Palermo vs Modena - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie B

Palermo Logo

2025-10-19
14:00:00
Modena Logo
Palermo14
Modena13

Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
2.273.194.08
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.38
Serie B Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Modena75201331017WDWWW
2Palermo743093615WDDWW
3Frosinone7421137614LWWDW
4Venezia7331105512WDWLD
5Avellino7331119212DDWWW
6Cesena73221110111LLDWW
7Monza732276111WDLWL
8Carrarese7241117410WDDLD
9Juve Stabia724188010LWDWD
10SĂĽdtirol7232111019LDWDL
11Reggiana7232101009WDLDD
12Virtus Entella8233911-29WLDLL
13Empoli72321013-39WDDLD
14Calcio Padova722379-28LDWWL
15Catanzaro706178-16LDDDD
16Bari 19087133712-56WDDLL
17Pescara71241114-35LDLWD
18Sampdoria8125813-55LWDDL
19Mantova7115513-84DLLLL
20Spezia7034411-73LDLLD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Palermo's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
103.081.3434.22%

Palermo's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

30-09-25Palermo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Venezia21.5-1L
31-01-25Palermo41 - 2 (0)Pisa41.50.39W
12-01-25Palermo132 - 0 (0)Modena131.50.39W
24-11-24Palermo151 - 1 (0)Sampdoria141.50.32W
05-05-24Palermo32 - 2 (1)Ascoli31.50.43W
06-04-24Palermo42 - 2 (0)Sampdoria41.50.22W
17-02-24Palermo63 - 0 (1)Como71.50.28W
20-01-24Palermo64 - 2 (2)Modena61.50.35W
16-12-23Palermo53 - 2 (1)Pisa61.50.37W
01-12-23Palermo41 - 2 (1)Catanzaro41.50.33W

Modena's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.31.4313%

Modena's away matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 4.8

25-08-25Sampdoria60 - 2 (1)Modena61.50.48W
04-05-25Carrarese2(A)2 - 1 (1)Modena21.50.39W
25-04-25Bari 1908131 - 2 (0)Modena121.50.39W
15-03-25Juve Stabia62 - 1 (0)Modena61.50.48W
08-03-25Salernitana61 - 0 (0)Modena51.5-1L
26-01-25Cremonese72 - 2 (1)Modena71.50.48W
12-01-25Palermo132 - 0 (0)Modena131.50.39W
02-11-24Spezia31 - 0 (0)Modena31.5-1L
26-10-24Sassuolo62 - 0 (0)Modena61.50.29W
13-09-24Cesena112 - 2 (0)Modena121.50.4W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Palermo's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.051.28-0.56%

Palermo's last 10 home matches

30-09-25Palermo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Venezia21.5-1L
19-09-25Palermo42 - 0 (2)Bari 190851.50.26W
30-08-25Palermo60 - 0 (0)Frosinone51.5-1L
23-08-25Palermo62 - 1 (0)Reggiana71.50.28W
13-05-25Palermo31 - 1 (1)Carrarese31.50.21W
09-05-25Palermo42 - 0 (0)Frosinone41.50.28W
01-05-25Palermo31 - 2 (0)SĂĽdtirol31.50.29W
06-04-25Palermo65 - 3 (2)Sassuolo71.50.27W
14-03-25Palermo52 - 3 (2)Cremonese51.50.36W
02-03-25Palermo61 - 0 (1)Brescia61.5-1L

Modena's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.911.4310.11%

Modena's last 10 away matches.

01-10-25Carrarese2(A)0 - 0 (0)Modena21.5-1L
20-09-25Mantova51 - 3 (0)Modena61.50.34W
25-08-25Sampdoria60 - 2 (1)Modena61.50.48W
04-05-25Carrarese2(A)2 - 1 (1)Modena21.50.39W
25-04-25Bari 1908131 - 2 (0)Modena121.50.39W
05-04-25Pisa61 - 2 (1)Modena61.50.35W
15-03-25Juve Stabia62 - 1 (0)Modena61.50.48W
08-03-25Salernitana61 - 0 (0)Modena51.5-1L
22-02-25Cittadella70 - 2 (1)Modena61.50.48W
08-02-25Sampdoria61 - 0 (0)Modena61.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Palermo's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.531.3610.6%

Palermo's all matches - last 6

04-10-25Spezia31 - 2 (1)Palermo31.50.46W
30-09-25Palermo2(A)0 - 0 (0)Venezia21.5-1L
27-09-25Cesena61 - 1 (0)Palermo31.50.43W
19-09-25Palermo42 - 0 (2)Bari 190851.50.26W
14-09-25SĂĽdtirol130 - 2 (1)Palermo141.50.38W
30-08-25Palermo60 - 0 (0)Frosinone51.5-1L

Modena's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.981.439.6%

Modena's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Modena32 - 0 (1)Virtus Entella41.50.53W
01-10-25Carrarese2(A)0 - 0 (0)Modena21.5-1L
28-09-25Modena72 - 1 (0)Pescara61.50.33W
20-09-25Mantova51 - 3 (0)Modena61.50.34W
13-09-25Modena123 - 0 (1)Bari 1908121.50.36W
31-08-25Modena51 - 1 (0)Avellino61.50.42W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.181.3636.33%

