Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
URUGUAY - Primera Division
2025-10-19
19:30:00
Atlético Progreso8
Defensor Sporting7
Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)
3.263.382.52Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.38
Primera Division Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Liverpool159512291332WLWWD
2Nacional1594235161931WWWWW
3Juventud159332315830WWDWL
4Peñarol158342117427WWWWW
5Defensor Sporting157351712524LLWLW
6Racing156541410423DDDLD
7Boston River156451617-122DWWWW
8Cerro Largo155641516-121LWDWL
9Plaza Colonia155461313019LLDLD
10Montevideo City Torque154561622-617LLLWD
11Atlético Progreso153661727-1015LWLWD
12Cerro153661320-714DLLLL
13Wanderers152671217-512WLLLD
14Danubio151951217-512WDLLL
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812DWLLL
16River Plate152491020-1010LLWLW
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Atlético Progreso's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.791.3813.17%
Atlético Progreso's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.5
19-06-25
Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 0 (1)Boston River71.50.45W
Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 0 (1)Boston River71.50.45W31-05-25Atlético Progreso70 - 1 (0)Danubio51.5-1L
Atlético Progreso70 - 1 (0)Danubio51.5-1L18-05-25Atlético Progreso131 - 2 (1)Juventud131.50.33W
Atlético Progreso131 - 2 (1)Juventud131.50.33W12-04-25Atlético Progreso51 - 1 (1)Plaza Colonia61.50.41W
Atlético Progreso51 - 1 (1)Plaza Colonia61.50.41W07-07-24Atlético Progreso213 - 2 (2)Racing141.50.33W
Atlético Progreso213 - 2 (2)Racing141.50.33W12-05-24Atlético Progreso71 - 4 (2)Defensor Sporting61.50.27W
Atlético Progreso71 - 4 (2)Defensor Sporting61.50.27WDefensor Sporting's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.051.4-0.5%
Defensor Sporting's away matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7
27-04-25Montevideo City Torque60 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting61.5-1L
Montevideo City Torque60 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting61.5-1L27-03-25Danubio31 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting31.50.48W
Danubio31 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting31.50.48W16-03-25Juventud72 - 1 (1)Defensor Sporting81.50.41W
Juventud72 - 1 (1)Defensor Sporting81.50.41W30-11-24Miramar Misiones0 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting1.5-1L
Miramar Misiones0 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting1.5-1L27-11-24Cerro Largo73 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting91.50.44W
Cerro Largo73 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting91.50.44W14-07-24FĂ©nix61 - 2 (1)Defensor Sporting61.50.4W
FĂ©nix61 - 2 (1)Defensor Sporting61.50.4W22-06-24Racing50 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting61.5-1L
Racing50 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting61.5-1L19-04-24Liverpool2(A)1 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting41.50.32W
Liverpool2(A)1 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting41.50.32W19-08-23FĂ©nix281 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting191.50.47W
FĂ©nix281 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting191.50.47W19-03-23Cerro Largo80 - 3 (1)Defensor Sporting51.50.43W
Cerro Largo80 - 3 (1)Defensor Sporting51.50.43W MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Atlético Progreso's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.321.4213.2%
Atlético Progreso's last 10 home matches
05-10-25Atlético Progreso52 - 0 (0)Cerro81.50.49W
Atlético Progreso52 - 0 (0)Cerro81.50.49W21-09-25Atlético Progreso62 - 0 (0)Wanderers61.50.47W
Atlético Progreso62 - 0 (0)Wanderers61.50.47W07-09-25Atlético Progreso63 - 2 (0)Miramar Misiones61.50.38W
Atlético Progreso63 - 2 (0)Miramar Misiones61.50.38W09-08-25Atlético Progreso71 - 2 (0)Cerro Largo61.50.46W
Atlético Progreso71 - 2 (0)Cerro Largo61.50.46W19-06-25Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 0 (1)Boston River71.50.45W
Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 0 (1)Boston River71.50.45W08-06-25Atlético Progreso71 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones71.5-1L
Atlético Progreso71 - 0 (0)Miramar Misiones71.5-1L31-05-25Atlético Progreso70 - 1 (0)Danubio51.5-1L
Atlético Progreso70 - 1 (0)Danubio51.5-1L18-05-25Atlético Progreso131 - 2 (1)Juventud131.50.33W
Atlético Progreso131 - 2 (1)Juventud131.50.33W27-04-25Atlético Progreso60 - 2 (1)Liverpool61.50.33W
Atlético Progreso60 - 2 (1)Liverpool61.50.33W12-04-25Atlético Progreso51 - 1 (1)Plaza Colonia61.50.41W
Atlético Progreso51 - 1 (1)Plaza Colonia61.50.41WDefensor Sporting's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.921.43-29.2%
Defensor Sporting's last 10 away matches.
