Lens vs Paris - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 1

2025-10-19
14:00:00

Lens¹⁴

Paris¹⁵

Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

1.904.094.35

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23

Ligue 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW

2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW

3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL

4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW

5Monaco74121612413DLWWW

6Lens7412106413WDWLW

7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW

8Paris73131213-110WDLWW

9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL

10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD

11Brest7223111108DWWLL

12Nice7223912-38DDLWL

13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL

14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL

15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW

16Nantes713357-26DDDLW

17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD

18Metz7025516-112LDLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Lens's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

9-3.821.3-42.44%

Lens's home matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

29-08-25

Lens⁴3 - 1⁽²⁾Brest⁴1.50.25W

15-03-25

Lens⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rennes⁶1.5-1L

16-02-25

Lens⁷0 - 2⁽²⁾Strasbourg⁶1.50.25W

05-01-25

Lens¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Toulouse¹⁴1.5-1L

28-09-24

Lens⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nice²1.5-1L

15-09-24

Lens¹³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Olympique Lyonnais¹⁵1.5-1L

25-08-24

Lens²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brest⁷1.50.35W

16-03-24

Lens⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Nice^2(A)1.50.33W

01-02-23

Lens³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Nice²1.5-1L

Paris's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.51.3925%

Paris's away matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 5.1

18-01-25

Metz⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.50.35W

14-12-24

Lorient⁷2 - 0⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.50.31W

04-05-24

Auxerre⁴2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.50.22W

23-01-24

Laval^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris^2(A)1.50.57W

02-12-23

Guingamp⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.5-1L

23-09-23

Ajaccio⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.50.49W

02-09-23

Angers SCO⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.50.42W

12-08-23

Grenoble Foot 38⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.50.35W

15-04-23

Caen⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.50.36W

18-02-23

Bordeaux⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris⁹1.50.43W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Lens's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.361.24-13.6%

Lens's last 10 home matches

20-09-25

Lens⁵3 - 0⁽⁰⁾LOSC Lille⁵1.50.25W

29-08-25

Lens⁴3 - 1⁽²⁾Brest⁴1.50.25W

16-08-25

Lens¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Olympique Lyonnais¹³1.5-1L

17-05-25

Lens⁶4 - 0⁽¹⁾Monaco⁶1.50.17W

27-04-25

Lens⁶0 - 4⁽⁰⁾Auxerre⁶1.50.22W

11-04-25

Lens⁴0 - 2⁽¹⁾Reims⁴1.50.24W

06-04-25

Lens⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Saint-Étienne⁷1.5-1L

15-03-25

Lens⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rennes⁶1.5-1L

01-03-25

Lens⁵3 - 4⁽¹⁾Le Havre⁵1.50.26W

16-02-25

Lens⁷0 - 2⁽²⁾Strasbourg⁶1.50.25W

Paris's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.231.32.3%

Paris's last 10 away matches.

28-09-25

Nice³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.50.22W

14-09-25

Brest¹⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Paris¹³1.50.25W

23-08-25

Olympique Marseille⁷5 - 2⁽²⁾Paris⁵1.50.2W

17-08-25

Angers SCO⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.5-1L

02-05-25

Martigues⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris⁵1.50.2W

26-04-25

Rodez⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.50.29W

12-04-25

Grenoble Foot 38⁷1 - 2⁽¹⁾Paris⁷1.50.28W

15-03-25

Laval⁷3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.50.39W

28-02-25

Annecy⁶2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.50.4W

15-02-25

Dunkerque⁴1 - 0⁽¹⁾Paris⁷1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Lens's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.151.232.5%

Lens's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Auxerre⁷1 - 2⁽¹⁾Lens⁶1.50.25W

28-09-25

Rennes⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lens⁷1.5-1L

20-09-25

Lens⁵3 - 0⁽⁰⁾LOSC Lille⁵1.50.25W

14-09-25

Paris Saint Germain¹⁴2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lens¹⁵1.50.14W

29-08-25

Lens⁴3 - 1⁽²⁾Brest⁴1.50.25W

24-08-25

Le Havre⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lens⁷1.50.26W

Paris's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.481.2524.67%

Paris's all matches - last 6

03-10-25

Paris⁴2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lorient⁵1.50.25W

28-09-25

Nice³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.50.22W

21-09-25

Paris⁶2 - 3⁽⁴⁾Strasbourg⁶1.50.28W

14-09-25

Brest¹⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Paris¹³1.50.25W

31-08-25

Paris⁷3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Metz⁷1.50.28W

23-08-25

Olympique Marseille⁷5 - 2⁽²⁾Paris⁵1.50.2W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0000%

H2H matches - last 6

Ligue 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Paris Saint Germain8521168817DDWLW

