Jablonec vs Dukla Praha - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

CZECH REPUBLIC - Fortuna Liga

Jablonec Logo

2025-10-19
17:30:00
Dukla Praha Logo
Jablonec13
Dukla Praha14

Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou)
1.554.846.82
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.27
Fortuna Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sparta Praha1182123111226DWWLW
2Slavia Praha117402281425DWDWW
3Jablonec11731168824LWWWW
4Sigma Olomouc1153396318WDDLW
5Zlín115331412218DWLDL
6Viktoria Plzeň114432013716DLLWD
7Slovan Liberec114431513216DWDWD
8Bohemians 190510433910-115DDWWD
9Karviná115061716115LWLLW
10Hradec Králové113441719-213DLWWD
11Baník Ostrava11245813-510DWLDD
12Mladá Boleslav102351524-99DLDWL
13Teplice112361218-69WDDDL
14Slovácko11146613-77DLDLL
15Dukla Praha11146817-97LLLDD
16Pardubice111461121-107WLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Jablonec's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.691.25-9.86%

Jablonec's home matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

23-02-25Jablonec75 - 0 (1)Karviná71.50.22W
09-02-25Jablonec64 - 2 (2)Slovácko61.50.33W
16-12-23Jablonec60 - 0 (0)Karviná2(A)1.5-1L
06-12-23Jablonec53 - 2 (1)Teplice61.50.33W
28-05-23Jablonec30 - 2 (0)Teplice31.50.14W
21-05-23Jablonec61 - 0 (0)Zbrojovka Brno61.5-1L
26-02-23Jablonec64 - 1 (1)Teplice71.50.29W

Dukla Praha's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.791.2626.33%

Dukla Praha's away matches when WIN odds between 5.8 and 7.8

09-08-25Slovan Liberec62 - 0 (0)Dukla Praha51.50.28W
24-11-24Bohemians 1905133 - 1 (2)Dukla Praha141.50.26W
22-09-24Sigma Olomouc42 - 1 (0)Dukla Praha201.50.25W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Jablonec's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.261.26-12.6%

Jablonec's last 10 home matches

28-09-25Jablonec32 - 0 (0)Mladá Boleslav31.50.2W
14-09-25Jablonec143 - 2 (0)Pardubice141.50.2W
16-08-25Jablonec51 - 1 (1)Slavia Praha61.50.31W
02-08-25Jablonec62 - 0 (0)Hradec Králové61.50.29W
19-07-25Jablonec141 - 1 (0)Sparta Praha81.50.24W
18-05-25Jablonec73 - 2 (3)Slavia Praha71.50.27W
10-05-25Jablonec54 - 0 (0)Sigma Olomouc61.50.23W
13-04-25Jablonec31 - 0 (0)Pardubice71.5-1L
29-03-25Jablonec120 - 0 (0)Sigma Olomouc121.5-1L
08-03-25Jablonec60 - 0 (0)Slovan Liberec51.5-1L

Dukla Praha's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.561.2815.6%

Dukla Praha's last 10 away matches.

26-09-25Slavia Praha2(A)2 - 0 (0)Dukla Praha41.50.15W
13-09-25Zlín121 - 1 (0)Dukla Praha131.50.44W
24-08-25Sparta Praha23 - 2 (0)Dukla Praha71.50.22W
09-08-25Slovan Liberec62 - 0 (0)Dukla Praha51.50.28W
26-07-25Sigma Olomouc50 - 0 (0)Dukla Praha61.5-1L
19-07-25Karviná132 - 0 (0)Dukla Praha131.50.26W
17-05-25Slovácko53 - 2 (1)Dukla Praha51.50.41W
11-05-25Mladá Boleslav62 - 3 (1)Dukla Praha71.50.25W
27-04-25Teplice72 - 2 (1)Dukla Praha71.50.34W
19-04-25Viktoria Plzeň54 - 2 (2)Dukla Praha61.50.21W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Jablonec's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.261.264.33%

Jablonec's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Sigma Olomouc2(A)2 - 0 (0)Jablonec61.50.28W
28-09-25Jablonec32 - 0 (0)Mladá Boleslav31.50.2W
20-09-25Karviná61 - 2 (2)Jablonec51.50.22W
14-09-25Jablonec143 - 2 (0)Pardubice141.50.2W
30-08-25Slovácko2(A)0 - 2 (1)Jablonec31.50.36W
23-08-25Teplice60 - 1 (0)Jablonec61.5-1L

Dukla Praha's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.91.3231.67%

Dukla Praha's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Dukla Praha31 - 3 (1)Teplice51.50.39W
26-09-25Slavia Praha2(A)2 - 0 (0)Dukla Praha41.50.15W
21-09-25Dukla Praha70 - 2 (0)Bohemians 190561.50.31W
13-09-25Zlín121 - 1 (0)Dukla Praha131.50.44W
30-08-25Dukla Praha2(A)1 - 1 (0)Hradec Králové51.50.39W
24-08-25Sparta Praha23 - 2 (0)Dukla Praha71.50.22W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.541.2727%

