FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

NETHERLANDS - Eredivisie

FC Groningen Logo

2025-10-19
13:30:00
Sparta Rotterdam Logo
FC Groningen15
Sparta Rotterdam14

1.824.114.82
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23
Eredivisie Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Feyenoord87101861222WWDWW
2PSV861125111419WWDWL
3Ajax84401710716DWDWD
4AZ84311712515WLDDW
5FC Groningen85031411315WLWWW
6NEC Nijmegen84132214813DWLLL
7FC Twente84131411313WWWDL
8Fortuna Sittard84131312113WLWLW
9FC Utrecht83141510510LDLLW
10Go Ahead Eagles82421414010DLWWD
11Sparta Rotterdam83141122-1110DLLWL
12SC Heerenveen82331213-19WDWLD
13FC Volendam8143913-47LWLLD
14Telstar82151015-57LWLLW
15NAC Breda8215814-67LLWDL
16PEC Zwolle8215715-87LLDLL
17Excelsior8206717-106LLWLW
18Heracles Almelo8107720-133LWLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

FC Groningen's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.931.2323.25%

FC Groningen's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

29-08-25FC Groningen54 - 0 (1)Heracles Almelo41.50.28W
09-08-24FC Groningen64 - 1 (0)NAC Breda51.50.25W
05-11-23FC Groningen32 - 2 (1)FC Dordrecht41.50.18W
25-02-23FC Groningen63 - 0 (0)Excelsior51.50.22W

Sparta Rotterdam's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.021.250.4%

Sparta Rotterdam's away matches when WIN odds between 4.1 and 5.6

14-05-25FC Utrecht2(A)1 - 1 (0)Sparta Rotterdam31.50.21W
23-05-24FC Utrecht33 - 1 (1)Sparta Rotterdam31.50.22W
12-05-24FC Utrecht60 - 1 (0)Sparta Rotterdam61.5-1L
01-06-23FC Utrecht31 - 2 (0)Sparta Rotterdam31.50.32W
23-10-22FC Utrecht2(A)3 - 1 (2)Sparta Rotterdam2(A)1.50.27W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

FC Groningen's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.331.293.3%

FC Groningen's last 10 home matches

28-09-25FC Groningen70 - 1 (0)Feyenoord31.5-1L
20-09-25FC Groningen52 - 0 (1)Telstar51.50.25W
29-08-25FC Groningen54 - 0 (1)Heracles Almelo41.50.28W
16-08-25FC Groningen52 - 1 (1)SC Heerenveen61.50.32W
14-05-25FC Groningen2(A)2 - 2 (1)Ajax21.50.29W
03-05-25FC Groningen96 - 1 (1)RKC Waalwijk71.50.24W
23-04-25FC Groningen94 - 1 (0)Heracles Almelo91.50.39W
05-04-25FC Groningen2(A)1 - 3 (1)PSV51.50.2W
16-03-25FC Groningen141 - 0 (1)Fortuna Sittard71.5-1L
01-03-25FC Groningen131 - 1 (0)FC Twente51.50.36W

Sparta Rotterdam's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.151.22-1.5%

Sparta Rotterdam's last 10 away matches.

27-09-25Heracles Almelo63 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam71.50.22W
14-09-25Excelsior140 - 1 (1)Sparta Rotterdam131.5-1L
23-08-25Go Ahead Eagles50 - 3 (1)Sparta Rotterdam51.50.2W
09-08-25PSV56 - 1 (1)Sparta Rotterdam131.50.11W
14-05-25FC Utrecht2(A)1 - 1 (0)Sparta Rotterdam31.50.21W
10-05-25Almere City120 - 3 (1)Sparta Rotterdam51.50.23W
27-04-25Ajax61 - 1 (2)Sparta Rotterdam141.50.21W
29-03-25Fortuna Sittard120 - 3 (0)Sparta Rotterdam91.50.36W
07-03-25NAC Breda51 - 1 (0)Sparta Rotterdam41.50.31W
14-02-25Go Ahead Eagles51 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam51.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

