River Plate vs Cerro Largo - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

2025-10-19
14:30:00

River Plate⁶

Cerro Largo⁷

Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi (Montevideo)

3.133.332.63

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.51

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool159512291332WLWWD

2Nacional1594235161931WWWWW

3Juventud159332315830WWDWL

4Peñarol158342117427WWWWW

5Defensor Sporting157351712524LLWLW

6Racing156541410423DDDLD

7Boston River156451617-122DWWWW

8Cerro Largo155641516-121LWDWL

9Plaza Colonia155461313019LLDLD

10Montevideo City Torque154561622-617LLLWD

11Atlético Progreso153661727-1015LWLWD

12Cerro153661320-714DLLLL

13Wanderers152671217-512WLLLD

14Danubio151951217-512WDLLL

15Miramar Misiones153391624-812DWLLL

16River Plate152491020-1010LLWLW

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

River Plate's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.791.4122.38%

River Plate's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3

29-03-25

River Plate^2(A)1 - 2⁽²⁾Plaza Colonia²1.50.43W

04-10-24

River Plate⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool⁴1.50.31W

29-07-24

River Plate⁹2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Racing⁵1.50.4W

02-06-24

River Plate⁶3 - 3⁽²⁾Racing⁴1.50.37W

05-05-24

River Plate⁵2 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁷1.50.5W

02-12-23

River Plate^1(A)1 - 2⁽¹⁾Montevideo City Torque²1.50.39W

16-11-23

River Plate⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Fénix³1.5-1L

31-03-23

River Plate⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Danubio⁵1.50.39W

Cerro Largo's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

31.51.550%

Cerro Largo's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

01-03-24

Miramar Misiones⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁴1.50.48W

15-04-23

Plaza Colonia⁴2 - 0⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁵1.50.48W

10-03-23

La Luz⁴0 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁴1.50.54W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

River Plate's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-4.831.41-53.67%

River Plate's last 10 home matches

03-10-25

River Plate⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁵1.5-1L

21-09-25

River Plate⁶2 - 3⁽¹⁾Racing⁷1.50.5W

14-09-25

River Plate⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Atlético Progreso⁶1.5-1L

30-08-25

River Plate0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Nacional1.50.21W

02-08-25

River Plate^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro⁴1.5-1L

13-06-25

River Plate⁶1 - 3⁽⁾Peñarol⁵1.5W

01-06-25

River Plate⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Defensor Sporting⁷1.50.46W

17-05-25

River Plate¹²0 - 1⁽¹⁾Wanderers¹⁴1.5-1L

26-04-25

River Plate⁷1 - 0⁽¹⁾Danubio⁷1.5-1L

13-04-25

River Plate⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Juventud⁷1.5-1L

Cerro Largo's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.351.44-3.89%

Cerro Largo's last 10 away matches.

04-10-25

Nacional⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.50.27W

20-09-25

Montevideo City Torque⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.5-1L

07-09-25

Cerro⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁵1.5-1L

23-08-25

Miramar Misiones1 - 1⁽⁾Cerro Largo1.5W

09-08-25

Atlético Progreso⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.50.46W

02-08-25

Juventud³0 - 2⁽²⁾Cerro Largo¹⁰1.50.39W

19-06-25

Cerro^2(A)2 - 1⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁸1.50.62W

07-06-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾Cerro Largo⁵1.50.45W

24-05-25

Defensor Sporting⁵3 - 2⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁵1.50.46W

18-05-25

Liverpool¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo²1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

River Plate's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.041.44-0.67%

River Plate's all matches - last 6

12-10-25

Juventud⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁸1.50.47W

03-10-25

River Plate⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁵1.5-1L

28-09-25

Plaza Colonia⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁶1.50.57W

21-09-25

River Plate⁶2 - 3⁽¹⁾Racing⁷1.50.5W

14-09-25

River Plate⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Atlético Progreso⁶1.5-1L

06-09-25

Boston River⁵2 - 0⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁶1.50.42W

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.781.46-29.67%

Cerro Largo's all matches - last 6

11-10-25

Cerro Largo⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁶1.50.52W

04-10-25

Nacional⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.50.27W

27-09-25

Cerro Largo⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Peñarol⁵1.50.43W

20-09-25

Montevideo City Torque⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.5-1L

