Dender vs Mechelen - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BELGIUM - Pro League

2025-10-19
15:00:00

Dender¹³

Mechelen¹⁴

Van Roystadion (Denderleeuw)

2.963.702.55

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Union Saint-Gilloise107211951423LWWWW

2Club Brugge106221711620WWDWL

3Anderlecht10532159618WDWDD

4Gent105231713417WWLWW

5Sint-Truiden105231512317WLLLD

6Mechelen104421311216LWDDW

7Genk104241414014WWLLD

8Zulte-Waregem104241313014DWWWL

9Standard Liège114251013-314WLLWD

10Westerlo104151820-213WLDLW

11Sporting Charleroi103341314-112LLLWW

12La Louvière1033479-212DDWWL

13Antwerp112541013-311LDLDL

14Cercle Brugge102441314-110DLDLD

15OH Leuven10226819-118LDLLW

16Dender10037315-123LDLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Dender's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-3.261.27-46.57%

Dender's home matches when WIN odds between 2.8 and 3.1

26-07-25

Dender¹³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cercle Brugge²1.5-1L

24-05-25

Dender⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.12W

08-02-25

Dender⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Sint-Truiden⁵1.50.31W

18-01-25

Dender⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cercle Brugge⁵1.5-1L

08-12-24

Dender⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Westerlo^2(A)1.5-1L

26-10-24

Dender⁶2 - 5⁽⁵⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.31W

10-03-23

Dender⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Deinze⁵1.5-1L

Mechelen's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-1.961.24-28%

Mechelen's away matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

03-05-25

OH Leuven⁶1 - 2⁽²⁾Mechelen⁶1.50.21W

26-10-24

Dender⁶2 - 5⁽⁵⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.31W

30-03-24

OH Leuven¹²2 - 3⁽²⁾Mechelen¹²1.50.26W

17-03-24

OH Leuven⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Mechelen⁸1.5-1L

04-02-24

KAS Eupen³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Mechelen²1.5-1L

12-08-23

RWDM Brussels⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁵1.5-1L

10-02-23

KAS Eupen⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Mechelen⁴1.50.26W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Dender's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-3.771.27-37.7%

Dender's last 10 home matches

28-09-25

Dender⁸0 - 0⁽⁰⁾La Louvière⁷1.5-1L

13-09-25

Dender¹³0 - 1⁽¹⁾Union Saint-Gilloise¹²1.5-1L

24-08-25

Dender⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾OH Leuven⁸1.5-1L

17-08-25

Dender⁸0 - 2⁽¹⁾Anderlecht^2(A)1.50.28W

26-07-25

Dender¹³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cercle Brugge²1.5-1L

24-05-25

Dender⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.12W

11-05-25

Dender⁸5 - 0⁽¹⁾OH Leuven⁷1.50.2W

22-04-25

Dender^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Sporting Charleroi²1.50.27W

13-04-25

Dender⁸1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Standard Liège⁶1.50.36W

30-03-25

Dender¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Westerlo¹³1.5-1L

Mechelen's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.161.2311.6%

Mechelen's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25

Sporting Charleroi⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁶1.50.23W

12-09-25

Standard Liège¹¹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Mechelen¹²1.50.29W

24-08-25

Antwerp⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Mechelen⁷1.50.29W

09-08-25

Westerlo⁶0 - 1⁽¹⁾Mechelen⁷1.5-1L

26-07-25

Zulte-Waregem¹³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Mechelen⁶1.50.24W

24-05-25

Dender⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.12W

03-05-25

OH Leuven⁶1 - 2⁽²⁾Mechelen⁶1.50.21W

26-04-25

Westerlo³2 - 2⁽²⁾Mechelen³1.50.18W

19-04-25

Sporting Charleroi⁷3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.26W

29-03-25

Standard Liège¹²2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Mechelen¹²1.50.34W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Dender's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.331.27-38.83%

Dender's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Genk²2 - 1⁽¹⁾Dender⁶1.50.18W

28-09-25

Dender⁸0 - 0⁽⁰⁾La Louvière⁷1.5-1L

19-09-25

Gent⁴3 - 0⁽¹⁾Dender⁵1.50.2W

13-09-25

Dender¹³0 - 1⁽¹⁾Union Saint-Gilloise¹²1.5-1L

30-08-25

Sporting Charleroi¹²3 - 1⁽¹⁾Dender⁵1.50.29W

24-08-25

Dender⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾OH Leuven⁸1.5-1L

Mechelen's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.381.266.33%

Mechelen's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Mechelen⁵1 - 3⁽²⁾Sint-Truiden⁵1.50.28W