2Strasbourg85121710716DWLWW

3Olympique Marseille75021551015WWWWL

4Olympique Lyonnais750295415LWWLW

5Monaco74121612413DLWWW

6Lens7412106413WDWLW

7LOSC Lille73221410411DLLWW

8Paris73131213-110WDLWW

9Toulouse73131112-110WDLLL

10Rennes7241910-110DDDWD

11Brest7223111108DWWLL

12Nice7223912-38DDLWL

13Lorient7214916-77LWDLL

14Auxerre7205510-56LLWLL

15Le Havre7133810-26DDDLW

16Nantes713357-26DDDLW

17Angers SCO7124311-85LLLDD

18Metz7025516-112LDLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 4%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.85 (1.18)0.04 (1.23)1.931.47

Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

768.531.2611.22%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Lens's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.441.26-36.00%

20-09-25

^0.05Lens⁵3 - 0⁽⁰⁾LOSC Lille⁵1.50.25W

16-08-25

^0.05Lens¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Olympique Lyonnais¹³1.5-1L

06-04-25

^0.04Lens⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Saint-Étienne⁷1.5-1L

29-11-24

^0.05Reims⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lens⁵1.50.31W

Paris's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.281.2828.00%

31-08-25

^0.03Paris⁷3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Metz⁷1.50.28W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

63-0.291.26-0.46%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 158 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Lens (ELO: 1726) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-2.931.25-36.63%

06-04-25

¹⁷⁹Lens⁶1 - 0Saint-Étienne⁷1.5-1L

01-03-25

¹⁷²Lens⁵3 - 4Le Havre⁵1.50.26W

26-01-25

¹⁶²Lens⁷1 - 0Angers SCO⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

¹⁵⁹Lens⁶3 - 2Nantes⁵1.50.36W

03-05-24

¹⁶⁶Lens⁴2 - 0Lorient⁴1.50.2W

20-04-24

¹⁶⁶Lens⁷1 - 0Clermont⁵1.5-1L

28-10-23

¹⁶⁴Lens³4 - 0Nantes⁵1.50.25W

16-09-23

¹⁷⁹Lens¹³0 - 1Metz⁷1.5-1L

Paris (ELO 1568) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-36.63%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Lens's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.34-100%

30-03-25

LOSC Lille¹⁴1 - 0Lens¹⁴1.5-1L

Paris's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.191.1919%

31-03-25

Paris¹⁵4 - 2Caen¹⁶1.50.19W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Lens's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-3.51.29-58.33%

19-10-24

Saint-Étienne¹³0 - 2Lens¹²1.50.21W

20-10-23

Le Havre¹¹0 - 0Lens¹¹1.5-1L

22-10-22

Olympique Marseille⁵0 - 1Lens⁶1.5-1L

15-10-22

Lens⁵1 - 0Montpellier⁵1.5-1L

24-10-21

Lens⁶4 - 1Metz⁶1.50.29W

17-10-21

Montpellier¹⁴1 - 0Lens¹⁵1.5-1L

Paris's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-58.33%

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.832.972.973.1

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 1672.97

2024/2025

Ligue 13052.98

2023/2024

Ligue 13062.70

2022/2023

Ligue 13802.81

2021/2022

Ligue 13802.81

Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

78.65%1.2768.66%1.4674%1.3580%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 16768.66% 1.46

2024/2025

Ligue 130582.3% 1.22

2023/2024

Ligue 130675.49% 1.32

2022/2023

Ligue 138078.16% 1.28

2021/2022

Ligue 138077.11% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.281.161.31.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 1671.16

2024/2025

Ligue 13051.31

2023/2024

Ligue 13061.21

2022/2023

Ligue 13801.31

2021/2022

Ligue 13801.28

Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.551.811.81.77

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Ligue 1671.81

2024/2025

Ligue 13051.67

2023/2024

Ligue 13061.49

2022/2023

Ligue 13801.50

2021/2022

Ligue 13801.53

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

16-3.421.28-21.38%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 9 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.431.27-14.33%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Lens matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.251.27-25%

16-02-25

⁷Lens⁷0 - 2⁹Strasbourg⁶1.50.25W

05-01-25

⁷Lens¹³0 - 1⁹Toulouse¹⁴1.5-1L

10-02-24

⁶Lens⁶3 - 1¹⁰Strasbourg²1.50.29W

16-12-23

⁷Lens³2 - 0⁸Reims⁵1.50.21W

12-11-23

¹¹Lens³1 - 0¹⁰Olympique Marseille^2(A)1.5-1L

Paris matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-25%

YOUR TEXT

Lens vs Paris - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 1

Lens's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Lens's home matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

Paris's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Paris's away matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 5.1

Lens's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Lens's last 10 home matches

Paris's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Paris's last 10 away matches.

Lens's all matches (last 6 matches)

Lens's all matches - last 6

Paris's all matches (last 6 matches)

Paris's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Lens's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Paris's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Lens (ELO: 1726) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Paris (ELO 1568) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Lens's all matches (last 8 matches)

Paris's all matches (last 8 matches)

Lens's all matches (last 8 matches)

Paris's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 9 in the table

Lens matches against table positions: 8,9,10

Paris matches against table positions: 5,6,7

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