Empoli vs Venezia - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie B

Empoli Logo

2025-10-19
16:15:00
Venezia Logo
Empoli13
Venezia14

Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)
3.333.122.63
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.38
Serie B Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Modena75201331017WDWWW
2Palermo743093615WDDWW
3Frosinone7421137614LWWDW
4Venezia7331105512WDWLD
5Avellino7331119212DDWWW
6Cesena73221110111LLDWW
7Monza732276111WDLWL
8Carrarese7241117410WDDLD
9Juve Stabia724188010LWDWD
10SĂĽdtirol7232111019LDWDL
11Reggiana7232101009WDLDD
12Virtus Entella8233911-29WLDLL
13Empoli72321013-39WDDLD
14Calcio Padova722379-28LDWWL
15Catanzaro706178-16LDDDD
16Bari 19087133712-56WDDLL
17Pescara71241114-35LDLWD
18Sampdoria8125813-55LWDDL
19Mantova7115513-84DLLLL
20Spezia7034411-73LDLLD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Empoli's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.491.4-9.8%

Empoli's home matches when WIN odds between 3.1 and 3.6

01-10-25Empoli21 - 1 (1)Monza31.5W
14-09-25Empoli151 - 1 (0)Spezia141.50.54W
25-11-24Empoli161 - 1 (1)Udinese141.50.57W
11-03-23Empoli60 - 1 (0)Udinese61.5-1L
28-01-23Empoli42 - 2 (2)Torino61.50.4W
05-11-22Empoli51 - 0 (0)Sassuolo61.5-1L

Venezia's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.261.35-31.5%

Venezia's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

15-03-24Palermo40 - 3 (1)Venezia41.50.26W
10-02-24SĂĽdtirol50 - 3 (2)Venezia61.50.48W
04-11-23Ternana50 - 1 (0)Venezia51.5-1L
22-10-23Reggiana141 - 0 (0)Venezia141.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Empoli's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.071.470.78%

Empoli's last 10 home matches

01-10-25Empoli21 - 1 (1)Monza31.5W
28-09-25Empoli2(A)2 - 2 (2)Carrarese61.50.43W
14-09-25Empoli151 - 1 (0)Spezia141.50.54W
23-08-25Empoli73 - 1 (0)Calcio Padova121.50.48W
25-05-25Empoli61 - 2 (0)Hellas Verona61.50.7W
10-05-25Empoli52 - 1 (1)Parma61.50.48W
04-05-25Empoli60 - 1 (0)Lazio51.5-1L
20-04-25Empoli52 - 2 (2)Venezia71.50.44W
06-04-25Empoli40 - 0 (0)Cagliari61.5-1L
09-03-25Empoli60 - 1 (0)Roma21.5-1L

Venezia's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.741.378.22%

Venezia's last 10 away matches.

30-09-25Palermo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Venezia21.5-1L
13-09-25Pescara132 - 2 (2)Venezia131.50.36W
30-08-25Juve Stabia60 - 0 (0)Venezia51.5-1L
18-05-25Cagliari73 - 0 (0)Venezia51.50.39W
02-05-25Torino41 - 1 (1)Venezia41.50.43W
20-04-25Empoli52 - 2 (2)Venezia71.50.44W
06-04-25Lecce71 - 1 (0)Venezia71.50.47W
08-03-25Como51 - 1 (1)Venezia61.50.31W
01-03-25Atalanta50 - 0 (0)Venezia61.5-1L
17-02-25Genoa82 - 0 (2)Venezia71.50.34W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Empoli's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.351.4747%

Empoli's all matches - last 6

05-10-25SĂĽdtirol31 - 2 (1)Empoli31.50.43W
01-10-25Empoli21 - 1 (1)Monza31.5W
28-09-25Empoli2(A)2 - 2 (2)Carrarese61.50.43W
21-09-25Pescara74 - 0 (2)Empoli61.50.41W
14-09-25Empoli151 - 1 (0)Spezia141.50.54W
29-08-25Reggiana53 - 1 (1)Empoli51.50.54W

Venezia's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.411.368.2%

Venezia's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Venezia33 - 0 (0)Frosinone31.50.3W
30-09-25Palermo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Venezia21.5-1L
27-09-25Venezia2(A)2 - 0 (0)Spezia2(A)1.50.36W
20-09-25Venezia61 - 2 (1)Cesena61.50.39W
13-09-25Pescara132 - 2 (2)Venezia131.50.36W
30-08-25Juve Stabia60 - 0 (0)Venezia51.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.841.4242%

