Catanzaro vs Calcio Padova - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie B

2025-10-19
18:30:00

Catanzaro¹⁴

Calcio Padova¹⁴

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

2.413.363.47

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.42

Serie B Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Modena75201331017WDWWW

2Palermo743093615WDDWW

3Frosinone7421137614LWWDW

4Venezia7331105512WDWLD

5Avellino7331119212DDWWW

6Cesena73221110111LLDWW

7Monza732276111WDLWL

8Carrarese7241117410WDDLD

9Juve Stabia724188010LWDWD

10Südtirol7232111019LDWDL

11Reggiana7232101009WDLDD

12Virtus Entella8233911-29WLDLL

13Empoli72321013-39WDDLD

14Calcio Padova722379-28LDWWL

15Catanzaro706178-16LDDDD

16Bari 19087133712-56WDDLL

17Pescara71241114-35LDLWD

18Sampdoria8125813-55LWDDL

19Mantova7115513-84DLLLL

20Spezia7034411-73LDLLD

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Catanzaro's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.621.426.2%

Catanzaro's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

06-04-25

Catanzaro⁷3 - 3⁽³⁾Bari 1908⁶1.50.39W

02-03-25

Catanzaro⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Reggiana⁷1.50.44W

01-02-25

Catanzaro⁵4 - 2⁽⁰⁾Cesena⁶1.50.47W

29-12-24

Catanzaro^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Salernitana^2(A)1.5-1L

08-12-24

Catanzaro⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Brescia⁷1.50.36W

10-02-24

Catanzaro⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Ascoli⁵1.50.53W

26-01-24

Catanzaro⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Palermo⁵1.50.31W

26-11-23

Catanzaro¹⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cosenza¹⁴1.50.36W

04-11-23

Catanzaro⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Modena⁵1.50.36W

27-09-23

Catanzaro^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cittadella²1.50.4W

Calcio Padova's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.111.5122.2%

Calcio Padova's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

04-10-25

Bari 1908³2 - 1⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova³1.50.44W

31-08-25

Carrarese⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁷1.5-1L

16-02-25

Vicenza⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova⁶1.50.78W

29-10-23

Vicenza⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova⁴1.50.53W

22-04-23

Mantova⁵1 - 3⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova⁵1.50.36W

26-02-23

Novara⁷1 - 3⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova⁷1.5W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Catanzaro's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.591.425.9%

Catanzaro's last 10 home matches

26-09-25

Catanzaro⁵2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Juve Stabia⁵1.50.43W

13-09-25

Catanzaro¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Carrarese¹²1.50.47W

24-08-25

Catanzaro⁸1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Südtirol⁷1.50.39W

21-05-25

Catanzaro³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Spezia⁷1.50.4W

17-05-25

Catanzaro³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cesena³1.5-1L

04-05-25

Catanzaro^2(A)2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Sampdoria²1.50.39W

27-04-25

Catanzaro¹⁴1 - 3⁽¹⁾Palermo¹⁵1.50.29W

06-04-25

Catanzaro⁷3 - 3⁽³⁾Bari 1908⁶1.50.39W

16-03-25

Catanzaro⁷4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cosenza⁸1.50.39W

02-03-25

Catanzaro⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Reggiana⁷1.50.44W

Calcio Padova's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-4.191.42-41.9%

Calcio Padova's last 10 away matches.

04-10-25

Bari 1908³2 - 1⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova³1.50.44W

27-09-25

Monza⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁵1.5-1L

31-08-25

Carrarese⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁷1.5-1L

23-08-25

Empoli⁷3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova¹²1.50.48W

03-05-25

Avellino⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁷1.5-1L

25-04-25

Lumezzane⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁶1.5-1L

13-04-25

Triestina⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁵1.5-1L

23-03-25

Novara⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁵1.50.45W

13-03-25

Renate³3 - 2⁽²⁾Calcio Padova³1.50.44W

02-03-25

FeralpiSalò⁷1 - 0⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova⁶1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Catanzaro's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.721.4314.4%

Catanzaro's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Monza^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Catanzaro^2(A)1.50.44W

01-10-25

Sampdoria³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Catanzaro⁴1.5-1L

26-09-25

Catanzaro⁵2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Juve Stabia⁵1.50.43W

20-09-25

Reggiana⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Catanzaro⁶1.50.38W

13-09-25

Catanzaro¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Carrarese¹²1.50.47W

30-08-25

Spezia⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Catanzaro⁵1.5-1L

Calcio Padova's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.991.45-39.8%

Calcio Padova's all matches - last 6

04-10-25

Bari 1908³2 - 1⁽¹⁾Calcio Padova³1.50.44W

30-09-25

Calcio Padova^2(A)2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Avellino²1.5W

27-09-25

Monza⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁵1.5-1L

21-09-25

Calcio Padova⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Virtus Entella⁶1.50.57W

13-09-25

Calcio Padova¹²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Frosinone¹³1.5-1L

31-08-25

Carrarese⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Calcio Padova⁷1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0000%

H2H matches - last 6

Serie B Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Modena75201331017WDWWW

