NĂĽrnberg vs Holstein Kiel - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - 2. Bundesliga

NĂĽrnberg Logo

2025-10-19
12:30:00
Holstein Kiel Logo
NĂĽrnberg15
Holstein Kiel14

Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nurnberg)
2.683.662.83
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22
2. Bundesliga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Schalke 049702135821WWWWL
2Elversberg86111661019WWWDW
3Darmstadt 988521146817DWWWL
4Paderborn8521115617WWWWD
5Hannover 9695221513217LDWDL
6Kaiserslautern8503159615WLWWW
7Karlsruher SC8431119215DWLWD
8Hertha BSC832397211WWLWL
9DSC Arminia Bielefeld83141412210LLLWD
10Holstein Kiel831498110DLWWL
11PreuĂźen MĂĽnster83141315-210LWLLW
12SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth83141518-310DLWLW
13Eintracht Braunschweig93151117-610WLLLL
14Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf9315917-810LLWLW
15NĂĽrnberg8215712-57WLWLD
16Dynamo Dresden81341216-46DLDDL
17VfL Bochum 18488107815-73LLLLL
18Magdeburg8107719-123LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

NĂĽrnberg's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.081.221.33%

NĂĽrnberg's home matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

31-01-25NĂĽrnberg51 - 0 (1)Darmstadt 9841.5-1L
31-08-24NĂĽrnberg50 - 4 (2)Magdeburg51.50.2W
11-05-24NĂĽrnberg73 - 0 (0)Elversberg51.50.13W
22-10-23NĂĽrnberg143 - 1 (1)Hertha BSC131.50.21W
15-09-23NĂĽrnberg71 - 1 (0)SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth111.50.24W
06-08-23NĂĽrnberg62 - 2 (1)Hannover 9671.50.3W

Holstein Kiel's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.321.2222%

Holstein Kiel's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

01-03-24Hertha BSC52 - 2 (2)Holstein Kiel61.50.16W
17-02-24Paderborn60 - 4 (1)Holstein Kiel51.50.19W
02-02-24Magdeburg41 - 1 (1)Holstein Kiel41.50.19W
22-10-23Hansa Rostock141 - 3 (0)Holstein Kiel131.50.29W
09-04-23Hansa Rostock62 - 3 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.31W
05-11-22Karlsruher SC51 - 4 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.18W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

NĂĽrnberg's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.271.22-2.7%

NĂĽrnberg's last 10 home matches

28-09-25NĂĽrnberg70 - 3 (1)Hertha BSC71.50.24W
20-09-25NĂĽrnberg62 - 1 (2)VfL Bochum 184871.50.2W
29-08-25NĂĽrnberg60 - 0 (0)Paderborn51.5-1L
08-08-25NĂĽrnberg50 - 1 (1)Darmstadt 9851.5-1L
09-05-25Nürnberg41 - 2 (1)FC Köln51.50.16W
04-05-25NĂĽrnberg71 - 3 (1)Elversberg71.50.2W
19-04-25NĂĽrnberg62 - 3 (2)Paderborn51.50.21W
05-04-25NĂĽrnberg50 - 3 (1)Hamburger SV71.50.17W
16-03-25NĂĽrnberg63 - 0 (0)SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth71.50.3W
01-03-25NĂĽrnberg71 - 2 (0)Hannover 9661.50.25W

Holstein Kiel's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.61.21-16%

Holstein Kiel's last 10 away matches.