13-09-25

Cerro Largo⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Defensor Sporting⁷1.5-1L

07-09-25

Cerro⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁵1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.021.47-40.4%

H2H matches - last 6

18-04-25

Cerro Largo⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁴1.5-1L

09-11-24

Cerro Largo⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾River Plate⁵1.5-1L

05-05-24

River Plate⁵2 - 3⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁷1.50.5W

19-08-23

River Plate²⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo²⁷1.5-1L

04-02-23

Cerro Largo⁸2 - 1⁽²⁾River Plate⁸1.50.48W

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool159512291332WLWWD

2Nacional1594235161931WWWWW

3Juventud159332315830WWDWL

4Peñarol158342117427WWWWW

5Defensor Sporting157351712524LLWLW

6Racing156541410423DDDLD

7Boston River156451617-122DWWWW

8Cerro Largo155641516-121LWDWL

9Plaza Colonia155461313019LLDLD

10Montevideo City Torque154561622-617LLLWD

11Atlético Progreso153661727-1015LWLWD

12Cerro153661320-714DLLLL

13Wanderers152671217-512WLLLD

14Danubio151951217-512WDLLL

15Miramar Misiones153391624-812DWLLL

16River Plate152491020-1010LLWLW

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -2%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.64 (1.56)-0.02 (1.51)0.761.43

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

71-12.191.40-17.17%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

River Plate's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-2.681.35-33.50%

26-03-25

^-0.02Racing³1 - 0⁽¹⁾River Plate^2(A)1.5-1L

04-10-24

^-0.01River Plate⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool⁴1.50.31W

19-07-24

^-0.02Defensor Sporting⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁴1.5-1L

14-07-24

^-0.02River Plate⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Peñarol⁴1.50.24W

09-06-24

^-0.02Atlético Progreso⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁶1.5-1L

14-04-24

^0.00Defensor Sporting⁸2 - 1⁽¹⁾River Plate⁷1.50.36W

30-03-24

^0.00Liverpool¹⁴1 - 1⁽²⁾River Plate¹³1.50.41W

02-03-24

^-0.02River Plate⁷1 - 0⁽¹⁾Danubio⁶1.5-1L

Cerro Largo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.661.45-13.20%

07-09-25

^-0.03Cerro⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁵1.5-1L

09-08-25

^-0.04Atlético Progreso⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.50.46W

13-10-24

^0.00Cerro Largo⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁶1.5-1L

26-05-24

^-0.02Defensor Sporting⁷3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro Largo⁶1.50.38W

11-03-24

^-0.01Cerro Largo³2 - 0⁽¹⁾Rampla Juniors⁷1.50.5W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27.25%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

River Plate (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27.25%

Cerro Largo (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27.25%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

