Slovácko vs Sparta Praha - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

CZECH REPUBLIC - Fortuna Liga

Slovácko Logo

2025-10-19
14:30:00
Sparta Praha Logo
Slovácko14
Sparta Praha13

Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion (Uherské Hradiště)
9.135.311.42
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23
Fortuna Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sparta Praha1182123111226DWWLW
2Slavia Praha117402281425DWDWW
3Jablonec11731168824LWWWW
4Sigma Olomouc1153396318WDDLW
5Zlín115331412218DWLDL
6Viktoria Plzeň114432013716DLLWD
7Slovan Liberec114431513216DWDWD
8Bohemians 190510433910-115DDWWD
9Karviná115061716115LWLLW
10Hradec Králové113441719-213DLWWD
11Baník Ostrava11245813-510DWLDD
12Mladá Boleslav102351524-99DLDWL
13Teplice112361218-69WDDDL
14Slovácko11146613-77DLDLL
15Dukla Praha11146817-97LLLDD
16Pardubice111461121-107WLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Slovácko's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.221.2222%

Slovácko's home matches when WIN odds between 7.9 and 10.4

18-05-24Slovácko31 - 2 (0)Slavia Praha21.50.22W

Sparta Praha's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.811.28.1%

Sparta Praha's away matches when WIN odds between 1.3 and 1.5

03-08-25Pardubice61 - 3 (1)Sparta Praha21.50.18W
19-04-25Pardubice51 - 2 (1)Sparta Praha51.50.23W
15-02-25Karviná132 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha51.50.2W
27-07-24Teplice51 - 4 (2)Sparta Praha31.50.24W
18-05-24Mladá Boleslav30 - 5 (1)Sparta Praha31.50.15W
05-05-24Slovácko62 - 4 (1)Sparta Praha61.50.21W
28-04-24Sigma Olomouc61 - 4 (0)Sparta Praha71.50.19W
31-03-24České Budějovice140 - 1 (0)Sparta Praha131.5-1L
10-02-24Karviná60 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha81.50.16W
03-12-23Pardubice61 - 2 (0)Sparta Praha21.50.25W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Slovácko's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.751.34-17.5%

Slovácko's last 10 home matches

27-09-25Slovácko31 - 2 (0)Karviná31.50.29W
30-08-25Slovácko2(A)0 - 2 (1)Jablonec31.50.36W
16-08-25Slovácko62 - 1 (2)Teplice61.50.39W
03-08-25Slovácko70 - 1 (0)Slavia Praha71.5-1L
20-07-25Slovácko100 - 1 (0)Sigma Olomouc71.5-1L
17-05-25Slovácko53 - 2 (1)Dukla Praha51.50.41W
04-05-25Slovácko70 - 0 (0)České Budějovice71.5-1L
26-04-25Slovácko61 - 0 (0)Pardubice61.5-1L
13-04-25Slovácko32 - 2 (0)Sigma Olomouc41.50.36W
09-04-25Slovácko2(A)1 - 5 (2)Hradec Králové31.50.44W

Sparta Praha's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.61.2626%

Sparta Praha's last 10 away matches.

27-09-25Baník Ostrava2(A)0 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha2(A)1.50.23W
14-09-25Hradec Králové142 - 1 (0)Sparta Praha131.50.31W
17-08-25Slovan Liberec70 - 2 (0)Sparta Praha2(A)1.50.28W
03-08-25Pardubice61 - 3 (1)Sparta Praha21.50.18W
19-07-25Jablonec141 - 1 (0)Sparta Praha81.50.24W
18-05-25Baník Ostrava63 - 2 (0)Sparta Praha31.50.23W
10-05-25Slavia Praha62 - 1 (1)Sparta Praha51.50.3W
27-04-25Viktoria Plzeň32 - 0 (0)Sparta Praha31.50.33W
19-04-25Pardubice51 - 2 (1)Sparta Praha51.50.23W
05-04-25Baník Ostrava61 - 1 (0)Sparta Praha51.50.27W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Slovácko's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.771.29-12.83%

Slovácko's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Mladá Boleslav50 - 0 (0)Slovácko61.5-1L
27-09-25Slovácko31 - 2 (0)Karviná31.50.29W
20-09-25Pardubice51 - 1 (0)Slovácko51.50.3W
14-09-25Bohemians 1905141 - 0 (0)Slovácko141.5-1L
30-08-25Slovácko2(A)0 - 2 (1)Jablonec31.50.36W
24-08-25Baník Ostrava2(A)2 - 0 (1)Slovácko71.50.28W

