Fenerbahçe vs Fatih Karagümrük - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

TURKEY - Super Lig

Fenerbahçe Logo

2025-10-19
18:00:00
Fatih Karagümrük Logo
Fenerbahçe13
Fatih Karagümrük13

Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi (İstanbul)
1.238.3814.27
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.12
Super Lig Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Galatasaray98102241825WDWWW
2Trabzonspor9621157820WWWDL
3Göztepe8440112916WDWDD
4Fenerbahçe8440125716DWDDW
5Gaziantep F.K.84221212014WDDWW
6Beşiktaş84131311213LDWWL
7Samsunspor8341108213DDWDL
8Konyaspor83231512311LDWLL
9Alanyaspor8242109110DLDDW
10Antalyaspor8314913-410LLDWL
11Kasımpaşa823389-19DWDDW
12Rizespor82241013-38LWLDW
13Gençlerbirliği9225913-48WDDWL
14Kocaelispor9225814-68WWLDL
15İstanbul Başakşehir813479-26LLLDW
16Eyüpspor8125411-75LDLLD
17Kayserispor8053517-125LDLDD
18Fatih Karagümrük8107718-113LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Fenerbahçe's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.591.1615.9%

Fenerbahçe's home matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.3

28-09-25Fenerbahçe32 - 0 (1)Antalyaspor71.50.2W
17-09-25Fenerbahçe22 - 2 (2)Alanyaspor31.50.19W
23-08-25Fenerbahçe23 - 1 (0)Kocaelispor61.50.17W
31-05-25Fenerbahçe42 - 1 (1)Konyaspor51.50.13W
02-03-25Fenerbahçe2(A)3 - 0 (0)Antalyaspor41.50.14W
02-12-24Fenerbahçe33 - 1 (2)Gaziantep F.K.81.50.13W
10-11-24Fenerbahçe2(A)4 - 0 (2)Sivasspor71.50.12W
27-10-24Fenerbahçe22 - 0 (0)Bodrumspor51.50.25W
03-04-24Fenerbahçe164 - 2 (2)Adana Demirspor61.50.14W
10-03-24Fenerbahçe2(A)4 - 1 (3)Pendikspor61.50.12W

Fatih Karagümrük's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.151.1515%

Fatih Karagümrük's away matches when WIN odds between 12.8 and 15.8

26-11-23Fenerbahçe132 - 1 (0)Fatih Karagümrük61.50.15W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Fenerbahçe's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.91.17-19%

Fenerbahçe's last 10 home matches

28-09-25Fenerbahçe32 - 0 (1)Antalyaspor71.50.2W
17-09-25Fenerbahçe22 - 2 (2)Alanyaspor31.50.19W
14-09-25Fenerbahçe131 - 0 (0)Trabzonspor131.5-1L
23-08-25Fenerbahçe23 - 1 (0)Kocaelispor61.50.17W
31-05-25Fenerbahçe42 - 1 (1)Konyaspor51.50.13W
18-05-25Fenerbahçe82 - 1 (2)Eyüpspor71.50.11W
04-05-25Fenerbahçe70 - 1 (0)Beşiktaş81.5-1L
20-04-25Fenerbahçe63 - 3 (2)Kayserispor61.50.11W
06-04-25Fenerbahçe34 - 1 (1)Trabzonspor31.50.19W
16-03-25Fenerbahçe2(A)0 - 0 (0)Samsunspor61.5-1L

Fatih Karagümrük's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.281.314.22%

Fatih Karagümrük's last 10 away matches.

21-09-25Samsunspor33 - 2 (2)Fatih Karagümrük31.50.31W
30-08-25Antalyaspor51 - 2 (1)Fatih Karagümrük71.50.34W
15-08-25Galatasaray63 - 0 (1)Fatih Karagümrük241.50.14W
04-05-25Pendikspor62 - 0 (0)Fatih Karagümrük61.50.25W
19-04-25Boluspor51 - 0 (0)Fatih Karagümrük51.5-1L
09-04-25Erokspor32 - 1 (0)Fatih Karagümrük31.50.29W
29-03-25Yeni Malatyaspor130 - 2 (1)Fatih Karagümrük121.5W
09-03-25Adanaspor31 - 2 (1)Fatih Karagümrük31.50.33W
02-03-25Sakaryaspor61 - 3 (1)Fatih Karagümrük31.50.34W
22-02-25İstanbulspor42 - 0 (1)Fatih Karagümrük41.50.28W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Fenerbahçe's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.191.21-19.83%

