Lorient vs Brest - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
FRANCE - Ligue 1



2025-10-19
16:15:00

Lorient15
Brest14



Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW
2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW
3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL
4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW
5Monaco74121612413DLWWW
6Lens7412106413WDWLW
7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW
8Paris73131213-110WDLWW
9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL
10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD
11Brest7223111108DWWLL
12Nice7223912-38DDLWL
13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL
14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL
15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW
16Nantes713357-26DDDLW
17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD
18Metz7025516-112LDLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Lorient's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.91.33-18%
Lorient's home matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8
28-04-24
Lorient31 - 2 (1)Toulouse61.50.29W


17-12-23
Lorient61 - 2 (0)Strasbourg61.50.39W


07-05-23
Lorient62 - 1 (0)Brest31.50.42W


23-04-23
Lorient60 - 1 (0)Toulouse81.5-1L


15-10-22
Lorient50 - 0 (0)Reims61.5-1L


Brest's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.661.4241.5%
Brest's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3
10-11-24
Montpellier63 - 1 (1)Brest31.50.37W


24-02-24
Strasbourg50 - 3 (0)Brest51.50.38W


17-12-23
Nantes70 - 2 (0)Brest61.50.39W


20-08-23
Le Havre61 - 2 (0)Brest61.50.52W


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Lorient's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.241.2612.4%
Lorient's last 10 home matches
27-09-25
Lorient53 - 1 (3)Monaco51.50.21W


30-08-25
Lorient51 - 7 (5)LOSC Lille51.50.29W


24-08-25
Lorient64 - 0 (0)Rennes81.50.32W


10-05-25
Lorient75 - 1 (2)Martigues71.50.12W


26-04-25
Lorient44 - 0 (2)Caen71.50.21W


05-04-25
Lorient65 - 0 (2)Pau71.50.18W


15-03-25
Lorient64 - 0 (1)Bastia71.50.44W


01-03-25
Lorient63 - 1 (1)Rodez71.50.23W


22-02-25
Lorient70 - 1 (1)Laval71.5-1L


08-02-25
Lorient63 - 1 (2)Amiens SC71.50.24W


Brest's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.41.2714%
Brest's last 10 away matches.
28-09-25
Angers SCO80 - 2 (0)Brest71.50.33W


29-08-25
Lens43 - 1 (2)Brest41.50.25W


24-08-25
Toulouse72 - 0 (0)Brest61.50.32W


17-05-25
Nice66 - 0 (2)Brest61.50.15W


27-04-25
Olympique Marseille74 - 1 (0)Brest61.50.18W


13-04-25
Saint-Étienne63 - 3 (1)Brest71.50.22W


30-03-25
Toulouse132 - 4 (2)Brest131.50.34W


02-03-25
Olympique Lyonnais62 - 1 (1)Brest31.50.22W


23-02-25
Strasbourg60 - 0 (0)Brest31.5-1L


07-02-25
Nantes40 - 2 (1)Brest2(A)1.50.39W


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Lorient's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.661.2827.67%
Lorient's all matches - last 6
03-10-25
Paris42 - 0 (0)Lorient51.50.25W


27-09-25
Lorient53 - 1 (3)Monaco51.50.21W


21-09-25
Le Havre61 - 1 (0)Lorient81.50.41W


12-09-25
Olympique Marseille114 - 0 (1)Lorient121.50.18W


30-08-25
Lorient51 - 7 (5)LOSC Lille51.50.29W


24-08-25
Lorient64 - 0 (0)Rennes81.50.32W


Brest's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.381.276.33%
Brest's all matches - last 6
04-10-25
Brest60 - 0 (0)Nantes71.5-1L


28-09-25
Angers SCO80 - 2 (0)Brest71.50.33W


20-09-25
Brest54 - 1 (1)Nice61.50.23W


14-09-25
Brest151 - 2 (0)Paris131.50.25W


29-08-25
Lens43 - 1 (2)Brest41.50.25W


24-08-25
Toulouse72 - 0 (0)Brest61.50.32W


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.251.41-8.33%
H2H matches - last 6
31-03-24
Lorient130 - 1 (1)Brest131.5-1L


20-12-23
Brest2(A)4 - 0 (0)Lorient21.50.33W


07-05-23
Lorient62 - 1 (0)Brest31.50.42W



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW
2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW
3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL
4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW
5Monaco74121612413DLWWW
6Lens7412106413WDWLW
7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW
8Paris73131213-110WDLWW
9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL
10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD
11Brest7223111108DWWLL
12Nice7223912-38DDLWL
13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL
14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL
15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW
16Nantes713357-26DDDLW
17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD
18Metz7025516-112LDLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 15%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.92 (1.09)0.15 (1.3)1.152.94
Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
38-0.141.31-0.37%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Lorient's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.191.31-23.80%
27-09-25
0.15Lorient53 - 1 (3)Monaco51.50.21W


