Dundee vs Celtic - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SCOTLAND - Premiership

2025-10-19
12:00:00

Dundee¹³

Celtic¹³

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park (Dundee)

18.368.331.21

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.13

Premiership Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Hearts76101661019WWWWD

2Celtic7520113817WDWDW

3Kilmarnock7241118310WWLDD

4Dundee United7232121119DLWDW

5St. Mirren723256-19LWWDD

6Motherwell7151111018LWDDD

7Hibernian7151101008LDDDD

8Rangers715167-18DWLDD

9Livingston81341014-46DLLDL

10Falkirk7133813-56DLDLW

11Dundee8134613-76LLWDL

12Aberdeen711549-54WLLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Dundee's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.621.13-15.5%

Dundee's home matches when WIN odds between 13.4 and 23.4

14-01-25

Dundee⁴3 - 3⁽²⁾Celtic^2(A)1.50.14W

28-04-24

Dundee¹⁰1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁷1.50.1W

17-04-24

Dundee³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rangers^2(A)1.5-1L

26-12-23

Dundee⁹0 - 3⁽²⁾Celtic²1.50.14W

Celtic's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.31.153%

Celtic's away matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.3

14-09-25

Kilmarnock¹⁴1 - 2⁽²⁾Celtic¹³1.50.16W

02-02-25

Motherwell⁷1 - 3⁽¹⁾Celtic³1.50.13W

14-01-25

Dundee⁴3 - 3⁽²⁾Celtic^2(A)1.50.14W

11-01-25

Ross County⁵1 - 4⁽³⁾Celtic²1.50.17W

04-12-24

Aberdeen^2(A)0 - 1⁽¹⁾Celtic³1.5-1L

10-11-24

Kilmarnock⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁴1.50.17W

27-10-24

Motherwell⁷0 - 3⁽¹⁾Celtic³1.50.13W

06-10-24

Ross County⁷1 - 2⁽²⁾Celtic⁴1.50.15W

25-08-24

St. Mirren⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁶1.50.15W

28-04-24

Dundee¹⁰1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁷1.50.1W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Dundee's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.531.2828.11%

Dundee's last 10 home matches

20-09-25

Dundee⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Livingston⁶1.50.39W

13-09-25

Dundee¹²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Motherwell¹³1.50.31W

31-08-25

Dundee⁷0 - 2⁽¹⁾Dundee United¹³1.50.24W

03-08-25

Dundee⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Hibernian²1.5W

03-08-25

Dundee⁷1 - 2⁽⁾Hibernian²1.50.31W

14-05-25

Dundee³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Ross County³1.50.24W

03-05-25

Dundee⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Motherwell⁶1.50.27W

05-04-25

Dundee⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Mirren⁶1.50.28W

29-03-25

Dundee¹²3 - 4⁽²⁾Rangers¹²1.50.18W

01-03-25

Dundee^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾St. Johnstone²1.50.31W

Celtic's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.61.18-6%

Celtic's last 10 away matches.

14-09-25

Kilmarnock¹⁴1 - 2⁽²⁾Celtic¹³1.50.16W

31-08-25

Rangers³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁴1.5-1L

10-08-25

Aberdeen⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁶1.50.17W

14-05-25

Aberdeen^2(A)1 - 5⁽¹⁾Celtic³1.50.19W

04-05-25

Rangers⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁷1.50.16W

26-04-25

Dundee United¹³0 - 5⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁵1.50.17W

06-04-25

St. Johnstone⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁷1.5-1L

01-03-25

St. Mirren^2(A)2 - 5⁽²⁾Celtic³1.50.22W

22-02-25

Hibernian⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Celtic³1.50.2W

02-02-25

Motherwell⁷1 - 3⁽¹⁾Celtic³1.50.13W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Dundee's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.791.32-13.17%

Dundee's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Aberdeen²4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dundee⁷1.50.27W

27-09-25

St. Mirren⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dundee⁶1.5-1L

20-09-25

Dundee⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Livingston⁶1.50.39W

13-09-25

Dundee¹²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Motherwell¹³1.50.31W

31-08-25

Dundee⁷0 - 2⁽¹⁾Dundee United¹³1.50.24W

23-08-25

Kilmarnock⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dundee¹³1.5-1L

Celtic's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.461.16-24.33%

Celtic's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Celtic²3 - 2⁽¹⁾Motherwell⁷1.50.11W

