Peñarol vs Wanderers - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

2025-10-19
22:30:00

Peñarol⁷

Wanderers⁶

Estadio Campeon del Siglo (Montevideo)

1.335.8013.29

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.27

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool159512291332WLWWD

2Nacional1594235161931WWWWW

3Juventud159332315830WWDWL

4Peñarol158342117427WWWWW

5Defensor Sporting157351712524LLWLW

6Racing156541410423DDDLD

7Boston River156451617-122DWWWW

8Cerro Largo155641516-121LWDWL

9Plaza Colonia155461313019LLDLD

10Montevideo City Torque154561622-617LLLWD

11Atlético Progreso153661727-1015LWLWD

12Cerro153661320-714DLLLL

13Wanderers152671217-512WLLLD

14Danubio151951217-512WDLLL

15Miramar Misiones153391624-812DWLLL

16River Plate152491020-1010LLWLW

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Peñarol's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.491.2814.9%

Peñarol's home matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.4

06-09-25

Peñarol⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Plaza Colonia⁵1.5-1L

01-08-25

Peñarol²⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Atlético Progreso^2(A)1.50.27W

24-05-25

Peñarol⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Plaza Colonia⁴1.50.31W

12-04-25

Peñarol²4 - 2⁽²⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.32W

15-02-25

Peñarol⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁵1.50.31W

01-12-24

Peñarol3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fénix1.50.23W

11-10-24

Peñarol⁴2 - 0⁽¹⁾Deportivo Maldonado⁴1.50.21W

14-09-24

Peñarol⁶4 - 0⁽²⁾Rampla Juniors⁵1.50.26W

06-07-24

Peñarol¹⁹1 - 1⁽¹⁾Deportivo Maldonado¹³1.50.3W

29-04-24

Peñarol⁴3 - 0⁽⁰⁾River Plate⁷1.50.28W

Wanderers's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.251.2525%

Wanderers's away matches when WIN odds between 11.8 and 14.8

26-04-25

Nacional^2(A)3 - 1⁽²⁾Wanderers⁶1.50.25W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Peñarol's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.731.337.3%

Peñarol's last 10 home matches

05-10-25

Peñarol⁷2 - 0⁽²⁾Danubio⁶1.50.27W

21-09-25

Peñarol⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Juventud⁶1.5-1L

06-09-25

Peñarol⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Plaza Colonia⁵1.5-1L

09-08-25

Peñarol⁷3 - 0⁽¹⁾Nacional⁶1.50.36W

01-08-25

Peñarol²⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Atlético Progreso^2(A)1.50.27W

07-06-25

Peñarol⁵3 - 0⁽¹⁾Defensor Sporting⁵1.50.44W

24-05-25

Peñarol⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Plaza Colonia⁴1.50.31W

17-05-25

Peñarol²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Montevideo City Torque¹²1.50.33W

12-04-25

Peñarol²4 - 2⁽²⁾Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.32W

30-03-25

Peñarol^2(A)0 - 2⁽¹⁾Cerro Largo⁴1.50.43W

Wanderers's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.431.46-14.3%

Wanderers's last 10 away matches.

12-10-25

Montevideo City Torque⁸2 - 2⁽¹⁾Wanderers⁵1.50.4W

06-10-25

Defensor Sporting⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁹1.50.43W

21-09-25

Atlético Progreso⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁶1.50.47W

14-09-25

Miramar Misiones⁶3 - 0⁽²⁾Wanderers⁷1.50.46W

01-09-25

Cerro Largo²²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wanderers²¹1.5-1L

03-08-25

Racing⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁵1.5-1L

01-06-25

Cerro⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁶1.50.56W

17-05-25

River Plate¹²0 - 1⁽¹⁾Wanderers¹⁴1.5-1L

02-05-25

Boston River⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁵1.5-1L

26-04-25

Nacional^2(A)3 - 1⁽²⁾Wanderers⁶1.50.25W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Peñarol's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.561.33-9.33%

Peñarol's all matches - last 6

11-10-25

Miramar Misiones⁷2 - 2⁽¹⁾Peñarol⁵1.50.33W

05-10-25

Peñarol⁷2 - 0⁽²⁾Danubio⁶1.50.27W

27-09-25

Cerro Largo⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Peñarol⁵1.50.43W

21-09-25

Peñarol⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Juventud⁶1.5-1L

13-09-25

Liverpool⁵2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Peñarol⁶1.50.41W

06-09-25

Peñarol⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Plaza Colonia⁵1.5-1L

Wanderers's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.321.4722%

Wanderers's all matches - last 6

12-10-25

Montevideo City Torque⁸2 - 2⁽¹⁾Wanderers⁵1.50.4W

06-10-25

Defensor Sporting⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁹1.50.43W

