Levante vs Rayo Vallecano - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SPAIN - La Liga

Levante Logo

2025-10-19
17:30:00
Rayo Vallecano Logo
Levante14
Rayo Vallecano13

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia)
2.853.642.68
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona971124101422WLWWW
2Real Madrid87011991021WLWWW
3Villarreal95221610617DLWWW
4Atlético Madrid94411610616WDWWD
5Real Betis94411510516DWWWD
6Espanyol94321311215WLDDL
7Sevilla94141614213LWWLW
8Elche8341119213LWDWD
9Athletic Club841399013WLDLL
10Deportivo Alavés832398111WLDLW
11Getafe8323911-211LDDLW
12Osasuna931579-210LWLDL
13Levante82241314-18WDLWD
14Rayo Vallecano8224810-28WLLDL
15Mallorca92251014-48WLWLD
16Valencia82241014-48LLDWL
17Celta de Vigo8062710-36DLDDD
18Real Oviedo9207416-126LLWLL
19Girona9135619-136LWDDL
20Real Sociedad8125712-55LLWLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Levante's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.981.3332.67%

Levante's home matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

11-05-24Levante72 - 2 (1)SD Eibar51.50.21W
13-01-24Levante233 - 2 (1)Albacete241.50.4W
02-12-23Levante62 - 1 (0)Real Valladolid71.50.37W

Rayo Vallecano's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.581.47-29%

Rayo Vallecano's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

31-01-25Leganés40 - 1 (1)Rayo Vallecano41.5-1L
04-06-23Mallorca63 - 0 (1)Rayo Vallecano61.50.42W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Levante's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.221.22-2.2%

Levante's last 10 home matches

23-09-25Levante2(A)1 - 4 (0)Real Madrid21.50.15W
14-09-25Levante152 - 2 (1)Real Betis131.50.23W
23-08-25Levante62 - 3 (1)FC Barcelona61.50.12W
01-06-25Levante61 - 0 (1)SD Eibar61.5-1L
16-05-25Levante51 - 0 (0)Albacete41.5-1L
04-05-25Levante71 - 1 (1)Tenerife61.50.21W
19-04-25Levante75 - 2 (4)Real Zaragoza61.50.29W
06-04-25Levante73 - 1 (2)Racing Santander71.50.21W
23-03-25Levante63 - 2 (1)CastellĂłn51.50.28W
09-03-25Levante63 - 0 (1)FC Cartagena81.50.29W

Rayo Vallecano's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.051.4-0.5%

Rayo Vallecano's last 10 away matches.

05-10-25Real Sociedad60 - 1 (1)Rayo Vallecano21.5-1L
24-09-25Atlético Madrid2(A)3 - 2 (3)Rayo Vallecano21.50.29W
14-09-25Osasuna132 - 0 (1)Rayo Vallecano131.50.56W
25-08-25Athletic Club71 - 0 (0)Rayo Vallecano31.5-1L
15-08-25Girona51 - 3 (0)Rayo Vallecano41.50.39W
18-05-25Celta de Vigo41 - 2 (0)Rayo Vallecano21.50.31W
09-05-25Las Palmas50 - 1 (0)Rayo Vallecano61.5-1L
24-04-25Atlético Madrid43 - 0 (1)Rayo Vallecano41.50.31W
13-04-25Athletic Club2(A)3 - 1 (2)Rayo Vallecano81.50.5W
29-03-25Deportivo Alavés140 - 2 (0)Rayo Vallecano121.50.59W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Levante's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.911.3231.83%

Levante's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Real Oviedo30 - 2 (0)Levante61.50.35W
27-09-25Getafe21 - 1 (0)Levante31.50.54W
23-09-25Levante2(A)1 - 4 (0)Real Madrid21.50.15W
20-09-25Girona50 - 4 (1)Levante51.50.22W
14-09-25Levante152 - 2 (1)Real Betis131.50.23W
29-08-25Elche52 - 0 (0)Levante51.50.42W

Rayo Vallecano's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.661.35-11%

Rayo Vallecano's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Real Sociedad60 - 1 (1)Rayo Vallecano21.5-1L
28-09-25Rayo Vallecano30 - 1 (1)Sevilla41.5-1L
24-09-25Atlético Madrid2(A)3 - 2 (3)Rayo Vallecano21.50.29W
21-09-25Rayo Vallecano61 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo61.50.32W
14-09-25Osasuna132 - 0 (1)Rayo Vallecano131.50.56W
31-08-25Rayo Vallecano21 - 1 (0)FC Barcelona71.50.17W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0000%