11-10-25Cerro51 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting41.5-1L
Cerro51 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting41.5-1L29-09-25Miramar Misiones70 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting91.5-1L
Miramar Misiones70 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting91.5-1L13-09-25Cerro Largo51 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting71.5-1L
Cerro Largo51 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting71.5-1L30-08-25Liverpool2 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting1.50.45W
Liverpool2 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting1.50.45W02-08-25Boston River44 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting41.50.47W
Boston River44 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting41.50.47W07-06-25Peñarol53 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting51.50.44W
Peñarol53 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting51.50.44W01-06-25River Plate61 - 2 (0)Defensor Sporting71.50.46W
River Plate61 - 2 (0)Defensor Sporting71.50.46W18-05-25Nacional22 - 1 (1)Defensor Sporting141.50.26W
Nacional22 - 1 (1)Defensor Sporting141.50.26W27-04-25Montevideo City Torque60 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting61.5-1L
Montevideo City Torque60 - 1 (0)Defensor Sporting61.5-1L07-04-25Wanderers60 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting51.5-1L
Wanderers60 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting51.5-1L SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Atlético Progreso's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.661.44-27.67%
Atlético Progreso's all matches - last 6
10-10-25Plaza Colonia40 - 1 (0)Atlético Progreso41.5-1L
Plaza Colonia40 - 1 (0)Atlético Progreso41.5-1L05-10-25Atlético Progreso52 - 0 (0)Cerro81.50.49W
Atlético Progreso52 - 0 (0)Cerro81.50.49W29-09-25Racing70 - 0 (0)Atlético Progreso71.5-1L
Racing70 - 0 (0)Atlético Progreso71.5-1L21-09-25Atlético Progreso62 - 0 (0)Wanderers61.50.47W
Atlético Progreso62 - 0 (0)Wanderers61.50.47W14-09-25River Plate70 - 0 (0)Atlético Progreso61.5-1L
River Plate70 - 0 (0)Atlético Progreso61.5-1L07-09-25Atlético Progreso63 - 2 (0)Miramar Misiones61.50.38W
Atlético Progreso63 - 2 (0)Miramar Misiones61.50.38WDefensor Sporting's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.051.48-50.83%
Defensor Sporting's all matches - last 6
11-10-25Cerro51 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting41.5-1L
Cerro51 - 0 (1)Defensor Sporting41.5-1L06-10-25Defensor Sporting62 - 1 (0)Wanderers91.50.43W
Defensor Sporting62 - 1 (0)Wanderers91.50.43W29-09-25Miramar Misiones70 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting91.5-1L
Miramar Misiones70 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting91.5-1L19-09-25Defensor Sporting52 - 1 (1)Danubio41.50.52W
Defensor Sporting52 - 1 (1)Danubio41.50.52W13-09-25Cerro Largo51 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting71.5-1L
Cerro Largo51 - 0 (0)Defensor Sporting71.5-1L05-09-25Defensor Sporting51 - 0 (1)Juventud41.5-1L
Defensor Sporting51 - 0 (1)Juventud41.5-1L HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.211.330.25%
H2H matches - last 6
20-04-25Defensor Sporting51 - 2 (2)Atlético Progreso71.50.28W
Defensor Sporting51 - 2 (2)Atlético Progreso71.50.28W14-11-24Defensor Sporting33 - 0 (1)Atlético Progreso31.50.41W
Defensor Sporting33 - 0 (1)Atlético Progreso31.50.41W15-06-24Defensor Sporting61 - 1 (0)Atlético Progreso51.50.25W
Defensor Sporting61 - 1 (0)Atlético Progreso51.50.25W12-05-24Atlético Progreso71 - 4 (2)Defensor Sporting61.50.27W
Atlético Progreso71 - 4 (2)Defensor Sporting61.50.27W Primera Division Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Liverpool159512291332WLWWD
2Nacional1594235161931WWWWW
3Juventud159332315830WWDWL
4Peñarol158342117427WWWWW
