Blau-WeiĂź Linz vs Sturm Graz - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

AUSTRIA - Tipico Bundesliga

Blau-WeiĂź Linz Logo

2025-10-19
13:30:00
Sturm Graz Logo
Blau-WeiĂź Linz14
Sturm Graz13

Linzer Stadion (Linz)
4.693.791.91
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32
Tipico Bundesliga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sturm Graz86021441018WWWLW
2Wolfsberger AC9522169717WWDWD
3SK Rapid9522139417LLDWW
4Salzburg95221912717WWLLD
5Austria Wien94141213-113LWWWW
6Rheindorf Altach933366012LLDWL
7Hartberg93241414011DLDWL
8Ried93241212011WDLLW
9Blau-WeiĂź Linz9315711-410WWLWD
10WSG Tirol82331214-29LLDLD
11LASK Linz9216917-87DLWLL
12Grazer AK9054619-135LDDLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.771.3-12.83%

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's home matches when WIN odds between 3.9 and 5.4

04-05-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz61.5-1L
23-04-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz2(A)2 - 1 (0)SK Rapid2(A)1.50.27W
14-09-24Blau-WeiĂź Linz131 - 0 (0)LASK Linz121.5-1L
25-08-24Blau-WeiĂź Linz73 - 0 (0)SK Rapid2(A)1.50.29W
03-12-23Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz21.50.36W
12-11-23Blau-WeiĂź Linz62 - 0 (1)LASK Linz21.50.31W

Sturm Graz's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.781.269.75%

Sturm Graz's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

16-08-25Ried61 - 3 (0)Sturm Graz51.50.23W
04-05-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz61.5-1L
09-11-24Hartberg61 - 2 (1)Sturm Graz31.50.28W
03-12-23Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz21.50.36W
12-11-23Austria Klagenfurt70 - 3 (0)Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.26W
08-10-23Wolfsberger AC71 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.24W
28-05-23SK Rapid63 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz61.50.2W
07-05-23Austria Wien101 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz61.50.21W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.581.34-5.8%

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's last 10 home matches

27-09-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz51 - 0 (0)Rheindorf Altach51.5-1L
13-09-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz133 - 0 (0)Grazer AK131.50.36W
23-08-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz50 - 2 (0)Ried61.50.37W
09-08-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz50 - 1 (0)Hartberg61.5-1L
18-05-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 2 (2)Salzburg81.50.18W
04-05-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz61.5-1L
23-04-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz2(A)2 - 1 (0)SK Rapid2(A)1.50.27W
11-04-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz41 - 2 (1)Wolfsberger AC41.50.46W
30-03-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz90 - 2 (0)Austria Wien81.50.39W
16-03-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz64 - 1 (1)Hartberg61.50.39W

Sturm Graz's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.241.2512.4%

Sturm Graz's last 10 away matches.

05-10-25Rheindorf Altach70 - 2 (2)Sturm Graz21.50.33W
20-09-25Salzburg60 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.2W
30-08-25Grazer AK50 - 3 (1)Sturm Graz31.50.23W
16-08-25Ried61 - 3 (0)Sturm Graz51.50.23W
01-08-25LASK Linz50 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz61.50.22W
18-05-25SK Rapid63 - 1 (1)Sturm Graz81.50.2W
04-05-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz61.5-1L
23-04-25Austria Wien22 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz21.50.3W
13-04-25Salzburg61 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz81.50.23W
30-03-25Wolfsberger AC131 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz81.50.3W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.81.32-13.33%

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Austria Wien50 - 1 (1)Blau-WeiĂź Linz61.5-1L
27-09-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz51 - 0 (0)Rheindorf Altach51.5-1L
21-09-25LASK Linz72 - 0 (2)Blau-WeiĂź Linz71.50.25W
13-09-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz133 - 0 (0)Grazer AK131.50.36W
30-08-25Salzburg2(A)2 - 2 (1)Blau-WeiĂź Linz2(A)1.50.22W
23-08-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz50 - 2 (0)Ried61.50.37W

Sturm Graz's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.011.25-16.83%

Sturm Graz's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Rheindorf Altach70 - 2 (2)Sturm Graz21.50.33W
28-09-25Sturm Graz31 - 0 (1)Hartberg71.5-1L
20-09-25Salzburg60 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.2W
14-09-25Sturm Graz140 - 1 (0)Austria Wien131.5-1L
30-08-25Grazer AK50 - 3 (1)Sturm Graz31.50.23W
16-08-25Ried61 - 3 (0)Sturm Graz51.50.23W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.331.275.5%

H2H matches - last 6

04-05-25Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz61.5-1L
20-04-25Sturm Graz62 - 0 (0)Blau-WeiĂź Linz81.50.25W
23-02-25Sturm Graz72 - 1 (1)Blau-WeiĂź Linz71.50.29W
28-09-24Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 2 (0)Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.24W
03-12-23Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 1 (0)Sturm Graz21.50.36W
26-08-23Sturm Graz64 - 1 (1)Blau-WeiĂź Linz51.50.19W
Tipico Bundesliga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sturm Graz86021441018WWWLW
2Wolfsberger AC9522169717WWDWD
3SK Rapid9522139417LLDWW
4Salzburg95221912717WWLLD
5Austria Wien94141213-113LWWWW
6Rheindorf Altach933366012LLDWL
7Hartberg93241414011DLDWL
8Ried93241212011WDLLW
9Blau-WeiĂź Linz9315711-410WWLWD
10WSG Tirol82331214-29LLDLD
11LASK Linz9216917-87DLWLL
12Grazer AK9054619-135LDDLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -24%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.52 (1.92)-0.24 (1.32)0.271.46