H2H matches - last 6

La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona971124101422WLWWW
2Real Madrid87011991021WLWWW
3Villarreal95221610617DLWWW
4Atlético Madrid94411610616WDWWD
5Real Betis94411510516DWWWD
6Espanyol94321311215WLDDL
7Sevilla94141614213LWWLW
8Elche8341119213LWDWD
9Athletic Club841399013WLDLL
10Deportivo Alavés832398111WLDLW
11Getafe8323911-211LDDLW
12Osasuna931579-210LWLDL
13Levante82241314-18WDLWD
14Rayo Vallecano8224810-28WLLDL
15Mallorca92251014-48WLWLD
16Valencia82241014-48LLDWL
17Celta de Vigo8062710-36DLDDD
18Real Oviedo9207416-126LLWLL
19Girona9135619-136LWDDL
20Real Sociedad8125712-55LLWLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -5%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.72 (1.39)-0.05 (1.3)1.391.15

La Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80-4.941.34-6.18%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Levante's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%

Rayo Vallecano's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.121.46-2.00%
31-08-25-0.04Rayo Vallecano21 - 1 (0)FC Barcelona71.50.17W
13-04-25-0.03Athletic Club2(A)3 - 1 (2)Rayo Vallecano81.50.5W
22-09-24-0.05Rayo Vallecano51 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid21.50.4W
25-05-24-0.07Rayo Vallecano50 - 1 (0)Athletic Club51.5-1L
10-03-24-0.06Deportivo Alavés51 - 0 (0)Rayo Vallecano71.5-1L
11-02-24-0.06Mallorca42 - 1 (2)Rayo Vallecano51.50.81W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
867.541.488.77%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -35 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Levante (ELO: 1625) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.011.3433.67%
11-05-24-16Levante72 - 2SD Eibar51.50.21W
24-03-24-14Levante73 - 2Elche61.50.43W
02-12-23-34Levante62 - 1Real Valladolid71.50.37W

Rayo Vallecano (ELO 1659) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.411.5-5.13%
15-08-25-21Girona51 - 3Rayo Vallecano41.50.39W
09-05-25-45Las Palmas50 - 1Rayo Vallecano61.5-1L
29-03-25-29Deportivo Alavés140 - 2Rayo Vallecano121.50.59W
31-01-25-54Leganés40 - 1Rayo Vallecano41.5-1L
05-10-24-58Real Valladolid71 - 2Rayo Vallecano61.50.57W
31-08-24-37Espanyol2(A)2 - 1Rayo Vallecano31.50.58W
22-10-23-51Las Palmas130 - 1Rayo Vallecano141.5-1L
21-08-23-20Granada60 - 2Rayo Vallecano91.50.46W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Levante's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0000%

Rayo Vallecano's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.391.439.75%
14-09-25Osasuna132 - 0Rayo Vallecano131.50.56W
31-03-24Celta de Vigo130 - 0Rayo Vallecano131.5-1L
02-01-24Getafe130 - 2Rayo Vallecano131.50.6W
25-11-23Rayo Vallecano131 - 1FC Barcelona121.50.23W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Levante's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.761.41-38%
24-10-21Sevilla35 - 3Levante71.50.24W
16-10-21Levante130 - 0Getafe121.5-1L

Rayo Vallecano's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.241.48-17.71%
20-10-24Mallorca141 - 0Rayo Vallecano141.5-1L
22-10-23Las Palmas130 - 1Rayo Vallecano141.5-1L
22-10-22Rayo Vallecano35 - 1Cádiz21.50.51W
18-10-22Atlético Madrid2(A)1 - 1Rayo Vallecano31.50.41W
14-10-22Rayo Vallecano50 - 0Getafe51.5-1L
24-10-21Real Betis23 - 2Rayo Vallecano61.50.3W
17-10-21Rayo Vallecano142 - 1Elche131.50.54W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

La Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.592.692.732.7

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga852.69
2024/2025La Liga3802.62
2023/2024La Liga3802.64
2022/2023La Liga3802.51
2021/2022La Liga3802.50

La Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
71.58%1.482.35%1.2183%1.276.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga8582.35% 1.21
2024/2025La Liga38072.37% 1.38
2023/2024La Liga38071.58% 1.4
2022/2023La Liga38070.79% 1.41
2021/2022La Liga38069.21% 1.44
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

La Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.161.161.031.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga851.16
2024/2025La Liga3801.15
2023/2024La Liga3801.20
2022/2023La Liga3801.12
2021/2022La Liga3801.09

La Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.441.531.671.53

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga851.53
2024/2025La Liga3801.47
2023/2024La Liga3801.45
2022/2023La Liga3801.39
2021/2022La Liga3801.41
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
103.941.3939.4%

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 14 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00039.4%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Levante matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00039.4%

Rayo Vallecano matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.251.41-54.17%
24-09-2512Atlético Madrid2(A)3 - 214Rayo Vallecano21.50.29W
19-01-2512Osasuna2(A)1 - 110Rayo Vallecano2(A)1.50.46W
24-11-2413Sevilla141 - 012Rayo Vallecano151.5-1L
25-09-2413Girona30 - 010Rayo Vallecano21.5-1L
10-03-2413Deportivo Alavés51 - 016Rayo Vallecano71.5-1L
15-12-2314Osasuna41 - 010Rayo Vallecano31.5-1L
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