Elche vs Athletic Club - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SPAIN - La Liga

Elche Logo

2025-10-19
13:00:00
Athletic Club Logo
Elche13
Athletic Club14

Estadio Manuel MartĂ­nez Valero (Elche)
3.903.452.20
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.42
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona971124101422WLWWW
2Real Madrid87011991021WLWWW
3Villarreal95221610617DLWWW
4Atlético Madrid94411610616WDWWD
5Real Betis94411510516DWWWD
6Espanyol94321311215WLDDL
7Sevilla94141614213LWWLW
8Elche8341119213LWDWD
9Athletic Club841399013WLDLL
10Deportivo Alavés832398111WLDLW
11Getafe8323911-211LDDLW
12Osasuna931579-210LWLDL
13Levante82241314-18WDLWD
14Rayo Vallecano8224810-28WLLDL
15Mallorca92251014-48WLWLD
16Valencia82241014-48LLDWL
17Celta de Vigo8062710-36DLDDD
18Real Oviedo9207416-126LLWLL
19Girona9135619-136LWDDL
20Real Sociedad8125712-55LLWLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Elche's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.331.366.6%

Elche's home matches when WIN odds between 3.7 and 4.2

24-05-23Elche31 - 1 (0)Sevilla21.50.31W
29-04-23Elche2(A)4 - 0 (0)Rayo Vallecano21.50.38W
24-02-23Elche42 - 3 (1)Real Betis51.50.24W
06-01-23Elche2(A)0 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo2(A)1.5-1L
08-11-22Elche2(A)1 - 2 (0)Girona31.50.4W

Athletic Club's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
103.271.4732.7%

Athletic Club's away matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

20-09-25Valencia52 - 0 (1)Athletic Club31.50.42W
19-01-25Celta de Vigo2(A)1 - 2 (0)Athletic Club21.50.34W
21-12-24Osasuna61 - 2 (0)Athletic Club51.50.49W
15-12-24Deportivo Alavés61 - 1 (0)Athletic Club31.50.56W
19-09-24Leganés50 - 2 (0)Athletic Club31.50.63W
15-09-24Las Palmas132 - 3 (2)Athletic Club141.50.38W
03-05-24Getafe50 - 2 (0)Athletic Club51.50.53W
25-02-24Real Betis2(A)3 - 1 (0)Athletic Club51.50.35W
20-01-24Valencia21 - 0 (0)Athletic Club31.5-1L
22-09-23Deportivo Alavés60 - 2 (1)Athletic Club51.50.57W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Elche's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.771.367.7%

Elche's last 10 home matches

28-09-25Elche2(A)2 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo2(A)1.50.39W
21-09-25Elche81 - 0 (0)Real Oviedo71.5-1L
29-08-25Elche52 - 0 (0)Levante51.50.42W
18-08-25Elche91 - 1 (1)Real Betis81.50.41W
25-05-25Elche72 - 0 (2)Málaga71.50.28W
10-05-25Elche61 - 3 (0)Levante51.50.32W
20-04-25Elche72 - 2 (0)Albacete61.50.26W
07-04-25Elche71 - 0 (0)Racing Ferrol81.5-1L
22-03-25Elche72 - 0 (2)Eldense51.50.39W
08-03-25Elche53 - 1 (1)CastellĂłn61.50.3W

Athletic Club's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-5.331.44-53.3%

Athletic Club's last 10 away matches.

27-09-25Villarreal31 - 0 (1)Athletic Club31.5-1L
20-09-25Valencia52 - 0 (1)Athletic Club31.50.42W
31-08-25Real Betis31 - 2 (2)Athletic Club51.50.37W
18-05-25Valencia30 - 1 (0)Athletic Club2(A)1.5-1L
15-05-25Getafe40 - 2 (2)Athletic Club31.50.88W
04-05-25Real Sociedad100 - 0 (0)Athletic Club21.5-1L
20-04-25Real Madrid31 - 0 (1)Athletic Club21.5-1L
06-04-25Villarreal60 - 0 (0)Athletic Club61.5-1L
16-03-25Sevilla60 - 1 (1)Athletic Club21.5-1L
01-03-25Atlético Madrid31 - 0 (0)Athletic Club51.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Elche's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.241.4420.67%

Elche's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Deportivo Alavés73 - 1 (4)Elche61.50.58W
28-09-25Elche2(A)2 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo2(A)1.50.39W
25-09-25Osasuna41 - 1 (1)Elche31.50.43W
21-09-25Elche81 - 0 (0)Real Oviedo71.5-1L
12-09-25Sevilla122 - 2 (1)Elche131.50.42W
29-08-25Elche52 - 0 (0)Levante51.50.42W

Athletic Club's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.511.38-8.5%

Athletic Club's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Athletic Club2(A)2 - 1 (2)Mallorca61.50.42W
27-09-25Villarreal31 - 0 (1)Athletic Club31.5-1L
23-09-25Athletic Club2(A)1 - 1 (0)Girona21.50.28W
20-09-25Valencia52 - 0 (1)Athletic Club31.50.42W
13-09-25Athletic Club120 - 1 (0)Deportivo Alavés131.5-1L
31-08-25Real Betis31 - 2 (2)Athletic Club51.50.37W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.23-100%