H2H matches - last 6

20-04-25Empoli52 - 2 (2)Venezia71.50.44W
04-01-25Venezia51 - 1 (0)Empoli61.50.4W
Serie B Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Modena75201331017WDWWW
2Palermo743093615WDDWW
3Frosinone7421137614LWWDW
4Venezia7331105512WDWLD
5Avellino7331119212DDWWW
6Cesena73221110111LLDWW
7Monza732276111WDLWL
8Carrarese7241117410WDDLD
9Juve Stabia724188010LWDWD
10SĂĽdtirol7232111019LDWDL
11Reggiana7232101009WDLDD
12Virtus Entella8233911-29WLDLL
13Empoli72321013-39WDDLD
14Calcio Padova722379-28LDWWL
15Catanzaro706178-16LDDDD
16Bari 19087133712-56WDDLL
17Pescara71241114-35LDLWD
18Sampdoria8125813-55LWDDL
19Mantova7115513-84DLLLL
20Spezia7034411-73LDLLD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 8%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.80 (1.25)0.08 (1.38)0.532.46

Serie B Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
884.971.375.65%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Empoli's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%

Venezia's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.111.3515.86%
05-05-240.09Venezia32 - 1 (2)FeralpiSalò31.50.18W
14-04-240.08Venezia62 - 0 (1)Brescia71.50.28W
03-02-240.10Parma62 - 1 (1)Venezia61.50.33W
20-01-240.09Cosenza54 - 2 (2)Venezia51.50.41W
16-12-230.09Venezia62 - 3 (1)SĂĽdtirol61.50.48W
25-11-230.09Bari 1908130 - 3 (2)Venezia141.50.43W
04-11-230.06Ternana50 - 1 (0)Venezia51.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1934.941.422.59%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -23 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Empoli (ELO: 1537) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.691.54-21.13%
25-05-252Empoli61 - 2Hellas Verona61.50.7W
10-05-25-22Empoli52 - 1Parma61.50.48W
06-04-25-24Empoli40 - 0Cagliari61.5-1L
28-12-24-11Empoli51 - 2Genoa61.50.56W
13-12-24-44Empoli40 - 1Torino51.5-1L
25-11-24-10Empoli161 - 1Udinese141.50.57W
17-08-24-26Empoli60 - 0Monza71.5-1L
03-02-24-42Empoli60 - 0Genoa51.5-1L

Venezia (ELO 1560) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.691.38-24.14%
30-05-242Cremonese40 - 0Venezia51.5-1L
15-03-24-38Palermo40 - 3Venezia41.50.26W
03-03-24-34Como42 - 1Venezia31.50.33W
25-11-23-21Bari 1908130 - 3Venezia141.50.43W
23-04-23-33Ternana61 - 4Venezia71.50.29W
10-04-23-35Reggina41 - 0Venezia81.5-1L
18-03-23-1Ascoli70 - 1Venezia61.5-1L
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Empoli's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.181.32-23.6%
29-03-25Como131 - 1Empoli131.50.33W
20-10-24Empoli130 - 1Napoli151.5-1L
14-09-24Empoli130 - 0Juventus121.5-1L
26-11-23Empoli133 - 4Sassuolo151.50.23W
17-09-23Roma157 - 0Empoli131.50.26W

Venezia's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.41.33-35%
14-09-24Milan134 - 0Venezia141.50.17W
25-11-23Bari 1908130 - 3Venezia141.50.43W
22-10-23Reggiana141 - 0Venezia141.5-1L
27-11-22Palermo140 - 1Venezia141.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Empoli's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-35%

Venezia's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.311.34-10.33%
22-10-23Reggiana141 - 0Venezia141.5-1L
22-10-22Brescia2(A)1 - 1Venezia71.50.31W
14-10-22Venezia51 - 3Frosinone51.50.38W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie B Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.442.572.472.6

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B772.57
2024/2025Serie B3882.46
2023/2024Serie B3892.52
2022/2023Serie B3902.33
2021/2022Serie B3902.48

Serie B Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.18%1.4280.52%1.2476%1.3283.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B7780.52% 1.24
2024/2025Serie B38871.13% 1.41
2023/2024Serie B38972.49% 1.38
2022/2023Serie B39066.92% 1.49
2021/2022Serie B39072.05% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie B First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.111.171.171.11

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B771.17
2024/2025Serie B3881.15
2023/2024Serie B3891.11
2022/2023Serie B3901.06
2021/2022Serie B3901.18

Serie B Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.331.401.431.36

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B771.40
2024/2025Serie B3881.31
2023/2024Serie B3891.40
2022/2023Serie B3901.27
2021/2022Serie B3901.29
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
15-2.421.39-16.13%

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 7 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-16.13%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Empoli matches against table positions: 6,7,8

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-16.13%

Venezia matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.481.4848%
10-02-2412SĂĽdtirol50 - 34Venezia61.50.48W
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