St. Pauli vs TSG Hoffenheim - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - Bundesliga

2025-10-19
16:30:00

St. Pauli¹⁴

TSG Hoffenheim¹⁵

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg - St. Pauli)

2.553.682.97

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1FC Bayern München66002532218WWWWW

2Borussia Dortmund6420124814DWWWW

3RB Leipzig641188013DWWWW

4VfB Stuttgart640286212WWWLW

5Bayer 04 Leverkusen6321128411WWDWD

6FC Köln6312119210WLLDW

7FC Union Berlin73131114-310WLDWL

8Eintracht Frankfurt6303171619LWLLW

9SC Freiburg62229908DDWWL

10Hamburger SV622268-28WDWLL

11St. Pauli621389-17LLLWW

12TSG Hoffenheim6213912-37LDLWL

13Werder Bremen6213914-57WLLWD

14FC Augsburg62041113-26WLLLL

15VfL Wolfsburg6123810-25LLLDD

16FSV Mainz 056114510-54LLWLD

17Heidenheim6105411-73LWLLL

18Borussia Mönchengladbach7034615-93LDLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

St. Pauli's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.341.34-33.5%

St. Pauli's home matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

06-04-25

St. Pauli⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Borussia Mönchengladbach⁷1.50.27W

15-02-25

St. Pauli⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾SC Freiburg⁶1.5-1L

26-01-25

St. Pauli⁷3 - 0⁽¹⁾FC Union Berlin⁶1.50.39W

26-10-24

St. Pauli⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾VfL Wolfsburg⁵1.5-1L

TSG Hoffenheim's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.681.19-22.67%

TSG Hoffenheim's away matches when WIN odds between 2.8 and 3.1

03-05-25

Borussia Mönchengladbach⁶4 - 4⁽²⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.14W

01-03-25

VfL Bochum 1848⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.5-1L

11-11-23

FC Augsburg⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.18W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

St. Pauli's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.151.29-11.5%

St. Pauli's last 10 home matches

27-09-25

St. Pauli⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.28W

14-09-25

St. Pauli¹⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾FC Augsburg¹⁴1.50.29W

23-08-25

St. Pauli⁶3 - 3⁽²⁾Borussia Dortmund⁴1.50.25W

17-05-25

St. Pauli⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾VfL Bochum 1848⁶1.50.19W

03-05-25

St. Pauli⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾VfB Stuttgart⁷1.5-1L

20-04-25

St. Pauli⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁷1.50.28W

06-04-25

St. Pauli⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Borussia Mönchengladbach⁷1.50.27W

14-03-25

St. Pauli⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁴1.5-1L

01-03-25

St. Pauli⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Borussia Dortmund⁶1.50.29W

15-02-25

St. Pauli⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾SC Freiburg⁶1.5-1L

TSG Hoffenheim's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.371.23-3.7%

TSG Hoffenheim's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25

SC Freiburg³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁷1.50.22W

13-09-25

FC Union Berlin¹²2 - 4⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim¹³1.50.27W

23-08-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.21W

09-05-25

VfL Wolfsburg⁵2 - 2⁽²⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.18W

03-05-25

Borussia Mönchengladbach⁶4 - 4⁽²⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.14W

19-04-25

SC Freiburg⁶3 - 2⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.23W

05-04-25

RB Leipzig^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.18W

14-03-25

St. Pauli⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁴1.5-1L

01-03-25

VfL Bochum 1848⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.5-1L

16-02-25

Werder Bremen⁸1 - 3⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁷1.50.2W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

St. Pauli's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.41.276.67%

St. Pauli's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Werder Bremen⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁶1.5-1L

27-09-25

St. Pauli⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.28W

19-09-25

VfB Stuttgart⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁴1.50.25W

14-09-25

St. Pauli¹⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾FC Augsburg¹⁴1.50.29W

29-08-25

Hamburger SV⁴0 - 2⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁵1.50.33W

23-08-25

St. Pauli⁶3 - 3⁽²⁾Borussia Dortmund⁴1.50.25W

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-01.2-0%

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches - last 6

03-10-25

TSG Hoffenheim⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾FC Köln⁴1.5-1L

28-09-25

SC Freiburg³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁷1.50.22W

20-09-25

TSG Hoffenheim⁶1 - 4⁽³⁾FC Bayern München²1.50.13W

13-09-25

FC Union Berlin¹²2 - 4⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim¹³1.50.27W

30-08-25

TSG Hoffenheim⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Eintracht Frankfurt⁶1.50.17W

23-08-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.21W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.771.31-38.5%

