NĂĽrnberg vs Holstein Kiel - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
GERMANY - 2. Bundesliga



2025-10-19
12:30:00

NĂĽrnberg15
Holstein Kiel14



Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Schalke 049702135821WWWWL
2Elversberg86111661019WWWDW
3Darmstadt 988521146817DWWWL
4Paderborn8521115617WWWWD
5Hannover 9695221513217LDWDL
6Kaiserslautern8503159615WLWWW
7Karlsruher SC8431119215DWLWD
8Hertha BSC832397211WWLWL
9DSC Arminia Bielefeld83141412210LLLWD
10Holstein Kiel831498110DLWWL
11PreuĂźen MĂĽnster83141315-210LWLLW
12SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth83141518-310DLWLW
13Eintracht Braunschweig93151117-610WLLLL
14Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf9315917-810LLWLW
15NĂĽrnberg8215712-57WLWLD
16Dynamo Dresden81341216-46DLDDL
17VfL Bochum 18488107815-73LLLLL
18Magdeburg8107719-123LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
NĂĽrnberg's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.081.221.33%
NĂĽrnberg's home matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8
31-01-25
NĂĽrnberg51 - 0 (1)Darmstadt 9841.5-1L


31-08-24
NĂĽrnberg50 - 4 (2)Magdeburg51.50.2W


11-05-24
NĂĽrnberg73 - 0 (0)Elversberg51.50.13W


22-10-23
NĂĽrnberg143 - 1 (1)Hertha BSC131.50.21W


15-09-23
NĂĽrnberg71 - 1 (0)SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth111.50.24W


06-08-23
NĂĽrnberg62 - 2 (1)Hannover 9671.50.3W


Holstein Kiel's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.321.2222%
Holstein Kiel's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3
01-03-24
Hertha BSC52 - 2 (2)Holstein Kiel61.50.16W


17-02-24
Paderborn60 - 4 (1)Holstein Kiel51.50.19W


02-02-24
Magdeburg41 - 1 (1)Holstein Kiel41.50.19W


22-10-23
Hansa Rostock141 - 3 (0)Holstein Kiel131.50.29W


09-04-23
Hansa Rostock62 - 3 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.31W


05-11-22
Karlsruher SC51 - 4 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.18W


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
NĂĽrnberg's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.271.22-2.7%
NĂĽrnberg's last 10 home matches
28-09-25
NĂĽrnberg70 - 3 (1)Hertha BSC71.50.24W


20-09-25
NĂĽrnberg62 - 1 (2)VfL Bochum 184871.50.2W


29-08-25
NĂĽrnberg60 - 0 (0)Paderborn51.5-1L


08-08-25
NĂĽrnberg50 - 1 (1)Darmstadt 9851.5-1L


09-05-25
Nürnberg41 - 2 (1)FC Köln51.50.16W


04-05-25
NĂĽrnberg71 - 3 (1)Elversberg71.50.2W


19-04-25
NĂĽrnberg62 - 3 (2)Paderborn51.50.21W


05-04-25
NĂĽrnberg50 - 3 (1)Hamburger SV71.50.17W


16-03-25
NĂĽrnberg63 - 0 (0)SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth71.50.3W


01-03-25
NĂĽrnberg71 - 2 (0)Hannover 9661.50.25W


Holstein Kiel's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.61.21-16%
Holstein Kiel's last 10 away matches.
27-09-25
Elversberg61 - 0 (1)Holstein Kiel51.5-1L


13-09-25
Schalke 04120 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel131.5-1L


24-08-25
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth60 - 2 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.23W


02-08-25
Paderborn142 - 1 (2)Holstein Kiel241.50.24W


17-05-25
Borussia Dortmund53 - 0 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.09W


04-05-25
FC Augsburg71 - 3 (1)Holstein Kiel71.50.23W


19-04-25
RB Leipzig71 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.17W


05-04-25
FSV Mainz 0551 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.2W


16-03-25
Heidenheim63 - 1 (2)Holstein Kiel71.50.24W


02-03-25
FC Union Berlin70 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel71.5-1L