26-09-25

Wanderers⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cerro⁴1.5-1L

21-09-25

Atlético Progreso⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁶1.50.47W

14-09-25

Miramar Misiones⁶3 - 0⁽²⁾Wanderers⁷1.50.46W

06-09-25

Wanderers⁴0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Danubio⁵1.50.56W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.971.34-32.83%

H2H matches - last 6

19-04-25

Wanderers⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Peñarol⁶1.50.37W

14-11-24

Wanderers³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Peñarol⁴1.50.31W

08-06-24

Wanderers⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Peñarol⁵1.50.35W

11-05-24

Peñarol³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Wanderers⁶1.5-1L

06-12-23

Wanderers0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Peñarol1.5-1L

24-06-23

Wanderers⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Peñarol⁵1.5-1L

Primera Division Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool159512291332WLWWD

2Nacional1594235161931WWWWW

3Juventud159332315830WWDWL

4Peñarol158342117427WWWWW

5Defensor Sporting157351712524LLWLW

6Racing156541410423DDDLD

7Boston River156451617-122DWWWW

8Cerro Largo155641516-121LWDWL

9Plaza Colonia155461313019LLDLD

10Montevideo City Torque154561622-617LLLWD

11Atlético Progreso153661727-1015LWLWD

12Cerro153661320-714DLLLL

13Wanderers152671217-512WLLLD

14Danubio151951217-512WDLLL

15Miramar Misiones153391624-812DWLLL

16River Plate152491020-1010LLWLW

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 1%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.80 (1.25)0.01 (1.27)2.520.45

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

76-7.201.39-9.47%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Peñarol's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

130.491.353.77%

27-03-25

^0.01Juventud⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Peñarol⁶1.50.3W

09-03-25

^-0.01Peñarol¹²0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Racing³1.50.33W

15-02-25

^0.03Peñarol⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Boston River⁵1.50.31W

21-07-24

^-0.01Peñarol⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Fénix⁶1.50.38W

16-06-24

^0.02Peñarol⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Racing⁷1.50.35W

23-05-24

^-0.01Peñarol⁴3 - 1⁽¹⁾Atlético Progreso⁴1.50.26W

18-05-24

^0.02Defensor Sporting⁵0 - 2⁽¹⁾Peñarol³1.50.34W

07-04-24

^0.02Deportivo Maldonado⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Peñarol^2(A)1.50.36W

29-03-24

^0.03Peñarol¹²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional⁵1.5-1L

25-11-23

^0.00Peñarol⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Plaza Colonia⁶1.5-1L

19-11-23

^0.03Danubio^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Peñarol³1.50.46W

11-11-23

^0.02Nacional⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Peñarol⁵1.50.4W

05-11-23

^-0.01Peñarol¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool¹²1.5-1L

Wanderers's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.701.3611.67%

13-06-25

^0.02Cerro Largo⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Wanderers⁵1.5-1L

26-04-25

^0.00Nacional^2(A)3 - 1⁽²⁾Wanderers⁶1.50.25W

15-02-25

^0.03Wanderers⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁶1.50.38W

14-07-24

^0.03Wanderers⁶4 - 2⁽²⁾Atlético Progreso⁶1.50.39W

07-07-24

^0.01Defensor Sporting¹⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Wanderers¹³1.50.35W

26-11-23

^0.03Nacional⁵3 - 1⁽¹⁾Wanderers⁵1.50.33W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00025.38%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Peñarol (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00025.38%

Wanderers (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00025.38%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Peñarol's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.31.3216.25%

05-10-25

Peñarol⁷2 - 0Danubio⁶1.50.27W

21-09-25

Peñarol⁷1 - 0Juventud⁶1.5-1L

09-08-25

Peñarol⁷3 - 0Nacional⁶1.50.36W

09-02-25

Nacional⁶1 - 1Peñarol⁷1.50.42W

16-06-24

Peñarol⁷1 - 1Racing⁷1.50.35W

03-03-24

Rampla Juniors⁴0 - 3Peñarol⁷1.50.31W

27-08-23

Peñarol⁷2 - 2La Luz⁷1.50.3W

16-07-23

Peñarol⁷2 - 1Boston River⁶1.50.29W

Wanderers's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.451.425.63%

21-09-25

Atlético Progreso⁶2 - 0Wanderers⁶1.50.47W

10-08-25

Wanderers⁶0 - 0Plaza Colonia⁶1.5-1L

01-06-25

Cerro⁶1 - 2Wanderers⁶1.50.56W

26-04-25

Nacional^2(A)3 - 1Wanderers⁶1.50.25W

19-04-25

Wanderers⁶1 - 2Peñarol⁶1.50.37W

07-04-25

Wanderers⁶0 - 0Defensor Sporting⁵1.5-1L

23-03-25

Wanderers⁶1 - 2Miramar Misiones⁶1.50.42W

15-02-25

Wanderers⁶1 - 1Liverpool⁶1.50.38W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Peñarol's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.381.414.75%

