Aris vs Panathinaikos - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GREECE - Super League

2025-10-19
17:30:00

Aris¹⁴

Panathinaikos¹³

Kleanthis Vikelides (Thessaloníki)

3.483.182.51

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.4

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1AEK Athens651093616WWDWW

2PAOK642095414WDDWW

3Olympiacos F.C.6411145913LWDWW

4Levadiakos6312167910WLWLD

5Aris631267-110LDWWL

6Volos NFC63039909WLWWL

7Panathinaikos52217618WWDLD

8Kifisia6213111107LWLWD

9OFI520369-36WLLLW

10Atromitos612356-15LDDLL

11Panserraikos6123411-75WDDLL

12Larissa6042711-44LDDDD

13Panaitolikos6114412-84LLDLW

14Asteras Tripolis6024712-52LDLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Aris's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

31.561.5252%

Aris's home matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

26-04-23

Aris^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Olympiacos F.C.²1.50.37W

19-03-23

Aris⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾PAOK⁶1.50.49W

12-02-23

Aris⁷1 - 2⁽¹⁾Panathinaikos⁶1.50.7W

Panathinaikos's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.43-100%

Panathinaikos's away matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

08-05-23

Olympiacos F.C.³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos³1.5-1L

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Aris's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.691.35-6.9%

Aris's last 10 home matches

27-09-25

Aris³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Panserraikos⁶1.50.26W

30-08-25

Aris⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Panaitolikos⁶1.50.33W

23-08-25

Aris²²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Volos NFC³1.50.37W

10-05-25

Aris⁶4 - 2⁽²⁾Asteras Tripolis⁶1.50.3W

13-04-25

Aris⁷1 - 0⁽¹⁾Atromitos⁵1.5-1L

05-04-25

Aris⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾OFI²1.50.23W

09-03-25

Aris⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾AEK Athens⁶1.5-1L

23-02-25

Aris⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Panaitolikos⁶1.50.4W

09-02-25

Aris⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos³1.50.42W

19-01-25

Aris⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾PAOK⁶1.5-1L

Panathinaikos's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

103.571.3635.7%

Panathinaikos's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25

Panaitolikos³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Panathinaikos^2(A)1.50.39W

14-09-25

Kifisia¹⁴3 - 2⁽²⁾Panathinaikos¹³1.50.3W

04-05-25

AEK Athens⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos⁶1.50.33W

27-04-25

PAOK¹³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos¹³1.50.33W

30-03-25

Olympiacos F.C.¹⁶4 - 2⁽³⁾Panathinaikos¹⁶1.50.39W

09-03-25

Atromitos⁶1 - 1⁽²⁾Panathinaikos²1.50.43W

23-02-25

Lamia⁶3 - 1⁽²⁾Panathinaikos²1.50.28W

09-02-25

Aris⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos³1.50.42W

26-01-25

Olympiacos F.C.^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos⁶1.50.44W

12-01-25

Panserraikos⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Panathinaikos³1.50.26W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Aris's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.741.3612.33%

Aris's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

OFI⁵3 - 0⁽¹⁾Aris⁶1.50.33W

27-09-25

Aris³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Panserraikos⁶1.50.26W

20-09-25

Kifisia²0 - 1⁽¹⁾Aris^2(A)1.5-1L

13-09-25

Atromitos¹²1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Aris¹³1.50.45W

30-08-25

Aris⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Panaitolikos⁶1.50.33W

23-08-25

Aris²²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Volos NFC³1.50.37W

Panathinaikos's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.651.31-10.83%

Panathinaikos's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Panathinaikos²1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Atromitos⁵1.5-1L

28-09-25

Panaitolikos³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Panathinaikos^2(A)1.50.39W

21-09-25

Panathinaikos³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Olympiacos F.C.³1.50.39W

14-09-25

Kifisia¹⁴3 - 2⁽²⁾Panathinaikos¹³1.50.3W

31-08-25

Panathinaikos^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Levadiakos⁵1.50.27W

11-05-25

Panathinaikos⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Olympiacos F.C.⁶1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.761.3312.67%

H2H matches - last 6

09-02-25

Aris⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos³1.50.42W

27-10-24

Panathinaikos²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Aris⁶1.50.33W

28-04-24

Panathinaikos³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Aris³1.5-1L

07-04-24

Aris³0 - 2⁽¹⁾Panathinaikos³1.50.31W

28-02-24

Panathinaikos²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aris²1.50.32W

26-11-23

Aris¹⁴2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Panathinaikos¹³1.50.38W

