Toulouse vs Metz - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 1

2025-10-19
16:15:00

Toulouse¹³

Metz¹⁴

1.664.315.99

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29

Ligue 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW

2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW

3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL

4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW

5Monaco74121612413DLWWW

6Lens7412106413WDWLW

7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW

8Paris73131213-110WDLWW

9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL

10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD

11Brest7223111108DWWLL

12Nice7223912-38DDLWL

13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL

14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL

15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW

16Nantes713357-26DDDLW

17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD

18Metz7025516-112LDLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Toulouse's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.161.293.2%

Toulouse's home matches when WIN odds between 1.6 and 1.8

27-09-25

Toulouse⁵2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nantes⁶1.50.39W

26-01-25

Toulouse⁷1 - 2⁽¹⁾Montpellier⁸1.50.26W

01-12-24

Toulouse⁸2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Auxerre⁶1.50.28W

05-03-23

Toulouse³0 - 1⁽¹⁾Clermont⁶1.5-1L

01-02-23

Toulouse^2(A)4 - 1⁽¹⁾Troyes³1.50.23W

Metz's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

70.971.3113.86%

Metz's away matches when WIN odds between 5 and 7

31-08-25

Paris⁷3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Metz⁷1.50.28W

17-03-24

Reims⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Metz⁶1.50.3W

03-03-24

Nantes⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Metz⁸1.50.51W

18-02-24

Montpellier⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Metz⁸1.50.38W

05-11-23

Olympique Lyonnais¹³1 - 1⁽²⁾Metz⁶1.50.27W

16-09-23

Lens¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Metz⁷1.5-1L

13-08-23

Rennes⁷5 - 1⁽²⁾Metz⁷1.50.23W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Toulouse's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.761.317.6%

Toulouse's last 10 home matches

27-09-25

Toulouse⁵2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nantes⁶1.50.39W

30-08-25

Toulouse⁵3 - 6⁽³⁾Paris Saint Germain⁷1.50.21W

24-08-25

Toulouse⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brest⁶1.50.32W

10-05-25

Toulouse⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lens⁵1.50.27W

03-05-25

Toulouse⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Rennes⁶1.50.31W

12-04-25

Toulouse⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾LOSC Lille⁶1.50.35W

30-03-25

Toulouse¹³2 - 4⁽²⁾Brest¹³1.50.34W

07-03-25

Toulouse⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Monaco⁶1.50.28W

15-02-25

Toulouse⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris Saint Germain³1.5-1L

02-02-25

Toulouse⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Nice²1.50.29W

Metz's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.681.2726.8%

Metz's last 10 away matches.

21-09-25

Monaco^2(A)5 - 2⁽³⁾Metz⁶1.50.17W

31-08-25

Paris⁷3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Metz⁷1.50.28W

23-08-25

Olympique Lyonnais⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Metz⁵1.50.2W

10-05-25

Laval⁷2 - 3⁽²⁾Metz⁷1.50.18W

26-04-25

Pau⁷2 - 1⁽²⁾Metz⁶1.50.21W

11-04-25

Martigues⁶1 - 4⁽¹⁾Metz⁵1.50.25W

05-04-25

Caen⁴2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Metz⁷1.50.28W

15-03-25

Dunkerque⁴2 - 3⁽²⁾Metz⁶1.50.36W

01-03-25

Amiens SC⁷1 - 2⁽¹⁾Metz⁶1.50.32W

15-02-25

Guingamp⁶0 - 3⁽²⁾Metz⁶1.50.43W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Toulouse's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.561.329.33%

Toulouse's all matches - last 6

05-10-25

Olympique Lyonnais²1 - 2⁽²⁾Toulouse⁷1.50.33W

27-09-25

Toulouse⁵2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nantes⁶1.50.39W

21-09-25

Auxerre⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Toulouse⁶1.5-1L

14-09-25

LOSC Lille¹⁴2 - 1⁽²⁾Toulouse¹⁴1.50.31W

30-08-25

Toulouse⁵3 - 6⁽³⁾Paris Saint Germain⁷1.50.21W

24-08-25

Toulouse⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brest⁶1.50.32W

Metz's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.221.243.67%

Metz's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Metz⁶0 - 3⁽¹⁾Olympique Marseille⁴1.50.23W

28-09-25

Metz⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Le Havre⁶1.5-1L

21-09-25

Monaco^2(A)5 - 2⁽³⁾Metz⁶1.50.17W

14-09-25

Metz¹³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Angers SCO¹³1.50.34W

31-08-25

Paris⁷3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Metz⁷1.50.28W

23-08-25

Olympique Lyonnais⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Metz⁵1.50.2W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.791.33-39.5%

H2H matches - last 6

14-01-24

Metz⁸0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Toulouse⁶1.5-1L

01-10-23

Toulouse⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Metz⁶1.50.21W

Ligue 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW

2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW

3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL

4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW

5Monaco74121612413DLWWW

6Lens7412106413WDWLW

7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW

8Paris73131213-110WDLWW

9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL

10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD

11Brest7223111108DWWLL

12Nice7223912-38DDLWL

13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL

14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL

15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW

16Nantes713357-26DDDLW

17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD

18Metz7025516-112LDLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 12%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.90 (1.11)0.12 (1.29)2.411.47

Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.1 - 0.15 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