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
NĂĽrnberg's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.21.243.33%
NĂĽrnberg's all matches - last 6
03-10-25
Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf52 - 3 (3)NĂĽrnberg41.50.24W


28-09-25
NĂĽrnberg70 - 3 (1)Hertha BSC71.50.24W


20-09-25
NĂĽrnberg62 - 1 (2)VfL Bochum 184871.50.2W


13-09-25
Karlsruher SC132 - 1 (0)NĂĽrnberg141.50.19W


29-08-25
NĂĽrnberg60 - 0 (0)Paderborn51.5-1L


22-08-25
PreuĂźen MĂĽnster32 - 1 (0)NĂĽrnberg51.50.33W


Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.091.22-18.17%
Holstein Kiel's all matches - last 6
04-10-25
Holstein Kiel61 - 1 (0)Darmstadt 9871.50.22W


27-09-25
Elversberg61 - 0 (1)Holstein Kiel51.5-1L


21-09-25
Holstein Kiel73 - 0 (0)Karlsruher SC71.50.23W


13-09-25
Schalke 04120 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel131.5-1L


30-08-25
Holstein Kiel51 - 2 (0)Hannover 9661.50.23W


24-08-25
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth60 - 2 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.23W


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.691.2323%
H2H matches - last 6
06-04-24
NĂĽrnberg60 - 4 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.2W


29-10-23
Holstein Kiel60 - 2 (1)NĂĽrnberg61.50.2W


15-04-23
Holstein Kiel52 - 1 (0)NĂĽrnberg61.50.29W



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Schalke 049702135821WWWWL
2Elversberg86111661019WWWDW
3Darmstadt 988521146817DWWWL
4Paderborn8521115617WWWWD
5Hannover 9695221513217LDWDL
6Kaiserslautern8503159615WLWWW
7Karlsruher SC8431119215DWLWD
8Hertha BSC832397211WWLWL
9DSC Arminia Bielefeld83141412210LLLWD
10Holstein Kiel831498110DLWWL
11PreuĂźen MĂĽnster83141315-210LWLLW
12SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth83141518-310DLWLW
13Eintracht Braunschweig93151117-610WLLLL
14Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf9315917-810LLWLW
15NĂĽrnberg8215712-57WLWLD
16Dynamo Dresden81341216-46DLDDL
17VfL Bochum 18488107815-73LLLLL
18Magdeburg8107719-123LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -19%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.63 (1.59)-0.19 (1.22)0.591.53
2. Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
440.561.211.27%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
NĂĽrnberg's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.251.2525.00%
20-10-24
-0.17SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth130 - 4 (1)NĂĽrnberg141.50.25W


Holstein Kiel's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.881.17-44.00%
27-09-25
-0.19Elversberg61 - 0 (1)Holstein Kiel51.5-1L


19-05-24
-0.21Hannover 9661 - 2 (1)Holstein Kiel71.50.12W


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
64-2.231.22-3.48%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -108 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
NĂĽrnberg (ELO: 1417) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.411.25.13%
20-09-25
-99NĂĽrnberg62 - 1VfL Bochum 184871.50.2W


09-05-25
-116Nürnberg41 - 2FC Köln51.50.16W


19-01-25
-102NĂĽrnberg62 - 1Karlsruher SC81.50.18W


01-12-24
-130NĂĽrnberg82 - 2Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf71.50.28W


21-09-24
-108NĂĽrnberg60 - 2Hertha BSC51.50.2W


10-08-24
-94NĂĽrnberg63 - 1Schalke 0461.50.19W


28-04-24
-118NĂĽrnberg80 - 1Karlsruher SC61.5-1L


06-04-24
-110NĂĽrnberg60 - 4Holstein Kiel61.50.2W


Holstein Kiel (ELO 1525) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.541.23-6.75%
13-09-25
-83Schalke 04120 - 1Holstein Kiel131.5-1L