5Defensor Sporting157351712524LLWLW
6Racing156541410423DDDLD
7Boston River156451617-122DWWWW
8Cerro Largo155641516-121LWDWL
9Plaza Colonia155461313019LLDLD
10Montevideo City Torque154561622-617LLLWD
11Atlético Progreso153661727-1015LWLWD
12Cerro153661320-714DLLLL
13Wanderers152671217-512WLLLD
14Danubio151951217-512WDLLL
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812DWLLL
16River Plate152491020-1010LLWLW
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -49%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.23 (4.35)-0.49 (1.38)0.610.29
Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.52 - -0.47 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
9-4.581.50-50.89%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Atlético Progreso's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.52 - -0.47 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%
Defensor Sporting's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.52 - -0.47 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.431.4343.00%
06-10-25-0.49Defensor Sporting62 - 1 (0)Wanderers91.50.43W
-0.49Defensor Sporting62 - 1 (0)Wanderers91.50.43WELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-10.83%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Atlético Progreso (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-10.83%
Defensor Sporting (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-10.83%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Atlético Progreso's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.391.3534.75%
16-02-25Atlético Progreso81 - 5Nacional61.50.26W
Atlético Progreso81 - 5Nacional61.50.26W27-11-24Atlético Progreso81 - 5Peñarol91.50.37W
Atlético Progreso81 - 5Peñarol91.50.37W10-03-24Atlético Progreso84 - 3Racing21.50.37W
Atlético Progreso84 - 3Racing21.50.37W04-11-23
Oriental90 - 2Atlético Progreso81.50.39W
Oriental90 - 2Atlético Progreso81.50.39WDefensor Sporting's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.091.381.13%
13-09-25Cerro Largo51 - 0Defensor Sporting71.5-1L
Cerro Largo51 - 0Defensor Sporting71.5-1L01-06-25River Plate61 - 2Defensor Sporting71.50.46W
River Plate61 - 2Defensor Sporting71.50.46W29-09-24Defensor Sporting73 - 1Deportivo Maldonado81.50.37W
Defensor Sporting73 - 1Deportivo Maldonado81.50.37W21-09-24Nacional51 - 1Defensor Sporting71.50.21W
Nacional51 - 1Defensor Sporting71.50.21W27-07-24Peñarol51 - 0Defensor Sporting71.5-1L
Peñarol51 - 0Defensor Sporting71.5-1L26-05-24Defensor Sporting73 - 1Cerro Largo61.50.38W
Defensor Sporting73 - 1Cerro Largo61.50.38W10-03-24Defensor Sporting73 - 3Nacional1(A)1.50.32W
Defensor Sporting73 - 3Nacional1(A)1.50.32W02-09-23La Luz51 - 1Defensor Sporting71.50.35W
La Luz51 - 1Defensor Sporting71.50.35WHOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Atlético Progreso's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.331.33-33.25%
19-10-24Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 0River Plate21.50.34W
Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 0River Plate21.50.34W16-10-24Boston River31 - 0Atlético Progreso31.5-1L
Boston River31 - 0Atlético Progreso31.5-1L21-10-21Atlético Progreso32 - 0Deportivo Maldonado31.50.33W
Atlético Progreso32 - 0Deportivo Maldonado31.50.33W17-10-21Cerro Largo81 - 0Atlético Progreso71.5-1L
Cerro Largo81 - 0Atlético Progreso71.5-1LDefensor Sporting's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.651.36-10.83%
21-10-24Defensor Sporting42 - 1Liverpool51.50.31W
Defensor Sporting42 - 1Liverpool51.50.31W16-10-24River Plate30 - 1Defensor Sporting31.5-1L
River Plate30 - 1Defensor Sporting31.5-1L21-10-23Defensor Sporting2(A)2 - 0Cerro Largo21.50.4W
Defensor Sporting2(A)2 - 0Cerro Largo21.50.4W18-10-23Liverpool32 - 0Defensor Sporting41.50.33W
Liverpool32 - 0Defensor Sporting41.50.33W22-10-22Defensor Sporting62 - 3Rentistas61.50.31W