28-09-25

Sporting Charleroi⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁶1.50.23W

21-09-25

Mechelen⁸0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cercle Brugge⁶1.5-1L

12-09-25

Standard Liège¹¹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Mechelen¹²1.50.29W

30-08-25

Mechelen⁵3 - 2⁽³⁾La Louvière⁵1.50.29W

24-08-25

Antwerp⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Mechelen⁷1.50.29W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.951.2423.75%

H2H matches - last 6

24-05-25

Dender⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.12W

04-04-25

Mechelen⁵5 - 2⁽¹⁾Dender⁴1.50.26W

16-03-25

Mechelen⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Dender⁷1.50.26W

26-10-24

Dender⁶2 - 5⁽⁵⁾Mechelen⁵1.50.31W

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Union Saint-Gilloise107211951423LWWWW

2Club Brugge106221711620WWDWL

3Anderlecht10532159618WDWDD

4Gent105231713417WWLWW

5Sint-Truiden105231512317WLLLD

6Mechelen104421311216LWDDW

7Genk104241414014WWLLD

8Zulte-Waregem104241313014DWWWL

9Standard Liège114251013-314WLLWD

10Westerlo104151820-213WLDLW

11Sporting Charleroi103341314-112LLLWW

12La Louvière1033479-212DDWWL

13Antwerp112541013-311LDLDL

14Cercle Brugge102441314-110DLDLD

15OH Leuven10226819-118LDLLW

16Dender10037315-123LDLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -15%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.65 (1.54)-0.15 (1.22)0.331.90

Pro League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.18 - -0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

41-6.831.23-16.66%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Dender's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.18 - -0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-2.001.29-100.00%

17-05-25

^-0.15Standard Liège⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dender⁵1.5-1L

18-01-25

^-0.15Dender⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cercle Brugge⁵1.5-1L

Mechelen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.18 - -0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.211.25-5.25%

04-10-25

^-0.13Mechelen⁵1 - 3⁽²⁾Sint-Truiden⁵1.50.28W

30-03-24

^-0.17OH Leuven¹²2 - 3⁽²⁾Mechelen¹²1.50.26W

17-03-24

^-0.17OH Leuven⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Mechelen⁸1.5-1L

19-01-24

^-0.16Gent²1 - 2⁽¹⁾Mechelen⁸1.50.25W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

63-2.81.27-4.44%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -131 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Dender (ELO: 1363) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.421.31-14%

22-04-25

^-108Dender^2(A)2 - 1Sporting Charleroi²1.50.27W

26-10-24

^-142Dender⁶2 - 5Mechelen⁵1.50.31W

05-10-24

^-120Dender⁶1 - 0Sporting Charleroi⁷1.5-1L

Mechelen (ELO 1494) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.41.27-13.33%

26-10-24

^-142Dender⁶2 - 5Mechelen⁵1.50.31W

04-02-24

^-109KAS Eupen³0 - 1Mechelen²1.5-1L

25-02-23

^-106RFC Seraing⁶0 - 2Mechelen⁷1.50.29W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Dender's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-4.771.26-79.5%

13-09-25

Dender¹³0 - 1Union Saint-Gilloise¹²1.5-1L

26-07-25

Dender¹³0 - 0Cercle Brugge²1.5-1L

30-03-25

Dender¹³1 - 0Westerlo¹³1.5-1L

19-10-24

Cercle Brugge¹²0 - 0Dender¹³1.5-1L

27-01-24

Dender¹³0 - 0Patro Eisden Maasmechelen⁵1.5-1L

24-11-23

SK Beveren¹¹3 - 2Dender¹³1.50.23W

Mechelen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.111.2222.2%

20-10-24

Mechelen¹⁴3 - 0KV Kortrijk¹⁴1.50.21W

15-09-24

Gent⁹2 - 0Mechelen¹⁴1.50.17W

26-11-23

KV Kortrijk¹³0 - 3Mechelen¹⁴1.50.27W

22-10-23

Genk¹³4 - 0Mechelen¹⁴1.50.13W

17-09-23

Sint-Truiden⁹2 - 0Mechelen¹⁴1.50.33W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Dender's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.25-100%