2Palermo743093615WDDWW

3Frosinone7421137614LWWDW

4Venezia7331105512WDWLD

5Avellino7331119212DDWWW

6Cesena73221110111LLDWW

7Monza732276111WDLWL

8Carrarese7241117410WDDLD

9Juve Stabia724188010LWDWD

10Südtirol7232111019LDWDL

11Reggiana7232101009WDLDD

12Virtus Entella8233911-29WLDLL

13Empoli72321013-39WDDLD

14Calcio Padova722379-28LDWWL

15Catanzaro706178-16LDDDD

16Bari 19087133712-56WDDLL

17Pescara71241114-35LDLWD

18Sampdoria8125813-55LWDDL

19Mantova7115513-84DLLLL

20Spezia7034411-73LDLLD

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -17%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.53 (1.89)-0.17 (1.42)0.681.08

Serie B Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.2 - -0.15 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50-7.271.39-14.54%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Catanzaro's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.2 - -0.15 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.951.38-32.50%

30-08-25

^-0.15Spezia⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Catanzaro⁵1.5-1L

14-02-25

^-0.19Catanzaro⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cittadella⁵1.5-1L

12-04-24

^-0.16Modena⁵1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Catanzaro⁵1.50.36W

09-03-24

^-0.18Catanzaro⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Reggiana⁵1.5-1L

01-12-23

^-0.17Palermo⁴1 - 2⁽¹⁾Catanzaro⁴1.50.33W

26-11-23

^-0.18Catanzaro¹⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cosenza¹⁴1.50.36W

Calcio Padova's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.2 - -0.15 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1922.591.421.35%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Catanzaro (ELO: 1452) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.71.3821.25%

26-09-25

^-7Catanzaro⁵2 - 2Juve Stabia⁵1.50.43W

24-08-25

¹⁶Catanzaro⁸1 - 1Südtirol⁷1.50.39W

27-04-25

⁵Catanzaro¹⁴1 - 3Palermo¹⁵1.50.29W

29-12-24

²⁰Catanzaro^2(A)1 - 0Salernitana^2(A)1.5-1L

08-12-24

²³Catanzaro⁷2 - 1Brescia⁷1.50.36W

27-10-24

¹¹Catanzaro⁸3 - 0Südtirol⁷1.50.52W

10-05-24

^-25Catanzaro⁴1 - 3Sampdoria⁴1.50.25W

27-02-24

^-21Catanzaro^2(A)2 - 0Bari 1908^2(A)1.50.46W

Calcio Padova (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00021.25%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Catanzaro's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.711.29-35.5%

27-04-25

Catanzaro¹⁴1 - 3Palermo¹⁵1.50.29W

07-01-23

Catanzaro¹⁴1 - 0Taranto¹⁴1.5-1L

Calcio Padova's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-35.5%

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Catanzaro's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.691.3534.5%

18-10-24

Bari 1908¹¹1 - 1Catanzaro¹¹1.50.39W

21-10-23

Catanzaro¹³3 - 0FeralpiSalò¹⁴1.50.3W

Calcio Padova's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00034.5%

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie B Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.442.572.472.6

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie B772.57

2024/2025

Serie B3882.46

2023/2024

Serie B3892.52

2022/2023

Serie B3902.33

2021/2022

Serie B3902.48

Serie B Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

70.18%1.4280.52%1.2476%1.3283.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie B7780.52% 1.24

2024/2025

Serie B38871.13% 1.41

2023/2024

Serie B38972.49% 1.38

2022/2023

Serie B39066.92% 1.49

2021/2022

Serie B39072.05% 1.39

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie B First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.111.171.171.11

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie B771.17

2024/2025

Serie B3881.15

2023/2024

Serie B3891.11

2022/2023

Serie B3901.06

2021/2022

Serie B3901.18

Serie B Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.331.401.431.36

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026

Serie B771.40

2024/2025

Serie B3881.31

2023/2024

Serie B3891.40

2022/2023

Serie B3901.27

2021/2022

Serie B3901.29

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

91.381.4815.33%

Last 2 seasons - 15 vs 14 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.671.42-33.5%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Catanzaro matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.291.4521.5%

02-03-25

⁵Catanzaro⁶1 - 1¹⁴Reggiana⁷1.50.44W

06-10-24

¹⁷Catanzaro⁶2 - 2¹³Modena⁶1.50.54W

01-09-24

¹⁸Catanzaro³3 - 1¹⁴Carrarese⁴1.50.36W

09-03-24

⁵Catanzaro⁵0 - 1¹⁵Reggiana⁵1.5-1L

17-02-24

⁶Catanzaro⁶2 - 2¹⁴Südtirol⁶1.50.56W

09-12-23

⁶Catanzaro⁷2 - 0¹³Pisa⁶1.50.39W

Calcio Padova matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00021.5%

YOUR TEXT

Catanzaro vs Calcio Padova - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie B

Catanzaro's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Catanzaro's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

Calcio Padova's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Calcio Padova's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

Catanzaro's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Catanzaro's last 10 home matches

Calcio Padova's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Calcio Padova's last 10 away matches.

Catanzaro's all matches (last 6 matches)

Catanzaro's all matches - last 6

Calcio Padova's all matches (last 6 matches)

Calcio Padova's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Serie B Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.2 - -0.15 )

Catanzaro's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.2 - -0.15 )

Calcio Padova's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.2 - -0.15 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Catanzaro (ELO: 1452) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Calcio Padova (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Catanzaro's all matches (last 8 matches)

Calcio Padova's all matches (last 8 matches)

Catanzaro's all matches (last 8 matches)

Calcio Padova's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Serie B Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie B Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie B First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Serie B Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 15 vs 14 in the table

Catanzaro matches against table positions: 13,14,15

Calcio Padova matches against table positions: 14,15,16

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