Lorient vs Brest - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 1

Lorient Logo

2025-10-19
16:15:00
Brest Logo
Lorient15
Brest14

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient)
2.643.632.89
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW
2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW
3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL
4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW
5Monaco74121612413DLWWW
6Lens7412106413WDWLW
7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW
8Paris73131213-110WDLWW
9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL
10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD
11Brest7223111108DWWLL
12Nice7223912-38DDLWL
13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL
14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL
15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW
16Nantes713357-26DDDLW
17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD
18Metz7025516-112LDLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Lorient's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.91.33-18%

Lorient's home matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

28-04-24Lorient31 - 2 (1)Toulouse61.50.29W
17-12-23Lorient61 - 2 (0)Strasbourg61.50.39W
07-05-23Lorient62 - 1 (0)Brest31.50.42W
23-04-23Lorient60 - 1 (0)Toulouse81.5-1L
15-10-22Lorient50 - 0 (0)Reims61.5-1L

Brest's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.661.4241.5%

Brest's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

10-11-24Montpellier63 - 1 (1)Brest31.50.37W
24-02-24Strasbourg50 - 3 (0)Brest51.50.38W
17-12-23Nantes70 - 2 (0)Brest61.50.39W
20-08-23Le Havre61 - 2 (0)Brest61.50.52W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Lorient's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.241.2612.4%

Lorient's last 10 home matches

27-09-25Lorient53 - 1 (3)Monaco51.50.21W
30-08-25Lorient51 - 7 (5)LOSC Lille51.50.29W
24-08-25Lorient64 - 0 (0)Rennes81.50.32W
10-05-25Lorient75 - 1 (2)Martigues71.50.12W
26-04-25Lorient44 - 0 (2)Caen71.50.21W
05-04-25Lorient65 - 0 (2)Pau71.50.18W
15-03-25Lorient64 - 0 (1)Bastia71.50.44W
01-03-25Lorient63 - 1 (1)Rodez71.50.23W
22-02-25Lorient70 - 1 (1)Laval71.5-1L
08-02-25Lorient63 - 1 (2)Amiens SC71.50.24W

Brest's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.41.2714%

Brest's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25Angers SCO80 - 2 (0)Brest71.50.33W
29-08-25Lens43 - 1 (2)Brest41.50.25W
24-08-25Toulouse72 - 0 (0)Brest61.50.32W
17-05-25Nice66 - 0 (2)Brest61.50.15W
27-04-25Olympique Marseille74 - 1 (0)Brest61.50.18W
13-04-25Saint-Étienne63 - 3 (1)Brest71.50.22W
30-03-25Toulouse132 - 4 (2)Brest131.50.34W
02-03-25Olympique Lyonnais62 - 1 (1)Brest31.50.22W
23-02-25Strasbourg60 - 0 (0)Brest31.5-1L
07-02-25Nantes40 - 2 (1)Brest2(A)1.50.39W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Lorient's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.661.2827.67%

Lorient's all matches - last 6

03-10-25Paris42 - 0 (0)Lorient51.50.25W
27-09-25Lorient53 - 1 (3)Monaco51.50.21W
21-09-25Le Havre61 - 1 (0)Lorient81.50.41W
12-09-25Olympique Marseille114 - 0 (1)Lorient121.50.18W
30-08-25Lorient51 - 7 (5)LOSC Lille51.50.29W
24-08-25Lorient64 - 0 (0)Rennes81.50.32W

Brest's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.381.276.33%

Brest's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Brest60 - 0 (0)Nantes71.5-1L
28-09-25Angers SCO80 - 2 (0)Brest71.50.33W
20-09-25Brest54 - 1 (1)Nice61.50.23W
14-09-25Brest151 - 2 (0)Paris131.50.25W
29-08-25Lens43 - 1 (2)Brest41.50.25W
24-08-25Toulouse72 - 0 (0)Brest61.50.32W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.251.41-8.33%

H2H matches - last 6

31-03-24Lorient130 - 1 (1)Brest131.5-1L
20-12-23Brest2(A)4 - 0 (0)Lorient21.50.33W
07-05-23Lorient62 - 1 (0)Brest31.50.42W
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW
2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW
3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL
4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW
5Monaco74121612413DLWWW
6Lens7412106413WDWLW
7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW
8Paris73131213-110WDLWW
9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL
10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD
11Brest7223111108DWWLL
12Nice7223912-38DDLWL
13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL
14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL
15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW
16Nantes713357-26DDDLW
17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD
18Metz7025516-112LDLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 15%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.92 (1.09)0.15 (1.3)1.152.94

Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
38-0.141.31-0.37%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Lorient's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.191.31-23.80%
27-09-250.15Lorient53 - 1 (3)Monaco51.50.21W
17-08-250.15Auxerre71 - 0 (0)Lorient71.5-1L
18-02-240.13Strasbourg71 - 3 (0)Lorient61.50.31W
11-02-240.15Lorient62 - 0 (1)Reims61.50.29W
04-11-230.14Lorient60 - 0 (0)Lens61.5-1L

Brest's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
93.361.3737.33%
20-09-250.15Brest54 - 1 (1)Nice61.50.23W
14-09-250.17Brest151 - 2 (0)Paris131.50.25W
17-08-250.14Brest133 - 3 (0)LOSC Lille141.50.37W
18-01-250.17Rennes2(A)1 - 2 (1)Brest21.50.5W
05-01-250.14Angers SCO132 - 0 (1)Brest141.50.44W
15-12-240.17Brest44 - 1 (2)Nantes61.50.5W
06-10-240.14Brest42 - 0 (1)Le Havre71.50.39W
27-09-240.14Auxerre43 - 0 (0)Brest41.50.29W
17-12-230.17Nantes70 - 2 (0)Brest61.50.39W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
702.581.33.69%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -75 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Lorient (ELO: 1599) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.481.329.6%
24-08-25-82Lorient64 - 0Rennes81.50.32W
28-04-24-82Lorient31 - 2Toulouse61.50.29W
09-03-24-67Lorient50 - 2Olympique Lyonnais51.50.21W
11-02-24-85Lorient62 - 0Reims61.50.29W
20-08-23-76Lorient71 - 1Nice81.50.37W

Brest (ELO 1674) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.61.412%
18-01-25-53Rennes2(A)1 - 2Brest21.50.5W
26-10-24-52Reims51 - 2Brest21.50.33W
24-02-24-72Strasbourg50 - 3Brest51.50.38W
17-12-23-74Nantes70 - 2Brest61.50.39W
10-12-23-67Metz60 - 1Brest21.5-1L
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Lorient's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-8.33%

Brest's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.71.3535%
05-01-25Angers SCO132 - 0Brest141.50.44W
17-09-23Reims131 - 2Brest141.50.26W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Lorient's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.071.271.4%
22-10-23Lorient132 - 1Rennes131.50.3W
23-10-22Troyes62 - 2Lorient71.50.28W
15-10-22Lorient50 - 0Reims61.5-1L
24-10-21Lorient61 - 1Bordeaux61.50.24W
17-10-21Olympique Marseille134 - 1Lorient131.50.25W

Brest's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.61.3210%
19-10-24Brest121 - 1Rennes131.50.36W
22-10-23LOSC Lille131 - 0Brest131.5-1L
23-10-22Clermont61 - 3Brest61.50.31W
16-10-22Nantes24 - 1Brest61.50.31W
23-10-21LOSC Lille21 - 1Brest51.50.23W
17-10-21Brest141 - 1Reims151.50.39W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.832.972.973.1

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Ligue 1672.97
2024/2025Ligue 13052.98
2023/2024Ligue 13062.70
2022/2023Ligue 13802.81
2021/2022Ligue 13802.81

Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
78.65%1.2768.66%1.4674%1.3580%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Ligue 16768.66% 1.46
2024/2025Ligue 130582.3% 1.22
2023/2024Ligue 130675.49% 1.32
2022/2023Ligue 138078.16% 1.28
2021/2022Ligue 138077.11% 1.3
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.281.161.31.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Ligue 1671.16
2024/2025Ligue 13051.31
2023/2024Ligue 13061.21
2022/2023Ligue 13801.31
2021/2022Ligue 13801.28

Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.551.811.81.77

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Ligue 1671.81
2024/2025Ligue 13051.67
2023/2024Ligue 13061.49
2022/2023Ligue 13801.50
2021/2022Ligue 13801.53
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
190.911.344.79%

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 12 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.671.36-33.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Lorient matches against table positions: 11,12,13

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.851.3737%
28-04-2417Lorient31 - 211Toulouse61.50.29W
09-03-2414Lorient50 - 211Olympique Lyonnais51.50.21W
28-01-2418Lorient133 - 311Le Havre61.50.54W
17-12-2317Lorient61 - 211Strasbourg61.50.39W
26-11-2316Lorient132 - 311Metz131.50.42W

Brest matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.531.3838.25%
28-09-2514Angers SCO80 - 216Brest71.50.33W
07-02-2514Nantes40 - 28Brest2(A)1.50.39W
18-01-2514Rennes2(A)1 - 211Brest21.50.5W
26-11-2313Montpellier151 - 38Brest201.50.31W
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