H2H matches - last 6

14-03-25

St. Pauli⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁴1.5-1L

02-11-24

TSG Hoffenheim²0 - 2⁽¹⁾St. Pauli³1.50.23W

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1FC Bayern München66002532218WWWWW

2Borussia Dortmund6420124814DWWWW

3RB Leipzig641188013DWWWW

4VfB Stuttgart640286212WWWLW

5Bayer 04 Leverkusen6321128411WWDWD

6FC Köln6312119210WLLDW

7FC Union Berlin73131114-310WLDWL

8Eintracht Frankfurt6303171619LWLLW

9SC Freiburg62229908DDWWL

10Hamburger SV622268-28WDWLL

11St. Pauli621389-17LLLWW

12TSG Hoffenheim6213912-37LDLWL

13Werder Bremen6213914-57WLLWD

14FC Augsburg62041113-26WLLLL

15VfL Wolfsburg6123810-25LLLDD

16FSV Mainz 056114510-54LLWLD

17Heidenheim6105411-73LWLLL

18Borussia Mönchengladbach7034615-93LDLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 2%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.80 (1.25)0.02 (1.28)1.611.36

Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1030.231.200.22%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

St. Pauli's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.181.28-23.60%

14-09-25

^0.02St. Pauli¹⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾FC Augsburg¹⁴1.50.29W

23-08-25

^0.01St. Pauli⁶3 - 3⁽²⁾Borussia Dortmund⁴1.50.25W

03-05-25

^0.03St. Pauli⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾VfB Stuttgart⁷1.5-1L

20-04-25

^0.00St. Pauli⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁷1.50.28W

26-10-24

^0.00St. Pauli⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾VfL Wolfsburg⁵1.5-1L

TSG Hoffenheim's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

131.071.188.23%

09-05-25

^0.01VfL Wolfsburg⁵2 - 2⁽²⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.18W

03-05-25

^0.04Borussia Mönchengladbach⁶4 - 4⁽²⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.14W

16-02-25

^0.03Werder Bremen⁸1 - 3⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁷1.50.2W

18-01-25

^0.00Holstein Kiel³1 - 3⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.50.22W

10-11-24

^0.02FC Augsburg⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim²1.5-1L

20-04-24

^0.01TSG Hoffenheim⁶4 - 3⁽³⁾Borussia Mönchengladbach⁶1.50.17W

13-04-24

^0.04FSV Mainz 05⁶4 - 1⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.2W

16-03-24

^0.02TSG Hoffenheim⁵0 - 3⁽⁰⁾VfB Stuttgart⁷1.50.15W

11-02-24

^0.01TSG Hoffenheim⁶1 - 1⁽²⁾FC Köln⁷1.50.23W

12-01-24

^0.02FC Bayern München⁵3 - 0⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.09W

16-12-23

^0.02RB Leipzig²3 - 1⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁷1.50.14W

26-11-23

^0.02TSG Hoffenheim¹⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05¹⁴1.50.21W

04-11-23

^0.03TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)1.50.14W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

83-5.781.26-6.96%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -28 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

St. Pauli (ELO: 1593) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.621.33-10.33%

14-09-25

^-37St. Pauli¹⁵2 - 1FC Augsburg¹⁴1.50.29W

14-03-25

^-48St. Pauli⁵1 - 0TSG Hoffenheim⁴1.5-1L

01-02-25

^-24St. Pauli⁵1 - 1FC Augsburg⁶1.50.39W

26-01-25

^-23St. Pauli⁷3 - 0FC Union Berlin⁶1.50.39W

25-08-24

^-48St. Pauli⁸0 - 2Heidenheim^2(A)1.50.31W

08-11-22

^-25St. Pauli^2(A)0 - 0Holstein Kiel^2(A)1.5-1L

TSG Hoffenheim (ELO 1620) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-3.111.26-38.88%

14-03-25

^-48St. Pauli⁵1 - 0TSG Hoffenheim⁴1.5-1L

10-11-24

^-27FC Augsburg⁷0 - 0TSG Hoffenheim²1.5-1L

27-10-24

^-4Heidenheim^2(A)0 - 0TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.5-1L

21-09-24

^-17FC Union Berlin⁶2 - 1TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.21W

13-04-24

^-14FSV Mainz 05⁶4 - 1TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.2W

27-05-23

^-7VfB Stuttgart⁵1 - 1TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.17W

17-02-23

^-12FC Augsburg⁵1 - 0TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.5-1L

04-02-23

^-53VfL Bochum 1848⁶5 - 2TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.50.31W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.771.2625.67%