19-10-24

Peñarol^2(A)2 - 0Boston River²1.50.46W

16-10-24

Danubio³0 - 1Peñarol⁴1.5-1L

22-10-23

River Plate^2(A)0 - 3Peñarol³1.50.43W

18-10-23

Montevideo City Torque⁴2 - 3Peñarol³1.50.39W

14-10-23

Deportivo Maldonado⁵0 - 1Peñarol⁶1.5-1L

22-10-22

Cerro Largo⁵0 - 2Peñarol⁵1.50.45W

16-10-22

Peñarol³1 - 1River Plate²1.50.39W

23-10-21

Villa Española^2(A)1 - 3Peñarol²1.50.26W

Wanderers's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

82.031.4325.38%

21-10-24

Wanderers⁵1 - 2Fénix³1.50.39W

15-10-24

Liverpool³1 - 1Wanderers²1.50.33W

24-10-23

Wanderers⁵1 - 2Racing⁴1.50.44W

18-10-23

Plaza Colonia⁴1 - 0Wanderers³1.5-1L

14-10-23

Wanderers⁶1 - 1Cerro Largo⁶1.50.5W

24-10-22

Boston River⁶2 - 2Wanderers⁶1.50.4W

17-10-22

Wanderers²2 - 1Plaza Colonia⁴1.50.43W

14-10-22

Wanderers⁴2 - 1Cerrito⁶1.50.54W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.32.332.382.1

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2432.33

2024

Primera Division2942.43

2023

Primera Division2992.29

2022

Primera Division2972.18

2021

Primera Division1502.49

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

67.08%1.4965.84%1.5265%1.5460%1.67

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division24365.84% 1.52

2024

Primera Division29469.05% 1.45

2023

Primera Division29968.56% 1.46

2022

Primera Division29763.64% 1.57

2021

Primera Division15068.67% 1.46

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

0.991.010.971.1

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2431.01

2024

Primera Division2941.06

2023

Primera Division2990.99

2022

Primera Division2970.91

2021

Primera Division1501.09

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.311.321.131.28

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025

Primera Division2431.32

2024

Primera Division2941.36

2023

Primera Division2991.30

2022

Primera Division2971.27

2021

Primera Division1501.41

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

18-0.841.34-4.67%

Last 2 seasons - 1 vs 15 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.27-100%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Peñarol matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-0.521.32-7.43%

06-09-25

¹Peñarol⁵1 - 0¹⁵Plaza Colonia⁵1.5-1L

12-04-25

¹⁰Peñarol²4 - 2¹⁵Miramar Misiones⁵1.50.32W

15-02-25

⁵Peñarol⁵1 - 1¹⁴Boston River⁵1.50.31W

11-10-24

⁴Peñarol⁴2 - 0¹⁶Deportivo Maldonado⁴1.50.21W

17-08-24

⁵Peñarol²0 - 0¹⁵Cerro Largo²⁰1.5-1L

09-03-24

²Peñarol⁵3 - 0¹⁵Cerro⁷1.50.32W

15-11-23

²Peñarol³1 - 1¹⁶Cerro Largo⁴1.50.32W

Wanderers matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

401.330%

12-10-25

³Montevideo City Torque⁸2 - 2¹⁵Wanderers⁵1.50.4W

26-04-25

³Nacional^2(A)3 - 1¹⁴Wanderers⁶1.50.25W

07-07-24

²Defensor Sporting¹⁴1 - 1⁷Wanderers¹³1.50.35W

11-05-24

¹Peñarol³1 - 0¹²Wanderers⁶1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Peñarol vs Wanderers - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

URUGUAY - Primera Division

Peñarol's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Peñarol's home matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.4

Wanderers's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Wanderers's away matches when WIN odds between 11.8 and 14.8

Peñarol's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Peñarol's last 10 home matches

Wanderers's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Wanderers's last 10 away matches.

Peñarol's all matches (last 6 matches)

Peñarol's all matches - last 6

Wanderers's all matches (last 6 matches)

Wanderers's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Primera Division Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

Peñarol's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

Wanderers's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.02 - 0.04 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Peñarol (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Wanderers (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Peñarol's all matches (last 8 matches)

Wanderers's all matches (last 8 matches)

Peñarol's all matches (last 8 matches)

Wanderers's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Primera Division Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primera Division Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 1 vs 15 in the table

Peñarol matches against table positions: 14,15,16

Wanderers matches against table positions: 1,2,3

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