Leganés vs Málaga - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SPAIN - La Liga 2

Leganés Logo

2025-10-19
13:00:00
Málaga Logo
Leganés7
Málaga6

Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés)
2.023.484.61
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.43
La Liga 2 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cádiz9531106418WLDWW
2Deportivo La Coruña9441179816LDDWW
3Racing Santander95132216616LWLDL
4Real Valladolid9432106415WDLLW
5Las Palmas943285315DWLWW
6Almería94321816215WDWWL
7FC Andorra104331313015DLLWD
8Ceuta104331012-215WDWDW
9Huesca9414811-313LWLLW
10Burgos93331310312LLWDW
11SD Eibar9333107312DLDWL
12Castellón93331312112DWWWD
13Sporting Gijón94051315-212WLLLL
14Córdoba93331012-212WWDDL
15Leganés925287111DWLLW
16Cultural Leonesa103251213-111WLDWL
17Málaga9324910-111WLLLL
18Albacete92431416-210DDWWD
19Granada102441115-410DDWWD
20Real Sociedad II92341416-29WLDLL
21Mirandés10235914-59LDDLD
22Real Zaragoza10136617-116LLLWL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Leganés's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
93.941.6243.78%

Leganés's home matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2

18-05-24Leganés52 - 1 (1)Sporting Gijón61.50.48W
27-04-24Leganés71 - 1 (1)Real Zaragoza61.50.85W
18-02-24Leganés83 - 0 (1)Alcorcón61.50.64W
26-11-23Leganés82 - 2 (0)Racing Ferrol61.50.65W
10-11-23Leganés42 - 1 (0)Levante51.50.54W
09-09-23Leganés52 - 0 (1)Huesca51.50.63W
06-05-23Leganés62 - 1 (1)Huesca41.50.63W
05-03-23Leganés70 - 1 (0)UD Ibiza61.5-1L
06-12-22Leganés2(A)2 - 2 (1)Mirandés21.50.52W

Málaga's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.981.46-29.8%

Málaga's away matches when WIN odds between 3.9 and 5.4

05-10-25Racing Santander73 - 0 (1)Málaga61.50.27W
28-09-25Burgos52 - 1 (1)Málaga61.50.54W
13-09-25Huesca51 - 0 (1)Málaga61.5-1L
31-08-25Las Palmas50 - 1 (0)Málaga61.5-1L
11-05-25Eldense61 - 0 (1)Málaga71.5-1L
14-04-25Huesca71 - 0 (1)Málaga71.5-1L
15-03-25Albacete42 - 0 (0)Málaga51.50.4W
20-01-25Mirandés83 - 2 (1)Málaga81.50.6W
01-12-24Castellón32 - 0 (0)Málaga31.50.21W
17-11-24Real Zaragoza70 - 0 (0)Málaga71.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Leganés's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.131.38-1.3%

Leganés's last 10 home matches

29-09-25Leganés80 - 1 (0)Castellón81.5-1L
20-09-25Leganés50 - 1 (0)Las Palmas71.5-1L
01-09-25Leganés92 - 2 (1)Deportivo La Coruña71.50.45W
22-08-25Leganés41 - 1 (0)Cádiz41.50.46W
24-05-25Leganés53 - 0 (0)Real Valladolid51.50.21W
11-05-25Leganés63 - 2 (2)Espanyol61.50.41W
24-04-25Leganés41 - 1 (1)Girona21.50.39W
12-04-25Leganés40 - 1 (0)FC Barcelona21.5-1L
07-04-25Leganés81 - 1 (1)Osasuna71.50.54W
16-03-25Leganés72 - 3 (2)Real Betis2(A)1.50.41W

Málaga's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.511.45-15.1%

Málaga's last 10 away matches.

