Ulm vs Energie Cottbus - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - 3. Liga

Ulm Logo

2025-10-19
12:30:00
Energie Cottbus Logo
Ulm14
Energie Cottbus14

Donaustadion (Ulm)
2.533.962.84
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.18
3. Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1MSV Duisburg107302291324DDWDW
2Energie Cottbus1062224141020WWWLW
3OsnabrĂĽck10541156919WWDWD
4SaarbrĂĽcken105411912719DDDWW
5Viktoria Köln105231610617WDDLW
6Wehen Wiesbaden104421411316WDDDW
7Waldhof Mannheim115152018216WLWWL
8Rot-Weiss Essen104422119216DWLWD
9Verl104421917216WDLWW
10Stuttgart II104331215-315WDLWW
11Hoffenheim II104242017314LLDWL
12Ulm104151718-113LWDWL
131860 MĂĽnchen103341417-312LDLLL
14Ingolstadt102531915411WDLDW
15Hansa Rostock10253812-411DLDLW
16Erzgebirge Aue113261018-811LDWWL
17Alemannia Aachen103161720-310LLWWL
18Jahn Regensburg10226916-78DLWLL
19Havelse100461123-124LLDDL
20Schweinfurt10109727-203LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Ulm's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.461.28-36.5%

Ulm's home matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

31-08-25Ulm71 - 2 (0)Waldhof Mannheim61.50.28W
03-05-25Ulm71 - 2 (0)Hannover 9651.50.26W
24-02-24Ulm60 - 0 (0)Ingolstadt71.5-1L
03-10-23Ulm2(A)1 - 0 (0)1860 MĂĽnchen21.5-1L

Energie Cottbus's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.411.21-28.2%

Energie Cottbus's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

23-08-25Hoffenheim II134 - 1 (0)Energie Cottbus61.50.19W
05-04-251860 MĂĽnchen65 - 1 (1)Energie Cottbus61.50.25W
31-01-25Alemannia Aachen50 - 0 (0)Energie Cottbus51.5-1L
02-11-24Rot-Weiss Essen64 - 0 (1)Energie Cottbus51.50.15W
11-06-23Unterhaching32 - 0 (1)Energie Cottbus31.5W
28-05-23Chemie Leipzig60 - 0 (0)Energie Cottbus61.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Ulm's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.011.29-10.1%

Ulm's last 10 home matches

01-10-25Ulm2(A)5 - 1 (2)Schweinfurt31.50.35W
21-09-25Ulm42 - 1 (0)Jahn Regensburg41.50.25W
31-08-25Ulm71 - 2 (0)Waldhof Mannheim61.50.28W
09-08-25Ulm51 - 0 (0)Erzgebirge Aue51.5-1L
18-05-25Ulm72 - 2 (1)PreuĂźen MĂĽnster81.50.26W
03-05-25Ulm71 - 2 (0)Hannover 9651.50.26W
20-04-25Ulm72 - 3 (1)Hertha BSC71.50.3W
12-04-25Ulm51 - 0 (0)Magdeburg51.5-1L
28-03-25Ulm72 - 1 (0)Darmstadt 98121.50.29W
08-03-25Ulm60 - 1 (1)FC Köln61.5-1L

Energie Cottbus's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.061.2210.6%

Energie Cottbus's last 10 away matches.

30-09-25Hansa Rostock21 - 3 (1)Energie Cottbus31.50.33W
21-09-25Verl42 - 1 (2)Energie Cottbus31.50.18W
14-09-25Waldhof Mannheim130 - 3 (0)Energie Cottbus141.50.23W
23-08-25Hoffenheim II134 - 1 (0)Energie Cottbus61.50.19W
08-08-25Schweinfurt40 - 2 (2)Energie Cottbus51.50.23W
10-05-25Hansa Rostock2(A)1 - 3 (0)Energie Cottbus51.50.23W
26-04-25Unterhaching61 - 1 (1)Energie Cottbus61.50.21W
13-04-25Borussia Dortmund II34 - 1 (1)Energie Cottbus31.50.21W
05-04-251860 MĂĽnchen65 - 1 (1)Energie Cottbus61.50.25W
16-03-25Sandhausen30 - 1 (0)Energie Cottbus41.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Ulm's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.531.2625.5%

Ulm's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Ingolstadt2(A)4 - 1 (2)Ulm21.50.2W
01-10-25Ulm2(A)5 - 1 (2)Schweinfurt31.50.35W
28-09-25Hoffenheim II71 - 1 (0)Ulm61.50.21W
21-09-25Ulm42 - 1 (0)Jahn Regensburg41.50.25W
16-09-25SaarbrĂĽcken2(A)3 - 1 (1)Ulm2(A)1.50.21W
13-09-25Alemannia Aachen121 - 3 (0)Ulm121.50.31W

Energie Cottbus's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.331.2222.17%

Energie Cottbus's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Energie Cottbus33 - 2 (0)Alemannia Aachen31.50.2W
30-09-25Hansa Rostock21 - 3 (1)Energie Cottbus31.50.33W
26-09-25Energie Cottbus45 - 0 (1)Stuttgart II51.50.22W
21-09-25Verl42 - 1 (2)Energie Cottbus31.50.18W
17-09-25Energie Cottbus2(A)2 - 1 (0)Erzgebirge Aue31.50.17W
14-09-25Waldhof Mannheim130 - 3 (0)Energie Cottbus141.50.23W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0000%

