Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

NETHERLANDS - Eredivisie

2025-10-19
13:30:00

Excelsior¹⁴

Fortuna Sittard¹⁴

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

2.333.893.19

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22

Eredivisie Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Feyenoord87101861222WWDWW

2PSV861125111419WWDWL

3Ajax84401710716DWDWD

4AZ84311712515WLDDW

5FC Groningen85031411315WLWWW

6NEC Nijmegen84132214813DWLLL

7FC Twente84131411313WWWDL

8Fortuna Sittard84131312113WLWLW

9FC Utrecht83141510510LDLLW

10Go Ahead Eagles82421414010DLWWD

11Sparta Rotterdam83141122-1110DLLWL

12SC Heerenveen82331213-19WDWLD

13FC Volendam8143913-47LWLLD

14Telstar82151015-57LWLLW

15NAC Breda8215814-67LLWDL

16PEC Zwolle8215715-87LLDLL

17Excelsior8206717-106LLWLW

18Heracles Almelo8107720-133LWLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Excelsior's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.781.219.5%

Excelsior's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

16-08-24

Excelsior⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾De Graafschap⁴1.50.15W

06-05-24

Excelsior¹¹0 - 3⁽⁰⁾NEC Nijmegen⁷1.50.19W

16-03-24

Excelsior⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾RKC Waalwijk⁶1.50.24W

22-10-23

Excelsior¹⁴2 - 4⁽²⁾PEC Zwolle¹³1.50.2W

Fortuna Sittard's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.211.314.2%

Fortuna Sittard's away matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3

17-08-25

NAC Breda⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard⁸1.50.33W

09-11-24

PEC Zwolle⁵3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fortuna Sittard⁶1.50.33W

24-01-24

Almere City²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Fortuna Sittard^2(A)1.5-1L

22-09-23

Go Ahead Eagles⁴3 - 0⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard⁵1.50.24W

29-01-23

SC Cambuur^2(A)1 - 2⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard³1.50.31W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Excelsior's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.781.16-7.8%

Excelsior's last 10 home matches

27-09-25

Excelsior⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾PSV⁵1.50.12W

14-09-25

Excelsior¹⁴0 - 1⁽¹⁾Sparta Rotterdam¹³1.5-1L

30-08-25

Excelsior⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾FC Twente⁵1.5-1L

16-08-25

Excelsior⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Feyenoord³1.50.18W

02-05-25

Excelsior⁴5 - 0⁽⁰⁾Jong PSV³1.50.09W

27-04-25

Excelsior⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Emmen⁸1.50.18W

11-04-25

Excelsior⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾TOP Oss⁶1.50.15W

28-03-25

Excelsior¹³3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Jong FC Utrecht¹³1.50.13W

10-03-25

Excelsior^2(A)3 - 1⁽²⁾FC Den Bosch²1.50.19W

02-03-25

Excelsior⁸1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Roda JC Kerkrade⁸1.50.18W

Fortuna Sittard's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.311.23-3.1%

Fortuna Sittard's last 10 away matches.

26-09-25

FC Twente⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard⁵1.50.22W

17-09-25

Feyenoord³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Fortuna Sittard^2(A)1.50.14W

14-09-25

Telstar¹⁴1 - 3⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard¹³1.50.26W

17-08-25

NAC Breda⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard⁸1.50.33W

14-05-25

Almere City³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard³1.50.25W

03-05-25

PSV⁸4 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fortuna Sittard⁵1.50.09W

05-04-25

FC Twente⁵1 - 1⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard⁶1.50.2W

16-03-25

FC Groningen¹⁴1 - 0⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard⁷1.5-1L

28-02-25

RKC Waalwijk¹¹1 - 2⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard⁴1.50.2W

23-02-25

AZ^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Fortuna Sittard¹³1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Excelsior's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.311.18-21.83%

Excelsior's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

SC Heerenveen⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Excelsior⁶1.50.19W

27-09-25

Excelsior⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾PSV⁵1.50.12W

20-09-25

FC Volendam⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Excelsior⁵1.50.18W

14-09-25

Excelsior¹⁴0 - 1⁽¹⁾Sparta Rotterdam¹³1.5-1L

30-08-25

Excelsior⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾FC Twente⁵1.5-1L

24-08-25

FC Utrecht^2(A)4 - 1⁽¹⁾Excelsior⁷1.50.2W

Fortuna Sittard's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.171.22-19.5%