FC Groningen's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-11.26-16.67%

FC Groningen's all matches - last 6

03-10-25NAC Breda51 - 2 (1)FC Groningen41.50.33W
28-09-25FC Groningen70 - 1 (0)Feyenoord31.5-1L
20-09-25FC Groningen52 - 0 (1)Telstar51.50.25W
14-09-25FC Utrecht130 - 1 (0)FC Groningen151.5-1L
29-08-25FC Groningen54 - 0 (1)Heracles Almelo41.50.28W
23-08-25PSV54 - 2 (1)FC Groningen61.50.14W

Sparta Rotterdam's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.021.19-0.33%

Sparta Rotterdam's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Sparta Rotterdam63 - 3 (1)Ajax31.50.18W
27-09-25Heracles Almelo63 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam71.50.22W
19-09-25Sparta Rotterdam41 - 5 (1)FC Twente51.50.2W
14-09-25Excelsior140 - 1 (1)Sparta Rotterdam131.5-1L
31-08-25Sparta Rotterdam70 - 4 (1)Feyenoord141.50.18W
23-08-25Go Ahead Eagles50 - 3 (1)Sparta Rotterdam51.50.2W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.81.29-60%

H2H matches - last 6

02-02-25Sparta Rotterdam61 - 0 (0)FC Groningen41.5-1L
09-11-24FC Groningen51 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam51.5-1L
28-05-23FC Groningen60 - 5 (2)Sparta Rotterdam61.50.2W
Eredivisie Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Feyenoord87101861222WWDWW
2PSV861125111419WWDWL
3Ajax84401710716DWDWD
4AZ84311712515WLDDW
5FC Groningen85031411315WLWWW
6NEC Nijmegen84132214813DWLLL
7FC Twente84131411313WWWDL
8Fortuna Sittard84131312113WLWLW
9FC Utrecht83141510510LDLLW
10Go Ahead Eagles82421414010DLWWD
11Sparta Rotterdam83141122-1110DLLWL
12SC Heerenveen82331213-19WDWLD
13FC Volendam8143913-47LWLLD
14Telstar82151015-57LWLLW
15NAC Breda8215814-67LLWDL
16PEC Zwolle8215715-87LLDLL
17Excelsior8206717-106LLWLW
18Heracles Almelo8107720-133LWLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 4%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.86 (1.16)0.04 (1.23)2.660.82

Eredivisie Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
860.991.201.15%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

FC Groningen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.641.28-9.14%
14-09-250.05FC Utrecht130 - 1 (0)FC Groningen151.5-1L
29-08-250.06FC Groningen54 - 0 (1)Heracles Almelo41.50.28W
23-04-250.04FC Groningen94 - 1 (0)Heracles Almelo91.50.39W
13-04-250.02FC Utrecht63 - 1 (0)FC Groningen71.50.29W
05-04-250.02FC Groningen2(A)1 - 3 (1)PSV51.50.2W
15-12-240.02FC Twente2(A)2 - 0 (0)FC Groningen61.50.2W
20-10-240.03FC Groningen130 - 1 (0)FC Utrecht141.5-1L

Sparta Rotterdam's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
90.801.248.89%
04-10-250.05Sparta Rotterdam63 - 3 (1)Ajax31.50.18W
27-09-250.02Heracles Almelo63 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam71.50.22W
31-08-250.04Sparta Rotterdam70 - 4 (1)Feyenoord141.50.18W
07-12-240.02Sparta Rotterdam60 - 2 (0)NAC Breda61.50.33W
30-11-240.04PEC Zwolle51 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam51.5-1L
25-08-240.03Sparta Rotterdam71 - 1 (0)Feyenoord61.50.15W
19-05-240.06Sparta Rotterdam62 - 1 (1)SC Heerenveen61.50.13W
13-01-240.03Fortuna Sittard240 - 2 (0)Sparta Rotterdam61.50.32W
17-12-230.06Sparta Rotterdam72 - 2 (1)FC Twente81.50.29W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
700.681.270.97%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -33 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

FC Groningen (ELO: 1426) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.141.383.5%
16-08-25-35FC Groningen52 - 1SC Heerenveen61.50.32W
23-04-25-34FC Groningen94 - 1Heracles Almelo91.50.39W
16-03-25-36FC Groningen141 - 0Fortuna Sittard71.5-1L
30-11-24-29FC Groningen62 - 0Willem II51.50.43W