H2H matches - last 6

07-12-24Jablonec22 - 1 (0)Dukla Praha21.50.23W
10-08-24Dukla Praha70 - 2 (1)Jablonec61.50.31W
Fortuna Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sparta Praha1182123111226DWWLW
2Slavia Praha117402281425DWDWW
3Jablonec11731168824LWWWW
4Sigma Olomouc1153396318WDDLW
5Zlín115331412218DWLDL
6Viktoria Plzeň114432013716DLLWD
7Slovan Liberec114431513216DWDWD
8Bohemians 190510433910-115DDWWD
9Karviná115061716115LWLLW
10Hradec Králové113441719-213DLWWD
11Baník Ostrava11245813-510DWLDD
12Mladá Boleslav102351524-99DLDWL
13Teplice112361218-69WDDDL
14Slovácko11146613-77DLDLL
15Dukla Praha11146817-97LLLDD
16Pardubice111461121-107WLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 4%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.83 (1.2)0.04 (1.27)2.630.57

Fortuna Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
72-4.571.25-6.35%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Jablonec's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-2.331.29-46.60%
16-08-250.05Jablonec51 - 1 (1)Slavia Praha61.50.31W
26-10-240.06Sigma Olomouc60 - 0 (0)Jablonec51.5-1L
28-07-240.04Baník Ostrava21 - 0 (0)Jablonec71.5-1L
20-04-240.03Jablonec50 - 0 (0)Zlín51.5-1L
11-11-230.04Zlín61 - 1 (0)Jablonec61.50.36W

Dukla Praha's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-2.001.28-100.00%
26-07-250.02Sigma Olomouc50 - 0 (0)Dukla Praha61.5-1L
12-03-250.02Dukla Praha30 - 0 (0)Karviná2(A)1.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
55-2.591.3-4.71%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Jablonec (ELO: 1505) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.191.329.75%
16-05-247Jablonec33 - 0Pardubice31.50.27W
02-03-2413Jablonec61 - 1Hradec Králové61.50.28W
06-12-234Jablonec53 - 2Teplice61.50.33W
26-11-2316Jablonec92 - 1Pardubice141.50.31W

Dukla Praha (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00029.75%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Jablonec's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.711.26-57%
23-11-24Jablonec133 - 1Baník Ostrava131.50.29W
22-10-23Jablonec130 - 1Bohemians 1905101.5-1L
02-04-23Jablonec131 - 0Pardubice131.5-1L

Dukla Praha's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.261.2626%
24-11-24Bohemians 1905133 - 1Dukla Praha141.50.26W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Jablonec's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.41.286.67%
20-10-24Jablonec141 - 2Slavia Praha131.50.27W
22-10-23Jablonec130 - 1Bohemians 1905101.5-1L
22-10-22Slovan Liberec52 - 0Jablonec51.50.32W
16-10-22Jablonec40 - 3Viktoria Plzeň31.50.32W
24-10-21Viktoria Plzeň65 - 0Jablonec71.50.24W
16-10-21Jablonec122 - 2České Budějovice91.50.25W

Dukla Praha's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.311.3131%
19-10-24Dukla Praha132 - 1Pardubice121.50.31W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Fortuna Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.832.492.522.17

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga922.49
2024/2025Fortuna Liga2762.66
2023/2024Fortuna Liga2772.86
2022/2023Fortuna Liga2762.97
2021/2022Fortuna Liga2632.79

Fortuna Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
78.05%1.2875%1.3376%1.3273.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga9275% 1.33
2024/2025Fortuna Liga27673.55% 1.36
2023/2024Fortuna Liga27776.53% 1.31
2022/2023Fortuna Liga27684.06% 1.19
2021/2022Fortuna Liga26374.52% 1.34
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Fortuna Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.281.321.31.32

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga921.32
2024/2025Fortuna Liga2761.24
2023/2024Fortuna Liga2771.33
2022/2023Fortuna Liga2761.26
2021/2022Fortuna Liga2631.27

Fortuna Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.551.170.871.2

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Fortuna Liga921.17
2024/2025Fortuna Liga2761.42
2023/2024Fortuna Liga2771.53
2022/2023Fortuna Liga2761.70
2021/2022Fortuna Liga2631.52
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.541.1515.4%

Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 16 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.341.1717%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Jablonec matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.581.24-7.25%
14-09-253Jablonec143 - 216Pardubice141.50.2W
13-04-255Jablonec31 - 015Pardubice71.5-1L
07-12-245Jablonec22 - 115Dukla Praha21.50.23W
04-12-245Jablonec2(A)5 - 016České Budějovice2(A)1.50.19W
02-11-246Jablonec63 - 014Teplice2(A)1.50.31W
20-07-2414Jablonec62 - 015Mladá Boleslav71.50.25W
20-04-2412Jablonec50 - 014Zlín51.5-1L
17-02-2413Jablonec55 - 216České Budějovice61.50.24W

Dukla Praha matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.771.2222.13%
26-09-252Slavia Praha2(A)2 - 012Dukla Praha41.50.15W
24-08-252Sparta Praha23 - 210Dukla Praha71.50.22W
17-05-253Slovácko53 - 24Dukla Praha51.50.41W
11-05-251Mladá Boleslav62 - 34Dukla Praha71.50.25W
27-04-252Teplice72 - 24Dukla Praha71.50.34W
19-04-252Viktoria Plzeň54 - 214Dukla Praha61.50.21W
27-10-241Slavia Praha2(A)3 - 013Dukla Praha31.50.1W
02-08-242Sparta Praha22 - 011Dukla Praha51.50.09W
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