Getafe vs Real Madrid - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SPAIN - La Liga

Getafe Logo

2025-10-19
20:00:00
Real Madrid Logo
Getafe15
Real Madrid14

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe)
8.184.861.49
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona971124101422WLWWW
2Real Madrid87011991021WLWWW
3Villarreal95221610617DLWWW
4Atlético Madrid94411610616WDWWD
5Real Betis94411510516DWWWD
6Espanyol94321311215WLDDL
7Sevilla94141614213LWWLW
8Elche8341119213LWDWD
9Athletic Club841399013WLDLL
10Deportivo Alavés832398111WLDLW
11Getafe8323911-211LDDLW
12Osasuna931579-210LWLDL
13Levante82241314-18WDLWD
14Rayo Vallecano8224810-28WLLDL
15Mallorca92251014-48WLWLD
16Valencia82241014-48LLDWL
17Celta de Vigo8062710-36DLDDD
18Real Oviedo9207416-126LLWLL
19Girona9135619-136LWDDL
20Real Sociedad8125712-55LLWLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Getafe's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.731.35-36.5%

Getafe's home matches when WIN odds between 6.9 and 9.4

18-01-25Getafe2(A)1 - 1 (0)FC Barcelona21.50.27W
13-08-23Getafe100 - 0 (0)FC Barcelona41.5-1L

Real Madrid's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.321.2323.2%

Real Madrid's away matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

15-02-25Osasuna41 - 1 (0)Real Madrid31.50.18W
03-01-25Valencia111 - 2 (2)Real Madrid111.50.2W
14-12-24Rayo Vallecano63 - 3 (0)Real Madrid31.50.26W
24-11-24Leganés140 - 3 (1)Real Madrid141.50.24W
19-10-24Celta de Vigo131 - 2 (0)Real Madrid131.50.22W
18-08-24Mallorca71 - 1 (0)Real Madrid31.50.25W
11-05-24Granada50 - 4 (0)Real Madrid21.50.22W
16-03-24Osasuna62 - 4 (1)Real Madrid51.50.27W
27-01-24Las Palmas61 - 2 (1)Real Madrid51.50.22W
26-11-23Cádiz190 - 3 (0)Real Madrid141.50.26W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Getafe's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
104.51.5945%

Getafe's last 10 home matches

27-09-25Getafe21 - 1 (0)Levante31.50.54W
24-09-25Getafe2(A)1 - 1 (0)Deportivo Alavés31.50.88W
13-09-25Getafe142 - 0 (0)Real Oviedo131.50.75W
24-05-25Getafe51 - 2 (1)Celta de Vigo51.50.33W
15-05-25Getafe40 - 2 (2)Athletic Club31.50.88W
23-04-25Getafe40 - 1 (0)Real Madrid21.5-1L
12-04-25Getafe51 - 3 (0)Las Palmas51.50.43W
30-03-25Getafe131 - 2 (0)Villarreal141.50.47W
09-03-25Getafe62 - 1 (2)Atlético Madrid41.50.53W
23-02-25Getafe81 - 2 (2)Real Betis21.50.69W

Real Madrid's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.361.23-3.6%

Real Madrid's last 10 away matches.

27-09-25Atlético Madrid25 - 2 (1)Real Madrid31.50.25W
23-09-25Levante2(A)1 - 4 (0)Real Madrid21.50.15W
13-09-25Real Sociedad131 - 2 (0)Real Madrid131.50.23W
24-08-25Real Oviedo80 - 3 (2)Real Madrid41.50.27W
18-05-25Sevilla40 - 2 (1)Real Madrid31.50.21W
11-05-25FC Barcelona44 - 3 (0)Real Madrid61.50.1W
23-04-25Getafe40 - 1 (0)Real Madrid21.5-1L
13-04-25Deportivo Alavés70 - 1 (0)Real Madrid41.5-1L
15-03-25Villarreal61 - 2 (0)Real Madrid2(A)1.50.21W
01-03-25Real Betis52 - 1 (0)Real Madrid2(A)1.50.22W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Getafe's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
63.761.6362.67%

Getafe's all matches - last 6

03-10-25Osasuna42 - 1 (1)Getafe51.50.79W
27-09-25Getafe21 - 1 (0)Levante31.50.54W
24-09-25Getafe2(A)1 - 1 (0)Deportivo Alavés31.50.88W
21-09-25FC Barcelona2(A)3 - 0 (0)Getafe71.50.17W
13-09-25Getafe142 - 0 (0)Real Oviedo131.50.75W
29-08-25Valencia43 - 0 (1)Getafe31.50.63W

Real Madrid's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.121.1918.67%

Real Madrid's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Real Madrid33 - 1 (1)Villarreal21.50.17W
27-09-25Atlético Madrid25 - 2 (1)Real Madrid31.50.25W
23-09-25Levante2(A)1 - 4 (0)Real Madrid21.50.15W
20-09-25Real Madrid32 - 0 (0)Espanyol41.50.15W
13-09-25Real Sociedad131 - 2 (0)Real Madrid131.50.23W
30-08-25Real Madrid52 - 1 (0)Mallorca61.50.17W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.061.33-21.2%