24-08-25
-109SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth60 - 2Holstein Kiel61.50.23W


06-04-24
-110NĂĽrnberg60 - 4Holstein Kiel61.50.2W


16-03-24
-118Elversberg50 - 2Holstein Kiel61.50.18W


30-07-23
-88Eintracht Braunschweig100 - 1Holstein Kiel71.5-1L


09-04-23
-92Hansa Rostock62 - 3Holstein Kiel61.50.31W


04-03-23
-97Sandhausen61 - 1Holstein Kiel61.50.28W


17-02-23
-85Eintracht Braunschweig42 - 3Holstein Kiel51.50.26W


SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
NĂĽrnberg's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00023%
Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.971.2424.25%
24-11-24
Holstein Kiel140 - 3FSV Mainz 05141.50.28W


20-10-24
Holstein Kiel140 - 2FC Union Berlin141.50.27W


26-11-23
Kaiserslautern130 - 3Holstein Kiel141.50.18W


02-04-23
Holstein Kiel142 - 3DSC Arminia Bielefeld151.50.24W


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
NĂĽrnberg's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.151.29-35.83%
20-10-24
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth130 - 4NĂĽrnberg141.50.25W


22-10-23
NĂĽrnberg143 - 1Hertha BSC131.50.21W


22-10-22
NĂĽrnberg30 - 0Hannover 9621.5-1L


15-10-22
Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf60 - 1NĂĽrnberg51.5-1L


23-10-21
NĂĽrnberg54 - 0Heidenheim61.50.39W


17-10-21
Dynamo Dresden90 - 1NĂĽrnberg81.5-1L


Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.231.2524.6%
22-10-23
Hansa Rostock141 - 3Holstein Kiel131.50.29W


21-10-22
Darmstadt 9821 - 1Holstein Kiel41.50.18W


16-10-22
Holstein Kiel63 - 1Heidenheim61.50.24W


23-10-21
Holstein Kiel61 - 1Darmstadt 9851.50.23W


16-10-21
Ingolstadt71 - 1Holstein Kiel81.50.29W


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
2. Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.022.953.083.33
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
2. Bundesliga782.95


2024/2025
2. Bundesliga3063.02


2023/2024
2. Bundesliga3063.09


2022/2023
2. Bundesliga3062.94


2021/2022
2. Bundesliga2912.92


2. Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
80.28%1.2579.49%1.2683%1.286.67%1.15
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
2. Bundesliga7879.49% 1.26


2024/2025
2. Bundesliga30679.74% 1.25


2023/2024
2. Bundesliga30682.68% 1.21


2022/2023
2. Bundesliga30678.43% 1.28


2021/2022
2. Bundesliga29183.85% 1.19


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
2. Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.341.211.41.29
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
2. Bundesliga781.21


2024/2025
2. Bundesliga3061.34


2023/2024
2. Bundesliga3061.42


2022/2023
2. Bundesliga3061.26


2021/2022
2. Bundesliga2911.29


2. Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.681.741.931.79
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
2. Bundesliga781.74


2024/2025
2. Bundesliga3061.68


2023/2024
2. Bundesliga3061.68


2022/2023
2. Bundesliga3061.68


2021/2022
2. Bundesliga2911.64


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
19-0.491.23-2.58%
Last 2 seasons - 16 vs 11 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.561.21-18.67%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
NĂĽrnberg matches against table positions: 10,11,12
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.571.22-39.25%
16-03-25
9NĂĽrnberg63 - 012SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth71.50.3W


31-01-25
11NĂĽrnberg51 - 010Darmstadt 9841.5-1L


08-11-24
6NĂĽrnberg40 - 010Kaiserslautern41.5-1L


11-05-24
13NĂĽrnberg73 - 010Elversberg51.50.13W


Holstein Kiel matches against table positions: 16,17,18
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.81.21-40%
05-05-24
16Wehen Wiesbaden60 - 12Holstein Kiel71.5-1L


04-11-23
17OsnabrĂĽck71 - 14Holstein Kiel21.50.2W