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1AEK Athens651093616WWDWW

2PAOK642095414WDDWW

3Olympiacos F.C.6411145913LWDWW

4Levadiakos6312167910WLWLD

5Aris631267-110LDWWL

6Volos NFC63039909WLWWL

7Panathinaikos52217618WWDLD

8Kifisia6213111107LWLWD

9OFI520369-36WLLLW

10Atromitos612356-15LDDLL

11Panserraikos6123411-75WDDLL

12Larissa6042711-44LDDDD

13Panaitolikos6114412-84LLDLW

14Asteras Tripolis6024712-52LDLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -14%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.57 (1.75)-0.14 (1.4)0.751.16

Super League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

36-6.021.30-16.72%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Aris's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.251.31-3.13%

13-09-25

^-0.14Atromitos¹²1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Aris¹³1.50.45W

30-08-25

^-0.15Aris⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Panaitolikos⁶1.50.33W

13-04-25

^-0.14Aris⁷1 - 0⁽¹⁾Atromitos⁵1.5-1L

30-11-24

^-0.14AEK Athens⁵4 - 0⁽¹⁾Aris⁶1.50.27W

23-11-24

^-0.14Aris¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Volos NFC¹²1.5-1L

20-10-24

^-0.13Aris¹⁴2 - 0⁽¹⁾Kallithea¹³1.50.21W

05-10-24

^-0.13Aris⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lamia⁴1.50.23W

05-11-23

^-0.16Aris⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Atromitos⁷1.50.26W

Panathinaikos's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-3.621.24-60.33%

19-01-25

^-0.13Panathinaikos³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾AEK Athens⁶1.5-1L

22-12-24

^-0.15Panathinaikos²1 - 0⁽¹⁾Kallithea⁵1.5-1L

10-11-24

^-0.15Panathinaikos^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lamia⁶1.5-1L

22-09-24

^-0.13Panathinaikos⁶3 - 1⁽²⁾Panserraikos⁶1.50.19W

18-08-24

^-0.13Panathinaikos^2(A)0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Asteras Tripolis⁶1.5-1L

03-01-24

^-0.14Panathinaikos¹³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾PAS Giannina¹²1.50.19W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

201.991.379.95%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -125 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Aris (ELO: 1409) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.181.372.25%

09-03-25

^-148Aris⁷0 - 0AEK Athens⁶1.5-1L

09-02-25

^-133Aris⁶2 - 0Panathinaikos³1.50.42W

19-01-25

^-142Aris⁷0 - 0PAOK⁶1.5-1L

07-04-24

^-117Aris³0 - 2Panathinaikos³1.50.31W

21-01-24

^-113Aris³1 - 2Olympiacos F.C.³1.50.38W

08-05-23

^-127Aris³1 - 2AEK Athens³1.50.21W

26-04-23

^-144Aris^2(A)2 - 1Olympiacos F.C.²1.50.37W

19-03-23

^-107Aris⁶1 - 2PAOK⁶1.50.49W

Panathinaikos (ELO 1534) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.731.3736.5%

09-02-25

^-133Aris⁶2 - 0Panathinaikos³1.50.42W

07-04-24

^-117Aris³0 - 2Panathinaikos³1.50.31W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Aris's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.921.3130.67%

20-10-24

Aris¹⁴2 - 0Kallithea¹³1.50.21W

15-09-24

OFI¹³3 - 2Aris¹⁴1.50.33W

26-11-23

Aris¹⁴2 - 0Panathinaikos¹³1.50.38W

Panathinaikos's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.081.31-1%

14-09-25

Kifisia¹⁴3 - 2Panathinaikos¹³1.50.3W

27-04-25

PAOK¹³2 - 1Panathinaikos¹³1.50.33W

05-01-25

Panathinaikos¹³2 - 1PAOK¹³1.50.33W

24-11-24

Panaitolikos¹⁴1 - 2Panathinaikos¹³1.50.39W

20-10-24

OFI¹³0 - 1Panathinaikos¹³1.5-1L

15-09-24

PAOK¹³0 - 0Panathinaikos¹³1.5-1L

03-01-24

Panathinaikos¹³2 - 0PAS Giannina¹²1.50.19W

26-11-23

Aris¹⁴2 - 0Panathinaikos¹³1.50.38W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Aris's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.081.42-34.67%