27-09-25Elversberg61 - 0 (1)Holstein Kiel51.5-1L
13-09-25Schalke 04120 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel131.5-1L
24-08-25SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth60 - 2 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.23W
02-08-25Paderborn142 - 1 (2)Holstein Kiel241.50.24W
17-05-25Borussia Dortmund53 - 0 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.09W
04-05-25FC Augsburg71 - 3 (1)Holstein Kiel71.50.23W
19-04-25RB Leipzig71 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.17W
05-04-25FSV Mainz 0551 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel61.50.2W
16-03-25Heidenheim63 - 1 (2)Holstein Kiel71.50.24W
02-03-25FC Union Berlin70 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel71.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

NĂĽrnberg's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.21.243.33%

NĂĽrnberg's all matches - last 6

03-10-25Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf52 - 3 (3)NĂĽrnberg41.50.24W
28-09-25NĂĽrnberg70 - 3 (1)Hertha BSC71.50.24W
20-09-25NĂĽrnberg62 - 1 (2)VfL Bochum 184871.50.2W
13-09-25Karlsruher SC132 - 1 (0)NĂĽrnberg141.50.19W
29-08-25NĂĽrnberg60 - 0 (0)Paderborn51.5-1L
22-08-25PreuĂźen MĂĽnster32 - 1 (0)NĂĽrnberg51.50.33W

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.091.22-18.17%

Holstein Kiel's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Holstein Kiel61 - 1 (0)Darmstadt 9871.50.22W
27-09-25Elversberg61 - 0 (1)Holstein Kiel51.5-1L
21-09-25Holstein Kiel73 - 0 (0)Karlsruher SC71.50.23W
13-09-25Schalke 04120 - 1 (0)Holstein Kiel131.5-1L
30-08-25Holstein Kiel51 - 2 (0)Hannover 9661.50.23W
24-08-25SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth60 - 2 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.23W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.691.2323%

H2H matches - last 6

06-04-24NĂĽrnberg60 - 4 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.2W
29-10-23Holstein Kiel60 - 2 (1)NĂĽrnberg61.50.2W
15-04-23Holstein Kiel52 - 1 (0)NĂĽrnberg61.50.29W
2. Bundesliga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Schalke 049702135821WWWWL
2Elversberg86111661019WWWDW
3Darmstadt 988521146817DWWWL
4Paderborn8521115617WWWWD
5Hannover 9695221513217LDWDL
6Kaiserslautern8503159615WLWWW
7Karlsruher SC8431119215DWLWD
8Hertha BSC832397211WWLWL
9DSC Arminia Bielefeld83141412210LLLWD
10Holstein Kiel831498110DLWWL
11PreuĂźen MĂĽnster83141315-210LWLLW
12SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth83141518-310DLWLW
13Eintracht Braunschweig93151117-610WLLLL
14Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf9315917-810LLWLW
15NĂĽrnberg8215712-57WLWLD
16Dynamo Dresden81341216-46DLDDL
17VfL Bochum 18488107815-73LLLLL
18Magdeburg8107719-123LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -19%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.63 (1.59)-0.19 (1.22)0.591.53

2. Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
440.561.211.27%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

NĂĽrnberg's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.251.2525.00%
20-10-24-0.17SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth130 - 4 (1)NĂĽrnberg141.50.25W

Holstein Kiel's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.881.17-44.00%
27-09-25-0.19Elversberg61 - 0 (1)Holstein Kiel51.5-1L
19-05-24-0.21Hannover 9661 - 2 (1)Holstein Kiel71.50.12W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
64-2.231.22-3.48%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -108 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

NĂĽrnberg (ELO: 1417) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.411.25.13%
20-09-25-99NĂĽrnberg62 - 1VfL Bochum 184871.50.2W
09-05-25-116Nürnberg41 - 2FC Köln51.50.16W
19-01-25-102NĂĽrnberg62 - 1Karlsruher SC81.50.18W
01-12-24-130NĂĽrnberg82 - 2Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf71.50.28W
21-09-24-108NĂĽrnberg60 - 2Hertha BSC51.50.2W
10-08-24-94NĂĽrnberg63 - 1Schalke 0461.50.19W
28-04-24-118NĂĽrnberg80 - 1Karlsruher SC61.5-1L
06-04-24-110NĂĽrnberg60 - 4Holstein Kiel61.50.2W