H2H matches - last 6

3. Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1MSV Duisburg107302291324DDWDW
2Energie Cottbus1062224141020WWWLW
3OsnabrĂĽck10541156919WWDWD
4SaarbrĂĽcken105411912719DDDWW
5Viktoria Köln105231610617WDDLW
6Wehen Wiesbaden104421411316WDDDW
7Waldhof Mannheim115152018216WLWWL
8Rot-Weiss Essen104422119216DWLWD
9Verl104421917216WDLWW
10Stuttgart II104331215-315WDLWW
11Hoffenheim II104242017314LLDWL
12Ulm104151718-113LWDWL
131860 MĂĽnchen103341417-312LDLLL
14Ingolstadt102531915411WDLDW
15Hansa Rostock10253812-411DLDLW
16Erzgebirge Aue113261018-811LDWWL
17Alemannia Aachen103161720-310LLWWL
18Jahn Regensburg10226916-78DLWLL
19Havelse100461123-124LLDDL
20Schweinfurt10109727-203LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 9%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.94 (1.06)0.09 (1.18)1.233.28

3. Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
993.501.223.54%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Ulm's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.441.2424.00%
04-10-250.09Ingolstadt2(A)4 - 1 (2)Ulm21.50.2W
28-09-250.10Hoffenheim II71 - 1 (0)Ulm61.50.21W
17-02-240.10Rot-Weiss Essen60 - 2 (1)Ulm61.50.25W
16-12-230.11Verl50 - 3 (0)Ulm61.50.23W
09-12-230.09Ulm61 - 1 (0)Borussia Dortmund II51.50.28W
12-11-230.08Jahn Regensburg72 - 0 (1)Ulm61.50.27W

Energie Cottbus's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
90.521.195.78%
04-10-250.10Energie Cottbus33 - 2 (0)Alemannia Aachen31.50.2W
21-09-250.09Verl42 - 1 (2)Energie Cottbus31.50.18W
30-08-250.10Energie Cottbus61 - 1 (0)Ingolstadt51.50.19W
23-08-250.10Hoffenheim II134 - 1 (0)Energie Cottbus61.50.19W
22-11-240.11Viktoria Köln120 - 1 (0)Energie Cottbus121.5-1L
09-11-240.11Energie Cottbus63 - 3 (2)Borussia Dortmund II51.50.17W
02-11-240.10Rot-Weiss Essen64 - 0 (1)Energie Cottbus51.50.15W
24-09-240.10OsnabrĂĽck2(A)2 - 5 (2)Energie Cottbus21.50.23W
21-09-240.10Energie Cottbus54 - 0 (0)Stuttgart II61.50.21W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00028.5%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Ulm (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.571.2928.5%
27-09-24-3Ulm43 - 1Eintracht Braunschweig51.50.29W
14-09-24-23Ulm81 - 2NĂĽrnberg81.50.28W

Energie Cottbus (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00028.5%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Ulm's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.731.29-57.67%
03-08-25Wehen Wiesbaden133 - 1Ulm141.50.27W
20-10-24Ulm140 - 1Karlsruher SC151.5-1L
05-03-23Wormatia Worms70 - 0Ulm141.5-1L

Energie Cottbus's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.711.2423.67%
14-09-25Waldhof Mannheim130 - 3Energie Cottbus141.50.23W
21-10-23Energie Cottbus140 - 2Carl Zeiss Jena131.50.25W
30-07-23Viktoria Berlin72 - 1Energie Cottbus141.50.23W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Ulm's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.581.2929%
22-10-23Erzgebirge Aue71 - 2Ulm61.50.28W
15-10-23Ulm82 - 3Dynamo Dresden71.50.3W

Energie Cottbus's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.41.220%
22-10-24Erzgebirge Aue31 - 3Energie Cottbus21.50.23W
19-10-24Energie Cottbus121 - 1Sandhausen131.50.17W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

3. Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.883.103.153.07

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20263. Liga1073.10
2024/20253. Liga3802.90
2023/20243. Liga3802.81
2022/20233. Liga3792.92
2021/20223. Liga3582.81

3. Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
78.84%1.2783.18%1.284%1.1976.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20263. Liga10783.18% 1.2
2024/20253. Liga38079.47% 1.26
2023/20243. Liga38078.16% 1.28
2022/20233. Liga37978.89% 1.27
2021/20223. Liga35875.14% 1.33
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

3. Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.291.281.371.3

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20263. Liga1071.28
2024/20253. Liga3801.33
2023/20243. Liga3801.26
2022/20233. Liga3791.28
2021/20223. Liga3581.26

3. Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.581.821.71.85

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/20263. Liga1071.82
2024/20253. Liga3801.57
2023/20243. Liga3801.54
2022/20233. Liga3791.64
2021/20223. Liga3581.55
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
15-2.441.25-16.27%

Last 2 seasons - 14 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.21-100%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Ulm matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.741.32-37%
21-04-241Ulm71 - 02Jahn Regensburg61.5-1L
13-04-242Ulm52 - 03PreuĂźen MĂĽnster61.50.26W

Energie Cottbus matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.461.25-15.33%
30-09-2515Hansa Rostock21 - 33Energie Cottbus31.50.33W
13-04-2515Borussia Dortmund II34 - 14Energie Cottbus31.50.21W
07-12-2414Waldhof Mannheim60 - 11Energie Cottbus61.5-1L
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