Fortuna Sittard's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Fortuna Sittard⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Volendam⁶1.5-1L

26-09-25

FC Twente⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard⁵1.50.22W

20-09-25

Fortuna Sittard^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Utrecht⁵1.5-1L

17-09-25

Feyenoord³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Fortuna Sittard^2(A)1.50.14W

14-09-25

Telstar¹⁴1 - 3⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard¹³1.50.26W

31-08-25

Fortuna Sittard¹³3 - 2⁽¹⁾NEC Nijmegen⁶1.50.21W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.671.2222.33%

H2H matches - last 6

03-03-24

Fortuna Sittard⁷5 - 2⁽¹⁾Excelsior⁶1.50.27W

26-08-23

Excelsior⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard⁶1.50.21W

21-05-23

Excelsior⁷3 - 0⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard⁶1.50.19W

Eredivisie Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Feyenoord87101861222WWDWW

2PSV861125111419WWDWL

3Ajax84401710716DWDWD

4AZ84311712515WLDDW

5FC Groningen85031411315WLWWW

6NEC Nijmegen84132214813DWLLL

7FC Twente84131411313WWWDL

8Fortuna Sittard84131312113WLWLW

9FC Utrecht83141510510LDLLW

10Go Ahead Eagles82421414010DLWWD

11Sparta Rotterdam83141122-1110DLLWL

12SC Heerenveen82331213-19WDWLD

13FC Volendam8143913-47LWLLD

14Telstar82151015-57LWLLW

15NAC Breda8215814-67LLWDL

16PEC Zwolle8215715-87LLDLL

17Excelsior8206717-106LLWLW

18Heracles Almelo8107720-133LWLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -10%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.71 (1.41)-0.10 (1.22)0.771.72

Eredivisie Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

615.191.228.51%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Excelsior's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.081.1818.00%

04-10-25

^-0.10SC Heerenveen⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Excelsior⁶1.50.19W

12-05-24

^-0.09Excelsior⁵4 - 0⁽¹⁾Heracles Almelo⁶1.50.13W

06-05-24

^-0.08Excelsior¹¹0 - 3⁽⁰⁾NEC Nijmegen⁷1.50.19W

10-03-24

^-0.10AZ⁷4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Excelsior⁶1.50.14W

27-01-24

^-0.10Excelsior⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾FC Utrecht⁵1.50.25W

12-11-23

^-0.12FC Utrecht⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Excelsior⁷1.50.18W

Fortuna Sittard's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.441.28-48.80%

26-09-25

^-0.08FC Twente⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Fortuna Sittard⁵1.50.22W

03-05-24

^-0.12Fortuna Sittard⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Go Ahead Eagles⁷1.5-1L

24-02-24

^-0.11RKC Waalwijk⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾Fortuna Sittard⁶1.5-1L

03-02-24

^-0.10Fortuna Sittard⁵3 - 3⁽¹⁾SC Heerenveen⁵1.50.34W

10-12-23

^-0.09Fortuna Sittard⁷1 - 0⁽¹⁾RKC Waalwijk³1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

536.141.2611.58%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -96 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Excelsior (ELO: 1323) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.481.24-37%

27-01-24

^-106Excelsior⁷1 - 1FC Utrecht⁵1.50.25W

14-04-23

^-77Excelsior⁵2 - 1Go Ahead Eagles⁵1.50.27W

04-02-23

^-81Excelsior⁵0 - 0RKC Waalwijk²1.5-1L

05-11-22

^-113Excelsior⁶0 - 1SC Heerenveen⁶1.5-1L

Fortuna Sittard (ELO 1420) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.421.3-14%

17-08-25

^-71NAC Breda⁷2 - 1Fortuna Sittard⁸1.50.33W

14-05-25

^-77Almere City³1 - 1Fortuna Sittard³1.50.25W

14-09-24

^-91NAC Breda⁹1 - 0Fortuna Sittard⁹1.5-1L

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Excelsior's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.531.17-30.6%

14-09-25

Excelsior¹⁴0 - 1Sparta Rotterdam¹³1.5-1L

09-08-25

NEC Nijmegen¹⁷5 - 0Excelsior¹⁴1.50.16W

22-10-23

Excelsior¹⁴2 - 4PEC Zwolle¹³1.50.2W

17-09-23

Excelsior¹⁴0 - 0Almere City¹⁴1.5-1L

07-05-23

Excelsior¹⁴0 - 2Feyenoord¹³1.50.11W

Fortuna Sittard's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.691.32-34.5%