27-09-25

Celtic^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Hibernian³1.5-1L

14-09-25

Kilmarnock¹⁴1 - 2⁽²⁾Celtic¹³1.50.16W

31-08-25

Rangers³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁴1.5-1L

23-08-25

Celtic²3 - 0⁽¹⁾Livingston⁵1.50.1W

10-08-25

Aberdeen⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁶1.50.17W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.721.1212%

H2H matches - last 6

05-02-25

Celtic^2(A)6 - 0⁽¹⁾Dundee³1.50.1W

14-01-25

Dundee⁴3 - 3⁽²⁾Celtic^2(A)1.50.14W

30-10-24

Celtic^2(A)2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dundee³1.50.12W

28-04-24

Dundee¹⁰1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁷1.50.1W

28-02-24

Celtic^2(A)7 - 1⁽¹⁾Dundee³1.50.12W

26-12-23

Dundee⁹0 - 3⁽²⁾Celtic²1.50.14W

Premiership Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Hearts76101661019WWWWD

2Celtic7520113817WDWDW

3Kilmarnock7241118310WWLDD

4Dundee United7232121119DLWDW

5St. Mirren723256-19LWWDD

6Motherwell7151111018LWDDD

7Hibernian7151101008LDDDD

8Rangers715167-18DWLDD

9Livingston81341014-46DLLDL

10Falkirk7133813-56DLDLW

11Dundee8134613-76LLWDL

12Aberdeen711549-54WLLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -16%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.72 (1.39)-0.16 (1.13)0.242.27

Premiership Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.19 - -0.14 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

25-0.721.29-2.88%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Dundee's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.19 - -0.14 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.131.2322.60%

13-09-25

^-0.17Dundee¹²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Motherwell¹³1.50.31W

18-05-25

^-0.17St. Johnstone³0 - 2⁽¹⁾Dundee³1.50.24W

15-02-25

^-0.17Dundee⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Aberdeen⁵1.50.28W

11-05-24

^-0.17Hearts⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Dundee⁶1.50.18W

28-02-24

^-0.18Celtic^2(A)7 - 1⁽¹⁾Dundee³1.50.12W

Celtic's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.19 - -0.14 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.501.14-10.00%

31-08-25

^-0.17Rangers³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Celtic⁴1.5-1L

10-05-25

^-0.18Celtic⁵3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Hibernian⁶1.50.14W

29-12-24

^-0.18Celtic²4 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Johnstone²1.50.09W

28-02-24

^-0.18Celtic^2(A)7 - 1⁽¹⁾Dundee³1.50.12W

17-02-24

^-0.15Celtic⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾Kilmarnock⁶1.50.15W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

13-2.471.18-19%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -374 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Dundee (ELO: 1247) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.721.14-24%

14-01-25

^-395Dundee⁴3 - 3Celtic^2(A)1.50.14W

17-04-24

^-368Dundee³0 - 0Rangers^2(A)1.5-1L

26-12-23

^-351Dundee⁹0 - 3Celtic²1.50.14W

Celtic (ELO 1621) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.351.1716.88%

02-02-25

^-370Motherwell⁷1 - 3Celtic³1.50.13W

14-01-25

^-395Dundee⁴3 - 3Celtic^2(A)1.50.14W

26-12-23

^-351Dundee⁹0 - 3Celtic²1.50.14W

10-12-23

^-361Kilmarnock³2 - 1Celtic³1.50.19W

03-12-23

^-398St. Johnstone⁷1 - 3Celtic⁴1.50.18W

04-11-23

^-399Ross County³0 - 3Celtic²1.50.19W

23-09-23

^-372Livingston⁶0 - 3Celtic³1.50.19W

05-03-23

^-357St. Mirren⁷1 - 5Celtic⁶1.50.19W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Dundee's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-31.25-37.5%

23-08-25

Kilmarnock⁵0 - 0Dundee¹³1.5-1L

21-12-24

Rangers⁵1 - 0Dundee¹³1.5-1L

23-11-24

Dundee¹³4 - 1Hibernian¹³1.50.31W

19-10-24

Motherwell¹³0 - 1Dundee¹³1.5-1L

14-09-24

Ross County¹³2 - 0Dundee¹³1.50.26W

25-11-23

Dundee¹³1 - 2Hibernian¹³1.50.31W

16-09-23

Celtic¹²3 - 0Dundee¹³1.50.12W

18-03-23

Partick Thistle⁶0 - 0Dundee¹³1.5-1L

Celtic's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.161.1616%

14-09-25

Kilmarnock¹⁴1 - 2Celtic¹³1.50.16W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Dundee's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.281.3-32%