Sparta Praha's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.521.2525.33%

Sparta Praha's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Sparta Praha21 - 1 (0)Slavia Praha41.50.29W
27-09-25Baník Ostrava2(A)0 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha2(A)1.50.23W
20-09-25Sparta Praha52 - 1 (1)Viktoria Plzeň31.50.28W
14-09-25Hradec Králové142 - 1 (0)Sparta Praha131.50.31W
31-08-25Sparta Praha33 - 1 (1)Zlín31.50.19W
24-08-25Sparta Praha23 - 2 (0)Dukla Praha71.50.22W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.241.274%

H2H matches - last 6

02-02-25Slovácko80 - 2 (0)Sparta Praha31.50.3W
24-08-24Sparta Praha2(A)2 - 2 (1)Slovácko51.50.25W
05-05-24Slovácko62 - 4 (1)Sparta Praha61.50.21W
25-02-24Slovácko61 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha21.50.29W
17-09-23Sparta Praha135 - 0 (1)Slovácko141.50.19W
23-05-23Slovácko20 - 0 (0)Sparta Praha21.5-1L
Fortuna Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sparta Praha1182123111226DWWLW
2Slavia Praha117402281425DWDWW
3Jablonec11731168824LWWWW
4Sigma Olomouc1153396318WDDLW
5Zlín115331412218DWLDL
6Viktoria Plzeň114432013716DLLWD
7Slovan Liberec114431513216DWDWD
8Bohemians 190510433910-115DDWWD
9Karviná115061716115LWLLW
10Hradec Králové113441719-213DLWWD
11Baník Ostrava11245813-510DWLDD
12Mladá Boleslav102351524-99DLDWL
13Teplice112361218-69WDDDL
14Slovácko11146613-77DLDLL
15Dukla Praha11146817-97LLLDD
16Pardubice111461121-107WLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -6%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.75 (1.33)-0.06 (1.23)0.302.41

Fortuna Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
63-4.951.27-7.86%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Slovácko's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
13-5.301.29-40.77%
04-10-25-0.04Mladá Boleslav50 - 0 (0)Slovácko61.5-1L
04-05-25-0.08Slovácko70 - 0 (0)České Budějovice71.5-1L
26-04-25-0.04Slovácko61 - 0 (0)Pardubice61.5-1L
06-04-25-0.08Viktoria Plzeň62 - 0 (0)Slovácko61.50.15W
30-03-25-0.06Slovácko140 - 4 (0)Slovan Liberec141.50.43W
03-11-24-0.07Slovácko31 - 0 (0)Viktoria Plzeň31.5-1L
05-10-24-0.08České Budějovice50 - 2 (1)Slovácko61.50.36W
03-08-24-0.04Slovácko50 - 0 (0)Bohemians 190561.5-1L
14-05-24-0.04Mladá Boleslav2(A)0 - 1 (0)Slovácko2(A)1.5-1L
11-05-24-0.08Viktoria Plzeň54 - 2 (2)Slovácko51.50.19W
28-04-24-0.04České Budějovice72 - 2 (1)Slovácko61.50.28W
13-04-24-0.06Hradec Králové51 - 0 (1)Slovácko61.5-1L
25-02-24-0.04Slovácko61 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha21.50.29W

Sparta Praha's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.09 - -0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
110.131.251.18%
27-09-25-0.07Baník Ostrava2(A)0 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha2(A)1.50.23W
20-09-25-0.06Sparta Praha52 - 1 (1)Viktoria Plzeň31.50.28W
13-04-25-0.06Sparta Praha32 - 0 (1)Mladá Boleslav61.50.15W
15-03-25-0.05Slovan Liberec61 - 0 (0)Sparta Praha61.5-1L
01-03-25-0.04Sigma Olomouc61 - 2 (1)Sparta Praha31.50.33W
10-11-24-0.08Mladá Boleslav2(A)2 - 2 (1)Sparta Praha31.50.26W
31-08-24-0.08Hradec Králové60 - 2 (0)Sparta Praha31.50.26W
02-08-24-0.04Sparta Praha22 - 0 (1)Dukla Praha51.50.09W
27-07-24-0.05Teplice51 - 4 (2)Sparta Praha31.50.24W
25-02-24-0.04Slovácko61 - 3 (0)Sparta Praha21.50.29W
12-11-23-0.05Baník Ostrava60 - 1 (0)Sparta Praha2(A)1.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
190.661.233.47%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -303 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Slovácko (ELO: 1291) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.19-100%
21-07-24-294Slovácko70 - 0Slavia Praha71.5-1L