27-04-25

Fortuna Sittard¹⁴1 - 0Willem II¹³1.5-1L

25-11-23

SC Heerenveen¹³3 - 0Fortuna Sittard¹⁴1.50.31W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Excelsior's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.391.1313%

22-10-23

Excelsior¹⁴2 - 4PEC Zwolle¹³1.50.2W

23-10-22

Excelsior³2 - 1AZ⁶1.50.14W

16-10-22

Ajax³7 - 1Excelsior⁷1.50.05W

Fortuna Sittard's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.511.21-41.83%

20-10-24

Willem II¹⁵0 - 0Fortuna Sittard¹³1.5-1L

21-10-23

PSV¹²3 - 1Fortuna Sittard¹²1.50.09W

22-10-22

Feyenoord⁵1 - 1Fortuna Sittard^2(A)1.50.11W

15-10-22

Fortuna Sittard⁵0 - 0RKC Waalwijk⁷1.5-1L

22-10-21

Willem II⁴1 - 1Fortuna Sittard⁵1.50.29W

16-10-21

Fortuna Sittard¹³1 - 0SC Cambuur¹²1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Eredivisie Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

3.13.363.33.53

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Eredivisie773.36

2024/2025

Eredivisie3083.00

2023/2024

Eredivisie3073.24

2022/2023

Eredivisie3113.05

2021/2022

Eredivisie3122.88

Eredivisie Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

81.76%1.2288.31%1.1389%1.1293.33%1.07

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Eredivisie7788.31% 1.13

2024/2025

Eredivisie30881.17% 1.23

2023/2024

Eredivisie30785.34% 1.17

2022/2023

Eredivisie31178.78% 1.27

2021/2022

Eredivisie31276.6% 1.31

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Eredivisie First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.341.571.531.55

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Eredivisie771.57

2024/2025

Eredivisie3081.34

2023/2024

Eredivisie3071.31

2022/2023

Eredivisie3111.36

2021/2022

Eredivisie3121.37

Eredivisie Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.761.7921.75

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Eredivisie771.79

2024/2025

Eredivisie3081.66

2023/2024

Eredivisie3071.94

2022/2023

Eredivisie3111.68

2021/2022

Eredivisie3121.51

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

140.891.246.36%

Last 2 seasons - 17 vs 9 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.561.1918.67%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Excelsior matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.761.21-38%

14-09-25

¹⁶Excelsior¹⁴0 - 1⁹Sparta Rotterdam¹³1.5-1L

19-01-24

¹⁵Excelsior²3 - 0⁹SC Heerenveen⁵1.50.24W

Fortuna Sittard matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.991.29-16.5%

14-05-25

¹⁸Almere City³1 - 1⁹Fortuna Sittard³1.50.25W

28-02-25

¹⁷RKC Waalwijk¹¹1 - 2¹¹Fortuna Sittard⁴1.50.2W

09-11-24

¹⁶PEC Zwolle⁵3 - 1⁷Fortuna Sittard⁶1.50.33W

28-04-24

¹⁸Vitesse¹⁴3 - 2¹²Fortuna Sittard¹³1.50.23W

24-02-24

¹⁶RKC Waalwijk⁵0 - 1¹³Fortuna Sittard⁶1.5-1L

28-01-24

¹⁷FC Volendam⁷0 - 1¹³Fortuna Sittard³1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

NETHERLANDS - Eredivisie

Excelsior's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Excelsior's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

Fortuna Sittard's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Fortuna Sittard's away matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3

Excelsior's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Excelsior's last 10 home matches

Fortuna Sittard's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Fortuna Sittard's last 10 away matches.

Excelsior's all matches (last 6 matches)

Excelsior's all matches - last 6

Fortuna Sittard's all matches (last 6 matches)

Fortuna Sittard's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Eredivisie Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

Excelsior's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

Fortuna Sittard's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Excelsior (ELO: 1323) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Fortuna Sittard (ELO 1420) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Excelsior's all matches (last 8 matches)

Fortuna Sittard's all matches (last 8 matches)

Excelsior's all matches (last 8 matches)

Fortuna Sittard's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Eredivisie Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Eredivisie Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Eredivisie First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Eredivisie Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 17 vs 9 in the table

Excelsior matches against table positions: 8,9,10

Fortuna Sittard matches against table positions: 16,17,18

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