19-10-24

Motherwell¹³0 - 1Dundee¹³1.5-1L

24-10-23

Dundee²³0 - 0Ross County²³1.5-1L

23-10-21

Hearts⁶1 - 1Dundee⁶1.50.29W

16-10-21

Dundee¹³2 - 1Aberdeen¹²1.50.43W

Celtic's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.111.1918.5%

19-10-24

Celtic¹²2 - 2Aberdeen¹²1.50.14W

22-10-23

Hearts¹⁴1 - 4Celtic¹⁴1.50.17W

22-10-22

Hearts⁵3 - 4Celtic^2(A)1.50.14W

15-10-22

Celtic³6 - 1Hibernian³1.50.18W

23-10-21

Celtic³2 - 0St. Johnstone⁶1.50.25W

16-10-21

Motherwell¹³0 - 2Celtic¹²1.50.23W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premiership Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.892.572.712.47

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premiership542.57

2024/2025

Premiership2282.96

2023/2024

Premiership2282.76

2022/2023

Premiership2282.94

2021/2022

Premiership2242.47

Premiership Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

79.09%1.2679.63%1.2679%1.2776.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premiership5479.63% 1.26

2024/2025

Premiership22879.82% 1.25

2023/2024

Premiership22876.75% 1.3

2022/2023

Premiership22880.7% 1.24

2021/2022

Premiership22470.54% 1.42

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premiership First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.271.070.971.22

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premiership541.07

2024/2025

Premiership2281.33

2023/2024

Premiership2281.16

2022/2023

Premiership2281.32

2021/2022

Premiership2241.17

Premiership Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.611.501.51.49

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Premiership541.50

2024/2025

Premiership2281.63

2023/2024

Premiership2281.60

2022/2023

Premiership2281.61

2021/2022

Premiership2241.29

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

25-1.851.24-7.4%

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.511.1717%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Dundee matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.441.25.5%

03-08-25

¹Dundee⁷1 - 2²Hibernian²1.50.31W

03-05-25

⁴Dundee⁶1 - 2¹Motherwell⁶1.50.27W

29-03-25

¹¹Dundee¹²3 - 4²Rangers¹²1.50.18W

14-01-25

⁸Dundee⁴3 - 3¹Celtic^2(A)1.50.14W

09-01-25

⁸Dundee³1 - 1²Rangers³1.50.17W

28-09-24

⁷Dundee⁶1 - 2²Aberdeen⁶1.50.27W

28-04-24

⁶Dundee¹⁰1 - 2²Celtic⁷1.50.1W

17-04-24

⁶Dundee³0 - 0²Rangers^2(A)1.5-1L

Celtic matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.11.161.25%

10-08-25

¹²Aberdeen⁵0 - 2⁴Celtic⁶1.50.17W

06-04-25

¹²St. Johnstone⁷1 - 0¹Celtic⁷1.5-1L

11-01-25

¹⁰Ross County⁵1 - 4¹Celtic²1.50.17W

23-11-24

¹¹Hearts¹²1 - 4¹Celtic¹²1.50.2W

28-09-24

¹⁰St. Johnstone⁶0 - 6²Celtic⁵1.50.13W

11-08-24

¹¹Hibernian⁶0 - 2³Celtic⁶1.50.12W

31-03-24

¹²Livingston¹⁴0 - 3²Celtic¹⁴1.50.13W

03-12-23

¹¹St. Johnstone⁷1 - 3¹Celtic⁴1.50.18W

YOUR TEXT

Dundee vs Celtic - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SCOTLAND - Premiership

Dundee's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Dundee's home matches when WIN odds between 13.4 and 23.4

Celtic's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Celtic's away matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.3

Dundee's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Dundee's last 10 home matches

Celtic's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Celtic's last 10 away matches.

Dundee's all matches (last 6 matches)

Dundee's all matches - last 6

Celtic's all matches (last 6 matches)

Celtic's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Premiership Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.19 - -0.14 )

Dundee's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.19 - -0.14 )

Celtic's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.19 - -0.14 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Dundee (ELO: 1247) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Celtic (ELO 1621) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Dundee's all matches (last 8 matches)

Celtic's all matches (last 8 matches)

Dundee's all matches (last 8 matches)

Celtic's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Premiership Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premiership Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premiership First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premiership Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 2 in the table

Dundee matches against table positions: 1,2,3

Celtic matches against table positions: 10,11,12

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