Sparta Praha (ELO 1594) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.771.2222.13%
03-08-25-309Pardubice61 - 3Sparta Praha21.50.18W
15-02-25-315Karviná132 - 3Sparta Praha51.50.2W
31-08-24-292Hradec Králové60 - 2Sparta Praha31.50.26W
17-08-24-312Jablonec61 - 2Sparta Praha31.50.26W
28-04-24-279Sigma Olomouc61 - 4Sparta Praha71.50.19W
13-04-24-280Bohemians 190561 - 3Sparta Praha51.50.24W
03-12-23-321Pardubice61 - 2Sparta Praha21.50.25W
08-10-23-294Hradec Králové61 - 3Sparta Praha2(A)1.50.19W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Slovácko's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.341.326.8%
14-09-25Bohemians 1905141 - 0Slovácko141.5-1L
30-03-25Slovácko140 - 4Slovan Liberec141.50.43W
02-03-25Karviná62 - 0Slovácko141.50.31W
20-10-24Slovácko140 - 2Teplice141.50.41W
17-09-23Sparta Praha135 - 0Slovácko141.50.19W

Sparta Praha's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.251.18-5%
14-09-25Hradec Králové142 - 1Sparta Praha131.50.31W
31-03-24České Budějovice140 - 1Sparta Praha131.5-1L
26-11-23Sparta Praha132 - 0Zlín141.50.13W
22-10-23Sparta Praha134 - 0České Budějovice111.50.12W
17-09-23Sparta Praha135 - 0Slovácko141.50.19W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Slovácko's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.381.286.33%
20-10-24Slovácko140 - 2Teplice141.50.41W
21-10-23Slavia Praha122 - 0Slovácko131.50.22W
23-10-22Slovácko32 - 1Teplice41.50.26W
16-10-22Baník Ostrava63 - 1Slovácko2(A)1.50.25W
23-10-21Slovácko61 - 0Bohemians 190561.5-1L
16-10-21Baník Ostrava121 - 2Slovácko131.50.24W

Sparta Praha's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.091.18-1.5%
19-10-24Sparta Praha122 - 1Slovan Liberec131.50.2W
22-10-23Sparta Praha134 - 0České Budějovice111.50.12W
23-10-22Slavia Praha34 - 0Sparta Praha31.50.26W
15-10-22Sparta Praha65 - 2Pardubice61.50.12W
24-10-21Sparta Praha21 - 0Mladá Boleslav71.5-1L
17-10-21Pardubice142 - 4Sparta Praha131.50.21W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Fortuna Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.832.492.522.17

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga922.49
2024/2025Fortuna Liga2762.66
2023/2024Fortuna Liga2772.86
2022/2023Fortuna Liga2762.97
2021/2022Fortuna Liga2632.79

Fortuna Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
78.05%1.2875%1.3376%1.3273.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga9275% 1.33
2024/2025Fortuna Liga27673.55% 1.36
2023/2024Fortuna Liga27776.53% 1.31
2022/2023Fortuna Liga27684.06% 1.19
2021/2022Fortuna Liga26374.52% 1.34
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Fortuna Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.281.321.31.32

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga921.32
2024/2025Fortuna Liga2761.24
2023/2024Fortuna Liga2771.33
2022/2023Fortuna Liga2761.26
2021/2022Fortuna Liga2631.27

Fortuna Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.551.170.871.2

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga921.17
2024/2025Fortuna Liga2761.42
2023/2024Fortuna Liga2771.53
2022/2023Fortuna Liga2761.70
2021/2022Fortuna Liga2631.52
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
14-2.21.2-15.71%

Last 2 seasons - 15 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.181.1818%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Slovácko matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.251.274.17%
03-11-2412Slovácko31 - 02Viktoria Plzeň31.5-1L
18-05-246Slovácko31 - 22Slavia Praha21.50.22W
05-05-246Slovácko62 - 41Sparta Praha61.50.21W
21-04-247Slovácko71 - 13Viktoria Plzeň2(A)1.50.29W
30-03-244Slovácko131 - 32Slavia Praha121.50.24W
25-02-244Slovácko61 - 31Sparta Praha21.50.29W

Sparta Praha matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.221.193.14%
03-08-2516Pardubice61 - 37Sparta Praha21.50.18W
19-04-2515Pardubice51 - 24Sparta Praha51.50.23W
30-11-2415Dukla Praha51 - 14Sparta Praha31.50.28W
22-09-2416České Budějovice210 - 22Sparta Praha31.50.12W
31-03-2416České Budějovice140 - 12Sparta Praha131.5-1L
10-02-2414Karviná60 - 31Sparta Praha81.50.16W
03-12-2314Pardubice61 - 21Sparta Praha21.50.25W
ajax-loader