20-10-24

Aris¹⁴2 - 0Kallithea¹³1.50.21W

21-10-23

Aris1 - 0Panserraikos1.5-1L

23-10-22

Panathinaikos⁶1 - 0Aris⁷1.5-1L

15-10-22

Aris⁵2 - 1Ionikos⁶1.50.28W

24-10-21

Aris⁵5 - 1Panaitolikos⁶1.50.43W

18-10-21

Lamia¹⁴0 - 1Aris¹⁵1.5-1L

Panathinaikos's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.451.46-24.17%

20-10-24

OFI¹³0 - 1Panathinaikos¹³1.5-1L

22-10-23

Olympiacos F.C.¹⁶0 - 0Panathinaikos¹³1.5-1L

23-10-22

Panathinaikos⁶1 - 0Aris⁷1.5-1L

16-10-22

Lamia⁷0 - 2Panathinaikos⁶1.50.61W

23-10-21

Asteras Tripolis⁶2 - 1Panathinaikos⁶1.50.61W

16-10-21

Panathinaikos¹²4 - 1Ionikos¹²1.50.33W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Super League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.582.862.743.27

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Super League442.86

2024/2025

Super League2362.45

2023/2024

Super League2382.95

2022/2023

Super League2402.35

2021/2022

Super League2402.38

Super League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

75.07%1.3379.55%1.2677%1.383.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Super League4479.55% 1.26

2024/2025

Super League23670.76% 1.41

2023/2024

Super League23883.61% 1.2

2022/2023

Super League24070.83% 1.41

2021/2022

Super League24067.08% 1.49

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Super League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.161.161.31.24

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Super League441.16

2024/2025

Super League2361.09

2023/2024

Super League2381.33

2022/2023

Super League2401.06

2021/2022

Super League2401.10

Super League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.431.701.971.5

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Super League441.70

2024/2025

Super League2361.36

2023/2024

Super League2381.63

2022/2023

Super League2401.29

2021/2022

Super League2401.27

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

241.791.37.46%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 7 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

31.051.3535%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Aris matches against table positions: 6,7,8

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

71.061.3415.14%

23-02-25

⁵Aris⁶2 - 1⁸Panaitolikos⁶1.50.4W

05-01-25

⁵Aris¹²0 - 2⁷OFI¹²1.50.32W

07-12-24

⁵Aris³2 - 1⁷Atromitos²1.50.43W

31-08-24

⁴Aris⁶1 - 1⁷Asteras Tripolis⁵1.50.37W

31-03-24

⁵Aris²⁰3 - 1⁶Lamia⁷1.50.24W

20-12-23

⁵Aris²2 - 2⁷Lamia²1.50.3W

17-12-23

⁵Aris¹²1 - 0⁸OFI¹⁰1.5-1L

Panathinaikos matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.31.3216.25%

04-05-25

⁴AEK Athens⁶1 - 2²Panathinaikos⁶1.50.33W

27-04-25

⁴PAOK¹³2 - 1²Panathinaikos¹³1.50.33W

09-02-25

⁶Aris⁶2 - 0³Panathinaikos³1.50.42W

24-11-24

⁶Panaitolikos¹⁴1 - 2⁵Panathinaikos¹³1.50.39W

20-10-24

⁶OFI¹³0 - 1⁸Panathinaikos¹³1.5-1L

21-04-24

⁶Lamia⁶0 - 5²Panathinaikos⁶1.50.14W

07-04-24

⁵Aris³0 - 2⁴Panathinaikos³1.50.31W

26-11-23

⁵Aris¹⁴2 - 0¹Panathinaikos¹³1.50.38W

YOUR TEXT

Aris vs Panathinaikos - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GREECE - Super League

Aris's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Aris's home matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

Panathinaikos's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Panathinaikos's away matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

Aris's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Aris's last 10 home matches

Panathinaikos's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Panathinaikos's last 10 away matches.

Aris's all matches (last 6 matches)

Aris's all matches - last 6

Panathinaikos's all matches (last 6 matches)

Panathinaikos's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Super League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

Aris's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

Panathinaikos's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Aris (ELO: 1409) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Panathinaikos (ELO 1534) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Aris's all matches (last 8 matches)

Panathinaikos's all matches (last 8 matches)

Aris's all matches (last 8 matches)

Panathinaikos's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Super League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Super League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Super League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Super League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 7 in the table

Aris matches against table positions: 6,7,8

Panathinaikos matches against table positions: 4,5,6

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