Holstein Kiel (ELO 1525) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.541.23-6.75%
13-09-25-83Schalke 04120 - 1Holstein Kiel131.5-1L
24-08-25-109SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth60 - 2Holstein Kiel61.50.23W
06-04-24-110NĂĽrnberg60 - 4Holstein Kiel61.50.2W
16-03-24-118Elversberg50 - 2Holstein Kiel61.50.18W
30-07-23-88Eintracht Braunschweig100 - 1Holstein Kiel71.5-1L
09-04-23-92Hansa Rostock62 - 3Holstein Kiel61.50.31W
04-03-23-97Sandhausen61 - 1Holstein Kiel61.50.28W
17-02-23-85Eintracht Braunschweig42 - 3Holstein Kiel51.50.26W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

NĂĽrnberg's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00023%

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.971.2424.25%
24-11-24Holstein Kiel140 - 3FSV Mainz 05141.50.28W
20-10-24Holstein Kiel140 - 2FC Union Berlin141.50.27W
26-11-23Kaiserslautern130 - 3Holstein Kiel141.50.18W
02-04-23Holstein Kiel142 - 3DSC Arminia Bielefeld151.50.24W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

NĂĽrnberg's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.151.29-35.83%
20-10-24SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth130 - 4NĂĽrnberg141.50.25W
22-10-23NĂĽrnberg143 - 1Hertha BSC131.50.21W
22-10-22NĂĽrnberg30 - 0Hannover 9621.5-1L
15-10-22Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf60 - 1NĂĽrnberg51.5-1L
23-10-21NĂĽrnberg54 - 0Heidenheim61.50.39W
17-10-21Dynamo Dresden90 - 1NĂĽrnberg81.5-1L

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.231.2524.6%
22-10-23Hansa Rostock141 - 3Holstein Kiel131.50.29W
21-10-22Darmstadt 9821 - 1Holstein Kiel41.50.18W
16-10-22Holstein Kiel63 - 1Heidenheim61.50.24W
23-10-21Holstein Kiel61 - 1Darmstadt 9851.50.23W
16-10-21Ingolstadt71 - 1Holstein Kiel81.50.29W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

2. Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.022.953.083.33

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20262. Bundesliga782.95
2024/20252. Bundesliga3063.02
2023/20242. Bundesliga3063.09
2022/20232. Bundesliga3062.94
2021/20222. Bundesliga2912.92

2. Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
80.28%1.2579.49%1.2683%1.286.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20262. Bundesliga7879.49% 1.26
2024/20252. Bundesliga30679.74% 1.25
2023/20242. Bundesliga30682.68% 1.21
2022/20232. Bundesliga30678.43% 1.28
2021/20222. Bundesliga29183.85% 1.19
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

2. Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.341.211.41.29

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20262. Bundesliga781.21
2024/20252. Bundesliga3061.34
2023/20242. Bundesliga3061.42
2022/20232. Bundesliga3061.26
2021/20222. Bundesliga2911.29

2. Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.681.741.931.79

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20262. Bundesliga781.74
2024/20252. Bundesliga3061.68
2023/20242. Bundesliga3061.68
2022/20232. Bundesliga3061.68
2021/20222. Bundesliga2911.64
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
19-0.491.23-2.58%

Last 2 seasons - 16 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.561.21-18.67%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

NĂĽrnberg matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.571.22-39.25%
16-03-259NĂĽrnberg63 - 012SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth71.50.3W
31-01-2511NĂĽrnberg51 - 010Darmstadt 9841.5-1L
08-11-246NĂĽrnberg40 - 010Kaiserslautern41.5-1L
11-05-2413NĂĽrnberg73 - 010Elversberg51.50.13W

Holstein Kiel matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.81.21-40%
05-05-2416Wehen Wiesbaden60 - 12Holstein Kiel71.5-1L
04-11-2317OsnabrĂĽck71 - 14Holstein Kiel21.50.2W
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