24-11-24

Borussia Mönchengladbach¹⁴2 - 0St. Pauli¹⁴1.50.25W

31-03-24

St. Pauli¹⁴2 - 1Paderborn¹⁵1.50.21W

25-11-23

Hansa Rostock¹²2 - 3St. Pauli¹⁴1.50.31W

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00025.67%

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.21.220%

18-10-24

Borussia Dortmund¹²2 - 1St. Pauli¹²1.50.2W

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.981.1616.33%

19-10-24

TSG Hoffenheim¹²3 - 1VfL Bochum 1848¹³1.50.12W

21-10-23

TSG Hoffenheim¹³1 - 3Eintracht Frankfurt¹²1.50.25W

22-10-22

TSG Hoffenheim³0 - 2FC Bayern München^2(A)1.50.14W

14-10-22

Schalke 04⁵0 - 3TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.23W

23-10-21

FC Bayern München^2(A)4 - 0TSG Hoffenheim⁷1.50.09W

15-10-21

TSG Hoffenheim¹²5 - 0FC Köln¹³1.50.15W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

3.173.303.283

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Bundesliga613.30

2024/2025

Bundesliga3063.13

2023/2024

Bundesliga3063.22

2022/2023

Bundesliga3063.17

2021/2022

Bundesliga3063.12

Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

83.55%1.281.97%1.2281%1.2376.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Bundesliga6181.97% 1.22

2024/2025

Bundesliga30680.72% 1.24

2023/2024

Bundesliga30685.29% 1.17

2022/2023

Bundesliga30684.64% 1.18

2021/2022

Bundesliga30683.33% 1.2

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.491.541.431.47

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Bundesliga611.54

2024/2025

Bundesliga3061.47

2023/2024

Bundesliga3061.51

2022/2023

Bundesliga3061.49

2021/2022

Bundesliga3061.44

Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.691.751.571.81

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Bundesliga611.75

2024/2025

Bundesliga3061.67

2023/2024

Bundesliga3061.71

2022/2023

Bundesliga3061.69

2021/2022

Bundesliga3061.68

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

19-0.531.24-2.79%

Last 2 seasons - 12 vs 14 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.231.2323%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

St. Pauli matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.331.34-33.25%

14-03-25

¹⁵St. Pauli⁵1 - 0¹⁴TSG Hoffenheim⁴1.5-1L

26-01-25

¹⁴St. Pauli⁷3 - 0¹³FC Union Berlin⁶1.50.39W

26-10-24

¹⁶St. Pauli⁷0 - 0¹³VfL Wolfsburg⁵1.5-1L

05-10-24

¹⁵St. Pauli⁶0 - 3¹⁴FSV Mainz 05⁶1.50.28W

TSG Hoffenheim matches against table positions: 11,12,13

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-1.011.22-14.43%

13-09-25

¹¹FC Union Berlin¹²2 - 4¹⁰TSG Hoffenheim¹³1.50.27W

09-05-25

¹²VfL Wolfsburg⁵2 - 2¹⁵TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.18W

10-11-24

¹²FC Augsburg⁷0 - 0¹⁶TSG Hoffenheim²1.5-1L

27-10-24

¹²Heidenheim^2(A)0 - 0¹⁵TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.5-1L

04-02-24

¹¹VfL Wolfsburg⁷2 - 2⁹TSG Hoffenheim⁷1.50.21W

02-12-23

¹¹Borussia Mönchengladbach⁶2 - 1⁶TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.15W

11-11-23

¹¹FC Augsburg⁶1 - 1⁶TSG Hoffenheim⁶1.50.18W

YOUR TEXT

St. Pauli vs TSG Hoffenheim - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - Bundesliga

St. Pauli's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

St. Pauli's home matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

TSG Hoffenheim's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

TSG Hoffenheim's away matches when WIN odds between 2.8 and 3.1

St. Pauli's home matches (last 10 all matches)

St. Pauli's last 10 home matches

TSG Hoffenheim's away matches (last 10 all matches)

TSG Hoffenheim's last 10 away matches.

St. Pauli's all matches (last 6 matches)

St. Pauli's all matches - last 6

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 6 matches)

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

St. Pauli's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

TSG Hoffenheim's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

St. Pauli (ELO: 1593) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

TSG Hoffenheim (ELO 1620) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 8 matches)

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 12 vs 14 in the table

St. Pauli matches against table positions: 13,14,15

TSG Hoffenheim matches against table positions: 11,12,13

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