AEK Athens vs PAOK - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GREECE - Super League

AEK Athens Logo

2025-10-19
19:00:00
PAOK Logo
AEK Athens13
PAOK13

2.493.233.47
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3
Super League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AEK Athens651093616WWDWW
2PAOK642095414WDDWW
3Olympiacos F.C.6411145913LWDWW
4Levadiakos6312167910WLWLD
5Aris631267-110LDWWL
6Volos NFC63039909WLWWL
7Panathinaikos52217618WWDLD
8Kifisia6213111107LWLWD
9OFI520369-36WLLLW
10Atromitos612356-15LDDLL
11Panserraikos6123411-75WDDLL
12Larissa6042711-44LDDDD
13Panaitolikos6114412-84LLDLW
14Asteras Tripolis6024712-52LDLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

AEK Athens's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.391.3939%

AEK Athens's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

27-04-25AEK Athens130 - 2 (0)Olympiacos F.C.131.50.39W

PAOK's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.451.3636.25%

PAOK's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

04-05-25Olympiacos F.C.64 - 2 (2)PAOK61.50.26W
13-04-25Panathinaikos63 - 1 (1)PAOK61.50.31W
31-03-24Panathinaikos202 - 3 (2)PAOK161.50.3W
22-01-23Panathinaikos30 - 3 (0)PAOK31.50.58W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

AEK Athens's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.371.28-23.7%

AEK Athens's last 10 home matches

28-09-25AEK Athens31 - 0 (0)Volos NFC31.5-1L
31-08-25AEK Athens21 - 0 (0)Asteras Tripolis71.5-1L
24-08-25AEK Athens2(A)2 - 0 (0)Panserraikos41.50.17W
04-05-25AEK Athens61 - 2 (0)Panathinaikos61.50.33W
27-04-25AEK Athens130 - 2 (0)Olympiacos F.C.131.50.39W
30-03-25AEK Athens202 - 3 (1)PAOK201.50.32W
02-03-25AEK Athens30 - 1 (1)Olympiacos F.C.31.5-1L
15-02-25AEK Athens52 - 1 (1)Atromitos41.50.27W
09-02-25AEK Athens65 - 0 (2)Panserraikos71.50.15W
25-01-25AEK Athens51 - 0 (0)Panaitolikos51.5-1L

PAOK's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.581.2915.8%

PAOK's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25Asteras Tripolis33 - 3 (0)PAOK31.50.33W
14-09-25OFI141 - 2 (0)PAOK131.50.21W
04-05-25Olympiacos F.C.64 - 2 (2)PAOK61.50.26W
13-04-25Panathinaikos63 - 1 (1)PAOK61.50.31W
30-03-25AEK Athens202 - 3 (1)PAOK201.50.32W
09-03-25Kallithea72 - 1 (1)PAOK61.50.26W
23-02-25Olympiacos F.C.62 - 1 (0)PAOK2(A)1.50.32W
08-02-25OFI60 - 5 (0)PAOK51.50.24W
19-01-25Aris70 - 0 (0)PAOK61.5-1L
05-01-25Panathinaikos132 - 1 (1)PAOK131.50.33W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

AEK Athens's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.271.25-37.83%

AEK Athens's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Kifisia62 - 3 (1)AEK Athens2(A)1.50.27W
28-09-25AEK Athens31 - 0 (0)Volos NFC31.5-1L
21-09-25Larissa31 - 1 (0)AEK Athens31.50.29W
14-09-25Levadiakos130 - 1 (0)AEK Athens131.5-1L
31-08-25AEK Athens21 - 0 (0)Asteras Tripolis71.5-1L
24-08-25AEK Athens2(A)2 - 0 (0)Panserraikos41.50.17W

PAOK's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.121.26-35.33%

PAOK's all matches - last 6

05-10-25PAOK2(A)2 - 1 (0)Olympiacos F.C.31.50.34W
28-09-25Asteras Tripolis33 - 3 (0)PAOK31.50.33W
20-09-25PAOK2(A)0 - 0 (0)Panaitolikos21.5-1L
14-09-25OFI141 - 2 (0)PAOK131.50.21W
31-08-25PAOK21 - 0 (0)Atromitos71.5-1L
24-08-25PAOK2(A)1 - 0 (0)Larissa41.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.461.297.67%

H2H matches - last 6

11-05-25PAOK61 - 0 (0)AEK Athens61.5-1L
30-03-25AEK Athens202 - 3 (1)PAOK201.50.32W
02-02-25PAOK2(A)1 - 2 (0)AEK Athens71.50.37W
20-10-24AEK Athens141 - 1 (0)PAOK131.50.3W
28-04-24PAOK33 - 2 (2)AEK Athens31.50.26W
07-04-24AEK Athens32 - 2 (1)PAOK31.50.21W
Super League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AEK Athens651093616WWDWW
2PAOK642095414WDDWW
3Olympiacos F.C.6411145913LWDWW
4Levadiakos6312167910WLWLD
5Aris631267-110LDWWL
6Volos NFC63039909WLWWL
7Panathinaikos52217618WWDLD
8Kifisia6213111107LWLWD
9OFI520369-36WLLLW
10Atromitos612356-15LDDLL
11Panserraikos6123411-75WDDLL
12Larissa6042711-44LDDDD
13Panaitolikos6114412-84LLDLW
14Asteras Tripolis6024712-52LDLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -35%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.42 (2.38)-0.35 (1.3)0.790.64

Super League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.38 - -0.33 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
11-2.791.38-25.36%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

AEK Athens's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.38 - -0.33 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-1.001.25-100.00%
05-10-24-0.36Panaitolikos51 - 0 (0)AEK Athens51.5-1L