River Plate's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.271.433.86%

28-09-25

Plaza Colonia⁷1 - 1River Plate⁶1.50.57W

21-09-25

River Plate⁶2 - 3Racing⁷1.50.5W

06-09-25

Boston River⁵2 - 0River Plate⁶1.50.42W

13-06-25

River Plate⁶1 - 3Peñarol⁵1.5W

01-06-25

River Plate⁶1 - 2Defensor Sporting⁷1.50.46W

13-04-25

River Plate⁶1 - 0Juventud⁷1.5-1L

24-02-25

River Plate⁶1 - 1Peñarol⁸1.50.32W

26-11-24

River Plate⁶1 - 0Cerro⁷1.5-1L

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-3.641.45-45.5%

15-02-25

Danubio⁵0 - 0Cerro Largo⁷1.5-1L

27-11-24

Cerro Largo⁷3 - 0Defensor Sporting⁹1.50.44W

13-10-24

Cerro Largo⁷0 - 1Nacional⁶1.5-1L

14-07-24

Cerro⁷0 - 1Cerro Largo⁷1.5-1L

17-06-24

Boston River⁵0 - 2Cerro Largo⁷1.50.42W

05-05-24

River Plate⁵2 - 3Cerro Largo⁷1.50.5W

06-04-24

Nacional²1 - 0Cerro Largo⁷1.5-1L

29-04-23

Cerro⁴0 - 0Cerro Largo⁷1.5-1L

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

River Plate's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.141.37-14.25%

19-10-24

Atlético Progreso^2(A)2 - 0River Plate²1.50.34W

16-10-24

River Plate³0 - 1Defensor Sporting³1.5-1L

22-10-23

River Plate^2(A)0 - 3Peñarol³1.50.43W

19-10-23

Deportivo Maldonado⁴0 - 0River Plate³1.5-1L

15-10-23

River Plate⁶2 - 1Boston River⁶1.50.41W

21-10-22

River Plate⁴2 - 1Montevideo City Torque³1.50.29W

16-10-22

Peñarol³1 - 1River Plate²1.50.39W

20-10-21

Plaza Colonia³0 - 0River Plate³1.5-1L

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-2.181.44-27.25%

20-10-24

Cerro Largo²0 - 0Danubio³1.5-1L

17-10-24

Cerro Largo³1 - 0Deportivo Maldonado⁵1.5-1L

21-10-23

Defensor Sporting^2(A)2 - 0Cerro Largo²1.50.4W

18-10-23

Cerro Largo³1 - 3La Luz³1.50.47W

14-10-23

Wanderers⁶1 - 1Cerro Largo⁶1.50.5W

22-10-22

Cerro Largo⁵0 - 2Peñarol⁵1.50.45W

16-10-22

Liverpool^2(A)1 - 0Cerro Largo⁴1.5-1L

21-10-21

Sud América⁴0 - 0Cerro Largo³1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.32.332.382.1

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2432.33

2024

Primera Division2942.43

2023

Primera Division2992.29

2022

Primera Division2972.18

2021

Primera Division1502.49

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

67.08%1.4965.84%1.5265%1.5460%1.67

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division24365.84% 1.52

2024

Primera Division29469.05% 1.45

2023

Primera Division29968.56% 1.46

2022

Primera Division29763.64% 1.57

2021

Primera Division15068.67% 1.46

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

0.991.010.971.1

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2431.01

2024

Primera Division2941.06

2023

Primera Division2990.99

2022

Primera Division2970.91

2021

Primera Division1501.09

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.311.321.131.28

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2431.32

2024

Primera Division2941.36

2023

Primera Division2991.30

2022

Primera Division2971.27

2021

Primera Division1501.41

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

19-4.91.41-25.79%

Last 2 seasons - 14 vs 9 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.621.41-31%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

River Plate matches against table positions: 8,9,10

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.681.3433.6%

30-08-25

¹⁴River Plate0 - 3¹⁰Nacional1.50.21W

24-02-25

¹⁴River Plate⁶1 - 1⁸Peñarol⁸1.50.32W

29-07-24

⁶River Plate⁹2 - 2⁸Racing⁵1.50.4W

02-12-23

⁷River Plate^1(A)1 - 2⁹Montevideo City Torque²1.50.39W

04-11-23

¹¹River Plate¹²0 - 3¹⁰Nacional¹¹1.50.36W

Cerro Largo matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.921.4918.4%

02-08-25

¹⁴Juventud³0 - 2⁴Cerro Largo¹⁰1.50.39W

10-03-25

¹⁵Wanderers⁴3 - 0⁵Cerro Largo³1.50.47W

08-09-24

¹⁵Fénix²⁰1 - 0⁹Cerro Largo²¹1.5-1L

24-03-24

¹⁶Cerro¹⁴1 - 1⁶Cerro Largo¹²1.50.58W

01-03-24

¹⁶Miramar Misiones⁵1 - 2¹¹Cerro Largo⁴1.50.48W

YOUR TEXT

River Plate vs Cerro Largo - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

River Plate's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

River Plate's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3

Cerro Largo's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Cerro Largo's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

River Plate's home matches (last 10 all matches)

River Plate's last 10 home matches

Cerro Largo's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Cerro Largo's last 10 away matches.

River Plate's all matches (last 6 matches)

River Plate's all matches - last 6

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 6 matches)

Cerro Largo's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

River Plate's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

Cerro Largo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

River Plate (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Cerro Largo (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

River Plate's all matches (last 8 matches)

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 8 matches)

River Plate's all matches (last 8 matches)

Cerro Largo's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 14 vs 9 in the table

River Plate matches against table positions: 8,9,10

Cerro Largo matches against table positions: 14,15,16

About #BetTheBuilder