541.401.292.59%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Toulouse's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.1 - 0.15 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.931.29-15.50%

21-09-25

^0.11Auxerre⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Toulouse⁶1.5-1L

03-05-25

^0.10Toulouse⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Rennes⁶1.50.31W

06-04-25

^0.10Olympique Marseille⁷3 - 2⁽¹⁾Toulouse⁶1.50.21W

19-05-24

^0.11Toulouse⁶0 - 3⁽¹⁾Brest⁸1.50.22W

07-04-24

^0.13Toulouse⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Strasbourg⁶1.5-1L

25-02-24

^0.10Toulouse²3 - 1⁽⁰⁾LOSC Lille⁷1.50.33W

Metz's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.1 - 0.15 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.971.2424.25%

04-10-25

^0.11Metz⁶0 - 3⁽¹⁾Olympique Marseille⁴1.50.23W

19-05-24

^0.12Metz⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Paris Saint Germain³1.50.18W

04-05-24

^0.14Metz⁵2 - 3⁽¹⁾Rennes⁵1.50.28W

12-04-24

^0.14Metz⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lens⁵1.50.28W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

48-1.361.28-2.83%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 124 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Toulouse (ELO: 1672) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.37-100%

18-08-24

¹⁰³Toulouse⁷0 - 0Nantes⁶1.5-1L

Metz (ELO 1548) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-100%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Toulouse's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.361.29-34%

30-03-25

Toulouse¹³2 - 4Brest¹³1.50.34W

26-11-23

Nice¹⁵1 - 0Toulouse¹³1.5-1L

22-10-23

Toulouse¹³1 - 1Reims¹⁴1.50.3W

17-09-23

Olympique Marseille¹⁵0 - 0Toulouse¹³1.5-1L

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.461.29-15.33%

04-01-25

Metz¹⁴0 - 0Pau²¹1.5-1L

22-10-23

Monaco¹⁴2 - 1Metz¹⁴1.50.15W

28-01-23

Valenciennes¹⁴1 - 1Metz¹⁴1.50.39W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Toulouse's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

41.051.2626.25%

20-10-24

Toulouse¹⁴1 - 1Angers SCO¹⁵1.50.31W

22-10-23

Toulouse¹³1 - 1Reims¹⁴1.50.3W

23-10-22

Toulouse⁶2 - 2Strasbourg⁸1.50.23W

16-10-22

Toulouse⁸3 - 2Angers SCO⁶1.50.21W

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.721.2424%

22-10-23

Monaco¹⁴2 - 1Metz¹⁴1.50.15W

24-10-21

Lens⁶4 - 1Metz⁶1.50.29W

17-10-21

Metz¹³0 - 3Rennes¹³1.50.28W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.832.972.973.1

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 1672.97

2024/2025

Ligue 13052.98

2023/2024

Ligue 13062.70

2022/2023

Ligue 13802.81

2021/2022

Ligue 13802.81

Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

78.65%1.2768.66%1.4674%1.3580%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 16768.66% 1.46

2024/2025

Ligue 130582.3% 1.22

2023/2024

Ligue 130675.49% 1.32

2022/2023

Ligue 138078.16% 1.28

2021/2022

Ligue 138077.11% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.281.161.31.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 1671.16

2024/2025

Ligue 13051.31

2023/2024

Ligue 13061.21

2022/2023

Ligue 13801.31

2021/2022

Ligue 13801.28

Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.551.811.81.77

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 1671.81

2024/2025

Ligue 13051.67

2023/2024

Ligue 13061.49

2022/2023

Ligue 13801.50

2021/2022

Ligue 13801.53

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20-1.031.25-5.15%

Last 2 seasons - 10 vs 18 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.261.2626%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Toulouse matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.521.330.4%

27-09-25

⁹Toulouse⁵2 - 2¹⁶Nantes⁶1.50.39W

26-01-25

¹⁰Toulouse⁷1 - 2¹⁸Montpellier⁸1.50.26W

13-12-24

¹⁰Toulouse⁵2 - 1¹⁶Saint-Étienne⁴1.50.25W

20-10-24

¹⁶Toulouse¹⁴1 - 1¹⁸Angers SCO¹⁵1.50.31W

03-12-23

¹⁵Toulouse²1 - 1¹⁶Lorient⁶1.50.31W

Metz matches against table positions: 9,10,11

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.31.330%

17-03-24

⁹Reims⁶2 - 1¹⁷Metz⁶1.50.3W

YOUR TEXT

Toulouse vs Metz - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 1

Toulouse's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Toulouse's home matches when WIN odds between 1.6 and 1.8

Metz's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Metz's away matches when WIN odds between 5 and 7

Toulouse's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Toulouse's last 10 home matches

Metz's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Metz's last 10 away matches.

Toulouse's all matches (last 6 matches)

Toulouse's all matches - last 6

Metz's all matches (last 6 matches)

Metz's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.1 - 0.15 )

Toulouse's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.1 - 0.15 )

Metz's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.1 - 0.15 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Toulouse (ELO: 1672) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Metz (ELO 1548) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Toulouse's all matches (last 8 matches)

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

Toulouse's all matches (last 8 matches)

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 10 vs 18 in the table

Toulouse matches against table positions: 16,17,18

Metz matches against table positions: 9,10,11

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