H2H matches - last 6

28-05-23Athletic Club2(A)0 - 1 (1)Elche31.5-1L
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona971124101422WLWWW
2Real Madrid87011991021WLWWW
3Villarreal95221610617DLWWW
4Atlético Madrid94411610616WDWWD
5Real Betis94411510516DWWWD
6Espanyol94321311215WLDDL
7Sevilla94141614213LWWLW
8Elche8341119213LWDWD
9Athletic Club841399013WLDLL
10Deportivo Alavés832398111WLDLW
11Getafe8323911-211LDDLW
12Osasuna931579-210LWLDL
13Levante82241314-18WDLWD
14Rayo Vallecano8224810-28WLLDL
15Mallorca92251014-48WLWLD
16Valencia82241014-48LLDWL
17Celta de Vigo8062710-36DLDDD
18Real Oviedo9207416-126LLWLL
19Girona9135619-136LWDDL
20Real Sociedad8125712-55LLWLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -11%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.59 (1.69)-0.11 (1.42)1.100.90

La Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
603.151.385.25%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Elche's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.581.5858.00%
05-10-25-0.12Deportivo Alavés73 - 1 (4)Elche61.50.58W

Athletic Club's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
11-0.021.37-0.18%
27-09-25-0.09Villarreal31 - 0 (1)Athletic Club31.5-1L
16-02-25-0.09Espanyol61 - 1 (1)Athletic Club71.50.45W
01-12-24-0.13Rayo Vallecano61 - 2 (1)Athletic Club21.50.53W
29-09-24-0.13Athletic Club2(A)1 - 1 (1)Sevilla41.50.36W
19-09-24-0.10Leganés50 - 2 (0)Athletic Club31.50.63W
31-08-24-0.10Athletic Club20 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid21.5-1L
24-08-24-0.11FC Barcelona62 - 1 (0)Athletic Club81.50.22W
27-04-24-0.10Atlético Madrid53 - 1 (1)Athletic Club71.50.35W
31-03-24-0.11Real Madrid142 - 0 (0)Athletic Club141.50.24W
28-01-24-0.11Cádiz80 - 0 (0)Athletic Club31.5-1L
05-11-23-0.10Villarreal2(A)2 - 3 (2)Athletic Club31.50.2W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
52-3.921.41-7.69%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -140 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Elche (ELO: 1614) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.281.4342.67%
18-08-25-157Elche91 - 1Real Betis81.50.41W
29-04-23-126Elche2(A)4 - 0Rayo Vallecano21.50.38W
22-01-23-129Elche51 - 1Osasuna31.50.49W

Athletic Club (ELO 1754) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.041.4913%
15-05-25-152Getafe40 - 2Athletic Club31.50.88W
16-03-25-116Sevilla60 - 1Athletic Club21.5-1L
02-02-25-124Real Betis72 - 2Athletic Club21.50.41W
19-01-25-162Celta de Vigo2(A)1 - 2Athletic Club21.50.34W
21-12-24-137Osasuna61 - 2Athletic Club51.50.49W
01-12-24-161Rayo Vallecano61 - 2Athletic Club21.50.53W
25-05-24-139Rayo Vallecano50 - 1Athletic Club51.5-1L
15-05-24-125Celta de Vigo2(A)2 - 1Athletic Club31.50.39W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Elche's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.421.4242%
12-09-25Sevilla122 - 2Elche131.50.42W

Athletic Club's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.041.37-1%
15-09-24Las Palmas132 - 3Athletic Club141.50.38W
31-03-24Real Madrid142 - 0Athletic Club141.50.24W
04-01-24Sevilla110 - 2Athletic Club141.50.34W
01-04-23Athletic Club140 - 0Getafe121.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Elche's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.841.3736.8%
23-10-22Espanyol2(A)2 - 2Elche31.50.32W
19-10-22Elche30 - 3Real Madrid21.50.18W
15-10-22Valencia72 - 2Elche41.50.23W
23-10-21Elche52 - 2Espanyol41.50.57W
17-10-21Rayo Vallecano142 - 1Elche131.50.54W

Athletic Club's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.581.35-9.67%
19-10-24Athletic Club124 - 1Espanyol131.50.31W
22-10-23FC Barcelona131 - 0Athletic Club151.5-1L
23-10-22FC Barcelona24 - 0Athletic Club41.50.21W
18-10-22Getafe32 - 2Athletic Club21.50.51W
15-10-22Athletic Club60 - 1Atlético Madrid21.5-1L
23-10-21Athletic Club212 - 1Villarreal2(A)1.50.39W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

La Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.592.692.732.7

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga852.69
2024/2025La Liga3802.62
2023/2024La Liga3802.64
2022/2023La Liga3802.51
2021/2022La Liga3802.50

La Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
71.58%1.482.35%1.2183%1.276.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga8582.35% 1.21
2024/2025La Liga38072.37% 1.38
2023/2024La Liga38071.58% 1.4
2022/2023La Liga38070.79% 1.41
2021/2022La Liga38069.21% 1.44
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

La Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.161.161.031.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga851.16
2024/2025La Liga3801.15
2023/2024La Liga3801.20
2022/2023La Liga3801.12
2021/2022La Liga3801.09

La Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.441.531.671.53

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga851.53
2024/2025La Liga3801.47
2023/2024La Liga3801.45
2022/2023La Liga3801.39
2021/2022La Liga3801.41
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
14-0.521.5-3.71%

Last 2 seasons - 8 vs 9 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.481.55-24%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Elche matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.411.4141%
18-08-2511Elche91 - 110Real Betis81.50.41W

Athletic Club matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.411.43-6.83%
31-08-257Real Betis31 - 24Athletic Club51.50.37W
21-12-249Osasuna61 - 24Athletic Club51.50.49W
28-10-248Mallorca70 - 07Athletic Club31.5-1L
10-03-249Las Palmas70 - 25Athletic Club61.50.38W
25-02-247Real Betis2(A)3 - 15Athletic Club51.50.35W
20-01-249Valencia21 - 03Athletic Club31.5-1L
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