Defensor Sporting62 - 3Rentistas61.50.31W15-10-22Deportivo Maldonado30 - 0Defensor Sporting11.5-1L
Deportivo Maldonado30 - 0Defensor Sporting11.5-1LLeague Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.32.332.382.1
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025Primera Division2432.33
Primera Division2432.332024Primera Division2942.43
Primera Division2942.432023Primera Division2992.29
Primera Division2992.292022Primera Division2972.18
Primera Division2972.182021Primera Division1502.49
Primera Division1502.49Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
67.08%1.4965.84%1.5265%1.5460%1.67
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025Primera Division24365.84% 1.52
Primera Division24365.84% 1.522024Primera Division29469.05% 1.45
Primera Division29469.05% 1.452023Primera Division29968.56% 1.46
Primera Division29968.56% 1.462022Primera Division29763.64% 1.57
Primera Division29763.64% 1.572021Primera Division15068.67% 1.46
Primera Division15068.67% 1.46 Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
0.991.010.971.1
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025Primera Division2431.01
Primera Division2431.012024Primera Division2941.06
Primera Division2941.062023Primera Division2990.99
Primera Division2990.992022Primera Division2970.91
Primera Division2970.912021Primera Division1501.09
Primera Division1501.09Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.321.131.28
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025Primera Division2431.32
Primera Division2431.322024Primera Division2941.36
Primera Division2941.362023Primera Division2991.30
Primera Division2991.302022Primera Division2971.27
Primera Division2971.272021Primera Division1501.41
Primera Division1501.41League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
18-0.941.4-5.22%
Last 2 seasons - 8 vs 7 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.131.31-35.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Atlético Progreso matches against table positions: 6,7,8
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-4.051.34-50.63%
08-06-256Atlético Progreso71 - 08Miramar Misiones71.5-1L
6Atlético Progreso71 - 08Miramar Misiones71.5-1L30-03-2515Atlético Progreso2(A)0 - 16Racing31.5-1L
15Atlético Progreso2(A)0 - 16Racing31.5-1L19-10-2415Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 08River Plate21.50.34W
15Atlético Progreso2(A)2 - 08River Plate21.50.34W29-09-2415Atlético Progreso70 - 36Nacional71.50.24W
15Atlético Progreso70 - 36Nacional71.50.24W18-08-2412Atlético Progreso210 - 08Miramar Misiones211.5-1L
12Atlético Progreso210 - 08Miramar Misiones211.5-1L21-07-246Atlético Progreso60 - 18Deportivo Maldonado81.5-1L
6Atlético Progreso60 - 18Deportivo Maldonado81.5-1L04-06-245Atlético Progreso110 - 17Cerro Largo81.5-1L
5Atlético Progreso110 - 17Cerro Largo81.5-1L10-03-246Atlético Progreso84 - 38Racing21.50.37W
6Atlético Progreso84 - 38Racing21.50.37WDefensor Sporting matches against table positions: 7,8,9
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.531.46.63%
30-08-257Liverpool2 - 012Defensor Sporting1.50.45W
7Liverpool2 - 012Defensor Sporting1.50.45W02-08-259Boston River44 - 010Defensor Sporting41.50.47W
9Boston River44 - 010Defensor Sporting41.50.47W01-06-258River Plate61 - 22Defensor Sporting71.50.46W
8River Plate61 - 22Defensor Sporting71.50.46W27-04-259Montevideo City Torque60 - 14Defensor Sporting61.5-1L
9Montevideo City Torque60 - 14Defensor Sporting61.5-1L27-11-249Cerro Largo73 - 06Defensor Sporting91.50.44W
9Cerro Largo73 - 06Defensor Sporting91.50.44W16-10-248River Plate30 - 112Defensor Sporting31.5-1L
8River Plate30 - 112Defensor Sporting31.5-1L19-04-249Liverpool2(A)1 - 15Defensor Sporting41.50.32W
9Liverpool2(A)1 - 15Defensor Sporting41.50.32W25-11-237Deportivo Maldonado52 - 12Defensor Sporting41.50.39W
7Deportivo Maldonado52 - 12Defensor Sporting41.50.39W