H2H matches - last 6

23-04-25Getafe40 - 1 (0)Real Madrid21.5-1L
01-12-24Real Madrid32 - 0 (0)Getafe41.50.3W
01-02-24Getafe20 - 2 (0)Real Madrid41.50.32W
02-09-23Real Madrid72 - 1 (1)Getafe41.50.32W
13-05-23Real Madrid31 - 0 (0)Getafe91.5-1L
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona971124101422WLWWW
2Real Madrid87011991021WLWWW
3Villarreal95221610617DLWWW
4Atlético Madrid94411610616WDWWD
5Real Betis94411510516DWWWD
6Espanyol94321311215WLDDL
7Sevilla94141614213LWWLW
8Elche8341119213LWDWD
9Athletic Club841399013WLDLL
10Deportivo Alavés832398111WLDLW
11Getafe8323911-211LDDLW
12Osasuna931579-210LWLDL
13Levante82241314-18WDLWD
14Rayo Vallecano8224810-28WLLDL
15Mallorca92251014-48WLWLD
16Valencia82241014-48LLDWL
17Celta de Vigo8062710-36DLDDD
18Real Oviedo9207416-126LLWLL
19Girona9135619-136LWDDL
20Real Sociedad8125712-55LLWLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 17%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.95 (1.05)0.17 (1.29)0.783.87

La Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.15 - 0.2 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41-2.161.41-5.27%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Getafe's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.15 - 0.2 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.451.4848.33%
25-08-250.17Sevilla71 - 2 (0)Getafe71.50.64W
24-02-240.17FC Barcelona2(A)4 - 0 (1)Getafe71.50.24W
11-02-240.19Getafe63 - 2 (2)Celta de Vigo61.50.57W

Real Madrid's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.15 - 0.2 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-1.921.24-9.6%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -308 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Getafe (ELO: 1634) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.321.3232%
01-02-24-302Getafe20 - 2Real Madrid41.50.32W

Real Madrid (ELO 1943) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.571.26-7.13%
13-09-25-285Real Sociedad131 - 2Real Madrid131.50.23W
18-05-25-283Sevilla40 - 2Real Madrid31.50.21W
13-04-25-306Deportivo Alavés70 - 1Real Madrid41.5-1L
15-02-25-288Osasuna41 - 1Real Madrid31.50.18W
19-10-24-325Celta de Vigo131 - 2Real Madrid131.50.22W
13-04-24-331Mallorca60 - 1Real Madrid31.5-1L
16-03-24-310Osasuna62 - 4Real Madrid51.50.27W
01-02-24-302Getafe20 - 2Real Madrid41.50.32W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Getafe's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-21.2%

Real Madrid's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.031.2625.75%
24-11-24Leganés140 - 3Real Madrid141.50.24W
31-03-24Real Madrid142 - 0Athletic Club141.50.24W
26-11-23Cádiz190 - 3Real Madrid141.50.26W
17-09-23Real Madrid142 - 1Real Sociedad141.50.29W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Getafe's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.141.49-2.33%
20-10-24Villarreal141 - 1Getafe141.50.41W
21-10-23Getafe121 - 1Real Betis121.50.44W
24-10-22Celta de Vigo41 - 1Getafe51.50.5W
18-10-22Getafe32 - 2Athletic Club21.50.51W
14-10-22Rayo Vallecano50 - 0Getafe51.5-1L
16-10-21Levante130 - 0Getafe121.5-1L

Real Madrid's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.221.220.33%
19-10-24Celta de Vigo131 - 2Real Madrid131.50.22W
21-10-23Sevilla131 - 1Real Madrid131.50.21W
22-10-22Real Madrid2(A)3 - 1Sevilla31.50.22W
19-10-22Elche30 - 3Real Madrid21.50.18W
16-10-22Real Madrid43 - 1FC Barcelona31.50.18W
24-10-21FC Barcelona31 - 2Real Madrid41.50.21W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

La Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.592.692.732.7

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga852.69
2024/2025La Liga3802.62
2023/2024La Liga3802.64
2022/2023La Liga3802.51
2021/2022La Liga3802.50

La Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
71.58%1.482.35%1.2183%1.276.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga8582.35% 1.21
2024/2025La Liga38072.37% 1.38
2023/2024La Liga38071.58% 1.4
2022/2023La Liga38070.79% 1.41
2021/2022La Liga38069.21% 1.44
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

La Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.161.161.031.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga851.16
2024/2025La Liga3801.15
2023/2024La Liga3801.20
2022/2023La Liga3801.12
2021/2022La Liga3801.09

La Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.441.531.671.53

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga851.53
2024/2025La Liga3801.47
2023/2024La Liga3801.45
2022/2023La Liga3801.39
2021/2022La Liga3801.41
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
160.461.282.88%

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.751.2525%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Getafe matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.881.37-17.6%
23-04-2512Getafe40 - 12Real Madrid21.5-1L
09-03-2514Getafe62 - 12Atlético Madrid41.50.53W
18-01-2517Getafe2(A)1 - 13FC Barcelona21.50.27W
16-03-2412Getafe61 - 02Girona61.5-1L
01-02-2410Getafe20 - 22Real Madrid41.50.32W

Real Madrid matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.191.3-4.75%
23-04-2512Getafe40 - 12Real Madrid21.5-1L
19-10-2410Celta de Vigo131 - 22Real Madrid131.50.22W
16-03-2410Osasuna62 - 41Real Madrid51.50.27W
01-02-2410Getafe20 - 22Real Madrid41.50.32W
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