Tipico Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
18-0.071.30-0.39%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.941.3131.33%
23-08-25-0.25Blau-WeiĂź Linz50 - 2 (0)Ried61.50.37W
03-11-24-0.25Austria Wien32 - 1 (0)Blau-WeiĂź Linz31.50.26W
12-11-23-0.23Blau-WeiĂź Linz62 - 0 (1)LASK Linz21.50.31W

Sturm Graz's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.751.27-37.50%
09-05-25-0.22Sturm Graz44 - 2 (0)Salzburg41.50.25W
19-04-24-0.23Sturm Graz41 - 0 (1)SK Rapid41.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
19-3.961.26-20.84%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -222 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Blau-WeiĂź Linz (ELO: 1322) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.271.25-6.75%
18-05-25-210Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 2Salzburg81.50.18W
04-05-25-210Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 1Sturm Graz61.5-1L
28-09-24-217Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 2Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.24W
12-11-23-204Blau-WeiĂź Linz62 - 0LASK Linz21.50.31W

Sturm Graz (ELO 1544) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.571.23-7.13%
05-10-25-241Rheindorf Altach70 - 2Sturm Graz21.50.33W
04-05-25-210Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 1Sturm Graz61.5-1L
28-09-24-217Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 2Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.24W
17-08-24-212Austria Klagenfurt50 - 2Sturm Graz51.50.19W
19-08-23-210Austria Lustenau60 - 1Sturm Graz31.5-1L
04-03-23-205Austria Lustenau70 - 2Sturm Graz61.50.26W
18-02-23-234Hartberg51 - 2Sturm Graz71.50.21W
06-11-22-237Rheindorf Altach61 - 1Sturm Graz2(A)1.50.2W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0005.5%

Sturm Graz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.521.2626%
23-11-24Sturm Graz137 - 0Austria Klagenfurt121.50.23W
02-04-23Sturm Graz133 - 1SK Rapid131.50.29W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Blau-WeiĂź Linz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-21.26-100%
19-10-24Blau-WeiĂź Linz130 - 1Wolfsberger AC131.5-1L
21-10-23Blau-WeiĂź Linz130 - 0Austria Lustenau131.5-1L

Sturm Graz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.171.21-19.5%
19-10-24Sturm Graz125 - 2Grazer AK131.50.21W
21-10-23Sturm Graz122 - 1Hartberg131.50.25W
22-10-22Salzburg2(A)0 - 0Sturm Graz2(A)1.5-1L
16-10-22Sturm Graz2(A)3 - 2Wolfsberger AC61.50.2W
24-10-21Salzburg34 - 1Sturm Graz21.50.17W
17-10-21Sturm Graz131 - 0Ried81.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Tipico Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.762.642.662.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Tipico Bundesliga562.64
2024/2025Tipico Bundesliga1952.75
2023/2024Tipico Bundesliga1952.58
2022/2023Tipico Bundesliga1912.96
2021/2022Tipico Bundesliga1862.90

Tipico Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76.96%1.375%1.3375%1.3366.67%1.5

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Tipico Bundesliga5675% 1.33
2024/2025Tipico Bundesliga19577.95% 1.28
2023/2024Tipico Bundesliga19571.79% 1.39
2022/2023Tipico Bundesliga19181.15% 1.23
2021/2022Tipico Bundesliga18682.26% 1.22
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Tipico Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.211.271.071.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Tipico Bundesliga561.27
2024/2025Tipico Bundesliga1951.13
2023/2024Tipico Bundesliga1951.20
2022/2023Tipico Bundesliga1911.29
2021/2022Tipico Bundesliga1861.33

Tipico Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.551.381.371.46

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Tipico Bundesliga561.38
2024/2025Tipico Bundesliga1951.62
2023/2024Tipico Bundesliga1951.38
2022/2023Tipico Bundesliga1911.66
2021/2022Tipico Bundesliga1861.58
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
18-3.541.3-19.67%

Last 2 seasons - 9 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.081.27-2%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Blau-WeiĂź Linz matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.411.35-17.63%
27-09-2511Blau-WeiĂź Linz51 - 03Rheindorf Altach51.5-1L
04-05-256Blau-WeiĂź Linz60 - 12Sturm Graz61.5-1L
30-03-256Blau-WeiĂź Linz90 - 22Austria Wien81.50.39W
25-08-247Blau-WeiĂź Linz73 - 03SK Rapid2(A)1.50.29W
18-05-243Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 22Austria Wien61.50.23W
04-05-244Blau-WeiĂź Linz63 - 23WSG Tirol61.50.38W
06-04-245Blau-WeiĂź Linz70 - 02Wolfsberger AC61.5-1L
17-02-249Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 11Salzburg71.50.3W

Sturm Graz matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.341.2726.8%
30-08-259Grazer AK50 - 36Sturm Graz31.50.23W
16-08-259Ried61 - 35Sturm Graz51.50.23W
07-12-249WSG Tirol50 - 31Sturm Graz61.50.29W
27-10-248LASK Linz2(A)1 - 22Sturm Graz41.50.23W
03-12-239Blau-WeiĂź Linz61 - 12Sturm Graz21.50.36W
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