19-10-24

Cercle Brugge¹²0 - 0Dender¹³1.5-1L

Mechelen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

70.11.191.43%

20-10-24

Mechelen¹⁴3 - 0KV Kortrijk¹⁴1.50.21W

22-10-23

Genk¹³4 - 0Mechelen¹⁴1.50.13W

22-10-22

Mechelen²2 - 1KAS Eupen³1.50.2W

19-10-22

Mechelen^2(A)2 - 0Standard Liège²1.50.22W

16-10-22

Gent^2(A)3 - 0Mechelen⁶1.50.22W

23-10-21

Mechelen⁵2 - 2Zulte-Waregem⁶1.50.12W

17-10-21

K. Beerschot V.A.¹⁴0 - 1Mechelen¹⁵1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Pro League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.882.522.612.3

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Pro League832.52

2024/2025

Pro League3112.76

2023/2024

Pro League3122.82

2022/2023

Pro League3283.05

2021/2022

Pro League3152.89

Pro League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

78.16%1.2875.9%1.3278%1.2866.67%1.5

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Pro League8375.9% 1.32

2024/2025

Pro League31175.56% 1.32

2023/2024

Pro League31276.92% 1.3

2022/2023

Pro League32882.01% 1.22

2021/2022

Pro League31579.05% 1.27

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Pro League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.321.101.071.23

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Pro League831.10

2024/2025

Pro League3111.31

2023/2024

Pro League3121.26

2022/2023

Pro League3281.39

2021/2022

Pro League3151.23

Pro League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.551.421.231.38

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Pro League831.42

2024/2025

Pro League3111.45

2023/2024

Pro League3121.55

2022/2023

Pro League3281.66

2021/2022

Pro League3151.66

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20-3.951.23-19.75%

Last 2 seasons - 16 vs 6 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-19.75%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Dender matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-1.821.3-26%

17-08-25

¹⁴Dender⁸0 - 2⁶Anderlecht^2(A)1.50.28W

13-04-25

⁶Dender⁸1 - 1⁵Standard Liège⁶1.50.36W

30-03-25

⁶Dender¹³1 - 0⁵Westerlo¹³1.5-1L

12-01-25

⁹Dender¹⁵0 - 0⁶Gent¹⁶1.5-1L

26-10-24

⁷Dender⁶2 - 5⁵Mechelen⁵1.50.31W

05-10-24

¹¹Dender⁶1 - 0⁶Sporting Charleroi⁷1.5-1L

28-09-24

¹¹Dender⁵1 - 1⁷Anderlecht²1.50.23W

Mechelen matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.261.26-37.67%

02-03-25

¹⁶K. Beerschot V.A.⁷1 - 0¹⁰Mechelen⁸1.5-1L

12-01-25

¹⁴Cercle Brugge¹⁵1 - 0⁸Mechelen¹⁶1.5-1L

29-11-24

¹⁵KV Kortrijk⁴3 - 1⁵Mechelen⁴1.50.26W

08-11-24

¹⁴Sint-Truiden⁵2 - 1⁴Mechelen⁵1.50.21W

04-02-24

¹⁵KAS Eupen³0 - 1⁹Mechelen²1.5-1L

26-11-23

¹⁶KV Kortrijk¹³0 - 3¹²Mechelen¹⁴1.50.27W

YOUR TEXT

Dender vs Mechelen - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BELGIUM - Pro League

Dender's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Dender's home matches when WIN odds between 2.8 and 3.1

Mechelen's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Mechelen's away matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

Dender's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Dender's last 10 home matches

Mechelen's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Mechelen's last 10 away matches.

Dender's all matches (last 6 matches)

Dender's all matches - last 6

Mechelen's all matches (last 6 matches)

Mechelen's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Pro League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.18 - -0.13 )

Dender's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.18 - -0.13 )

Mechelen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.18 - -0.13 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Dender (ELO: 1363) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Mechelen (ELO 1494) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Dender's all matches (last 8 matches)

Mechelen's all matches (last 8 matches)

Dender's all matches (last 8 matches)

Mechelen's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Pro League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Pro League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Pro League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Pro League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 16 vs 6 in the table

Dender matches against table positions: 5,6,7

Mechelen matches against table positions: 14,15,16

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