17-08-25
0.15Auxerre71 - 0 (0)Lorient71.5-1L


18-02-24
0.13Strasbourg71 - 3 (0)Lorient61.50.31W


11-02-24
0.15Lorient62 - 0 (1)Reims61.50.29W


04-11-23
0.14Lorient60 - 0 (0)Lens61.5-1L


Brest's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
93.361.3737.33%
20-09-25
0.15Brest54 - 1 (1)Nice61.50.23W


14-09-25
0.17Brest151 - 2 (0)Paris131.50.25W


17-08-25
0.14Brest133 - 3 (0)LOSC Lille141.50.37W


18-01-25
0.17Rennes2(A)1 - 2 (1)Brest21.50.5W


05-01-25
0.14Angers SCO132 - 0 (1)Brest141.50.44W


15-12-24
0.17Brest44 - 1 (2)Nantes61.50.5W


06-10-24
0.14Brest42 - 0 (1)Le Havre71.50.39W


27-09-24
0.14Auxerre43 - 0 (0)Brest41.50.29W


17-12-23
0.17Nantes70 - 2 (0)Brest61.50.39W


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
702.581.33.69%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -75 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Lorient (ELO: 1599) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.481.329.6%
24-08-25
-82Lorient64 - 0Rennes81.50.32W


28-04-24
-82Lorient31 - 2Toulouse61.50.29W


09-03-24
-67Lorient50 - 2Olympique Lyonnais51.50.21W


11-02-24
-85Lorient62 - 0Reims61.50.29W


20-08-23
-76Lorient71 - 1Nice81.50.37W


Brest (ELO 1674) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.61.412%
18-01-25
-53Rennes2(A)1 - 2Brest21.50.5W


26-10-24
-52Reims51 - 2Brest21.50.33W


24-02-24
-72Strasbourg50 - 3Brest51.50.38W


17-12-23
-74Nantes70 - 2Brest61.50.39W


10-12-23
-67Metz60 - 1Brest21.5-1L


SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Lorient's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-8.33%
Brest's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.71.3535%
05-01-25
Angers SCO132 - 0Brest141.50.44W


17-09-23
Reims131 - 2Brest141.50.26W


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Lorient's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.071.271.4%
22-10-23
Lorient132 - 1Rennes131.50.3W


23-10-22
Troyes62 - 2Lorient71.50.28W


15-10-22
Lorient50 - 0Reims61.5-1L


24-10-21
Lorient61 - 1Bordeaux61.50.24W


17-10-21
Olympique Marseille134 - 1Lorient131.50.25W


Brest's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.61.3210%
19-10-24
Brest121 - 1Rennes131.50.36W


22-10-23
LOSC Lille131 - 0Brest131.5-1L


23-10-22
Clermont61 - 3Brest61.50.31W


16-10-22
Nantes24 - 1Brest61.50.31W


23-10-21
LOSC Lille21 - 1Brest51.50.23W


17-10-21
Brest141 - 1Reims151.50.39W


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.832.972.973.1
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Ligue 1672.97


2024/2025
Ligue 13052.98


2023/2024
Ligue 13062.70


2022/2023
Ligue 13802.81


2021/2022
Ligue 13802.81


Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
78.65%1.2768.66%1.4674%1.3580%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Ligue 16768.66% 1.46


2024/2025
Ligue 130582.3% 1.22


2023/2024
Ligue 130675.49% 1.32


2022/2023
Ligue 138078.16% 1.28


2021/2022
Ligue 138077.11% 1.3


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.281.161.31.2
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Ligue 1671.16


2024/2025
Ligue 13051.31


2023/2024
Ligue 13061.21


2022/2023
Ligue 13801.31


2021/2022
Ligue 13801.28


Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.551.811.81.77
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025/2026
Ligue 1671.81


2024/2025
Ligue 13051.67


2023/2024
Ligue 13061.49


2022/2023
Ligue 13801.50


2021/2022
Ligue 13801.53


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
190.911.344.79%
Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 12 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.671.36-33.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Lorient matches against table positions: 11,12,13
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.851.3737%
28-04-24
17Lorient31 - 211Toulouse61.50.29W


09-03-24
14Lorient50 - 211Olympique Lyonnais51.50.21W


28-01-24
18Lorient133 - 311Le Havre61.50.54W


17-12-23
17Lorient61 - 211Strasbourg61.50.39W


26-11-23
16Lorient132 - 311Metz131.50.42W


Brest matches against table positions: 12,13,14
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.531.3838.25%
28-09-25
14Angers SCO80 - 216Brest71.50.33W


07-02-25
14Nantes40 - 28Brest2(A)1.50.39W


18-01-25
14Rennes2(A)1 - 211Brest21.50.5W


26-11-23
13Montpellier151 - 38Brest201.50.31W

