenham Hotspur's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.131.1313.00%

08-12-24

^-0.17Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)3 - 4⁽²⁾Chelsea³1.50.13W

Aston Villa's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.401.21-28.00%

23-08-25

^-0.19Brentford⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa⁶1.5-1L

08-03-25

^-0.21Brentford⁹0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa³1.5-1L

19-02-25

^-0.17Aston Villa³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²1.50.21W

22-12-23

^-0.17Aston Villa⁴1 - 1⁽²⁾Sheffield United⁵1.50.15W

12-11-23

^-0.17Aston Villa²3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fulham⁷1.50.24W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

931.621.251.74%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -51 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Tottenham Hotspur (ELO: 1818) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.121.1918.67%

04-01-25

^-41Tottenham Hotspur⁵1 - 2Newcastle United⁴1.50.1W

08-12-24

^-64Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)3 - 4Chelsea³1.50.13W

10-12-23

^-40Tottenham Hotspur²4 - 1Newcastle United^2(A)1.50.18W

19-08-23

^-59Tottenham Hotspur⁵2 - 0Manchester United⁴1.50.18W

27-04-23

^-34Tottenham Hotspur³2 - 2Manchester United³1.50.23W

15-01-23

^-63Tottenham Hotspur⁷0 - 2Arsenal⁵1.50.3W

Aston Villa (ELO 1869) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-3.121.24-39%

13-09-25

^-42Everton¹³0 - 0Aston Villa¹²1.5-1L

23-08-25

^-70Brentford⁵1 - 0Aston Villa⁶1.5-1L

10-05-25

^-54AFC Bournemouth⁶0 - 1Aston Villa⁶1.5-1L

08-03-25

^-40Brentford⁹0 - 1Aston Villa³1.5-1L

19-10-24

^-64Fulham¹³1 - 3Aston Villa¹²1.50.28W

17-08-24

^-44West Ham United⁶1 - 2Aston Villa⁶1.50.22W

19-05-24

^-45Crystal Palace⁷5 - 0Aston Villa⁵1.50.17W

17-03-24

^-46West Ham United²1 - 1Aston Villa²1.50.21W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.41.220%

28-04-24

Tottenham Hotspur¹⁴2 - 3Arsenal⁴1.50.2W

26-11-23

Tottenham Hotspur¹⁴1 - 2Aston Villa¹³1.50.2W

Aston Villa's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.451.2424.17%

23-11-24

Aston Villa¹³2 - 2Crystal Palace¹³1.50.26W

14-09-24

Aston Villa¹³3 - 2Everton¹³1.50.26W

26-11-23

Tottenham Hotspur¹⁴1 - 2Aston Villa¹³1.50.2W

22-10-23

Aston Villa¹³4 - 1West Ham United¹³1.50.22W

01-04-23

Chelsea¹³0 - 2Aston Villa¹³1.50.21W

04-02-23

Aston Villa¹³2 - 4Leicester City⁶1.50.3W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

70.331.234.71%

19-10-24

Tottenham Hotspur¹²4 - 1West Ham United¹³1.50.13W

23-10-23

Tottenham Hotspur¹⁵2 - 0Fulham¹⁵1.50.18W

23-10-22

Tottenham Hotspur³1 - 2Newcastle United³1.50.3W

19-10-22

Manchester United²2 - 0Tottenham Hotspur³1.50.26W

15-10-22

Tottenham Hotspur²2 - 0Everton⁵1.50.21W

24-10-21

West Ham United²1 - 0Tottenham Hotspur⁶1.5-1L

17-10-21

Newcastle United¹⁴2 - 3Tottenham Hotspur¹³1.50.25W

Aston Villa's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

72.221.3231.71%

19-10-24

Fulham¹³1 - 3Aston Villa¹²1.50.28W

22-10-23

Aston Villa¹³4 - 1West Ham United¹³1.50.22W

23-10-22

Aston Villa^2(A)4 - 0Brentford³1.50.3W

20-10-22

Fulham⁴3 - 0Aston Villa³1.50.3W

16-10-22

Aston Villa⁵0 - 2Chelsea⁴1.50.35W

22-10-21

Arsenal³3 - 1Aston Villa⁵1.50.29W

16-10-21

Aston Villa¹²2 - 3Wolverhampton Wanderers¹³1.50.48W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

3.022.612.642.7

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League772.61

2024/2025

Premier League3802.93

2023/2024

Premier League3803.28

2022/2023

Premier League3802.85

2021/2022

Premier League3802.82

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

80.97%1.2476.62%1.3178%1.2886.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League7776.62% 1.31

2024/2025

Premier League38081.32% 1.23

2023/2024

Premier League38086.05% 1.16

2022/2023

Premier League38075.53% 1.32

2021/2022

Premier League38077.11% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.351.0511.06

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League771.05

2024/2025

Premier League3801.36

2023/2024

Premier League3801.36

2022/2023

Premier League3801.32

2021/2022

Premier League3801.27

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.671.561.71.58

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premier League771.56

2024/2025

Premier League3801.57

2023/2024

Premier League3801.92

2022/2023

Premier League3801.53

2021/2022

Premier League3801.54

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

17-3.711.21-21.82%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 13 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.351.1817.5%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Tottenham Hotspur matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

70.041.170.57%

11-05-25

¹⁶Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)0 - 2¹²Crystal Palace⁵1.50.23W

16-02-25

¹⁵Tottenham Hotspur⁶1 - 0¹⁴Manchester United⁸1.5-1L

01-12-24

⁸Tottenham Hotspur²1 - 1¹²Fulham⁷1.50.15W

19-10-24

⁹Tottenham Hotspur¹²4 - 1¹²West Ham United¹³1.50.13W

02-03-24

⁵Tottenham Hotspur¹³3 - 1¹³Crystal Palace⁶1.50.18W

31-12-23

⁵Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)3 - 1¹²AFC Bournemouth⁴1.50.12W

06-11-23

²Tottenham Hotspur⁹1 - 4¹³Chelsea⁴1.50.23W

Aston Villa matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.031.27-0.6%

13-09-25

⁶Everton¹³0 - 0¹⁹Aston Villa¹²1.5-1L

22-04-25

⁵Manchester City^2(A)2 - 1⁷Aston Villa²1.50.22W

14-12-24

⁵Nottingham Forest⁶2 - 1⁶Aston Villa³1.50.34W

01-12-24

⁵Chelsea^2(A)3 - 0⁹Aston Villa³1.50.21W

26-11-23

⁴Tottenham Hotspur¹⁴1 - 2⁵Aston Villa¹³1.50.2W

YOUR TEXT

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Tottenham Hotspur's home matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

Aston Villa's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Aston Villa's away matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 4.1

Tottenham Hotspur's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 home matches

Aston Villa's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Aston Villa's last 10 away matches.

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches (last 6 matches)

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches - last 6

Aston Villa's all matches (last 6 matches)

Aston Villa's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Tottenham Hotspur's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Aston Villa's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Tottenham Hotspur (ELO: 1818) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Aston Villa (ELO 1869) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches (last 8 matches)

Aston Villa's all matches (last 8 matches)

Tottenham Hotspur's all matches (last 8 matches)

Aston Villa's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 13 in the table

Tottenham Hotspur matches against table positions: 12,13,14

Aston Villa matches against table positions: 4,5,6

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