H2H matches - last 6

12-01-25Palermo132 - 0 (0)Modena131.50.39W
19-10-24Modena122 - 2 (1)Palermo121.50.43W
20-01-24Palermo64 - 2 (2)Modena61.50.35W
07-10-23Modena60 - 2 (1)Palermo51.50.36W
17-03-23Palermo55 - 2 (1)Modena51.50.39W
29-10-22Modena50 - 2 (0)Palermo51.50.26W
Serie B Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Modena75201331017WDWWW
2Palermo743093615WDDWW
3Frosinone7421137614LWWDW
4Venezia7331105512WDWLD
5Avellino7331119212DDWWW
6Cesena73221110111LLDWW
7Monza732276111WDLWL
8Carrarese7241117410WDDLD
9Juve Stabia724188010LWDWD
10SĂĽdtirol7232111019LDWDL
11Reggiana7232101009WDLDD
12Virtus Entella8233911-29WLDLL
13Empoli72321013-39WDDLD
14Calcio Padova722379-28LDWWL
15Catanzaro706178-16LDDDD
16Bari 19087133712-56WDDLL
17Pescara71241114-35LDLWD
18Sampdoria8125813-55LWDDL
19Mantova7115513-84DLLLL
20Spezia7034411-73LDLLD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -47%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.25 (4)-0.47 (1.38)0.400.56

Serie B Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.211.425.25%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Palermo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.431.4343.00%
05-05-24-0.46Palermo32 - 2 (1)Ascoli31.50.43W

Modena's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1660.851.410.52%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 33 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Palermo (ELO: 1501) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.281.35-16%
02-03-2537Palermo61 - 0Brescia61.5-1L
16-02-2550Palermo62 - 2Mantova71.50.28W
19-01-2521Palermo61 - 0Juve Stabia61.5-1L
12-01-258Palermo132 - 0Modena131.50.39W
26-10-2446Palermo62 - 0Reggiana51.50.32W
21-09-2444Palermo60 - 0Cesena71.5-1L
01-09-2411Palermo41 - 1Cosenza31.50.3W
05-05-2433Palermo32 - 2Ascoli31.50.43W

Modena (ELO 1468) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.411.530.13%
25-08-2539Sampdoria60 - 2Modena61.50.48W
25-04-2518Bari 1908131 - 2Modena121.50.39W
12-01-258Palermo132 - 0Modena131.50.39W
22-11-2424Cosenza121 - 1Modena121.50.48W
06-10-2431Catanzaro62 - 2Modena61.50.54W
17-08-2426SĂĽdtirol72 - 1Modena61.50.7W
20-04-249Ascoli60 - 0Modena71.5-1L
03-02-2439Sampdoria52 - 2Modena61.50.43W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Palermo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.251.37-8.33%
14-09-25SĂĽdtirol130 - 2Palermo141.50.38W
01-04-23Parma132 - 1Palermo141.50.37W
27-11-22Palermo140 - 1Venezia141.5-1L

Modena's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.31.3838.33%
29-03-25Modena132 - 1Catanzaro121.50.37W
12-01-25Palermo132 - 0Modena131.50.39W
25-11-23Parma121 - 1Modena131.50.36W
21-10-23Bari 1908131 - 1Modena131.50.46W
16-09-23FeralpiSalò61 - 1Modena131.50.43W
26-11-22Parma131 - 2Modena131.50.29W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Palermo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.121.393%
19-10-24Modena122 - 2Palermo121.50.43W
23-10-23Palermo152 - 2Spezia141.50.31W
23-10-22Palermo70 - 0Cittadella41.5-1L
15-10-22Palermo63 - 3Pisa61.50.38W

Modena's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.361.377.2%
19-10-24Modena122 - 2Palermo121.50.43W
24-10-23Brescia2(A)0 - 1Modena2(A)1.5-1L
21-10-23Bari 1908131 - 1Modena131.50.46W
23-10-22Pisa74 - 2Modena2(A)1.50.21W
15-10-22Modena65 - 1Como51.50.26W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie B Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.442.572.472.6

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B772.57
2024/2025Serie B3882.46
2023/2024Serie B3892.52
2022/2023Serie B3902.33
2021/2022Serie B3902.48

Serie B Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.18%1.4280.52%1.2476%1.3283.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B7780.52% 1.24
2024/2025Serie B38871.13% 1.41
2023/2024Serie B38972.49% 1.38
2022/2023Serie B39066.92% 1.49
2021/2022Serie B39072.05% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie B First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.111.171.171.11

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B771.17
2024/2025Serie B3881.15
2023/2024Serie B3891.11
2022/2023Serie B3901.06
2021/2022Serie B3901.18

Serie B Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.331.401.431.36

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025/2026Serie B771.40
2024/2025Serie B3881.31
2023/2024Serie B3891.40
2022/2023Serie B3901.27
2021/2022Serie B3901.29
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.791.357.9%

Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0007.9%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Palermo matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.41.31-17.5%
30-08-257Palermo60 - 03Frosinone51.5-1L
06-04-258Palermo65 - 31Sassuolo71.50.27W
31-01-258Palermo41 - 22Pisa41.50.39W
01-12-249Palermo62 - 02Spezia61.50.4W
20-05-246Palermo20 - 13Venezia91.5-1L
19-04-246Palermo50 - 01Parma51.5-1L
15-03-245Palermo40 - 33Venezia41.50.26W
17-02-245Palermo63 - 03Como71.50.28W

Modena matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.361.387.2%
05-04-252Pisa61 - 210Modena61.50.35W
02-11-243Spezia31 - 017Modena31.5-1L
26-10-243Sassuolo62 - 015Modena61.50.29W
25-11-231Parma121 - 15Modena131.50.36W
04-11-233Catanzaro61 - 25Modena51.50.36W
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