Sparta Rotterdam (ELO 1459) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.051.32-1.25%
29-03-25-31Fortuna Sittard120 - 3Sparta Rotterdam91.50.36W
30-11-24-49PEC Zwolle51 - 0Sparta Rotterdam51.5-1L
24-02-24-12NEC Nijmegen52 - 0Sparta Rotterdam61.50.27W
05-11-22-16Vitesse130 - 4Sparta Rotterdam61.50.32W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

FC Groningen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-21.27-100%
14-09-25FC Utrecht130 - 1FC Groningen151.5-1L
08-01-23Excelsior281 - 0FC Groningen151.5-1L

Sparta Rotterdam's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.011.22-0.2%
27-04-25Ajax61 - 1Sparta Rotterdam141.50.21W
24-11-24Sparta Rotterdam141 - 2AZ131.50.29W
15-09-24Sparta Rotterdam141 - 2Go Ahead Eagles131.50.26W
28-04-24Sparta Rotterdam141 - 0FC Volendam151.5-1L
02-04-23Sparta Rotterdam141 - 3Feyenoord131.50.23W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

FC Groningen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.031.260.6%
20-10-24FC Groningen130 - 1FC Utrecht141.5-1L
23-10-22FC Groningen34 - 2PSV2(A)1.50.15W
16-10-22FC Twente63 - 0FC Groningen81.50.2W
24-10-21FC Groningen62 - 0AZ61.50.32W
17-10-21Sparta Rotterdam91 - 1FC Groningen151.50.36W

Sparta Rotterdam's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.71.31-11.67%
19-10-24Sparta Rotterdam132 - 2Almere City141.50.26W
22-10-23Go Ahead Eagles140 - 0Sparta Rotterdam131.5-1L
23-10-22FC Utrecht2(A)3 - 1Sparta Rotterdam2(A)1.50.27W
16-10-22Sparta Rotterdam72 - 0NEC Nijmegen71.50.41W
23-10-21RKC Waalwijk61 - 0Sparta Rotterdam51.5-1L
17-10-21Sparta Rotterdam91 - 1FC Groningen151.50.36W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Eredivisie Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.13.363.33.53

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Eredivisie773.36
2024/2025Eredivisie3083.00
2023/2024Eredivisie3073.24
2022/2023Eredivisie3113.05
2021/2022Eredivisie3122.88

Eredivisie Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
81.76%1.2288.31%1.1389%1.1293.33%1.07

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Eredivisie7788.31% 1.13
2024/2025Eredivisie30881.17% 1.23
2023/2024Eredivisie30785.34% 1.17
2022/2023Eredivisie31178.78% 1.27
2021/2022Eredivisie31276.6% 1.31
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Eredivisie First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.341.571.531.55

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Eredivisie771.57
2024/2025Eredivisie3081.34
2023/2024Eredivisie3071.31
2022/2023Eredivisie3111.36
2021/2022Eredivisie3121.37

Eredivisie Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.761.7921.75

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Eredivisie771.79
2024/2025Eredivisie3081.66
2023/2024Eredivisie3071.94
2022/2023Eredivisie3111.68
2021/2022Eredivisie3121.51
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
18-11.22-5.56%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.261.24-6.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

FC Groningen matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.821.39-16.4%
16-08-2514FC Groningen52 - 111SC Heerenveen61.50.32W
08-02-2515FC Groningen52 - 111NEC Nijmegen61.50.43W
25-01-2515FC Groningen61 - 010SC Heerenveen51.5-1L
08-12-2413FC Groningen70 - 012PEC Zwolle71.5-1L
30-11-2415FC Groningen62 - 011Willem II51.50.43W

Sparta Rotterdam matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.091.2221.8%
14-05-254FC Utrecht2(A)1 - 110Sparta Rotterdam31.50.21W
08-02-255Feyenoord2(A)3 - 016Sparta Rotterdam51.50.22W
26-01-256AZ21 - 216Sparta Rotterdam61.50.29W
17-08-245FC Twente31 - 111Sparta Rotterdam51.50.2W
09-12-236Ajax2(A)2 - 17Sparta Rotterdam61.50.17W
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