Fenerbahçe's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Samsunspor2(A)0 - 0 (0)Fenerbahçe21.5-1L
28-09-25Fenerbahçe32 - 0 (1)Antalyaspor71.50.2W
21-09-25Kasımpaşa31 - 1 (0)Fenerbahçe31.50.19W
17-09-25Fenerbahçe22 - 2 (2)Alanyaspor31.50.19W
14-09-25Fenerbahçe131 - 0 (0)Trabzonspor131.5-1L
31-08-25Gençlerbirliği71 - 3 (0)Fenerbahçe31.50.23W

Fatih Karagümrük's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.571.339.5%

Fatih Karagümrük's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Fatih Karagümrük70 - 2 (0)Gaziantep F.K.71.50.28W
27-09-25Fatih Karagümrük53 - 4 (3)Trabzonspor61.50.33W
21-09-25Samsunspor33 - 2 (2)Fatih Karagümrük31.50.31W
17-09-25Fatih Karagümrük30 - 2 (0)İstanbul Başakşehir31.50.31W
13-09-25Fatih Karagümrük130 - 1 (0)Kasımpaşa131.5-1L
30-08-25Antalyaspor51 - 2 (1)Fatih Karagümrük71.50.34W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.531.1817.67%

H2H matches - last 6

14-04-24Fatih Karagümrük101 - 2 (0)Fenerbahçe2(A)1.50.23W
26-11-23Fenerbahçe132 - 1 (0)Fatih Karagümrük61.50.15W
10-04-23Fatih Karagümrük61 - 2 (1)Fenerbahçe31.50.15W
Super Lig Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Galatasaray98102241825WDWWW
2Trabzonspor9621157820WWWDL
3Göztepe8440112916WDWDD
4Fenerbahçe8440125716DWDDW
5Gaziantep F.K.84221212014WDDWW
6Beşiktaş84131311213LDWWL
7Samsunspor8341108213DDWDL
8Konyaspor83231512311LDWLL
9Alanyaspor8242109110DLDDW
10Antalyaspor8314913-410LLDWL
11Kasımpaşa823389-19DWDDW
12Rizespor82241013-38LWLDW
13Gençlerbirliği9225913-48WDDWL
14Kocaelispor9225814-68WWLDL
15İstanbul Başakşehir813479-26LLLDW
16Eyüpspor8125411-75LDLLD
17Kayserispor8053517-125LDLDD
18Fatih Karagümrük8107718-113LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -7%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.82 (1.22)-0.07 (1.12)2.500.64

Super Lig Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.1 - -0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
94-12.451.25-13.24%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Fenerbahçe's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.1 - -0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
110.721.176.55%
19-01-25-0.08Adana Demirspor60 - 4 (1)Fenerbahçe51.50.12W
23-11-24-0.05Kayserispor142 - 6 (2)Fenerbahçe71.50.21W
03-11-24-0.09Trabzonspor72 - 3 (1)Fenerbahçe61.50.24W
30-08-24-0.06Fenerbahçe43 - 0 (0)Alanyaspor61.50.17W
25-08-24-0.06Rizespor70 - 5 (0)Fenerbahçe71.50.22W
19-05-24-0.05Galatasaray60 - 1 (0)Fenerbahçe61.5-1L
02-03-24-0.07Hatayspor60 - 2 (0)Fenerbahçe31.50.2W
24-02-24-0.06Fenerbahçe62 - 1 (1)Kasımpaşa71.50.09W
07-01-24-0.07İstanbulspor141 - 5 (0)Fenerbahçe131.50.12W
20-12-23-0.07Kayserispor93 - 4 (1)Fenerbahçe51.50.2W
26-11-23-0.07Fenerbahçe132 - 1 (0)Fatih Karagümrük61.50.15W