PAOK's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.38 - -0.33 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.191.1919.00%
25-08-24-0.33PAOK22 - 0 (1)Panaitolikos51.50.19W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
836.51.397.83%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -9 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

AEK Athens (ELO: 1555) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.151.3114.38%
04-05-250AEK Athens61 - 2Panathinaikos61.50.33W
20-10-24-16AEK Athens141 - 1PAOK131.50.3W
29-09-2413AEK Athens62 - 0Panathinaikos61.50.27W
07-04-24-16AEK Athens32 - 2PAOK31.50.21W
31-03-24-6AEK Athens101 - 0Olympiacos F.C.161.5-1L
14-01-246AEK Athens32 - 2Panathinaikos31.50.4W
30-10-238AEK Athens32 - 0PAOK31.50.27W
17-09-23-33AEK Athens131 - 1Olympiacos F.C.131.50.37W

PAOK (ELO 1564) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.331.2929.13%
13-04-25-19Panathinaikos63 - 1PAOK61.50.31W
05-01-25-34Panathinaikos132 - 1PAOK131.50.33W
20-10-24-16AEK Athens141 - 1PAOK131.50.3W
21-04-2411Olympiacos F.C.2(A)2 - 1PAOK21.50.23W
07-04-24-16AEK Athens32 - 2PAOK31.50.21W
31-03-24-32Panathinaikos202 - 3PAOK161.50.3W
30-10-238AEK Athens32 - 0PAOK31.50.27W
30-10-22-9AEK Athens52 - 0PAOK61.50.38W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

AEK Athens's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.71.34-24.29%
14-09-25Levadiakos130 - 1AEK Athens131.5-1L
27-04-25AEK Athens130 - 2Olympiacos F.C.131.50.39W
05-01-25Volos NFC122 - 4AEK Athens131.50.26W
26-11-23PAS Giannina140 - 1AEK Athens131.5-1L
22-10-23Asteras Tripolis120 - 3AEK Athens131.50.28W
17-09-23AEK Athens131 - 1Olympiacos F.C.131.50.37W
02-04-23PAOK130 - 1AEK Athens131.5-1L

PAOK's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.311.3-3.88%
14-09-25OFI141 - 2PAOK131.50.21W
27-04-25PAOK132 - 1Panathinaikos131.50.33W
05-01-25Panathinaikos132 - 1PAOK131.50.33W
24-11-24Asteras Tripolis141 - 2PAOK131.50.31W
20-10-24AEK Athens141 - 1PAOK131.50.3W
15-09-24PAOK130 - 0Panathinaikos131.5-1L
12-05-24PAOK132 - 0Olympiacos F.C.21.50.21W
17-09-23PAOK130 - 0Aris131.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

AEK Athens's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.411.276.83%
20-10-24AEK Athens141 - 1PAOK131.50.3W
22-10-23Asteras Tripolis120 - 3AEK Athens131.50.28W
24-10-22Levadiakos40 - 2AEK Athens31.50.29W
16-10-22AEK Athens61 - 0Atromitos51.5-1L
24-10-21Volos NFC61 - 3AEK Athens61.50.25W
17-10-21AEK Athens133 - 0Atromitos131.50.29W

PAOK's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.91.3231.67%
20-10-24AEK Athens141 - 1PAOK131.50.3W
22-10-23PAOK162 - 0Atromitos131.50.2W
23-10-22PAOK52 - 2Asteras Tripolis31.50.39W
17-10-22Olympiacos F.C.31 - 2PAOK71.50.45W
24-10-21Olympiacos F.C.2(A)2 - 1PAOK61.50.33W
17-10-21PAOK134 - 4Volos NFC141.50.23W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Super League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.582.862.743.27

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super League442.86
2024/2025Super League2362.45
2023/2024Super League2382.95
2022/2023Super League2402.35
2021/2022Super League2402.38

Super League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.07%1.3379.55%1.2677%1.383.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super League4479.55% 1.26
2024/2025Super League23670.76% 1.41
2023/2024Super League23883.61% 1.2
2022/2023Super League24070.83% 1.41
2021/2022Super League24067.08% 1.49
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Super League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.161.161.31.24

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super League441.16
2024/2025Super League2361.09
2023/2024Super League2381.33
2022/2023Super League2401.06
2021/2022Super League2401.10

Super League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.431.701.971.5

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Super League441.70
2024/2025Super League2361.36
2023/2024Super League2381.63
2022/2023Super League2401.29
2021/2022Super League2401.27
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
312.871.379.26%

Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 3 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.281.3232%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

AEK Athens matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.131.3314.13%
04-05-254AEK Athens61 - 22Panathinaikos61.50.33W
27-04-253AEK Athens130 - 21Olympiacos F.C.131.50.39W
02-03-252AEK Athens30 - 11Olympiacos F.C.31.5-1L
20-10-243AEK Athens141 - 11PAOK131.50.3W
24-04-241AEK Athens2(A)3 - 02Panathinaikos2(A)1.50.23W
07-04-242AEK Athens32 - 21PAOK31.50.21W
14-01-243AEK Athens32 - 21Panathinaikos31.50.4W
30-10-234AEK Athens32 - 03PAOK31.50.27W

PAOK matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.331.2929.13%
04-05-251Olympiacos F.C.64 - 23PAOK61.50.26W
13-04-252Panathinaikos63 - 14PAOK61.50.31W
30-03-252AEK Athens202 - 34PAOK201.50.32W
23-02-251Olympiacos F.C.62 - 14PAOK2(A)1.50.32W
20-10-243AEK Athens141 - 11PAOK131.50.3W
07-04-242AEK Athens32 - 21PAOK31.50.21W
31-03-243Panathinaikos202 - 32PAOK161.50.3W
05-11-232Olympiacos F.C.52 - 44PAOK51.50.31W
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