05-10-25Racing Santander73 - 0 (1)Málaga61.50.27W
28-09-25Burgos52 - 1 (1)Málaga61.50.54W
13-09-25Huesca51 - 0 (1)Málaga61.5-1L
31-08-25Las Palmas50 - 1 (0)Málaga61.5-1L
25-05-25Elche72 - 0 (2)Málaga71.50.28W
11-05-25Eldense61 - 0 (1)Málaga71.5-1L
21-04-25SD Eibar82 - 2 (0)Málaga61.50.5W
14-04-25Huesca71 - 0 (1)Málaga71.5-1L
30-03-25Real Oviedo72 - 1 (2)Málaga71.50.5W
15-03-25Albacete42 - 0 (0)Málaga51.50.4W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Leganés's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.221.42-53.67%

Leganés's all matches - last 6

11-10-25Mirandés50 - 0 (0)Leganés61.5-1L
04-10-25FC Andorra61 - 2 (1)Leganés41.50.36W
29-09-25Leganés80 - 1 (0)Castellón81.5-1L
20-09-25Leganés50 - 1 (0)Las Palmas71.5-1L
14-09-25Granada70 - 2 (0)Leganés61.50.42W
07-09-25Cultural Leonesa80 - 0 (0)Leganés51.5-1L

Málaga's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.341.46-5.67%

Málaga's all matches - last 6

12-10-25Málaga63 - 0 (0)Deportivo La Coruña71.50.39W
05-10-25Racing Santander73 - 0 (1)Málaga61.50.27W
28-09-25Burgos52 - 1 (1)Málaga61.50.54W
21-09-25Málaga70 - 1 (0)Cádiz71.5-1L
13-09-25Huesca51 - 0 (1)Málaga61.5-1L
06-09-25Málaga52 - 2 (0)Granada51.50.46W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.661.6666%

H2H matches - last 6

27-03-23Málaga92 - 0 (1)Leganés81.50.66W
La Liga 2 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cádiz9531106418WLDWW
2Deportivo La Coruña9441179816LDDWW
3Racing Santander95132216616LWLDL
4Real Valladolid9432106415WDLLW
5Las Palmas943285315DWLWW
6Almería94321816215WDWWL
7FC Andorra104331313015DLLWD
8Ceuta104331012-215WDWDW
9Huesca9414811-313LWLLW
10Burgos93331310312LLWDW
11SD Eibar9333107312DLDWL
12Castellón93331312112DWWWD
13Sporting Gijón94051315-212WLLLL
14Córdoba93331012-212WWDDL
15Leganés925287111DWLLW
16Cultural Leonesa103251213-111WLDWL
17Málaga9324910-111WLLLL
18Albacete92431416-210DDWWD
19Granada102441115-410DDWWD
20Real Sociedad II92341416-29WLDLL
21Mirandés10235914-59LDDLD
22Real Zaragoza10136617-116LLLWL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -37%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.33 (3.03)-0.37 (1.43)0.730.46

La Liga 2 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.4 - -0.35 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
23-4.941.45-21.48%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Leganés's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.4 - -0.35 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.361.59-45.33%
20-09-25-0.39Leganés50 - 1 (0)Las Palmas71.5-1L
11-03-24-0.39Amorebieta70 - 1 (1)Leganés71.5-1L
18-02-24-0.37Leganés83 - 0 (1)Alcorcón61.50.64W

Málaga's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.4 - -0.35 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-1.001.42-100.00%
09-11-24-0.37Málaga81 - 0 (0)FC Cartagena61.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
794.561.385.77%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 126 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Leganés (ELO: 1578) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.981.512.25%
01-09-25121Leganés92 - 2Deportivo La Coruña71.50.45W
24-05-25119Leganés53 - 0Real Valladolid51.50.21W
18-02-24138Leganés83 - 0Alcorcón61.50.64W
10-12-23128Leganés2(A)1 - 1Eldense31.50.58W
26-11-23103Leganés82 - 2Racing Ferrol61.50.65W
29-10-23105Leganés81 - 0Villarreal II71.5-1L
15-10-23108Leganés76 - 0Amorebieta61.50.45W
05-03-23140Leganés70 - 1UD Ibiza61.5-1L