Fatih Karagümrük's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.1 - -0.05 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.191.2423.80%
15-08-25-0.06Galatasaray63 - 0 (1)Fatih Karagümrük241.50.14W
10-01-24-0.09Fatih Karagümrük34 - 1 (0)Kayserispor21.50.3W
01-12-23-0.06Fatih Karagümrük43 - 0 (0)İstanbulspor51.50.25W
26-11-23-0.07Fenerbahçe132 - 1 (0)Fatih Karagümrük61.50.15W
05-11-23-0.05Konyaspor21 - 1 (1)Fatih Karagümrük61.50.35W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
90.041.130.44%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 377 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Fenerbahçe (ELO: 1666) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.731.1514.6%
05-01-25398Fenerbahçe152 - 1Hatayspor121.50.11W
27-10-24359Fenerbahçe22 - 0Bodrumspor51.50.25W
10-03-24370Fenerbahçe2(A)4 - 1Pendikspor61.50.12W
22-10-23365Fenerbahçe134 - 2Hatayspor131.50.12W
13-08-23360Fenerbahçe22 - 1Gaziantep F.K.101.50.13W

Fatih Karagümrük (ELO 1289) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.141.1414%
15-08-25379Galatasaray63 - 0Fatih Karagümrük241.50.14W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Fenerbahçe's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.421.16-8.4%
14-09-25Fenerbahçe131 - 0Trabzonspor131.5-1L
07-01-24İstanbulspor141 - 5Fenerbahçe131.50.12W
26-11-23Fenerbahçe132 - 1Fatih Karagümrük61.50.15W
22-10-23Fenerbahçe134 - 2Hatayspor131.50.12W
17-09-23Fenerbahçe133 - 2Antalyaspor141.50.19W

Fatih Karagümrük's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-31.39-100%
13-09-25Fatih Karagümrük130 - 1Kasımpaşa131.5-1L
19-10-24Bandırmaspor131 - 0Fatih Karagümrük131.5-1L
06-01-24Samsunspor111 - 0Fatih Karagümrük131.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Fenerbahçe's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.21.253.33%
20-10-24Samsunspor132 - 2Fenerbahçe161.50.31W
22-10-23Fenerbahçe134 - 2Hatayspor131.50.12W
22-10-22Fenerbahçe41 - 0İstanbul Başakşehir51.5-1L
17-10-22Ankaragücü80 - 3Fenerbahçe31.50.23W
24-10-21Fenerbahçe21 - 2Alanyaspor51.50.25W
17-10-21Trabzonspor143 - 1Fenerbahçe131.50.29W

Fatih Karagümrük's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.061.24-1.2%
23-10-23Fatih Karagümrük162 - 0Adana Demirspor161.50.19W
22-10-22Ümraniyespor121 - 3Fatih Karagümrük61.50.29W
15-10-22Fatih Karagümrük53 - 0Hatayspor51.50.26W
24-10-21Fatih Karagümrük61 - 1Hatayspor51.50.2W
17-10-21Altay130 - 1Fatih Karagümrük61.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Super Lig Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.922.532.742.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super Lig742.53
2024/2025Super Lig3412.94
2023/2024Super Lig3792.79
2022/2023Super Lig3153.04
2021/2022Super Lig3802.81

Super Lig Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
77.79%1.2975.68%1.3280%1.2580%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super Lig7475.68% 1.32
2024/2025Super Lig34176.54% 1.31
2023/2024Super Lig37978.1% 1.28
2022/2023Super Lig31578.73% 1.27
2021/2022Super Lig38079.21% 1.26
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Super Lig First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.31.071.271.15

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super Lig741.07
2024/2025Super Lig3411.32
2023/2024Super Lig3791.21
2022/2023Super Lig3151.37
2021/2022Super Lig3801.29

Super Lig Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.631.461.571.59

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super Lig741.46
2024/2025Super Lig3411.62
2023/2024Super Lig3791.59
2022/2023Super Lig3151.68
2021/2022Super Lig3801.52
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
202.411.2512.05%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 18 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.281.2828%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Fenerbahçe matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.491.1212.25%
05-01-252Fenerbahçe152 - 118Hatayspor121.50.11W
11-02-242Fenerbahçe32 - 216Alanyaspor61.50.11W
21-01-241Fenerbahçe31 - 117Samsunspor31.50.13W
10-01-241Fenerbahçe2(A)7 - 117Konyaspor2(A)1.50.14W

Fatih Karagümrük matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.841.2121%
15-08-253Galatasaray63 - 012Fatih Karagümrük241.50.14W
09-03-243Trabzonspor45 - 116Fatih Karagümrük41.50.26W
16-02-245Kasımpaşa61 - 116Fatih Karagümrük51.50.2W
13-01-244Beşiktaş33 - 016Fatih Karagümrük21.50.24W
ajax-loader