Málaga (ELO 1452) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.011.43-0.14%
31-08-25114Las Palmas50 - 1Málaga61.5-1L
25-05-25109Elche72 - 0Málaga71.50.28W
27-11-24116Levante44 - 2Málaga31.50.31W
12-10-24119Cádiz72 - 2Málaga51.50.43W
20-05-23106Deportivo Alavés52 - 1Málaga61.50.47W
03-11-22126FC Cartagena32 - 1Málaga31.50.5W
24-10-22102Real Oviedo81 - 0Málaga71.5-1L
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Leganés's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.481.5718.5%
16-03-25Leganés72 - 3Real Betis2(A)1.50.41W
23-02-25Real Sociedad23 - 0Leganés71.50.47W
26-01-25Athletic Club30 - 0Leganés71.5-1L
25-08-24Leganés72 - 1Las Palmas81.50.55W
26-05-24Racing Ferrol62 - 2Leganés71.50.56W
05-05-24Eldense61 - 2Leganés71.50.64W
27-04-24Leganés71 - 1Real Zaragoza61.50.85W
07-04-24Huesca70 - 0Leganés71.5-1L

Málaga's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.761.46-9.5%
12-10-25Málaga63 - 0Deportivo La Coruña71.50.39W
05-10-25Racing Santander73 - 0Málaga61.50.27W
28-09-25Burgos52 - 1Málaga61.50.54W
13-09-25Huesca51 - 0Málaga61.5-1L
31-08-25Las Palmas50 - 1Málaga61.5-1L
16-08-25Málaga61 - 1SD Eibar61.50.54W
21-04-25SD Eibar82 - 2Málaga61.50.5W
06-04-25Málaga60 - 1Córdoba61.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Leganés's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
72.311.5333%
20-10-23Espanyol50 - 1Leganés41.5-1L
15-10-23Leganés76 - 0Amorebieta61.50.45W
23-10-22Leganés62 - 1Tenerife61.50.69W
16-10-22Levante2(A)2 - 1Leganés31.50.41W
23-10-21Leganés2(A)1 - 2Tenerife31.50.61W
20-10-21Alcorcón33 - 3Leganés21.50.61W
17-10-21Leganés60 - 2Real Valladolid81.50.54W

Málaga's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-3.921.54-56%
24-10-24Tenerife40 - 0Málaga41.5-1L
19-10-24Málaga60 - 0Real Oviedo51.5-1L
24-10-22Real Oviedo81 - 0Málaga71.5-1L
16-10-22Málaga33 - 2Lugo31.50.47W
23-10-21Málaga31 - 0Lugo21.5-1L
19-10-21Huesca2(A)0 - 0Málaga21.5-1L
16-10-21Málaga71 - 1Real Zaragoza41.50.61W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

La Liga 2 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.262.532.491.97

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga 21022.53
2024/2025La Liga 24672.54
2023/2024La Liga 24682.23
2022/2023La Liga 24672.01
2021/2022La Liga 24682.42

La Liga 2 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
64.69%1.5562.75%1.5962%1.6150%2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga 210262.75% 1.59
2024/2025La Liga 246768.52% 1.46
2023/2024La Liga 246866.88% 1.5
2022/2023La Liga 246758.67% 1.7
2021/2022La Liga 246871.79% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

La Liga 2 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
0.961.040.91.01

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga 21021.04
2024/2025La Liga 24671.07
2023/2024La Liga 24680.94
2022/2023La Liga 24670.86
2021/2022La Liga 24681.06

La Liga 2 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.31.491.071.48

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026La Liga 21021.49
2024/2025La Liga 24671.47
2023/2024La Liga 24681.29
2022/2023La Liga 24671.15
2021/2022La Liga 24681.36
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
160.171.371.06%

Last 2 seasons - 15 vs 17 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.691.31-34.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Leganés matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.151.565%
30-03-241Leganés60 - 016FC Cartagena61.5-1L
17-03-241Leganés54 - 016Mirandés71.50.57W
10-12-231Leganés2(A)1 - 116Eldense31.50.58W

Málaga matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.921.4646%
21-04-2514SD Eibar82 - 217Málaga61.50.5W
20-09-2416Granada42 - 27Málaga51.50.42W
ajax-loader